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Learning Accurate and Interpretable Decision Rule Sets from Neural Networks
| null |
This paper proposes a new paradigm for learning a set of independent logical rules in disjunctive normal form as an interpretable model for classification. We consider the problem of learning an interpretable decision rule set as training a neural network in a specific, yet very simple two-layer architecture. Each neuron in the first layer directly maps to an interpretable if-then rule after training, and the output neuron in the second layer directly maps to a disjunction of the first layer rules to form the decision rule set. Our representation of neurons in this first rules layer enables us to encode both the positive and the negative association of features in a decision rule. State-of-the-art neural net training approaches can be leveraged for learning highly accurate classification models. Moreover, we propose a sparsity-based regularization approach to balance between classification accuracy and the simplicity of the derived rules. Our experimental results show that our method can generate more accurate decision rule sets than other state-of-the-art rule-learning algorithms with better accuracy-simplicity trade-offs. Further, when compared with uninterpretable black-box machine learning approaches such as random forests and full-precision deep neural networks, our approach can easily find interpretable decision rule sets that have comparable predictive performance.
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Litao Qiao, Weijia Wang, Bill Lin
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
Robust Spatio-Temporal Purchase Prediction via Deep Meta Learning
| null |
Purchase prediction is an essential task in both online and offline retail industry, especially during major shopping festivals, when strong promotion boosts consumption dramatically. It is important for merchants to forecast such surge of sales and have better preparation. This is a challenging problem, as the purchase patterns during shopping festivals are significantly different from usual cases and also rare in historical data. Most existing methods fail at this problem due to the extremely scarce data samples as well as the inability to capture the complex macroscopic spatio-temporal dependencies in a city. To address this problem, we propose the Spatio-Temporal Meta-learning Prediction (STMP) model for purchase prediction during shopping festivals. STMP is a meta-learning based spatio-temporal multi-task deep generative model. It adopts a meta-learning framework with few-shot learning capability to capture both spatial and temporal data representations. A generative component then uses the extracted spatio-temporal representation and input data to infer the prediction results. Extensive experiments demonstrate the meta-learning generalization ability of STMP. STMP outperforms baselines in all cases, which shows the effectiveness of our model.
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Huiling Qin, Songyu Ke, Xiaodu Yang, Haoran Xu, Xianyuan Zhan, Yu Zheng
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
DocParser: Hierarchical Document Structure Parsing from Renderings
| null |
Translating renderings (e. g. PDFs, scans) into hierarchical document structures is extensively demanded in the daily routines of many real-world applications. However, a holistic, principled approach to inferring the complete hierarchical structure in documents is missing. As a remedy, we developed “DocParser”: an end-to-end system for parsing complete document structure – including all text elements, nested figures, tables, and table cell structures. Our second contribution is to provide a dataset for evaluating hierarchical document structure parsing. Our third contribution is to propose a scalable learning framework for settings where domain-specific data are scarce, which we address by a novel approach to weak supervision that significantly improves the document structure parsing performance. Our experiments confirm the effectiveness of our proposed weak supervision: Compared to the baseline without weak supervision, it improves the mean average precision for detecting document entities by 39.1% and improves the F1 score of classifying hierarchical relations by 35.8%.
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Johannes Rausch, Octavio Martinez, Fabian Bissig, Ce Zhang, Stefan Feuerriegel
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
Relative and Absolute Location Embedding for Few-Shot Node Classification on Graph
| null |
Node classification is an important problem on graphs. While recent advances in graph neural networks achieve promising performance, they require abundant labeled nodes for training. However, in many practical scenarios, there often exist novel classes in which only one or a few labeled nodes are available as supervision, known as few-shot node classification. Although meta-learning has been widely used in vision and language domains to address few-shot learning, its adoption on graphs has been limited. In particular, graph nodes in a few-shot task are not independent and relate to each other. To deal with this, we propose a novel model called Relative and Absolute Location Embedding (RALE) hinged on the concept of hub nodes. Specifically, RALE captures the task-level dependency by assigning each node a relative location within a task, as well as the graph-level dependency by assigning each node an absolute location on the graph to further align different tasks toward learning a transferable prior. Finally, extensive experiments on three public datasets demonstrate the state-of-the-art performance of RALE.
