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1,000
AR6_WGI
778
26
Forest- based methods can either raise or lower N 2O emissions, depending on tree species, previous land use, soil type and climatic factors
low
0
train
1,001
AR6_WGI
778
28
Afforestation will decrease biodiversity if native species are replaced by monocultures
high
2
train
1,002
AR6_WGI
779
8
Some soil carbon sequestration methods, such as cover crops and crop diversity, can increase biodiversity
medium
1
train
1,003
AR6_WGI
779
11
Biochar application improves many soil qualities and increases crop yield (medium confidence) (Ye et al., 2020; SRCCL, Chapter 4.9.5), particularly in already degraded or weathered soils (Woolf et al., 2010; Lorenz and Lal, 2014; Jeffery et al., 2016), increases soil water holding capacity
medium
1
train
1,004
AR6_WGI
779
12
Fischer et al., 2019; Verheijen et al., 2019) and evapotranspiration
low
0
train
1,005
AR6_WGI
779
14
The use of biochar reduces nutrient losses
low
0
test
1,006
AR6_WGI
779
15
Biochar addition may decrease methane (CH 4) emissions in inundated and acid soils such as rice fields
low
0
train
1,007
AR6_WGI
779
16
In non-inundated, neutral soils, CH 4 uptake from the atmosphere is suppressed after biochar application (low confidence) (Jeffery et al., 2016), and soil N2O emissions decline
medium
1
train
1,008
AR6_WGI
779
21
High water level and anoxic conditions are prerequisites for restoring by returning drained and/or degraded peatlands back to their natural state as CO 2 sinks, but restoration also results in enhanced CH 4 emissions which are similar to or higher than the pre-drainage fluxes
high
2
train
1,009
AR6_WGI
779
23
Rewetting drained peatlands will decrease N2O emissions
medium
1
train
1,010
AR6_WGI
779
25
Peatland restoration can also recover much of the original biodiversity
medium
1
train
1,011
AR6_WGI
779
33
BECCS has several trade- offs to deal with, including possible threats to water supply and soil nutrient deficiencies
medium
1
train
1,012
AR6_WGI
780
1
Highest co-benefits are obtained with methods that seek to restore natural ecosystems and improve soil carbon sequestration (Figure 5.36) while highest trade- off possibilities (symmetry with the highest co-benefits) occur for reforestation or afforestation with monocultures and BECCS, again with strong dependence on scale and context
medium
1
train
1,013
AR6_WGI
780
15
While coastal habitat restoration potentially provides significant mitigation of national emissions for some countries (Taillardat et al., 2018; Serrano et al., 2019), the global sequestration potential of blue carbon approaches is <0.02 PgC yr–1
medium
1
train
1,014
AR6_WGI
780
20
EW can also contribute to freshwater salinization as a result of increased salt inputs and cation exchange in watersheds, and so adversely affecting drinking water quality
low
0
train
1,015
AR6_WGI
780
26
Ocean alkalinization ameliorates surface ocean acidification
high
2
train
1,016
AR6_WGI
784
21
Despite the large uncertainty in modelled NPP response, existing modelling studies consistently show that SRM would increase the global land carbon sink relative to a high-CO 2 world without SRM
high
2
train
1,017
AR6_WGI
784
22
Based on available evidence, SRM with elevated CO 2 would increase global mean NPP and carbon storage on land relative to an unperturbed climate, mainly because of CO 2 fertilization of photosynthesis
high
2
train
1,018
AR6_WGI
784
34
As a result of enhanced global carbon uptake, SRM would reduce the burden of atmospheric CO 2
high
2
train
1,019
AR6_WGI
785
9
Compared to a high-CO 2 world without SRM, SRM would enhance the net uptake of CO 2 by the terrestrial biosphere and ocean, thus acting to reduce atmospheric CO 2
high
2
train
1,020
AR6_WGI
835
8
Recent Evolution in Short-lived Climate Forcer (SLCF) Emissions and Abundances Over the last decade (2010–2019), strong shifts in the geographical distribution of emissions have led to changes in atmospheric abundances of highly variable SLCFs
