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4,700 | AR6_WGII | 1,058 | 2 | Targeted investments in health and other systems, including multi-sectoral, integrated approaches to protect against key health risks can effectively increase resilience | high | 2 | train |
4,701 | AR6_WGII | 1,058 | 3 | Increased investment in strengthening general health systems, along with targeted investments to enhance protection against specific climate-sensitive exposures (e.g., hazard early warning and response systems, and integrated vector control programmes for VBDs) will increase resilience if implemented to at least keep pace with climate change | high | 2 | train |
4,702 | AR6_WGII | 1,058 | 7 | These short-term responses can be complemented by longer-term urban planning and design, including nature-based solutions (NbS) that mitigate urban heat island (UHI) effects | high | 2 | train |
4,703 | AR6_WGII | 1,058 | 9 | The COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated the value of coordinated and multi-sectoral planning, social protection systems, safety nets and other capacities in societies to cope with a range of shocks and stresses | high | 2 | train |
4,704 | AR6_WGII | 1,058 | 10 | The pandemic has posed a severe shock to many socioeconomic systems, resulting in substantial changes in vulnerability and exposure of people to climate risks | high | 2 | train |
4,705 | AR6_WGII | 1,058 | 11 | The pandemic emphasises the inter-connected and compound nature of risks, vulnerabilities, and responses to emergencies that are simultaneously local and global | high | 2 | train |
4,706 | AR6_WGII | 1,058 | 12 | Pathways to climate resilient development can be pursued simultaneously with recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic | high | 2 | train |
4,707 | AR6_WGII | 1,058 | 13 | The COVID-19 pandemic has aggravated climate risks, demonstrated the global and local vulnerability to cascading shocks and illustrated the importance of integrated solutions that tackle ecosystem degradation and structural vulnerabilities in human societies | high | 2 | train |
4,708 | AR6_WGII | 1,058 | 14 | Transitioning towards equitable, low-carbon societies has multiple benefits for health and well-being | very high | 3 | train |
4,709 | AR6_WGII | 1,058 | 15 | Benefits for health and well-being can be gained from wide-spread, equitable access to affordable renewable energy (high confidence); active transport (e.g., walking and cycling) (high confidence); green buildings and nature-based solutions, such as green and blue urban infrastructure (high confidence); and by transitioning to a low-carbon, well-being-oriented and equity-oriented economy consistent with the aims of the SDGs | high | 2 | train |
4,710 | AR6_WGII | 1,058 | 16 | Plant-rich diets consistent with international recommendations for healthy diets could contribute to lower GHG emissions while also generating health co-benefits, such as reducing ill health related to over-consumption of animal-based products | high | 2 | train |
4,711 | AR6_WGII | 1,058 | 17 | Reducing future risks of involuntary migration and displacement due to climate change is possible through cooperative international efforts to enhance institutional adaptive capacity and sustainable development | high | 2 | train |
4,712 | AR6_WGII | 1,058 | 18 | Institutional and cross-sectoral efforts to build adaptive capacity, coupled with policies aimed at ensuring safe and orderly movements of people within and between states, can form part of the CRDPs that reduce future risks of climate-related involuntary migration, displacement and immobility | medium | 1 | train |
4,713 | AR6_WGII | 1,058 | 19 | In locations where permanent, government- assisted relocation becomes unavoidable, active involvement of local populations in planning and decision-making increases the likelihood of successful outcomes | medium | 1 | train |
4,714 | AR6_WGII | 1,058 | 20 | People who live on small island states do not view relocation as an appropriate or desirable means of adapting to the impacts of climate change | high | 2 | train |
4,715 | AR6_WGII | 1,058 | 21 | Adaptation and sustainable development build peace in conflict- prone regions by addressing the drivers of grievances that lead to conflict and vulnerability to climate change | high | 2 | train |
4,716 | AR6_WGII | 1,058 | 22 | Environmental peacebuilding (EP) through natural resource sharing, conflict-sensitive adaptation and climate-resilient peacebuilding offer promising avenues for addressing conflict risk, but their efficacy is still to be demonstrated through effective monitoring and evaluation | high | 2 | train |