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Zemin Liu, Yuan Fang, Chenghao Liu, Steven C.H. Hoi
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
Pre-training Context and Time Aware Location Embeddings from Spatial-Temporal Trajectories for User Next Location Prediction
| null |
Pre-training location embeddings from spatial-temporal trajectories is a fundamental procedure and very beneficial for user next location prediction. In the real world, a location usually has variable functionalities under different contextual environments. If the exact functions of a location in the trajectory can be reflected in its embedding, the accuracy of user next location prediction should be improved. Yet, existing location embeddings pre-trained on trajectories are mostly based on distributed word representations, which mix a location's various functionalities into one latent representation vector. To address this problem, we propose a Context and Time aware Location Embedding (CTLE) model, which calculates a location's representation vector with consideration of its specific contextual neighbors in trajectories. In this way, the multi-functional properties of locations can be properly tackled. Furthermore, in order to incorporate temporal information in trajectories into location embeddings, we propose a subtle temporal encoding module and a novel pre-training objective, which further improve the quality of location embeddings. We evaluate our proposed model on two real-world mobile user trajectory datasets. The experimental results demonstrate that, compared with the existing embedding methods, our CTLE model can pre-train higher quality location embeddings and significantly improve the performance of downstream user location prediction models.
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Yan Lin, Huaiyu Wan, Shengnan Guo, Youfang Lin
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
Learning to Pre-train Graph Neural Networks
| null |
Graph neural networks (GNNs) have become the defacto standard for representation learning on graphs, which derive effective node representations by recursively aggregating information from graph neighborhoods. While GNNs can be trained from scratch, pre-training GNNs to learn transferable knowledge for downstream tasks has recently been demonstrated to improve the state of the art. However, conventional GNN pre-training methods follow a two-step paradigm: 1) pre-training on abundant unlabeled data and 2) fine-tuning on downstream labeled data, between which there exists a significant gap due to the divergence of optimization objectives in the two steps. In this paper, we conduct an analysis to show the divergence between pre-training and fine-tuning, and to alleviate such divergence, we propose L2P-GNN, a self-supervised pre-training strategy for GNNs. The key insight is that L2P-GNN attempts to learn how to fine-tune during the pre-training process in the form of transferable prior knowledge. To encode both local and global information into the prior, L2P-GNN is further designed with a dual adaptation mechanism at both node and graph levels. Finally, we conduct a systematic empirical study on the pre-training of various GNN models, using both a public collection of protein graphs and a new compilation of bibliographic graphs for pre-training. Experimental results show that L2P-GNN is capable of learning effective and transferable prior knowledge that yields powerful representations for downstream tasks. (Code and datasets are available at https://github.com/rootlu/L2P-GNN.)
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Yuanfu Lu, Xunqiang Jiang, Yuan Fang, Chuan Shi
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
Neural Latent Space Model for Dynamic Networks and Temporal Knowledge Graphs
| null |
Although static networks have been extensively studied in machine learning, data mining, and AI communities for many decades, the study of dynamic networks has recently taken center stage due to the prominence of social media and its effects on the dynamics of social networks. In this paper, we propose a statistical model for dynamically evolving networks, together with a variational inference approach. Our model, Neural Latent Space Model with Variational Inference, encodes edge dependencies across different time snapshots. It represents nodes via latent vectors and uses interaction matrices to model the presence of edges. These matrices can be used to incorporate multiple relations in heterogeneous networks by having a separate matrix for each of the relations. To capture the temporal dynamics, both node vectors and interaction matrices are allowed to evolve with time. Existing network analysis methods use representation learning techniques for modelling networks. These techniques are different for homogeneous and heterogeneous networks because heterogeneous networks can have multiple types of edges and nodes as opposed to a homogeneous network. Unlike these, we propose a unified model for homogeneous and heterogeneous networks in a variational inference framework. Moreover, the learned node latent vectors and interaction matrices may be interpretable and therefore provide insights on the mechanisms behind network evolution. We experimented with a single step and multi-step link forecasting on real-world networks of homogeneous, bipartite, and heterogeneous nature, and demonstrated that our model significantly outperforms existing models.
