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2,400
AR6_WGII
26
15
At progressive levels of warming, involuntary migration from regions with high exposure and low adaptive capacity would occur
medium
1
train
2,401
AR6_WGII
26
16
Compared to other socioeconomic factors the influence of climate on conflict is assessed as relatively weak
high
2
train
2,402
AR6_WGII
26
17
Along long-term socioeconomic pathways that reduce non-climatic drivers, risk of violent conflict would decline
medium
1
train
2,403
AR6_WGII
26
18
At higher global warming levels, impacts of weather and climate extremes, particularly drought, by increasing vulnerability will increasingly affect violent intrastate conflict
medium
1
train
2,404
AR6_WGII
26
20
There is evidence that some regions could benefit from low levels of warming
high
2
train
2,405
AR6_WGII
29
4
Multiple risks interact, generating new sources of vulnerability to climate hazards, and compounding overall risk
high
2
train
2,406
AR6_WGII
29
5
Increasing concurrence of heat and drought events are causing crop production losses and tree mortality
high
2
train
2,407
AR6_WGII
29
6
Above 1.5°C global warming increasing concurrent climate extremes will increase risk of simultaneous crop losses of maize in major food-producing regions, with this risk increasing further with higher global warming levels
medium
1
train
2,408
AR6_WGII
29
7
Future sea level rise combined with storm surge and heavy rainfall will increase compound flood risks
high
2
train
2,409
AR6_WGII
29
8
Risks to health and food production will be made more severe from the interaction of sudden food production losses from heat and drought, exacerbated by heat-induced labour productivity losses
high
2
train
2,410
AR6_WGII
29
9
These interacting impacts will increase food prices, reduce household incomes, and lead to health risks of malnutrition and climate-related mortality with no or low levels of adaptation, especially in tropical regions
high
2
train
2,411
AR6_WGII
29
10
Risks to food safety from climate change will further compound the risks to health by increasing food contamination of crops from mycotoxins and contamination of seafood from harmful algal blooms, mycotoxins, and chemical contaminants
high
2
train
2,412
AR6_WGII
29
12
These hazards and cascading risks also trigger tipping points in sensitive ecosystems and in significantly and rapidly changing social-ecological systems impacted by ice melt, permafrost thaw and changing hydrology in polar regions
high
2
train
2,413
AR6_WGII
30
1
In Amazonia, and in some mountain regions, cascading impacts from climatic (e.g., heat) and non-climatic stressors (e.g., land use change) will result in irreversible and severe losses of ecosystem services and biodiversity at 2°C global warming level and beyond
medium
1
train
2,414
AR6_WGII
30
2
Unavoidable sea level rise will bring cascading and compounding impacts resulting in losses of coastal ecosystems and ecosystem services, groundwater salinisation, flooding and damages to coastal infrastructure that cascade into risks to livelihoods, settlements, health, well-being, food and water security, and cultural values in the near to long-term
high
2
train
2,415
AR6_WGII
30
5
Climate change causes the redistribution of marine fish stocks, increasing risk of transboundary management conflicts among fisheries users, and negatively affecting equitable distribution of food provisioning services as fish stocks shift from lower to higher latitude regions, thereby increasing the need for climate-informed transboundary management and cooperation
high
2
train
2,416
AR6_WGII
30
6
Precipitation and water availability changes increases the risk of planned infrastructure projects, such as hydropower in some regions, having reduced productivity for food and energy sectors including across countries that share river basins
medium
1
train
2,417
AR6_WGII
30
8
Deployment of afforestation of naturally unforested land, or poorly implemented bioenergy, with or without carbon capture and storage, can compound climate-related risks to biodiversity, water and food security, and livelihoods, especially if implemented at large scales, especially in regions with insecure land tenure
high
2
train
2,418
AR6_WGII
30
10
Solar radiation modification approaches have potential to offset warming and ameliorate some climate hazards, but substantial residual climate change or overcompensating change would occur at regional scales and seasonal timescales
high
2
train
2,419
AR6_WGII
30
12