4,717 | AR6_WGII | 1,058 | 23 | Formal institutional arrangements for natural resource management contribute to wider cooperation and peacebuilding (high confidence) and gender-based approaches provide under-utilised pathways to achieving sustainable peace | medium | 1 | train |
4,718 | AR6_WGII | 1,058 | 24 | Inclusion, cross-issue and cross-sectoral integration in policy and programming, and approaches that incorporate different geographical scales and work across national boundaries can support climate- resilient peace | high | 2 | train |
4,719 | AR6_WGII | 1,059 | 5 | Specific observations of current impacts included the expansion of the geographical ranges of some diseases into previously unaffected areas and changes in the distributions of some food-, water- and vector- borne diseases | high | 2 | train |
4,720 | AR6_WGII | 1,059 | 6 | Increasing future health risks were projected from injury, disease and death due to more intense heatwaves and fires (very high confidence), undernutrition in poor regions (high confidence), food- and waterborne diseases (very high confidence) and VBDs | medium | 1 | train |
4,721 | AR6_WGII | 1,059 | 7 | AR5 found that climate change is a multiplier of existing health vulnerabilities, including food insecurity and limited access to safe water, improved sanitation, healthcare and education, and that the most effective measures to reduce vulnerability in the near term are programmes that implement and improve basic public health | very high | 3 | train |
4,722 | AR6_WGII | 1,059 | 8 | Opportunities for co-benefits from mitigation actions were identified through such actions as reducing local emissions of short-lived climate pollutants from energy systems (very high confidence) and expanding transport systems that promote active travel | high | 2 | train |
4,723 | AR6_WGII | 1,060 | 15 | Access to green spaces was also closely associated with well-being | high | 2 | train |
4,724 | AR6_WGII | 1,061 | 9 | The exposure to hazards of populations, infrastructure, ecosystem capital, socioeconomic systems and cultural assets critical to health and well-being varies considerably across and within regions | high | 2 | train |
4,725 | AR6_WGII | 1,069 | 5 | The most vulnerable groups include smallholder farmers, pastoralists, agricultural laborers, poorer households, refugees, indigenous groups, women, children, the elderly and those who are socioeconomically marginalised (FAO et al., 2018; IPCC, 2019b) | high | 2 | train |
4,726 | AR6_WGII | 1,070 | 5 | Observed Impacts of Climate Change on Health, Well-Being, Migration and Conflict 7.2.1 Observed Impacts on Health and Well-Being Eleven categories of diseases and health outcomes have been identified in this assessment as being climate-sensitive through direct pathways (e.g., heat and floods) and indirect pathways mediated through natural and human systems and economic and social disruptions (e.g., disease vectors, allergens, air and water pollution, and food system disruption) | high | 2 | train |
4,727 | AR6_WGII | 1,073 | 7 | Figure 7.5 illustrates how climatic and non-climatic drivers and responses determine VBD outcomes.Evidence has increased since AR5 that the vectorial capacity has increased for dengue fever, malaria and other mosquito-borne diseases and that higher global average temperatures are making wider geographic areas more suitable for transmission | very high | 3 | train |
4,728 | AR6_WGII | 1,073 | 8 | Transmission rates of malaria are directly influenced by climatic and weather variables such as temperature, with non-climatic socioeconomic factors and health system responses counteracting the climatic drivers | very high | 3 | train |
4,729 | AR6_WGII | 1,074 | 7 | Changing climatic patterns are facilitating the spread of CHIKV, Zika, Japanese encephalitis and Rift Valley Fever in Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe | high | 2 | train |
4,730 | AR6_WGII | 1,074 | 13 | Changes in temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity have been implicated as drivers of West Nile fever in southeastern Europe | medium | 1 | train |
4,731 | AR6_WGII | 1,074 | 16 | Climate change has contributed to the spread of the Lyme disease vector Ixodes scapularis, a corresponding increase in cases of Lyme disease in North America | high | 2 | train |
4,732 | AR6_WGII | 1,075 | 3 | Ixodes ricinus, the primary vector in Europe for both Lyme borreliosis and tick-borne encephalitis is sensitive to humidity and temperature (Daniel et al., 2018; Estrada- Peña and Fernández-Ruiz, 2020) | high | 2 | train |