high
2
train
1,021
AR6_WGI
835
9
Evidence from satellite and surface observations shows strong regional variations in trends of ozone (O 3), aerosols and their precursors
high
2
train
1,022
AR6_WGI
835
10
In particular, tropospheric columns of nitrogen dioxide (NO 2) and sulphur dioxide (SO 2) continued to decline over North America and Europe (high confidence), and to increase over Southern Asia (medium confidence), but have declined over Eastern Asia
high
2
train
1,023
AR6_WGI
835
11
Global carbon monoxide (CO) abundance has continued to decline
high
2
train
1,024
AR6_WGI
835
12
The concentrations of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) are increasing
high
2
train
1,025
AR6_WGI
835
21
Radiative forcings induced by aerosol changes lead to both local and remote temperature responses
high
2
train
1,026
AR6_WGI
835
22
The temperature response preserves the south to north gradient of the aerosol ERF – hemispherical asymmetry – but is more uniform with latitude and is strongly amplified towards the Arctic
medium
1
train
1,027
AR6_WGI
835
25
The spatial and temporal distribution of the net aerosol ERF from 1850 to 2014 is highly heterogeneous, with stronger magnitudes in the Northern Hemisphere
high
2
test
1,028
AR6_WGI
835
27
Near its maximum, the response slows down but will then take centuries to reach equilibrium
high
2
train
1,029
AR6_WGI
835
28
For SLCFs with longer lifetimes (e.g., a decade), a delay equivalent to their lifetimes is appended to the delay due to thermal inertia
high
2
train
1,030
AR6_WGI
835
30
The net global emissions‑based ERF of NO x is negative and that of non‑methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOCs) is positive, in agreement with the AR5 Assessment
high
2
train
1,031
AR6_WGI
835
31
For methane, the emissions‑based ERF is twice as high as the abundance‑based ERF
high
2
train
1,032
AR6_WGI
836
1
Over the 1750–2019 period, the contributions from the emitted compounds to changes in global surface air temperature (GSAT) broadly match their contributions to the ERF
high
2
train
1,033
AR6_WGI
836
5
As such, these effects are assessed to be of second order in comparison to the direct CO 2 forcing (high confidence), but effects of ozone on terrestrial vegetation could add a substantial (positive) forcing compared with the direct ozone forcing
low
0
train
1,034
AR6_WGI
836
10
A warmer climate is expected to reduce surface ozone in regions remote from pollution sources
high
2
train
1,035
AR6_WGI
836
11
Future climate change is expected to have mixed effects, positive or negative, with an overall low effect, on global surface PM and more generally on the aerosol global burden (medium confidence), but stronger effects are not excluded in regions prone to specific meteorological conditions
low
0
train
1,036
AR6_WGI
836
17
Under the SSP3‑7.0 scenario, PM levels are projected to increase until 2050 over large parts of Asia, and surface ozone pollution is projected to worsen over all continental areas through 2100
high
2
test
1,037
AR6_WGI
836
18
Without climate change mitigation but with stringent air pollution control (SSP5‑8.5), PM levels decline through 2100, but high methane levels hamper the decline in global surface ozone at least until 2080
high
2
train
1,038
AR6_WGI
837
6
Sectors producing the largest SLCF-induced warming are those dominated by methane emissions: fossil fuel production and distribution, agriculture and waste management
high
2
train
1,039
AR6_WGI
837
7
On these time scales, SLCFs with cooling effects can significantly mask the CO 2 warming in the case of fossil fuel combustion for energy and land transportation, or completely offset the CO 2 warming and lead to an overall net cooling in the case of industry and maritime shipping (prior to the implementation of the revised fuel‑sulphur limit policy for shipping in 2020)
medium
1
train
1,040
AR6_WGI
837
8