Solar radiation modification would not stop atmospheric CO 2 concentrations from increasing or reduce resulting ocean acidification under continued anthropogenic emissions
high
2
train
2,420
AR6_WGII
30
15
Depending on the mag- nitude and duration of overshoot, some impacts will cause release of additional greenhouse gases (medium confidence) and some will be irreversible, even if global warming is reduced
high
2
train
2,421
AR6_WGII
30
17
Additional warming, e.g., above 1.5°C during an overshoot period this century, will result in irreversible impacts on certain ecosystems with low resilience, such as polar, mountain, and coastal ecosystems, impacted by ice-sheet, glacier melt, or by accelerating and higher committed sea level rise (high confidence).38 Risks to human systems will increase, including those to infrastructure, low-lying coastal settlements, some ecosystem-based adaptation measures, and associated livelihoods (high confidence), cultural and spiritual values
medium
1
train
2,422
AR6_WGII
30
18
Projected impacts are less severe with shorter duration and lower levels of overshoot
medium
1
train
2,423
AR6_WGII
31
1
In high-carbon ecosystems (currently storing 3,000 to 4,000 GtC) such impacts are already observed and are projected to increase with every additional increment of global warming, such as increased wildfires, mass mortality of trees, drying of peatlands, and thawing of permafrost, weakening natural land carbon sinks and increasing releases of greenhouse gases
medium
1
test
2,424
AR6_WGII
31
2
The resulting contribution to a potential amplification of global warming indicates that a return to a given global warming level or below would be more challenging
medium
1
train
2,425
AR6_WGII
31
9
However, adaptation progress is unevenly distributed with observed adaptation gaps40
high
2
train
2,426
AR6_WGII
31
10
Many initiatives prioritize immediate and near-term climate risk reduction which reduces the opportunity for transformational adaptation
high
2
train
2,427
AR6_WGII
31
12
Growing public and political awareness of climate impacts and risks has resulted in at least 170 countries and many cities including adaptation in their climate policies and planning processes
high
2
train
2,428
AR6_WGII
31
13
Decision support tools and climate services are increasingly being used
very high
3
train
2,429
AR6_WGII
31
14
Pilot projects and local experiments are being implemented in different sectors
high
2
train
2,430
AR6_WGII
31
15
Adaptation can generate multiple additional benefits such as improving agricultural productivity, innovation, health and well-being, food security, livelihood, and biodiversity conservation as well as reduction of risks and damages
very high
3
test
2,431
AR6_WGII
31
17
Most observed adaptation is fragmented, small in scale, incremental, sector-specific, designed to respond to current impacts or near-term risks, and focused more on planning rather than implementation
high
2
train
2,432
AR6_WGII
31
18
Observed adaptation is unequally distributed across regions (high confidence), and gaps are partially driven by widening disparities between the estimated costs of adaptation and documented finance allocated to adaptation
high
2
train
2,433
AR6_WGII
31
19
The largest adaptation gaps exist among lower income population groups
high
2
train
2,434
AR6_WGII
31
20
At current rates of adaptation planning and implementation the adaptation gap will continue to grow
high
2
train
2,435
AR6_WGII
31
21
As adaptation options often have long implementation times, long-term planning and accelerated implementation, particularly in the next decade, is important to close adaptation gaps, recognising that constraints remain for some regions
high
2
train
2,436
AR6_WGII
32
6
The feasibility of implementing adaptation options in the near-term differs across sectors and regions
very high
3
train
2,437
AR6_WGII
32
7
The effec- tiveness of adaptation to reduce climate risk is documented for specific contexts, sectors and regions (high confidence) and will decrease with increasing warming
high
2
train
2,438
AR6_WGII
32
8
Integrated, multi-sectoral solutions that address social in- equities, differentiate responses based on climate risk and cut across systems, increase the feasibility and effectiveness of adaptation in multiple sectors
high
2
train
2,439
AR6_WGII
32
10
For inland flooding, combinations of non-structural measures like early warning systems and structural measures like levees have reduced loss of lives
medium
1
train
2,440
AR6_WGII
32
11