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Tony Gracious, Shubham Gupta, Arun Kanthali, Rui M. Castro, Ambedkar Dukkipati
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
U-BERT: Pre-training User Representations for Improved Recommendation
| null |
Learning user representation is a critical task for recommendation systems as it can encode user preference for personalized services. User representation is generally learned from behavior data, such as clicking interactions and review comments. However, for less popular domains, the behavior data is insufficient to learn precise user representations. To deal with this problem, a natural thought is to leverage content-rich domains to complement user representations. Inspired by the recent success of BERT in NLP, we propose a novel pre-training and fine-tuning based approach U-BERT. Different from typical BERT applications, U-BERT is customized for recommendation and utilizes different frameworks in pre-training and fine-tuning. In pre-training, U-BERT focuses on content-rich domains and introduces a user encoder and a review encoder to model users' behaviors. Two pre-training strategies are proposed to learn the general user representations; In fine-tuning, U-BERT focuses on the target content-insufficient domains. In addition to the user and review encoders inherited from the pre-training stage, U-BERT further introduces an item encoder to model item representations. Besides, a review co-matching layer is proposed to capture more semantic interactions between the reviews of the user and item. Finally, U-BERT combines user representations, item representations and review interaction information to improve recommendation performance. Experiments on six benchmark datasets from different domains demonstrate the state-of-the-art performance of U-BERT.
|
Zhaopeng Qiu, Xian Wu, Jingyue Gao, Wei Fan
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
Online Learning in Variable Feature Spaces under Incomplete Supervision
| null |
This paper explores a new online learning problem where the input sequence lives in an over-time varying feature space and the ground-truth label of any input point is given only occasionally, making online learners less restrictive and more applicable. The crux in this setting lies in how to exploit the very limited labels to efficiently update the online learners. Plausible ideas such as propagating labels from labeled points to their neighbors through uncovering the point-wise geometric relations face two challenges: (1) distance measurement fails to work as different points may be described by disparate sets of features and (2) storing the geometric shape, which is formed by all arrived points, is unrealistic in an online setting. To address these challenges, we first construct a universal feature space that accumulates all observed features, making distance measurement feasible. Then, we use manifolds to represent the geometric shapes and approximate them in a sparse means, making manifolds computational and memory tractable in online learning. We frame these two building blocks into a regularized risk minimization algorithm. Theoretical analysis and empirical evidence substantiate the viability and effectiveness of our proposal.
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Yi He, Xu Yuan, Sheng Chen, Xindong Wu
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
Joint Air Quality and Weather Prediction Based on Multi-Adversarial Spatiotemporal Networks
| null |
Accurate and timely air quality and weather predictions are of great importance to urban governance and human livelihood. Though many efforts have been made for air quality or weather prediction, most of them simply employ one another as feature input, which ignores the inner-connection between two predictive tasks. On the one hand, the accurate prediction of one task can help improve another task's performance. On the other hand, geospatially distributed air quality and weather monitoring stations provide additional hints for city-wide spatiotemporal dependency modeling. Inspired by the above two insights, in this paper, we propose the Multi-adversarial spatiotemporal recurrent Graph Neural Networks (MasterGNN) for joint air quality and weather prediction. Specifically, we first propose a heterogeneous recurrent graph neural network to model the spatiotemporal autocorrelation among air quality and weather monitoring stations. Then, we develop a multi-adversarial graph learning framework to against observation noise propagation introduced by spatiotemporal modeling. Moreover, we introduce an adaptive training strategy by formulating multi-adversarial learning as a multi-task learning problem. Finally, extensive experiments on two real-world datasets show that MasterGNN achieves the best performance compared with seven baselines on both air quality and weather prediction tasks.
