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4,200
AR6_WGII
638
6
However, residual risks will remain, especially at higher levels of warming
medium
1
train
4,201
AR6_WGII
638
10
WaSH interventions have been demonstrated to reduce diarrhoea risk by 25–75% depending on the specific intervention (Wolf et al., 2018)
high
2
train
4,202
AR6_WGII
638
11
Conversely, inadequate WaSH is associated with an estimated annual loss of 50 million daily adjusted life years (Prüss-Ustün et al., 2019), of which 89% of deaths are due to diarrhoea, and 8% of deaths from acute respiratory infections (Chapter 7 WGII 7.3.2), making universal access to WaSH (i.e., achievement of SDG 6.1, 6.2) a critical adaptation strategy
high
2
train
4,203
AR6_WGII
638
16
Improved integrated (urban) water resources management (Kirshen et al., 2018; Tosun and Leopold, 2019) and governance (Chu, 2017; Miller et al., 2020) and enhanced ecosystem management (Adhikari et al., 2018b) lead to policies and regulations that reduce water insecurity and, when developed appropriately, reduce inequities
medium
1
train
4,204
AR6_WGII
638
17
Supply (source) augmentation, including dams, storage and rainwater/fog harvesting, can increase the supply or reliability of water for drinking, sanitation and hygiene (DeNicola et al., 2015; Pearson et al., 2015; Majuru et al., 2016; Poudel and Duex, 2017; Lucier and Qadir, 2018; Goodrich et al., 2019)
high
2
train
4,205
AR6_WGII
638
22
Demand for water can be decreased through reductions in water loss from the system (e.g., pipe leakage) (Orlove et al., 2019) and water conservation measures (Duran-Encalada et al., 2017)
medium
1
train
4,206
AR6_WGII
639
22
Further analyses of co-benefits, particularly employing a gender lens, are required to improve adaptation strategies (McIver et al., 2016).In summary, ensuring access to climate-resilient WaSH infrastructure and practices represents a key adaptation strategy that can protect beneficiaries against water-related diseases induced by climate change
high
2
train
4,207
AR6_WGII
639
23
Better management of water resources, supply augmentation and demand management are important adaptation strategies
high
2
train
4,208
AR6_WGII
640
15
In summary, although water-related adaptation is underway in the urban, peri-urban and municipal sectors of some nations, governance, technical and economic barriers remain in implementing locally informed strategies, particularly in developing countries (high confidence).4.6.6 Adaptation for Communities Dependent on Freshwater Ecosystems AR5 concluded that some adaptation responses in the urban and agricultural sectors could negatively impact freshwater ecosystems
medium
1
train
4,209
AR6_WGII
640
17
These have been implemented in many locations around the world, yet, challenges remain, including improving the evidence base of their effectiveness, scaling up of these interventions, mainstreaming across sectors and receiving more adaptation finance
medium
1
train
4,210
AR6_WGII
640
25
These measures also require further financial support, mainstreaming across sectors and the scaling up of individual measures
medium
1
train
4,211
AR6_WGII
640
27
However, challenges remain, including improving the evidence base of their effectiveness, scaling up these interventions, mainstreaming across sectors and receiving more adaptation finance
medium
1
train
4,212
AR6_WGII
643
11
At the urban and peri-urban scale, the use and effectiveness of NbS is a crucial feature to build resilience in cities for urban stormwater management and heat mitigation (Depietri and McPhearson, 2017; Carter et al., 2018; Huang et al., 2020; Babí Almenar et al., 2021)
high
2
train
4,213
AR6_WGII
643
20
Moreover, several NbS– —for example, natural (blue and green) and grey infrastructure—can help address water-related hazards such as coastal hazards, heavy precipitation, drought, erosion and low water quality
high
2
train
4,214
AR6_WGII
644
4
Vulnerable populations exposed to hydrological changes may become trapped due to a lack of economic and social capital required for migration (Adams, 2016; Zickgraf, 2018)
medium
1
train
4,215
AR6_WGII
644
7
Migration has increased vulnerability among women and female-headed households (Patel and Giri, 2019), but has also triggered gender-positive processes such as increased female school enrolment (Gioli et al., 2014)
medium
1
train
4,216
AR6_WGII
644
8