Enhancing natural water retention such as by restoring wetlands and rivers, land use planning such as no build zones or upstream forest management, can further reduce flood risk
medium
1
train
2,441
AR6_WGII
32
12
On-farm water management, water storage, soil moisture conservation and irrigation are some of the most common adaptation responses and provide economic, institutional or ecological benefits and reduce vulnerability
high
2
train
2,442
AR6_WGII
32
13
Irrigation is effective in reducing drought risk and climate impacts in many regions and has several livelihood benefits, but needs appropriate management to avoid potential adverse outcomes, which can include accelerated depletion of groundwater and other water sources and increased soil salinization
medium
1
train
2,443
AR6_WGII
32
14
Large scale irrigation can also alter local to regional temperature and precipitation patterns (high confidence), including both alleviating and exacerbating temperature extremes
medium
1
train
2,444
AR6_WGII
32
15
The effectiveness of most water-related adaptation options to reduce projected risks declines with increasing warming
high
2
train
2,445
AR6_WGII
32
17
Effective options include cultivar improvements, agroforestry, community-based adaptation, farm and landscape diversification, and urban agriculture
high
2
train
2,446
AR6_WGII
32
19
Agroecological principles and practices, ecosystem-based management in fisheries and aquaculture, and other approaches that work with natural processes support food security, nutrition, health and well-being, livelihoods and biodiversity, sustainability and ecosystem services
high
2
train
2,447
AR6_WGII
32
20
These services include pest control, pollination, buffering of temperature extremes, and carbon sequestration and storage
high
2
train
2,448
AR6_WGII
32
21
Trade-offs and barriers associated with such approaches include costs of establishment, access to inputs and viable markets, new knowledge and management (high confidence) and their potential effectiveness varies by socioeconomic context, ecosystem zone, species combinations and institutional support
medium
1
train
2,449
AR6_WGII
32
22
Integrated, multi-sectoral solutions that address social inequities and differentiate responses based on climate risk and local situation will enhance food security and nutrition
high
2
train
2,450
AR6_WGII
32
23
Adaptation strategies which reduce food loss and waste or support balanced diets33 (as described in the IPCC Special Report on Climate Change and Land) contribute to nutrition, health, biodiversity and other environmental benefits
high
2
train
2,451
AR6_WGII
35
1
The resilience of species, biological communities and ecosystem processes increases with size of natural area, by restoration of degraded areas and by reducing non-climatic stressors
high
2
train
2,452
AR6_WGII
35
2
To be effective, conservation and restoration actions will increasingly need to be responsive, as appropriate, to ongoing changes at various scales, and plan for future changes in ecosystem structure, community composition and species’ distributions, especially as 1.5°C global warming is approached and even more so if it is exceeded
high
2
train
2,453
AR6_WGII
35
3
Adaptation options, where circumstances allow, include facilitating the movement of species to new ecologically appropriate locations, particularly through increasing connectivity between conserved or protected areas, targeted intensive management for vulnerable species and protecting refugial areas where species can survive locally
medium
1
train
2,454
AR6_WGII
35
5
Ecosystem-based Adaptation is vulnerable to climate change impacts, with effectiveness declining with increasing global warming
high
2
train
2,455
AR6_WGII
35
6
Urban greening using trees and other vegetation can provide local cooling
very high
3
train
2,456
AR6_WGII
35
7
Natural river systems, wetlands and upstream forest ecosystems reduce flood risk by storing water and slowing water flow, in most circumstances
high
2
train
2,457
AR6_WGII
35
8
Coastal wetlands protect against coastal erosion and flooding associated with storms and sea level rise where sufficient space and adequate habitats are available until rates of sea level rise exceeds natural adaptive capacity to build sediment
very high
3
train
2,458
AR6_WGII
35
10
The urgent provision of basic services, infrastructure, livelihood diversification and employment, strengthening of local and regional food systems and community-based adaptation enhance lives and livelihoods, particularly of low-income and marginalised groups
high
2
train
2,459