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Jindong Han, Hao Liu, Hengshu Zhu, Hui Xiong, Dejing Dou
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
Communicative Message Passing for Inductive Relation Reasoning
| null |
Relation prediction for knowledge graphs aims at predicting missing relationships between entities. Despite the importance of inductive relation prediction, most previous works are limited to a transductive setting and cannot process previously unseen entities. The recent proposed subgraph-based relation reasoning models provided alternatives to predict links from the subgraph structure surrounding a candidate triplet inductively. However, we observe that these methods often neglect the directed nature of the extracted subgraph and weaken the role of relation information in the subgraph modeling. As a result, they fail to effectively handle the asymmetric/anti-symmetric triplets and produce insufficient embeddings for the target triplets. To this end, we introduce a Communicative Message Passing neural network for Inductive reLation rEasoning, CoMPILE, that reasons over local directed subgraph structures and has a vigorous inductive bias to process entity-independent semantic relations. In contrast to existing models, CoMPILE strengthens the message interactions between edges and entitles through a communicative kernel and enables a sufficient flow of relation information. Moreover, we demonstrate that CoMPILE can naturally handle asymmetric/anti-symmetric relations without the need for explosively increasing the number of model parameters by extracting the directed enclosing subgraphs. Extensive experiments show substantial performance gains in comparison to state-of-the-art methods on commonly used benchmark datasets with variant inductive settings.
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Sijie Mai, Shuangjia Zheng, Yuedong Yang, Haifeng Hu
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
Complete Closed Time Intervals-Related Patterns Mining
| null |
Using temporal abstraction, various forms of sampled multivariate temporal data can be transformed into a uniform representation of symbolic time intervals, from which Time Intervals Related Patterns (TIRPs) can be then discovered. Hence, mining TIRPs from symbolic time intervals offers a comprehensive framework for heterogeneous multivariate temporal data analysis. While the field of time intervals mining has gained a growing interest in recent decades, frequent closed TIRPs mining was not investigated in its full complexity. Mining frequent closed TIRPs is highly effective due to the discovery of a compact set of frequent TIRPs, which contains the complete information of all the frequent TIRPs. However, as we demonstrate in this paper, the recent advancements made in closed TIRPs discovery are incomplete, due to the discovery of only the first instances of the TIRPs within each STIs series in the database. In this paper we introduce the TIRPClo algorithm – for complete and efficient mining of frequent closed TIRPs. The algorithm utilizes a memory-efficient index and a novel method for data projection, due to which it is the first algorithm to guarantee a complete discovery of frequent closed TIRPs. In addition, a rigorous runtime comparison of TIRPClo to state-of-the-art methods is performed, demonstrating a significant speed-up on various real-world datasets.
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Omer David Harel, Robert Moskovitch
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
On Estimating Recommendation Evaluation Metrics under Sampling
| null |
Since the recent studies (KDD'20) done by Krichene and Rendle on the sampling based top-k evaluation metric for recommendation, there have been a lot of debate on the validity of using sampling for evaluating recommendation algorithms. Though their work and the recent work done by Li et. al. (KDD'20) have proposed some basic approach for mapping the sampling based metrics to their counter-part in the global evaluation which uses the entire dataset, there is still lack of understanding how sampling should be used for recommendation evaluation, and the proposed approaches either are rather ad-hoc or can only work on simple metrics, like Recall/Hit-Ratio. In this paper, we introduce some principled approach to derive the estimators of top-k metric based on sampling. Our approaches utilize the weighted MLE and maximal entropy approach to recover the global rank distribution and then utilize that for estimation. The experimental results shows significant advantages of using our approaches for evaluating recommendation algorithms based on top-k metrics.
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Ruoming Jin, Dong Li, Benjamin Mudrak, Jing Gao, Zhi Liu
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
NeuralAC: Learning Cooperation and Competition Effects for Match Outcome Prediction
| null |
Match outcome prediction in group comparison setting is a challenging but important task. Existing works mainly focus on learning individual effects or mining limited interactions between teammates, which is not sufficient for capturing complex interactions between teammates as well as between opponents. Besides, the importance of interacting with different characters is still largely underexplored. To this end, we propose a novel Neural Attentional Cooperation-competition model (NeuralAC), which incorporates weighted-cooperation effects (i.e., intra-team interactions) and weighted-competition effects (i.e., inter-team interactions) for predicting match outcomes. Specifically, we first project individuals to latent vectors and learn complex interactions through deep neural networks. Then, we design two novel attention-based mechanisms to capture the importance of intra-team and inter-team interactions, which enhance NeuralAC with both accuracy and interpretability. Furthermore, we demonstrate NeuralAC can generalize several previous works. To evaluate the performances of NeuralAC, we conduct extensive experiments on four E-sports datasets. The experimental results clearly verify the effectiveness of NeuralAC compared with several state-of-the-art methods.