Remittances, that is, transfers of money from migrants to beneficiaries in sending areas, may reduce vulnerability and increase adaptive capacity to climate-induced hydrological changes (Ng’ang’a et al., 2016; Jha et al., 2018b)
medium
1
train
4,217
AR6_WGII
644
11
However, they often fail to include affected populations in the process and may lead to greater impoverishment and increased vulnerability (Wilmsen and Webber, 2015)
medium
1
train
4,218
AR6_WGII
644
14
In summary, measures that facilitate successful migration and inclusive resettlement may facilitate adaptation to climate-induced hydrological changes
medium
1
train
4,219
AR6_WGII
644
28
However, relocation can be culturally, socially, financially, politically and geographically constrained due to the importance of cultural relationships with traditional, customary or ancestral lands
high
2
train
4,220
AR6_WGII
645
6
In sum, although some Indigenous Peoples, local communities and traditional peoples can adapt, and are adapting to climate-driven hydrological changes, and their impacts on and risks to culturally significant practices and beliefs (medium confidence), these strategies are constrained by structural barriers and adaptation limits
high
2
train
4,221
AR6_WGII
646
26
Most of these adaptation case studies are from Asia and Africa, and agriculture is the predominant sector where most of these adaptation responses are being implemented
high
2
train
4,222
AR6_WGII
646
28
Agriculture is the most important sector in all continents, except Europe and Australasia, where most adaptation occurs in the urban sector
high
2
train
4,223
AR6_WGII
648
6
These top four responses provide several benefits such as higher incomes and yields, better water use efficiencies and related outcomes
high
2
train
4,224
AR6_WGII
648
9
Responses such as migration, including spontaneous and planned relocation, are also relatively well documented (medium confidence), as are responses such as collective action, training and capacity building and economic and financial measures for increasing adaptive capacities
medium
1
train
4,225
AR6_WGII
654
16
In developing countries, most adaptation measures improve economic outcomes
high
2
train
4,226
AR6_WGII
654
17
Adaptation responses also have benefits in terms of water outcomes and environmental and ecological parameters, and these benefits are more commonly manifested in developed countries
high
2
train
4,227
AR6_WGII
654
18
Of the papers assessed for water-related adaptation, roughly one fourth reported adaptation co-benefits
high
2
train
4,228
AR6_WGII
654
19
In contrast, one third of studies reported maladaptive outcomes, now or in the future
high
2
train
4,229
AR6_WGII
654
20
Despite many adaptation case studies, there is a knowledge gap in understanding if the benefits of adaptation also translate into a reduction of climate impacts, and if so, to what extent, and under what conditions
high
2
train
4,230
AR6_WGII
656
19
Results show a range of effectiveness levels across regions and warming levels and vary depending on the tested response options (Qin et al., 2018) (Figure 4.29), with moderate to small effectiveness, large residual impacts or potential maladaptive outcomes, as well as decreasing effectiveness with increasing warming (Figure 4.28)
high
2
train
4,231
AR6_WGII
656
28
For all regions, a reduction in effectiveness is apparent from 1.5°C to higher levels of warming, leading to increased residual risk with increasing warming
high
2
train
4,232
AR6_WGII
656
29
Irrigation can increase yield relative to present day, showing co-benefits for some regions, though the share of co-benefits decreases with higher warming
high
2
train
4,233
AR6_WGII
658
22
Adaptation generally performs more effectively at 1.5°C, though residual damages are projected at this warming level across sectors and regions
high
2
train
4,234
AR6_WGII
660
8
Reduction in the effectiveness of future adaptation at higher global warming levels emphasises the need for limiting warming to 1.5°C, as space for adaptation solution starts to shrink beyond that for most options for which future projections exists
high
2
train
4,235
AR6_WGII
660
10
First, the nature of literature on current adaptation makes it challenging to infer their effectiveness in reducing climate risks, even though the benefits of adaptation are clear
high
2
train
4,236
AR6_WGII
660
15
SR1.5 also shows that water-related risks can be reduced substantially by limiting warming to 1.5°C
