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7,100
AR6_WGII
2,699
1
Central to this framing is a shift away from viewing adaptation as discrete sets of options that are selected and implemented to manage risk, to thinking about adaptation as a social process that evolves over time, includes multiple decision points, and requires dynamic adjustments in response to new information about climate risk, socioeconomic conditions and the value of potential adaptation responses
very high
3
train
7,101
AR6_WGII
2,699
3
While ensuring development and adaptation produce synergies that allow for the achievement of sustainable development is challenging, modelling exercises suggest that there are pathways where synergies among the SDGs are realised
very high
3
train
7,102
AR6_WGII
2,699
22
Synergies between adaptation, mitigation and sustainable development might be promoted by prioritising those CRD strategies most likely to generate synergies
very high
3
test
7,103
AR6_WGII
2,699
24
Similarly, trade- offs might be managed by prioritising strategies such as disqualifying mitigation options thought to have negative social implications (Section 18.2.5.3.1), internalising externalities, such as placing a fee or constraint on a negative externality or related activity (Dubash et al., 2022) (Bistline and Rose, 2018), or using complementary policies, such as transfer payments to offset negative mitigation, adaptation or sustainable development strategy implications
very high
3
train
7,104
AR6_WGII
2,700
9
Globally, low climate change projections, versus higher climate change projections, imply greater mitigation, lower climate risks and less adaptation. This implies greater mitigation trade-offs in terms of overall economic development, food crop prices, energy prices and overall household consumption, but lower climate risk, with sustainable development synergies such as human health and lower adaptation trade-offs, and an uneven distribution of effects
very high
3
test
7,105
AR6_WGII
2,700
29
Prioritising sustainable development locally is also supported by the insight that the impacts on poverty depend at least as much or more on development than on the level of climate change
very high
3
train
7,106
AR6_WGII
2,701
2
In the climate change solution space, system transitions represent an important mechanism for linking and enabling mitigation, adaptation and sustainable development options and actions
very high
3
train
7,107
AR6_WGII
2,701
12
This growth in demand, however, has been moderated by improvements in energy efficiency in industry, buildings and transportation sectors
very high
3
train
7,108
AR6_WGII
2,701
14
Features of sustainable development, such as enhanced energy access, energy security, reductions in air pollution and economic growth, continue to be the dominant influence on the evolution of energy systems and decision making regarding energy investments and portfolios
very high
3
train
7,109
AR6_WGII
2,701
16
Yet there are examples at the local, regional and national level of policy incentivising rapid changes in energy systems
very high
3
train
7,110
AR6_WGII
2,701
17
Many sustainable development priorities have co-benefits in terms of climate mitigation, such as air pollution and conservation policies reducing short-lived climate forcers and sequestering carbon respectively, as well adaptation benefits, such as improved energy access and environmental quality enhancing adaptive capacity
very high
3
train
7,111
AR6_WGII
2,701
24
Energy systems have been a historical driver of climate change, but are also adversely affected by climate change impacts, including short- term shocks and stressors from extreme weather as well as long-term shifts in climatic conditions
very high
3
train
7,112
AR6_WGII
2,702
1
Available literature indicates that greenhouse gas emissions reductions have been achieved in response to climate actions including financial incentives to promote renewable energy, carbon taxes and emissions trading, removal of fossil fuel subsidies, and promotion of energy efficiency standards
very high
3
train
7,113
AR6_WGII
2,703
1
Rather, urban areas are increasingly conceptualised as complex socio-ecological or socio- technical systems
very high
3
train
7,114
AR6_WGII
2,703
3
Urban transitions will be associated with synergies as well as trade-offs with respect to sustainable development
very high
3
test
7,115
AR6_WGII
2,709
25
Accordingly, significant acceleration in the pace of system transitions is necessary to enable the implementation of mitigation, adaptation and sustainable development initiatives consistent with CRD
very high
3
train
7,116
AR6_WGII
2,711
1
Contributing Authors: Seema Arora-Jonsson (Sweden/India), Emily Baker (USA), Graeme Dean (Ireland), Emily Hillenbrand (USA), Alison Irvine (Canada), Farjana Islam (Bangladesh/ UK), Katriona McGlade (UK/Germany), Hanson Nyantakyi-Frimpong (Ghana), Nitya Rao (UK/India), Federica Ravera (Italy), Emilia Reyes (Mexico), Diana Hinge Salili (Fiji), Corinne Schuster-Wallace (Canada), Alcade C. Segnon (Benin), Divya Solomon (India), Shreya Some (India), Indrakshi Tandon (India), Sumit Vij (India), Katharine Vincent (UK/South Africa), Margreet Zwarteveen (the Netherlands) Key Messages • Gender and other social inequities (e.g., racial, ethnic, age, income, geographic location) compound vulnerability to climate change impacts