Ten years after a one‑year pulse of present‑day aviation emissions, SLCFs induce strong but short‑lived warming contributions to the GSAT response
medium
1
train
1,041
AR6_WGI
837
10
Consequently, on time scales longer than about 30 years, the net long-term global temperature effects of sectors and regions are dominated by CO 2
high
2
train
1,042
AR6_WGI
837
13
About 30 years or more after a one‑year emission pulse occurs, the sectors contributing the most to global warming are industry, fossil fuel combustion for energy and land transportation, essentially through CO2
high
2
test
1,043
AR6_WGI
837
14
Current emissions of SLCFs, CO 2 and N 2O from Eastern Asia and North America are the largest regional contributors to additional net future warming on both short (medium confidence) and long time scales
high
2
train
1,044
AR6_WGI
837
17
Energy and industry are important PM 2.5 contributors in most regions, except Africa
high
2
train
1,045
AR6_WGI
837
20
Further improvements in the efficiency of refrigeration and air ‑conditioning equipment during the transition to low‑global‑ warming‑potential refrigerants would bring additional greenhouse gas reductions
medium
1
train
1,046
AR6_WGI
837
22
This warming is stable after 2040 in scenarios leading to lower global air pollution as long as methane emissions are also mitigated, but the overall warming induced by SLCF changes is higher in scenarios in which air quality continues to deteriorate (induced by growing fossil fuel use and limited air pollution control)
high
2
train
1,047
AR6_WGI
837
26
Sustained methane mitigation, wherever it occurs, stands out as an option that combines near‑ and long‑term gains on surface temperature (high confidence) and leads to air ‑quality benefits by reducing surface ozone levels globally
high
2
train
1,048
AR6_WGI
838
1
Additional methane and BC mitigation would contribute to offsetting the additional warming associated with SO 2 reductions that would accompany decarbonization
high
2
train
1,049
AR6_WGI
838
2
Strong air pollution control as well as strong climate change mitigation, implemented separately, lead to large reductions in exposure to air pollution by the end of the century
high
2
train
1,050
AR6_WGI
838
3
Implementation of air pollution controls, relying on the deployment of existing technologies, leads more rapidly to air quality benefits than climate change mitigation
high
2
train
1,051
AR6_WGI
838
4
However, in both cases, significant parts of the population are projected to remain exposed to air pollution exceeding the WHO guidelines
high
2
train
1,052
AR6_WGI
838
8
Global anthropogenic NO x emissions decreased by a maximum of about 35% in April 2020
medium
1
train
1,053
AR6_WGI
838
10
Global fossil CO 2 emissions decreased by 7% (with a range of 5.8–13.0%) in 2020 relative to 2019, largely due to reduced emissions from the transportation sector
medium
1
train
1,054
AR6_WGI
838
12
Consistent with this small net radiative forcing, and against a large component of internal variability, Earth system model simulations show no detectable effect on global or regional surface temperature or precipitation
high
2
train
1,055
AR6_WGI
841
30
The SRCCL concluded that: (i) there is no agreement about the direction of future changes in mineral dust emissions; (ii) fossil fuel and biomass burning, and secondary organic aerosols (SOA) from natural BVOC emissions are the main global sources of carbonaceous aerosols whose emissions are expected to increase in the near future due to possible increases in open biomass burning and increase in SOA from oxidation of BVOCs
medium
1
train
1,056
AR6_WGI
843
27
However, Chinese emissions declined by nearly 70% between about 2006 and 2017
high
2
train
1,057
AR6_WGI
843
32
Since about 2011, global NO x emissions appear to have stabilized or slightly declined
medium
1
train
1,058
AR6_WGI
843
34
Liu et al., 2016; Miyazaki et al., 2017; Silver et al., 2018): a strong decline of NO 2 column over eastern China