AR6_WGII
35
11
Inclusive, integrated and long-term planning at local, municipal, sub-national and national scales, together with effective regulation and monitoring systems and financial and technological resources and capabilities foster urban and rural system transition
high
2
train
2,460
AR6_WGII
35
14
Globally, more financing is directed at physical infrastructure than natural and social infrastructure
medium
1
train
2,461
AR6_WGII
35
15
Ecosystem-based adaptation (e.g., urban agriculture and forestry, river restoration) has increasingly been applied in urban areas
high
2
train
2,462
AR6_WGII
35
16
Combined ecosystem-based and structural adaptation responses are being developed, and there is growing evidence of their potential to reduce adaptation costs and contribute to flood control, sanitation, water resources management, landslide prevention and coastal protection
medium
1
train
2,463
AR6_WGII
36
1
Such adaptation challenges would occur much earlier under high rates of sea level rise, in particular if low-likelihood, high impact outcomes associated with collapsing ice sheets occur
high
2
train
2,464
AR6_WGII
36
2
Responses to ongoing sea level rise and land subsidence in low-lying coastal cities and settlements and small islands include protection, accommodation, advance and planned relocation
high
2
train
2,465
AR6_WGII
36
3
These responses are more effective if combined and/or sequenced, planned well ahead, aligned with sociocultural values and development priorities, and underpinned by inclusive community engagement processes
high
2
train
2,466
AR6_WGII
36
9
Energy generation diversification, including with renewable energy resources and generation that can be decentralised depending on context (e.g., wind, solar, small scale hydroelectric) and demand side management (e.g., storage, and energy efficiency improvements) can reduce vulnerabilities to climate change, especially in rural populations
high
2
train
2,467
AR6_WGII
36
10
Adaptations for hydropower and thermo-electric power generation are effective in most regions up to 1.5°C to 2°C, with decreasing effectiveness at higher levels of warming
medium
1
train
2,468
AR6_WGII
36
11
Climate responsive energy markets, updated design standards on energy assets according to current and projected climate change, smart-grid technologies, robust transmission systems and improved capacity to respond to supply deficits have high feasibility in the medium- to long-term, with mitigation co-benefits
very high
3
train
2,469
AR6_WGII
36
14
Heat Health Action Plans that include early warning and response systems are effective adaptation options for extreme heat
high
2
train
2,470
AR6_WGII
36
15
Effective adaptation options for water-borne and food-borne diseases include improving access to potable water, reducing exposure of water and sanitation systems to flooding and extreme weather events, and improved early warning systems
very high
3
train
2,471
AR6_WGII
36
16
For vector-borne diseases, effective adaptation options include surveillance, early warning systems, and vaccine development
very high
3
train
2,472
AR6_WGII
36
17
Effective adaptation options for reducing mental health risks under climate change include improving surveillance, access to mental health care, and monitoring of psychosocial impacts from extreme weather events
high
2
train
2,473
AR6_WGII
36
18
Health and well-being would benefit from integrated adaptation approaches that mainstream health into food, livelihoods, social protection, infrastructure, water and sanitation policies requiring collaboration and coordination at all scales of governance
very high
3
test
2,474
AR6_WGII
36
20
This improves the degree of choice under which migration decisions are made, ensuring safe and orderly movements of people within and between countries
high
2
train
2,475
AR6_WGII
36
21
Some development reduces underlying vulnerabilities associated with conflict, and adaptation contributes by reducing the impacts of climate change on climate sensitive drivers of conflict
high
2
train
2,476
AR6_WGII
36
22
Risks to peace are reduced, for example, by supporting people in climate-sensitive economic activities (medium confidence) and advancing women’s empowerment
high
2
train
2,477
AR6_WGII
37
1
For example, climate services that are inclusive of different users and providers can improve agricultural practices, inform better water use and efficiency, and enable resilient infrastructure planning
high
2
train
2,478
AR6_WGII
37
3
Hard limits to adaptation have been reached in some ecosystems