high
2
train
7,117
AR6_WGII
2,711
8
Efforts are needed to change unequal power dynamics and to foster inclusive decision making for climate adaptation to have a positive impact for gender equality
high
2
train
7,118
AR6_WGII
2,712
8
Climate change is reducing the quantity and quality of safe water available in many regions of the world and increasing domestic water management responsibilities
high
2
train
7,119
AR6_WGII
2,712
10
Water insecurity and the lack of water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) infrastructure have resulted in psychosocial distress and gender-based violence, as well as poor maternal and child health and nutrition (Collins et al., 2019a; Wilson et al., 2019; Geere and Hunter, 2020; Islam et al., 2020; Mainali et al., 2020) (Sections 4.3.3 and 4.6.4.4)
high
2
train
7,120
AR6_WGII
2,712
15
Increased domestic responsibilities of women and youth, due to migration of men, can increase their vulnerability due to their reduced capacity for investment in off-farm activities and reduced access to information (Sugden et al., 2014; O’Neil et al., 2017) (Sections 4.3, 4.6)
high
2
train
7,121
AR6_WGII
2,712
20
In most regions where there are climate change policies that consider gender, they inadequately address structural inequalities resulting from climate change impacts, or how gender and other social inequalities can compound risk
high
2
train
7,122
AR6_WGII
2,713
6
However, attention to the following has the potential to bring about change: Creation of new, deliberative policymaking spaces that support inclusive decision making processes and opportunities to (re)negotiate pervasive gender and other social inequalities in the context of climate change for transformation (Tschakert et al., 2016; Harris et al., 2018; Ziervogel, 2019; Garcia et al., 2020)
high
2
train
7,123
AR6_WGII
2,713
7
Increased access to reproductive health and family planning services, which contributes to climate change resilience and socioeconomic development through improved health and well-being of women and their children, including increased access to education, gender equity and economic status (Onarheim et al., 2016; Starbird et al., 2016; Lopez-Carr, 2017; Hardee et al., 2018) (Section 7.4)
high
2
train
7,124
AR6_WGII
2,713
14
Strengthened adaptive capacity and resilience through integrated approaches to adaptation that include social protection measures, disaster risk management and ecosystem-based climate change adaptation
high
2
train
7,125
AR6_WGII
2,713
15
For example, gender-transformative and nutrition-sensitive agroecological approaches strengthen adaptive capacities and enable more resilient food systems by increasing leadership for women and their participation in decision making and a gender-equitable domestic work
high
2
train
7,126
AR6_WGII
2,716
13
The agency of people to act on CRD is grounded in their worldviews, beliefs, values and consciousness (Woiwode, 2020), and is shaped through social and political processes including how policies and decision making recognise the voices, knowledges and rights of particular actors over others
very high
3
train
7,127
AR6_WGII
2,717
10
Given these insights, CRD can be understood as the sum of complex multi-dimensional processes consisting of large numbers of actions and societal choices made by multiple actors from government, the private sector and civil society, with important influences by science and the media
very high
3
train
7,128
AR6_WGII
2,718
7
However, the pursuit of a given NDC within a specific country will likely necessitate a range of other policy interventions that have more immediate impact on technologies and behaviour, implicating transitions in energy, industry, land and infrastructure
very high
3
train
7,129
AR6_WGII
2,718
10
As reflected by the SDGs (and SDG 13 specifically), the mainstreaming of climate change concerns into development policies is one mechanism for pursuing sustainable development and CRD
very high
3
train
7,130
AR6_WGII
2,718
18
As a consequence, the characteristics of economic systems will play an important role in determining their resilience
very high
3
train
7,131
AR6_WGII
2,718
23
Addressing climate impacts in isolation is unlikely to achieve equitable, efficient or effective adaptation outcomes
very high
3
test
7,132
AR6_WGII
2,718
26
Although higher levels of poverty, corruption, and economic and social inequalities can increase the risk of negative outcomes, these potential negative effects would be mitigated if inequality impacts were taken into consideration in all stages of policy making
very high
3
test
7,133
AR6_WGII
2,719
4
These gains can provide more resource-efficient production technologies and positively affect economic competitiveness
very high
3
train
7,134
AR6_WGII
2,719
21
Financial actors increasingly recognise that the generation of long-term, sustainable financial returns is dependent on stable, well-functioning and well-governed social, environmental and economic systems
very high
3
train
7,135
AR6_WGII
2,719
29
Stable and predictable carbon-pricing regimes would significantly contribute to fostering financial innovation that can help further accelerate the decarbonisation of the global economy, even in jurisdictions which are more lenient in implementing climate mitigation actions