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Yin Gu, Qi Liu, Kai Zhang, Zhenya Huang, Runze Wu, Jianrong Tao
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
Hierarchical Negative Binomial Factorization for Recommender Systems on Implicit Feedback
| null |
When exposed to an item in a recommender system, a user may consume it (known as success exposure) or neglect it (known as failure exposure). The recently proposed methods that consider both success and failure exposure merely regard failure exposure as a constant prior, thus being capable of neither modeling various user behavior nor adapting to overdispersed data. In this paper, we propose a novel model, hierarchical negative binomial factorization, which models data dispersion via a hierarchical Bayesian structure, thus alleviating the effect of data overdispersion to help with performance gain for recommendation. Moreover, we factorize the dispersion of zero entries approximately into two low-rank matrices, thus reducing the updating time linear to the number of nonzero entries. The experiment shows that the proposed model outperforms state-of-the-art Poisson-based methods merely with a slight loss of inference speed.
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Li-Yen Kuo, Ming-Syan Chen
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
Estimating the Number of Induced Subgraphs from Incomplete Data and Neighborhood Queries
| null |
We consider a natural setting where network parameters are estimated from noisy and incomplete information about the network. More specifically, we investigate how we can efficiently estimate the number of small subgraphs (e.g., edges, triangles, etc.) based on full access to one or two noisy and incomplete samples of a large underlying network and on few queries revealing the neighborhood of carefully selected vertices. After specifying a random generator which removes edges from the underlying graph, we present estimators with strong provable performance guarantees, which exploit information from the noisy network samples and query a constant number of the most important vertices for the estimation. Our experimental evaluation shows that, in practice, a single noisy network sample and a couple of hundreds neighborhood queries suffice for accurately estimating the number of triangles in networks with millions of vertices and edges.
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Dimitris Fotakis, Thanasis Pittas, Stratis Skoulakis
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
Spatial-Temporal Fusion Graph Neural Networks for Traffic Flow Forecasting
| null |
Spatial-temporal data forecasting of traffic flow is a challenging task because of complicated spatial dependencies and dynamical trends of temporal pattern between different roads. Existing frameworks usually utilize given spatial adjacency graph and sophisticated mechanisms for modeling spatial and temporal correlations. However, limited representations of given spatial graph structure with incomplete adjacent connections may restrict effective spatial-temporal dependencies learning of those models. Furthermore, existing methods were out at elbows when solving complicated spatial-temporal data: they usually utilize separate modules for spatial and temporal correlations, or they only use independent components capturing localized or global heterogeneous dependencies. To overcome those limitations, our paper proposes a novel Spatial-Temporal Fusion Graph Neural Networks (STFGNN) for traffic flow forecasting. First, a data-driven method of generating “temporal graph” is proposed to compensate several genuine correlations that spatial graph may not reflect. STFGNN could effectively learn hidden spatial-temporal dependencies by a novel fusion operation of various spatial and temporal graphs, treated for different time periods in parallel. Meanwhile, by integrating this fusion graph module and a novel gated convolution module into a unified layer parallelly, STFGNN could handle long sequences by learning more spatial-temporal dependencies with layers stacked. Experimental results on several public traffic datasets demonstrate that our method achieves state-of-the-art performance consistently than other baselines.