4,733 | AR6_WGII | 1,075 | 14 | Since AR5 there is a growing body of evidence that increases in temperature (very high confidence), heavy rainfall (high confidence), flooding (medium confidence) and drought | low | 0 | train |
4,734 | AR6_WGII | 1,075 | 21 | Heavy rainfall and higher than normal temperatures are associated with increased cholera risk in affected regions | very high | 3 | train |
4,735 | AR6_WGII | 1,075 | 25 | Heavy rainfall, warmer weather and drought are linked to increased risks for other GI infections | high | 2 | train |
4,736 | AR6_WGII | 1,076 | 11 | A strong association exists between increases in FBDs and high air and water temperatures and longer summer seasons | very high | 3 | train |
4,737 | AR6_WGII | 1,077 | 2 | There is a strong association observed between the increase in average ambient temperature and increases in Salmonella infections | high | 2 | train |
4,738 | AR6_WGII | 1,077 | 6 | Significant associations exist between FBDs due to Campylobacter, precipitation and temperature | medium | 1 | train |
4,739 | AR6_WGII | 1,078 | 8 | COVID-19 and environmental connections Infectious diseases may emerge and spread through multiple climate-related avenues, including direct effects of climatic conditions on disease reproduction and transmission and various indirect effects, often interlinked with ecosystem degradation | high | 2 | train |
4,740 | AR6_WGII | 1,078 | 9 | Climate change is affecting the risk of emerging infectious diseases by contributing to factors that drive the movements of species, including vectors and reservoirs of diseases, into novel human populations and vice versa | high | 2 | train |
4,741 | AR6_WGII | 1,078 | 11 | Human-to-human transmission is the prominent driver in the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, rather than climatic drivers | high | 2 | train |
4,742 | AR6_WGII | 1,078 | 14 | The impact of COVID-19 containment measures resulted in a temporary reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and reduced air pollution | high | 2 | train |
4,743 | AR6_WGII | 1,079 | 7 | During the pandemic, extreme weather and climate events such as droughts, storms, floods, wildfires and heatwaves continued, resulting in disastrous compounding impacts | high | 2 | train |
4,744 | AR6_WGII | 1,079 | 12 | Responses and implications for adaptation and climate resilient development The pandemic emphasises the inter-connected and compound nature of risks, vulnerabilities and responses to emergencies that are simultaneously local and global | high | 2 | train |
4,745 | AR6_WGII | 1,080 | 1 | The management of the COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the value of scientific (including medical and epidemiological) expertise and the importance of fast, accurate and comprehensive data to inform policy decisions and to anticipate and manage risk | high | 2 | train |
4,746 | AR6_WGII | 1,080 | 9 | There is a considerable evidence base of specific actions that have co-benefits for reducing pandemic and climate change risks while enhancing social justice and biodiversity conservation | high | 2 | train |
4,747 | AR6_WGII | 1,080 | 13 | In particular, given their immense scale, COVID-19 recovery investments may offer an opportunity to contribute to climate resilient development pathways (CRDPs) through a green, resilient, healthy and inclusive recovery | high | 2 | train |
4,748 | AR6_WGII | 1,080 | 14 | However, windows of opportunity to enable such transitions are only open for a limited period and need to be swiftly acted upon to effect change | high | 2 | train |
4,749 | AR6_WGII | 1,080 | 17 | In addition, heightened societal and political attention to one crisis often comes at the cost of other policy priorities | high | 2 | train |
4,750 | AR6_WGII | 1,082 | 9 | Climate change affects the risk of CVD through high temperatures and extreme heat (assessed in Section 7.2.4.1) and through other mechanisms | medium | 1 | train |
4,751 | AR6_WGII | 1,082 | 19 | Several non-communicable respiratory diseases are climate sensitive based on their exposure pathways | very high | 3 | train |
4,752 | AR6_WGII | 1,082 | 21 | Burdens of allergic disease, particularly allergic rhinitis and allergic asthma may be changing in response to climate change | medium | 1 | train |
4,753 | AR6_WGII | 1,083 | 15 | People with chronic illnesses are at particular risk during and after extreme weather events due to treatment interruptions and lack of access to medication | medium | 1 | train |