high
2
train
4,237
AR6_WGII
660
17
The SRCCL further highlighted the critical importance of water-related climate change adaptation and potential limits to adaptation in the land sector when extreme forms of desertification lead to a complete loss of land productivity
high
2
train
4,238
AR6_WGII
660
18
Institutional constraints, including path dependency and lengthy decision- making processes, remain major limitations to successful adaptation globally
high
2
train
4,239
AR6_WGII
661
12
Water-related impacts that occurred despite implemented adaptation have been documented across all world regions
high
2
test
4,240
AR6_WGII
663
4
In summary, institutional constraints (governance, institutions, policy), including path dependency and financial and information constraints, are the main challenge to adaptation implementation in the water sector
high
2
train
4,241
AR6_WGII
663
5
Water-related losses and damages that manifest despite or beyond implemented adaptation have been observed across world regions, primarily for exposed and vulnerable communities
high
2
train
4,242
AR6_WGII
663
20
So, while there is general agreement about negative impacts on GDP due to water-related risks in the future, the magnitude of GDP loss estimates varies substantially and depends on various model assumptions
high
2
train
4,243
AR6_WGII
664
1
In summary, climate change impacts on water resources are projected to lower GDP in many low-and middle-income countries without adequate adaptation measures
high
2
train
4,244
AR6_WGII
664
4
Still, more work needs to be done on actual benefits and costs of adaptation strategies and residual impacts and risks of delaying adaptation action
medium
1
train
4,245
AR6_WGII
664
5
In addition, better evidence on the costs and benefits of low-regret solutions, such as water pricing, increasing water use efficiency through technology and service improvements, and enhanced support for autonomous adaptation, is also needed for informed decision-making
high
2
train
4,246
AR6_WGII
664
8
Different mitigation pathways can either increase or decrease water withdrawals or water consumption (or both, or either) depending on the specific combination of mitigation technologies deployed
high
2
train
4,247
AR6_WGII
665
14
Some DAC technologies that include solid sorbents also produce water as a by-product, but not in quantities that can offset total water losses (Beuttler et al., 2019; Fasihi et al., 2019)
medium
1
train
4,248
AR6_WGII
665
16
Results from a simulation study on retrofitting coal- fired power plants built after 2000 with carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies show an increase in global water consumption, currently at 9.66 km3 yr–1, by 31–50% (to 12.66 km3 yr–1 and 14.47 km3 yr–1, respectively) depending on the cooling and CCS technology deployed, and hence are best deployed in locations which are not water scarce (Rosa et al., 2020c)
medium
1
train
4,249
AR6_WGII
665
18
Carbon can be ‘scrubbed’ from thermoelectric power plant emissions and injected for storage in deep geological strata (Turner et al., 2018), but this can lead to pollution of deep aquifers (Chen et al., 2021) and have health consequences
low
0
train
4,250
AR6_WGII
665
32
Overall, extensive BECCS and afforestation/reforestation deployment can alter the water cycle at regional scales
high
2
train
4,251
AR6_WGII
666
2
Many mitigation measures have a considerable water footprint
high
2
train
4,252
AR6_WGII
666
34
The effectiveness of technology in reducing climate-related risks depends on its appropriateness to the local context (Biagini et al., 2014; Mfitumukiza et al., 2020) and other factors, including institutional and governance frameworks
high
2
train
4,253
AR6_WGII
667
2
Water-related technologies can also have adverse distributional outcomes when gains from technology adoption accrue disproportionately to a small section of the population; for example, only rich and male farmers can adopt high-cost technologies like solar irrigation pumps (Gupta, 2019)
medium
1
test
4,254
AR6_WGII
667
14
Such financing focuses on returns and scale (Cholibois, 2020), and as such, local needs, especially those of the poor, may not be adequately represented (Manuamorn et al., 2020; Williams, 2020)
medium
1
test
4,255
AR6_WGII
667
19
In summary, water garners a significant share of public and private adaptation funds
high
2
train
4,256
AR6_WGII
667
31