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Mengzhang Li, Zhanxing Zhu
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
Randomized Generation of Adversary-aware Fake Knowledge Graphs to Combat Intellectual Property Theft
| null |
Knowledge Graphs (KGs) can be used to store information about software design, biomedical designs, and financial information---all domains where intellectual property and/or specialized knowledge must be kept confidential. Moreover, KGs can also be used to represent the content of technical documents. In order to deter theft of intellectual property via cyber-attacks, we consider the following problem: given a KG K0 (e.g., representing a software or biomedical device design or the content of a technical document), can we automatically generate a set of KGs that are similar enough to K0 (so they are hard to discern as synthetic) but sufficiently different (so as to be wrong)? If this is possible, then we will be one step closer to automatically generating fake KGs that an adversary has difficulty distinguishing from the original. We will also be closer to automatically generating documents corresponding to fake KGs so that an adversary who steals such documents has difficulty distinguishing the real from the fakes. We formally define this problem and prove that it is NP-hard. We show that obvious approaches to solving this problem do not satisfy a novel concept of "adversary-awareness" that we define. We provide a graph-theoretic characterization of the problem and leverage it to devise an "adversary-aware" algorithm. We validate the efficacy of our algorithm on 3 diverse real-world datasets, showing that it achieves high levels of deception.
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Snow Kang, Cristian Molinaro, Andrea Pugliese, V. S. Subrahmanian
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
LREN: Low-Rank Embedded Network for Sample-Free Hyperspectral Anomaly Detection
| null |
Hyperspectral anomaly detection (HAD) is a challenging task because it explores the intrinsic structure of complex high-dimensional signals without any samples at training time. Deep neural networks (DNNs) can dig out the underlying distribution of hyperspectral data but are limited by the labeling of large-scale hyperspectral datasets, especially the low spatial resolution of hyperspectral data, which makes labeling more difficult. To tackle this problem while ensuring the detection performance, we present an unsupervised low-rank embedded network (LREN) in this paper. LREN is a joint learning network in which the latent representation is specifically designed for HAD, rather than merely as a feature input for the detector. And it searches the lowest rank representation based on a representative and discriminative dictionary in the deep latent space to estimate the residual efficiently. Considering the physically mixing properties in hyperspectral imaging, we develop a trainable density estimation module based on Gaussian mixture model (GMM) in the deep latent space to construct a dictionary that can better characterize the complex hyperspectral images (HSIs). The closed-form solution of the proposed low-rank learner surpasses existing approaches on four real hyperspectral datasets with different anomalies. We argue that this unified framework paves a novel way to combine feature extraction and anomaly estimation-based methods for HAD, which intends to learn the underlying representation tailored for HAD without the prerequisite of manually labeled data. Code available at https://github.com/xdjiangkai/LREN.
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Kai Jiang, Weiying Xie, Jie Lei, Tao Jiang, Yunsong Li
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
PREMERE: Meta-Reweighting via Self-Ensembling for Point-of-Interest Recommendation
| null |
Point-of-interest (POI) recommendation has become an important research topic in these days. The user check-in history used as the input to POI recommendation is very imbalanced and noisy because of sparse and missing check-ins. Although sample reweighting is commonly adopted for addressing this challenge with the input data, its fixed weighting scheme is often inappropriate to deal with different characteristics of users or POIs. Thus, in this paper, we propose PREMERE, an adaptive weighting scheme based on meta-learning. Because meta-data is typically required by meta-learning but is inherently hard to obtain in POI recommendation, we self-generate the meta-data via self-ensembling. Furthermore, the meta-model architecture is extended to deal with the scarcity of check-ins. Thorough experiments show that replacing a weighting scheme with PREMERE boosts the performance of the state-of-the-art recommender algorithms by 2.36–26.9% on three benchmark datasets.
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Minseok Kim, Hwanjun Song, Doyoung Kim, Kijung Shin, Jae-Gil Lee
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
Knowledge-aware Coupled Graph Neural Network for Social Recommendation
| null |
Social recommendation task aims to predict users' preferences over items with the incorporation of social connections among users, so as to alleviate the sparse issue of collaborative filtering. While many recent efforts show the effectiveness of neural network-based social recommender systems, several important challenges have not been well addressed yet: (i) The majority of models only consider users’ social connections, while ignoring the inter-dependent knowledge across items; (ii) Most of existing solutions are designed for singular type of user-item interactions, making them infeasible to capture the interaction heterogeneity; (iii) The dynamic nature of user-item interactions has been less explored in many social-aware recommendation techniques. To tackle the above challenges, this work proposes a Knowledge-aware Coupled Graph Neural Network (KCGN) that jointly injects the inter-dependent knowledge across items and users into the recommendation framework. KCGN enables the high-order user- and item-wise relation encoding by exploiting the mutual information for global graph structure awareness. Additionally, we further augment KCGN with the capability of capturing dynamic multi-typed user-item interactive patterns. Experimental studies on real-world datasets show the effectiveness of our method against many strong baselines in a variety of settings. Source codes are available at: https://github.com/xhcdream/KCGN.