very high
3
test
7,136
AR6_WGII
2,720
8
As a consequence, they and can become a significant barrier to change, whether incremental or more transformational
very high
3
train
7,137
AR6_WGII
2,720
12
There is agreement in this literature that such an approach allows for the effective integration of climate challenges into existing policy and planning processes
very high
3
train
7,138
AR6_WGII
2,720
21
However, access to, and the benefits of, that innovation have not been evenly distributed among global regions and communities, and continued innovation is needed to facilitate climate action and sustainable development
very high
3
train
7,139
AR6_WGII
2,721
35
The need to assess resilience and adaptation against a background of evolving climate hazards, and to link resilience and adaptation with development outcomes, present further methodological challenges (very high confidence) (Brooks et al., 2014).Currently, the ability to monitor different components of CRD are in various stages of maturity
very high
3
train
7,140
AR6_WGII
2,722
3
This allows measurement of key indicators that are proxies for resilience at regular intervals, even in the absence of significant climate hazards and associated disruptions
very high
3
train
7,141
AR6_WGII
2,722
28
Alternatively, they can also serve as significant barriers to system transitions and transformation, based on anthropocentric, mechanistic and materialistic worldviews and the utilitarian, individualist or skeptical values and attitudes they often promote
very high
3
train
7,142
AR6_WGII
2,723
7
On the other hand, the tendency for certain worldviews to dominate the policy discourse has the potential to exacerbate social, economic and political inequities as well as ontological, epistemic and procedural injustices
very high
3
train
7,143
AR6_WGII
2,724
4
Yet these knowledge systems represent a range of cultural practices, wisdom, traditions and ways of knowing the world that provide accurate and useful climate change information, observations and solutions
very high
3
train
7,144
AR6_WGII
2,724
20
Instead, Indigenous knowledge and local knowledge can shape how climate change risk is understood and experienced, the possibility of developing climate change solutions grounded in place-based experiences, and the development of governance systems that match the expectations of different Indigenous knowledge and local knowledge holders
very high
3
train
7,145
AR6_WGII
2,725
5
Supporting Indigenous Peoples’ leadership and rights in climate adaptation options at the local, regional, national and international levels is an effective way to ensure that such options are adapted to their living conditions and do not pose additional detrimental impacts to their lives
very high
3
train
7,146
AR6_WGII
2,725
8
Climate-resilient futures will depend on recognising the socioeconomic, political and health inequities that often affect Indigenous Peoples (Mapfumo et al., 2016; Ludwig and Poliseli, 2018)
very high
3
test
7,147
AR6_WGII
2,725
16
Adaptation efforts have benefited from the inclusion of Indigenous knowledge and local knowledge (IPCC, 2019e)
very high
3
train
7,148
AR6_WGII
2,725
17
Moreover, it has been recognised that including Indigenous knowledge and local knowledge in IPCC reports can contribute to overcoming the combined challenges of climate change, food security, biodiversity conservation, and combating desertification and land degradation (IPCC, 2019c)
high
2
train
7,149
AR6_WGII
2,727
17
More integration of government policy and interventions across scales, accompanied by capacity building to accelerate adaptation is needed
very high
3
test
7,150
AR6_WGII
2,727
26
However, the resource limitations of local governments as well as their small geographic sphere of influence suggests the need for more funding for this from higher levels of government, particularly national governments, to address adaptation gaps
very high
3
train
7,151
AR6_WGII
2,728
10
Wealthy nations of the Global North, including for example the USA, Great Britain, Iceland and Japan, have had success over the past decade in reducing their GHG emissions while growing their economies
very high
3
train
7,152
AR6_WGII
2,728
15
While GDP growth can drive growth in income, it can also drive growth in inequality which can undermine poverty reduction efforts
very high
3
test
7,153
AR6_WGII
2,729
1
Nevertheless, consistent with earlier assessment of enabling conditions for system transitions (Section 18.4.2.1), implementation of Blue Growth initiatives is contingent upon the successful achievement of social innovation as well as creating an inclusive and cooperative governance structure
very high
3
train
7,154
AR6_WGII
2,729
13
However, while scientific and technology knowledge may be useful, in some cases, they remain subordinate to political agendas, or are controlled by actors in positions of power and thus not equitably distributed
very high
3
train
7,155
AR6_WGII
2,729
20
Realising the benefits of STI, however, may be contingent on building broader STI capacity and bolstering nations’ systems of innovation
very high
3
train
7,156
AR6_WGII
2,731
11
Since AR5, both formal and informal setting are increasingly arenas of debate and contestation regarding development choices and pathways
very high
3
train
7,157
AR6_WGII
2,731
24