4,754 | AR6_WGII | 1,083 | 23 | Heat continues to pose a significant health risk due to increases in exposure, changes in the size and spatial distribution of the human population, mounting vulnerability and an increase in extreme heat events | high | 2 | train |
4,755 | AR6_WGII | 1,083 | 24 | Some regions are already experiencing heat stress conditions approaching the upper limits of labour productivity and human survivability | high | 2 | train |
4,756 | AR6_WGII | 1,084 | 8 | Several lines of evidence point to a possible decrease in population sensitivity to heat, albeit mainly for high-income countries | high | 2 | train |
4,757 | AR6_WGII | 1,084 | 15 | Excess deaths during extreme heat events occur predominantly in older individuals and are overwhelmingly cardiovascular in origin | very high | 3 | train |
4,758 | AR6_WGII | 1,084 | 26 | Heat- and cold-related health outcomes vary by location (Dialesandro et al., 2021; Hu et al., 2019; Phung et al., 2016), suggesting outcomes are highly moderated by socioeconomic, occupational and other non-climatic determinants of individual health and socioeconomic vulnerability (Åström et al., 2020; McGregor et al., 2017; McGregor et al., 2017; Schuster et al., 2017; Benmarhnia et al., 2015; Watts et al., 2019) | high | 2 | train |
4,759 | AR6_WGII | 1,086 | 1 | It is as likely as not that climate change has increased the current burden of disease from injuries related to extreme weather, particularly in low- income settings | low | 0 | train |
4,760 | AR6_WGII | 1,087 | 2 | Consumption of mercury-contaminated fish has been found to be linked to neurological disorders due to methyl mercury poisoning (i.e., Minamata disease) that is associated with climate change-contaminant interactions that alter the bioaccumulation and biomagnification of toxic and fat-soluble persistent organic pollutants and polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) (Alava et al., 2017) in seafood and marine mammals | medium | 1 | train |
4,761 | AR6_WGII | 1,087 | 14 | There is an observable association between high temperatures and mental health decrements | high | 2 | train |
4,762 | AR6_WGII | 1,087 | 21 | Discrete climate hazards including storms (Kessler et al., 2008; Boscarino et al., 2013; Boscarino et al., 2017; Obradovich et al., 2018), floods (Baryshnikova and Pham, 2019), heatwaves, wildfires and drought (Hanigan et al., 2012; Carleton, 2017; Zhong et al., 2018; Charlson et al., 2021) have significant negative consequences for mental health | very high | 3 | train |
4,763 | AR6_WGII | 1,089 | 3 | Mental health impacts can emerge as result of climate impacts on economic, social and food systems | high | 2 | train |
4,764 | AR6_WGII | 1,089 | 9 | Anxiety about the potential risks of climate change and awareness of climate change itself can affect mental health even in the absence of direct impacts | low | 0 | test |
4,765 | AR6_WGII | 1,089 | 21 | Heat is one of the best-studied aspects of climate change observed to reduce well-being | high | 2 | train |
4,766 | AR6_WGII | 1,090 | 4 | Both heat and air pollution also impair human capabilities through a negative effect on cognitive performance (Taylor et al., 2016b) and even impair skills acquisition, reducing the ability to learn (Park et al., 2021) and affecting marginalised groups more strongly (Park et al., 2020), although findings are inconsistent and depend in part on the nature of the task | low | 0 | train |
4,767 | AR6_WGII | 1,090 | 5 | Systematic reviews have found an association between higher ambient levels of fine airborne particles with cognitive impairment in the elderly and with behavioural problems (related to impulsivity and attention problems) in children (Power et al., 2016; Yorifuji et al., 2017; Younan et al., 2018; Zhao et al., 2018b) | medium | 1 | train |
4,768 | AR6_WGII | 1,090 | 8 | A general theme across studies from all regions is that climate-related migration outcomes are diverse | high | 2 | train |
4,769 | AR6_WGII | 1,090 | 11 | The diversity of potential migration and displacement outcomes reflects (a) the variable nature of climate hazards in terms of the rate of onset, intensity, duration, spatial extent and severity of damage caused to housing, infrastructure and livelihoods and (b) the wide range of social, economic, cultural, political and other non-climatic factors that influence exposure, vulnerability, adaptation options and the contexts in which migration decisions are made (Neumann and Hermans, 2015; McLeman, 2017; Barnett and McMichael, 2018; Cattaneo et al., 2019; Hoffmann et al., 2020) | high | 2 | train |