The necessity of water collection takes away time from income-generating activities and education
high
2
train
4,257
AR6_WGII
668
8
Hence, a lack of gender-sensitive analysis before implementing water management projects can lead to maladaptation and increase gender vulnerability (Phan et al., 2019; Eriksen et al., 2021)
high
2
train
4,258
AR6_WGII
668
17
SRCCL found that IKLK contribute to enhancing resilience against climate change and combating desertification
medium
1
train
4,259
AR6_WGII
668
25
Community-led actions and restoration measures are helping to ameliorate climate impacts and provide ‘safe havens’ to affected freshwater species
high
2
train
4,260
AR6_WGII
668
29
Community-led applications of IKLK in conjunction with external knowledge and funding can improve water security
high
2
train
4,261
AR6_WGII
669
7
In summary, IKLK are dynamic and have developed over time to adapt to climate and environmental change in culturally specific and place-based ways
high
2
train
4,262
AR6_WGII
669
13
Effective participation of these actors in climate change adaptation planning in the water sector can contribute to more just adaptation actions
high
2
train
4,263
AR6_WGII
669
28
Therefore, the legitimacy of the decisions taken by multiple decision-makers at different levels of water governance derives from the perceived fairness of the decision-making process (Baldwin et al., 2018) and the inclusion of women, Indigenous Peoples and young people (Iza, 2019)
medium
1
train
4,264
AR6_WGII
670
1
Polycentric governance systems require cross- scale information sharing, coordination and democratic participation to work appropriately (Pahl-Wostl and Knieper, 2014; Carlisle and Gruby, 2017; Morrison et al., 2017; Biesbroek and Lesnikowski, 2018; Frey et al., 2021)
high
2
test
4,265
AR6_WGII
670
4
These, in turn, can produce better environmental outcomes and improve water governance outcomes
high
2
train
4,266
AR6_WGII
670
8
For instance, historical inequities and injustices due to settler colonialism and top-down water policies, governance and laws (Collins et al., 2017; Arsenault et al., 2018; Johnson et al., 2018; Robison et al., 2018) have resulted in long-term water insecurity in many indigenous communities in North America (Simms et al., 2016; Medeiros et al., 2017; Conroy-Ben and Richard, 2018; Diver, 2018; Emanuel, 2018)
high
2
train
4,267
AR6_WGII
670
12
In summary, polycentric governance can enable improved water governance and effective climate change adaptation
medium
1
train
4,268
AR6_WGII
670
13
However, it can also exacerbate existing inequalities as long as less powerful actors, such as women, Indigenous Peoples and young people, are not adequately involved in the decision-making process
high
2
train
4,269
AR6_WGII
670
30
Evidence suggests that adaptation failure in the water sector is due to policy and regulatory failures (Keohane and Victor, 2016; Oberlack and Eisenack, 2018; Javeline et al., 2019), reflecting political myopia (Muller, 2018; Empinotti et al., 2019; Pralle, 2019)
high
2
train
4,270
AR6_WGII
670
31
International donors and supranational/transnational legislation (e.g., EU law) can support the capacity of national and sub-national governments to act and remove possible barriers to the effective implementation of climate change adaptation policies in the water sector, including obstacles posed due to lack of financial support for the developing countries (Massey et al., 2014; Tilleard and Ford, 2016; Biesbroek et al., 2018; Rahman and Tosun, 2018)
medium
1
train
4,271
AR6_WGII
728
1
Human-induced warming has slowed growth of agricultural productivity over the past 50 years in mid and low latitudes
medium
1
train
4,272
AR6_WGII
728
2
Crop yields are compromised by surface ozone
high
2
train
4,273
AR6_WGII
728
3
Methane emissions have negatively impacted crop yields by increasing temperatures and surface ozone concentrations
medium
1
train
4,274
AR6_WGII
728
4
Warming is negatively affecting crop and grassland quality and harvest stability
high
2
train
4,275
AR6_WGII
728
5
Warmer and drier conditions have increased tree mortality and forest disturbances in many temperate and boreal biomes (high confidence), negatively impacting provisioning services
medium
1
train
4,276
AR6_WGII
728
6
Ocean warming has decreased sustainable yields of some wild fish populations
high
2
train
4,277
AR6_WGII
728
7
Ocean acidification and warming have already affected farmed aquatic species