Social movements are demanding radical action as the only option to achieve the mobilisation necessary for deep societal transformation
very high
3
train
7,158
AR6_WGII
2,732
2
Research shows that new climate movements have increased public awareness, and also stimulated unprecedented public engagement with climate change
very high
3
train
7,159
AR6_WGII
2,732
26
The WGI data also indicate that increases in globally averaged temperatures will have different consequences for regional climate change (Table 18.4), including variation in the magnitude and, for precipitation, even the direction of change
very high
3
train
7,160
AR6_WGII
2,733
3
Given outcomes in many systems including public health, agriculture, ecosystems and biodiversity, and infrastructure are often associated with biophysical thresholds (e.g., physiological or design thresholds), those regions where such thresholds are increasingly exceeded due to climate change may experience disproportionately higher impacts
very high
3
train
7,161
AR6_WGII
2,733
11
Nevertheless, such higher SSTs have implications not only for ocean ecosystems and the distribution of marine species, but also for weather patterns, such as formation and intensity of tropical cyclones
very high
3
train
7,162
AR6_WGII
2,733
15
If that demand is not met, then the adaptation gap will be larger, with greater risk of loss and damage
very high
3
train
7,163
AR6_WGII
2,733
19
Common indicators of development reflect the significant diversity that exists across different global regions with respect to their development context
very high
3
test
7,164
AR6_WGII
2,733
25
However, nations and regions with high PPAHDI values also tend to have higher per capita CO 2-e emissions production, indicating that economic development based on fossil fuel use undermines both efforts on climate action as well as the SDGs
very high
3
train
7,165
AR6_WGII
2,733
30
In addition to development indicators, the literature assessed in the WGII regional chapters indicates that different regions experience a range of development challenges and opportunities that affect the pursuit of CRD
very high
3
train
7,166
AR6_WGII
2,733
32
For example, significant challenges exist within regions with respect to managing debt and the ability to fund or finance climate action and sustainable development interventions
very high
3
train
7,167
AR6_WGII
2,733
33
On the other hand, a broad range of opportunities exist to pursue CRD including challenges with debt and financing of adaptation competing policy objectives, social protection programmes, economic diversification, investing in education and human capital development, and expanding disaster risk reduction efforts
very high
3
train
7,168
AR6_WGII
2,733
34
There are a wide variety of more focused options for climate action and sustainable development
very high
3
train
7,169
AR6_WGII
2,735
2
For example, in all regions, existing vulnerability and inequality exacerbate climate risk and therefore pose challenges to CRD
very high
3
train
7,170
AR6_WGII
2,735
3
Furthermore, low prioritisation of sustainability and climate action in government decision making, low perceptions of climate risk, and path dependence in governance systems and decision-making processes all pose barriers to system transitions, transformation and CRD
very high
3
train
7,171
AR6_WGII
2,735
8
Issues associated with natural resource dependency, access to information for decision making, access to human and financial capital, and path dependence of institutions represent barriers that must be overcome if sectors are to support transitions that enable CRD. These challenges are more acute within vulnerable communities or nations where capacity to innovate and invest are constrained and social inequities reinforce the status quo
very high
3
test
7,172
AR6_WGII
2,735
15
Moreover, progress across multiple sectors simultaneously creates opportunities for synergies for achieving the SDGs, but also enhances the risk of potential trade-offs
very high
3
train
7,173
AR6_WGII
2,743
8
These include enhancing understanding of mainstreaming of climate change into institutional decision making, managing risk under conditions of uncertainty, catalysing system transitions and transformation, and processes for enhancing participation, equity and accountability in sustainable development
very high
3
train
7,174
AR6_WGII
2,743
16
This includes consideration for risk and science communication; decision analysis and decision support systems; and mechanisms for knowledge co-production between scientists and public policy actors
very high
3
train
7,175
AR6_WGII
2,780
3
For energy systems transitions, the adaptation options of infrastructure resilience, efficient water use and water management, and reliable power systems enable energy systems to work during disasters with reduced costs, demonstrating the synergistic relationships between mitigation and adaptation
high
2
train
7,176
AR6_WGII
2,780
5
New evidence has focused on both options for peri-urban and rural areas through distributed generation and isolated renewable energy systems, which also provide multiple social co-benefits
medium
1
train
7,177
AR6_WGII
2,780
6
For efficient water use and management, the synergistic potential with mitigation can make processes more efficient and cost effective
high
2
train