high
2
train
1,059
AR6_WGI
844
3
Efforts to control transport emissions (i.e., increasing stringency of vehicle emissions limits) were largely offset by the fast growth of emissions from chemical industries and solvent use, as well as from fossil fuel production and distribution, resulting in continued growth of global anthropogenic NMVOC emissions since 1900
high
2
train
1,060
AR6_WGI
844
5
Increasing (since 2008) oil‑ and gas‑extraction activities in North America lead to a strong growth of NMVOC emissions
high
2
train
1,061
AR6_WGI
844
13
Emissions of carbonaceous aerosols (BC, OC) have been steadily increasing and their emissions have almost doubled since 1950
medium
1
train
1,062
AR6_WGI
844
14
Before 1950, North America and Europe contributed about half of the global total but successful introduction of diesel particulate filters on road vehicles (Fiebig et al., 2014; Robinson et al., 2015; Klimont et al., 2017a) and declining reliance on solid fuels for heating brought in large reductions
high
2
train
1,063
AR6_WGI
844
15
Currently, global carbonaceous aerosol emissions originate primarily from Asia and Africa (Bond et al., 2013; Hoesly et al., 2018; Elguindi et al., 2020; McDuffie et al., 2020), representing about 80% of the global total
high
2
train
1,064
AR6_WGI
844
20
Overall, a factor two uncertainty in global estimates of BC and OC emissions remains, with post‑ 2005 emissions overestimated in Asia (high confidence) and Africa
medium
1
train
1,065
AR6_WGI
844
21
Bottom‑up global emissions estimates of methane (Lamarque et al., 2010; Hoesly et al., 2018; Janssens‑Maenhout et al., 2019; Höglund‑Isaksson et al., 2020) for the last two decades are higher than top‑down assessments (e.g., Saunois et al., 2016, 2020) but trends from the two methods are similar and indicate continued growth
high
2
train
1,066
AR6_WGI
844
24
NH 3 emissions are estimated to have grown strongly since 1850, especially since 1950, driven by continuously increasing livestock production, widespread application of mineral nitrogen fertilizers, and lack of action to control ammonia
high
2
train
1,067
AR6_WGI
847
25
Overall, we assess that historical global isoprene emissions declined between the pre‑industrial period and the present day by 10–25%
low
0
train
1,068
AR6_WGI
854
12
This increase is assessed to be 109 ± 25 Tg
medium
1
train
1,069
AR6_WGI
855
16
In summary, global tropospheric NO x abundance has increased from 1850–2015
high
2
train
1,070
AR6_WGI
855
19
NO 2 trends have reversed (declining) over China beginning in 2012 and NO 2 has increased over Southern Asia by 50% since 2005
medium
1
train
1,071
AR6_WGI
858
7
In summary, after a decline between 1980 and 2008, abundances of light NMVOCs have increased again over the Northern Hemisphere due to the extraction of oil and gas in North America
high
2
train
1,072
AR6_WGI
858
8
Trends in satellite HCHO observations, used as a proxy of anthropogenic NMVOC over industrialized areas, show a significant positive trend over eastern China
high
2
train
1,073
AR6_WGI
864
27
That would give BrC a burden similar to that of BC
low
0
train
1,074
AR6_WGI
867
6
In summary, global mean tropospheric OH does not show a significant trend from 1850 up to around 1980
low
0
train
1,075
AR6_WGI
869
4
In summary, the spatial and temporal distribution of the net aerosol ERF from 1850–2014 is highly heterogeneous
high
2
train
1,076
AR6_WGI
869
5
Globally, there has been a shift from increase to decrease of the negative net aerosol ERF driven by trends in aerosol and their precursor emissions
high
2
train
1,077
AR6_WGI
871
10
In summary, emissions of SLCFs, especially methane, NO x and SO 2, have substantial effects on effective radiative forcing (ERF)
high
2
train
1,078
AR6_WGI
871
11
The net global emissions‑based ERF of NO x is negative and that of NMVOCs is positive, in agreement with the AR5 assessment
high
2
train
1,079
AR6_WGI