high
2
train
4,278
AR6_WGII
728
10
At higher latitudes, warming has expanded potential area but has also altered phenology (high confidence), potentially causing plant–pollinator and pest mismatches
medium
1
train
4,279
AR6_WGII
728
11
At low latitude, temperatures have crossed upper tolerance thresholds, more frequently leading to heat stress
high
2
train
4,280
AR6_WGII
728
14
Droughts, floods and marine heatwaves contribute to reduced food availability and increased food prices, threatening food security, nutrition and livelihoods of millions
high
2
train
4,281
AR6_WGII
728
15
Droughts induced by the 2015–2016 El Niño, partially attributable to human influences (medium confidence), caused acute food insecurity in various regions, including eastern and southern Africa and the dry corridor of Central America
high
2
train
4,282
AR6_WGII
728
16
In the northeast Pacific, a recent 5-year warm period impacted the migration, distribution and abundance of key fish resources
high
2
train
4,283
AR6_WGII
728
27
Increasing competition for land, energy and water exacerbates impacts of climate change on food security
high
2
train
4,284
AR6_WGII
728
29
Current global crop and livestock areas will increasingly become climatically unsuitable under a high- emission scenario
high
2
train
4,285
AR6_WGII
728
30
Increased, potentially concurrent climate extremes will periodically increase simultaneous losses in major food-producing regions
medium
1
train
4,286
AR6_WGII
728
32
Climate change will increase the number of people at risk of hunger in mid-century, concentrated in Sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia and Central America
high
2
train
4,287
AR6_WGII
728
33
Increased CO 2 concentrations will reduce nutrient density of some crops
high
2
train
4,288
AR6_WGII
728
36
The number of days with climatically stressful conditions for outdoor workers will increase by up to 250 workdays per year by century’s end in some parts of South Asia, tropical sub-Saharan Africa and parts of Central and South America under Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) 5-8.5, with negative consequences such as reduced food productivity, higher costs and prices
medium
1
train
4,289
AR6_WGII
729
1
Meat and milk productivity will be reduced
medium
1
train
4,290
AR6_WGII
729
3
Climate change will reduce the effectiveness of pollinator agents as species are lost from certain areas, or the coordination of pollinator activity and flower receptiveness is disrupted in some regions
high
2
train
4,291
AR6_WGII
729
4
Greenhouse-gas emissions will negatively impact air, soil and water quality, exacerbating direct climatic impacts on yields
high
2
train
4,292
AR6_WGII
729
6
Climate change will reduce marine fisheries and aquaculture productivity, altering the species that will be fished or cultured, and reducing aquaculture habitat in tropical and subtropical areas
high
2
train
4,293
AR6_WGII
729
7
Global ocean animal biomass will decrease by 5–17% under RCP2.6 and 8.5, respectively, from 1970 to 2100 with an average decline of 5% for every 1°C of warming, affecting food provisioning, revenue value and distribution
medium
1
train
4,294
AR6_WGII
729
8
Global marine aquaculture will decline under warming and acidification from 2020 to 2100, with potential short-term gains for temperate finfish and overall negative impacts on bivalve aquaculture from habitat reduction (50–100% for some countries in the Northern Hemisphere)
medium
1
train
4,295
AR6_WGII
729
9
Changes in precipitation, sea level, temperature and extreme climate events will affect food provisioning from inland and coastal aquatic systems
high
2
train
4,296
AR6_WGII
729
10
Sea level rise and altered precipitation will increase coastal inundation and water conflicts between water-dependent sectors, such as rice production, direct human use and hydropower
medium
1
train
4,297
AR6_WGII
729
15
In temperate and boreal regions, some productivity gains are projected, but tree mortality will increase in some areas
high
2
train
4,298
AR6_WGII
729
16
In tropical forests, change in species composition and forest structure will lower production
medium
1
train
4,299
AR6_WGII
729
17
Some models project a possible increase in global wood supply and lowering of average wood prices, but they do not account for the negative impacts of extreme events and thus possibly overestimate the wood supply
medium
1
train