high
2
train
2,479
AR6_WGII
37
4
With increasing global warming, losses and damages will increase and additional human and natural systems will reach adaptation limits
high
2
train
2,480
AR6_WGII
37
6
For example, individuals and households in low-lying coastal areas in Australasia and Small Islands and smallholder farmers in Central and South America, Africa, Europe and Asia have reached soft limits
medium
1
train
2,481
AR6_WGII
37
7
Inequity and poverty also constrain adaptation, leading to soft limits and resulting in disproportionate exposure and impacts for most vulnerable groups
high
2
train
2,482
AR6_WGII
37
8
Lack of climate literacy46 at all levels and limited availability of information and data pose further constraints to adaptation planning and implementation
medium
1
train
2,483
AR6_WGII
37
10
Although global tracked climate finance has shown an upward trend since AR5, current global financial flows for adaptation, including from public and private finance sources, are insufficient for and constrain implementation of adaptation options especially in developing countries
high
2
train
2,484
AR6_WGII
37
11
The overwhelming majority of global tracked climate finance was targeted to mitigation while a small proportion was targeted to adaptation
very high
3
train
2,485
AR6_WGII
37
12
Adaptation finance has come predominantly from public sources
very high
3
train
2,486
AR6_WGII
37
13
Adverse climate impacts can reduce the availability of financial resources by incurring losses and damages and through impeding national economic growth, thereby further increasing financial constraints for adaptation, particularly for developing and least developed countries
medium
1
train
2,487
AR6_WGII
37
15
Ecosystems already reaching or surpassing hard adaptation limits include some warm- water coral reefs, some coastal wetlands, some rainforests, and some polar and mountain ecosystems
high
2
train
2,488
AR6_WGII
37
16
Above 1.5°C global warming level, some Ecosystem-based Adaptation measures will lose their effectiveness in providing benefits to people as these ecosystems will reach hard adaptation limits
high
2
train
2,489
AR6_WGII
37
18
Above 1.5°C global warming level, limited freshwater resources pose potential hard limits for Small Islands and for regions dependent on glacier and snow-melt
medium
1
train
2,490
AR6_WGII
37
19
By 2°C global warming level, soft limits are projected for multiple staple crops in many growing areas, particularly in tropical regions
high
2
train
2,491
AR6_WGII
37
20
By 3°C global warming level, soft limits are projected for some water management measures for many regions, with hard limits projected for parts of Europe
medium
1
train
2,492
AR6_WGII
37
21
Transitioning from incremental to transformational adaptation can help overcome soft adaptation limits
high
2
train
2,493
AR6_WGII
38
4
The implementation of these maladaptive actions can result in infrastructure and institutions that are inflexible and/or expensive to change
high
2
train
2,494
AR6_WGII
38
5
For example, seawalls effectively reduce impacts to people and assets in the short-term but can also result in lock-ins and increase exposure to climate risks in the long-term unless they are integrated into a long-term adaptive plan
high
2
train
2,495
AR6_WGII
38
6
Adaptation integrated with development reduces lock-ins and creates opportunities (e.g., infrastructure upgrading)
medium
1
train
2,496
AR6_WGII
38
15
Maladaptation is also minimized by planning that accounts for the time it takes to adapt (high confidence), the uncertainty about the rate and magnitude of climate risk (medium confidence) and a wide range of potentially adverse consequences of adaptation actions
high
2
train
2,497
AR6_WGII
38
19
Implementing actions can require large upfront investments of human, financial and technological resources (high confidence), whilst some benefits could only become visible in the next decade or beyond
medium
1
train
2,498
AR6_WGII
38
20
Accelerating commitment and follow-through is promoted by rising public awareness, building business cases for adaptation, accountability and transparency mechanisms, monitoring and evaluation of adaptation progress, social movements, and climate-related litigation in some regions
medium
1
train
2,499
AR6_WGII
39
1
Sustained adaptation actions are strengthened by mainstreaming adaptation into institutional budget and policy planning cycles, statutory planning, monitoring and evaluation frameworks and into recovery efforts from disaster events
high
2
train