871
12
For methane, the emissions‑based ERF is twice as high as the abundance‑based ERF
high
2
train
1,080
AR6_WGI
871
13
SO 2 emissions make the dominant contribution to the ERF associated with the aerosol–cloud interaction
high
2
train
1,081
AR6_WGI
871
14
The contributions from the emitted compounds to GSAT broadly follow their contributions to the ERF
high
2
train
1,082
AR6_WGI
871
21
The overall effect of surface cooling from anthropogenic aerosols is to reduce global precipitation and alter large‑ scale atmospheric circulation patterns
high
2
train
1,083
AR6_WGI
872
2
The zonal‑mean temperature response is negative at all latitudes
high
2
train
1,084
AR6_WGI
872
7
The asymmetric historical radiative forcing due to aerosols led to a southward shift in the tropical rain belt (high confidence) and contributed to the Sahel drought from the 1970s to the 1980s
high
2
train
1,085
AR6_WGI
872
8
Furthermore, the asymmetry of the forcing led to contrasting effects in monsoon precipitation changes over West Africa, Southern Asia and Eastern Asia over much of the mid‑20th century due to GHG‑induced precipitation increases counteracted by anthropogenic aerosol‑ induced decreases
high
2
train
1,086
AR6_WGI
873
1
In summary, over the historical period, changes in aerosols and their ERF have primarily contributed to cooling, partly masking the human‑induced warming
high
2
train
1,087
AR6_WGI
873
2
Radiative forcings induced by aerosol changes lead to both local and remote changes in temperature
high
2
train
1,088
AR6_WGI
873
3
The temperature response preserves hemispheric asymmetry of the ERF but is more latitudinally uniform with strong amplification of the temperature response towards the Arctic
medium
1
train
1,089
AR6_WGI
873
11
The new modelling studies tend to focus on ozone effects on plant productivity rather than the land carbon storage and agree that ozone‑induced gross‑primary productivity (GPP) losses are largest today in the eastern USA, Europe and eastern China, ranging from 5–20% on the regional scale
low
0
train
1,090
AR6_WGI
873
23
At large scales the dominant effect of aerosols on the carbon cycle is likely a global cooling effect of the climate
medium
1
train
1,091
AR6_WGI
873
25
In summary, reactive nitrogen, ozone and aerosols affect terrestrial vegetation and the carbon cycle through deposition and effects on large‑scale radiation
high
2
train
1,092
AR6_WGI
873
26
As such, we assess the effects to be of second order in comparison to the direct CO 2 forcing (high confidence) but, at least for ozone, it could add a substantial (positive) forcing compared with its direct forcing
low
0
train
1,093
AR6_WGI
877
6
Modelling studies have been published with more sophisticated treatment of SRM since AR5, but the uncertainties, such as cloud–aerosol radiation interactions, remain large
high
2
train
1,094
AR6_WGI
879
7
Overall, warmer climate is expected to reduce surface ozone in unpolluted regions as a result of greater water vapour abundance accelerating ozone chemical loss
high
2
train
1,095
AR6_WGI
879
10
The response of surface ozone to future climate change through stratosphere–troposphere exchange, soil NO x emissions and wildfires is positive
medium
1
train
1,096
AR6_WGI
881
21
For SLCFs with short lifetime (e.g., months), the response in surface temperature occurs strongly as soon as a sustained change in emissions is implemented and continues to grow for a few years, primarily due to thermal inertia in the climate system
high
2
test
1,097
AR6_WGI
881
22
Near its maximum, the response slows down but will then take centuries to reach equilibrium
high
2
train
1,098
AR6_WGI
881
23
For SLCFs with longer lifetimes (e.g., a decade), a delay equivalent to their lifetimes comes in addition to the delay due the thermal inertia
high
2
train
1,099
AR6_WGI
882
21
Residential sector emissions are an important source of indoor and outdoor air pollution in Asia and globally
high
2
train