7,178
AR6_WGII
2,780
7
With regards to adaptation feasibility, efficient water use is especially useful in drought-stricken areas and provides better water management for multiple uses
high
2
train
7,179
AR6_WGII
2,780
9
Forest- and biodiversity-based adaptation options are generally promoted on the basis of their positive impacts on adaptive and ecological capacities, increased provision of ecosystem services and goods, with a particularly strong contribution to carbon sequestration
high
2
train
7,180
AR6_WGII
2,780
10
However, large afforestation projects and the introduction of non-native and fast-growing vegetation reduce water availability, impoverish habitats for wildlife and reduce overall ecological resilience, threatening the achievement of some Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), and potentially leading to maladaptation (high confidence).Over-reliance on forest-based solutions may increase the susceptibility to wildfires, with detrimental consequences both for mitigation and adaptation
medium
1
train
7,181
AR6_WGII
2,780
11
Over the last decade, forest- and biodiversity-based solutions have gained considerable political traction and social acceptability (high confidence), but in countries with economies highly dependent on the export of agricultural commodities, opportunity costs continue to hinder the expansion of these alternatives, particularly against more profitable land uses
high
2
train
7,182
AR6_WGII
2,780
13
Agro-forestry solutions have strong ecological and adaptive co-benefits
high
2
train
7,183
AR6_WGII
2,780
16
Successful implementation requires a strong socioeconomic framework and can offer diverse social, ecological and economic benefits, as well as sequestering carbon
high
2
train
7,184
AR6_WGII
2,780
17
There is extensive experience with hard coastal defence structures (e.g., sea walls), which can be cost-effective in economic terms, depending on the location (medium confidence); however, they are considered maladaptive and unsustainable in some contexts (medium confidence) due to their lack of flexibility or robustness in response to a changing climate, as well as their carbon-intensiveness and potential ecological impacts
medium
1
train
7,185
AR6_WGII
2,781
1
There are financial barriers to implementing sustainable aquaculture and fisheries, even though they can improve employment opportunities, especially for local communities
medium
1
train
7,186
AR6_WGII
2,781
2
Technical resource availability is still lacking and could represent a barrier to implementing sustainable aquaculture and fisheries
medium
1
train
7,187
AR6_WGII
2,781
3
Robust institutional and legal frameworks are needed to guarantee effective adaptation
high
2
train
7,188
AR6_WGII
2,781
4
Sustainable aquaculture and fisheries are highly dependent on healthy and resilient ecosystems
high
2
train
7,189
AR6_WGII
2,781
5
They can provide diverse ecosystem services and support coastal ecosystems restoration
medium
1
train
7,190
AR6_WGII
2,781
7
This suite of strategies has strong feasibility to build resilience while improving incomes (medium confidence) and providing mitigation co-benefits
high
2
train
7,191
AR6_WGII
2,781
8
While technological and ecological feasibility is high, institutional, market and socio-political acceptability remain significant barriers
medium
1
train
7,192
AR6_WGII
2,781
9
Improving water use efficiency and water resource management under land and ecosystem transitions has high technological feasibility
high
2
train
7,193
AR6_WGII
2,781
10
However, economic and institutional barriers remain and are based on type, scale and location of interventions
medium
1
train
7,194
AR6_WGII
2,781
11
Notably, inadequate institutional capacities to prepare for changing water availability, especially in the long term, unsustainable and unequal water use and sharing practices, and fragmented water resource management approaches remain critical barriers to feasibility
high
2
train
7,195
AR6_WGII
2,781
13
These strategies have high economic and environmental feasibility (high confidence) and substantial mitigation co-benefits
medium
1
train
7,196
AR6_WGII
2,781
14
However, high costs, inadequate information and technical know-how, delays between actions and tangible benefits, lack of comprehensive policies, fragmentation across different sectors, inadequate access to credit, and unequal access to resources constrain technological, institutional and socio-cultural feasibility
medium
1
train
7,197
AR6_WGII
2,781
15
For urban and infrastructure system transitions, sustainable urban planning can support both adaptation and decarbonisation by mainstreaming climate concerns, including effective land use into urban policies, by promoting resilient and low-carbon infrastructure, and by protecting and integrating carbon-reducing biodiversity and ecosystem services into city planning
medium
1
train
7,198
AR6_WGII
2,781
16
Urban green infrastructure and ecosystem services have high feasibility to support climate adaptation and mitigation efforts in cities, for example to reduce flood exposure and attenuate the urban heat island
high
2
train
7,199
AR6_WGII
2,781
17
While green infrastructure options are cost-effective and provide co-benefits in terms of ecosystem services such as improved air quality or other health benefits
high
2
train