4,770 | AR6_WGII | 1,090 | 12 | Weather events and climate conditions can act as direct drivers of migration and displacement (e.g., destruction of homes by tropical cyclones) and as indirect drivers (e.g., rural income losses and/or food insecurity due to heat- or drought-related crop failures that in turn generate new population movements) | high | 2 | train |
4,771 | AR6_WGII | 1,090 | 15 | The diversity of potential migration and displacement outcomes reflects the scale and physical impacts of specific climate hazard events and the wide range of social, economic, cultural, political and other non-climatic factors that influence exposure, vulnerability, adaptation options and the contexts in which migration decisions are made | high | 2 | train |
4,772 | AR6_WGII | 1,090 | 18 | Climate-related migration and displacement outcomes display high variability in terms of migrant success, often reflecting pre-existing socioeconomic conditions and household wealth | high | 2 | train |
4,773 | AR6_WGII | 1,091 | 3 | Climatic conditions, events and variability are important drivers of migration and displacement (high confidence) (Table MIGRATE.1 in Chapter 7), with migration responses to specific climate hazards being strongly influenced by economic, social, political and demographic processes | high | 2 | train |
4,774 | AR6_WGII | 1,091 | 5 | Involuntary displacement occurs when adaptation alternatives are exhausted or not viable and reflects non-climatic factors that constrain adaptive capacity and create high levels of exposure and vulnerability | high | 2 | train |
4,775 | AR6_WGII | 1,091 | 6 | There is strong evidence that climatic disruptions to agricultural and other rural livelihoods can generate migration | high | 2 | train |
4,776 | AR6_WGII | 1,091 | 7 | Specific climate events and conditions may cause migration to increase, decrease or flow in new directions | high | 2 | train |
4,777 | AR6_WGII | 1,091 | 9 | Most climate-related migration and displacement observed currently takes place within countries | high | 2 | train |
4,778 | AR6_WGII | 1,091 | 10 | The climate hazards most commonly associated with displacement are tropical cyclones and flooding in most regions, with droughts being an important driver in sub-Saharan Africa, parts of south Asia and South America | high | 2 | train |
4,779 | AR6_WGII | 1,091 | 14 | The additional impacts of climate change anticipated to generate future migration and displacement include mean sea level rise that increases flooding and saltwater contamination of soil and/or groundwater in low-lying coastal areas and small islands | high | 2 | train |
4,780 | AR6_WGII | 1,092 | 1 | There is growing evidence about the future prospects of immobile populations: groups and individuals that are unable or unwilling to move away from areas highly exposed to climatic hazards | high | 2 | train |
4,781 | AR6_WGII | 1,092 | 3 | Managed retreat and organised relocations of people from hazardous areas in recent years have proven to be politically and emotionally charged, socially disruptive and costly | high | 2 | train |
4,782 | AR6_WGII | 1,093 | 23 | Policy interventions can remove barriers to and expand the alternatives for safe, orderly and regular migration that allows vulnerable people to adapt to climate change | high | 2 | train |
4,783 | AR6_WGII | 1,094 | 6 | Reducing the future risk of large-scale population displacements, including those requiring active humanitarian interventions and organised relocations of people, requires the international community to meet the requirements of the Paris Agreement and take further action to control future warming | high | 2 | train |
4,784 | AR6_WGII | 1,094 | 10 | Populations in low-income countries and small-island states that have historically had low greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are at particular risk of involuntary migration and displacement due to climate change, reinforcing the urgency for industrialised countries to continue lowering GHG emissions, to support adaptive capacity-building initiatives under the UNFCCC and to meet objectives expressed in the Global Compacts regarding safe, orderly and regular migration and the support and accommodation of displaced people (Sections 4.3.7, 4.5.7, 5.12.2, 7.4.5.5, 8.4.2; Box 8.1; Cross-Chapter Box SLR in Chapter 3).Cross-Chapter Box MIGRATE (continued) Climate-related migration originates most often in rural areas in low- and middle-income countries, with migrant destinations usually being other rural areas or urban centres within their home countries (i.e., internal migration) | medium | 1 | train |
4,785 | AR6_WGII | 1,095 | 9 | Regional distribution of displacement events has been consistent throughout the IDMC data collection period | high | 2 | train |
4,786 | AR6_WGII | 1,095 | 10 | Relative to their absolute population size, small island states experience a disproportionate risk of climate-related population displacements (Desai et al., 2021) | high | 2 | train |
4,787 | AR6_WGII | 1,095 | 11 | Tropical cyclones and extreme storms are a particularly significant displacement risk in East and Southeast Asia, the Caribbean region, the Bay of Bengal region and southeast Africa (IDMC 2020) | high | 2 | train |
4,788 | AR6_WGII | 1,096 | 1 | Riverine flood displacement can lead to increases or decreases in temporary or short-distance migration flows, depending on the local context | medium | 1 | train |
4,789 | AR6_WGII | 1,096 | 10 | The most common response to drought is an increase in short-distance, rural–urban migration | medium | 1 | train |
4,790 | AR6_WGII | 1,097 | 10 | These latter may be attributable to a sense of loss or fear (Schwerdtle et al., 2018; Torres and Casey, 2017) as well as due to the interruption of healthcare; occupational injuries; sleep deprivation; non-hygienic lodgings and insufficient sanitary facilities; heightened exposure to vector- and WBDs; vulnerability to psychosocial, sexual and reproductive issues; behavioural disorders; substance abuse; and violence (Farhat et al., 2018; Wickramage et al., 2018) | high | 2 | train |
4,791 | AR6_WGII | 1,097 | 15 | The chapter concluded that some of the factors that increase the risk of violent conflict within states are sensitive to climate change (medium evidence, medium agreement), that people living in places affected by violent conflict are particularly vulnerable to climate change | medium | 1 | train |
4,792 | AR6_WGII | 1,101 | 10 | Under the high emissions scenario, climate change was projected to result in approximately 85 deaths equivalents per 100,000 population.Temperature increases are projected to exceed critical risk thresholds for six key climate-sensitive health outcomes, highlighting the criticality of building adaptive capacity in health systems and in other sectors that influence health and well-being | high | 2 | train |
4,793 | AR6_WGII | 1,102 | 4 | Population heat exposure will increase under climate change | very high | 3 | train |
4,794 | AR6_WGII | 1,102 | 10 | Further, for North America and Europe, where rural depopulation is projected, the predominant driver of increases in exposure is urban growth (Jones et al., 2018).Comparisons of heatwave exposure for 1.5°C and 2.0°C warming for different SSPs indicate strong geographical contrasts in potential heatwave risk | high | 2 | train |
4,795 | AR6_WGII | 1,102 | 16 | Regional level assessments of changes in population heat exposure for Africa, Europe, the USA, China and India corroborate general findings at the global level, that the impact of warming is amplified under divergent regional development pathways (e.g., SSP4 – inequality) compared to those fostering sustainable development (e.g., SSP1 – sustainability) | high | 2 | train |
4,796 | AR6_WGII | 1,102 | 17 | For some regions, such as Europe, changes in exposure are projected to be largely a consequence of climate change, while for others, such as Africa and to a lesser extent Asia, Oceania, North America and South America, the interactive effects of demographic and climate change are projected to be important (Jones et al., 2018; Liu et al., 2017; Russo et al., 2016; Ma and Yuan, 2021) | medium | 1 | train |
4,797 | AR6_WGII | 1,103 | 1 | Estimates of heat-related mortality based solely on changes in temperature point to elevated levels of global and regional level mortality compared to the present, with the magnitude of this increasing from RCP4.5 through to RCP8.5 | high | 2 | train |
4,798 | AR6_WGII | 1,103 | 2 | Further support comes from the projection that heat-related health impacts for a 2°C increase in global temperatures will be greater than those for 1.5°C warming | very high | 3 | train |
4,799 | AR6_WGII | 1,103 | 3 | Estimates of future mortality that incorporate adaptation in addition to temperature change point to increases in heat-related mortality under global warming, albeit at lower levels than the case of no adaptation | high | 2 | train |
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