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Chao Huang, Huance Xu, Yong Xu, Peng Dai, Lianghao Xia, Mengyin Lu, Liefeng Bo, Hao Xing, Xiaoping Lai, Yanfang Ye
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
Towards Faster Deep Collaborative Filtering via Hierarchical Decision Networks
| null |
For personalized recommendations, collaborative filtering (CF) methods aim to recommend items to users based on data of historical user-item interactions. Deep learning has indicated success in improving performance of CF methods in recent works. However, to generate an item recommendation list for each user, a lot of deep learning based CF methods require every pair of users and items to be passed through multiple neural layers. This requires intensive computation and makes real-time end-to-end neural recommendations very costly. To address this issue, in this paper, we propose a new deep learning-based hierarchical decision network to filter out irrelevant items to save computation cost while maintaining good recommendation accuracy of deep CF methods. We also develop a distillation-based training algorithm, which uses a well-trained CF model as a teacher network to guide the training of the decision network. We conducted extensive experiments on real-world benchmark datasets to verify the effectiveness of efficiency of our decision network for making recommendations. The experimental results indicate that the proposed decision network is able to maintain or even improve the recommendation quality in terms of various metrics and meanwhile enjoy lower computational cost.
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Yu Chen, Sinno Jialin Pan
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
Graph-Enhanced Multi-Task Learning of Multi-Level Transition Dynamics for Session-based Recommendation
| null |
Session-based recommendation plays a central role in a wide spectrum of online applications, ranging from e-commerce to online advertising services. However, the majority of existing session-based recommendation techniques (e.g., attention-based recurrent network or graph neural network) are not well-designed for capturing the complex transition dynamics exhibited with temporally-ordered and multi-level interdependent relation structures. These methods largely overlook the relation hierarchy of item transitional patterns. In this paper, we propose a multi-task learning framework with Multi-level Transition Dynamics (MTD), which enables the jointly learning of intra- and inter-session item transition dynamics in automatic and hierarchical manner. Towards this end, we first develop a position-aware attention mechanism to learn item transitional regularities within individual session. Then, a graph-structured hierarchical relation encoder is proposed to explicitly capture the cross-session item transitions in the form of high-order connectivities by performing embedding propagation with the global graph context. The learning process of intra- and inter-session transition dynamics are integrated, to preserve the underlying low- and high-level item relationships in a common latent space. Extensive experiments on three real-world datasets demonstrate the superiority of MTD as compared to state-of-the-art baselines.
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Chao Huang, Jiahui Chen, Lianghao Xia, Yong Xu, Peng Dai, Yanqing Chen, Liefeng Bo, Jiashu Zhao, Jimmy Xiangji Huang
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
Revisiting Consistent Hashing with Bounded Loads
| null |
Dynamic load balancing lies at the heart of distributed caching. Here, the goal is to assign objects (load) to servers (computing nodes) in a way that provides load balancing while at the same time dynamically adjusts to the addition or removal of servers. Load balancing is a critical topic in many areas including cloud systems, distributed databases, and distributed and data-parallel machine learning. A popular and widely adopted solution to dynamic load balancing is the two-decade-old Consistent Hashing (CH). Recently, an elegant extension was provided to account for server bounds. In this paper, we identify that existing methodologies for CH and its variants suffer from cascaded overflow, leading to poor load balancing. This cascading effect leads to decreasing performance of the hashing procedure with increasing load. To overcome the cascading effect, we propose a simple solution to CH based on recent advances in fast minwise hashing. We show, both theoretically and empirically, that our proposed solution is significantly superior for load balancing and is optimal in many senses. On the AOL search dataset and Indiana University Clicks dataset with real user activity, our proposed solution reduces cache misses by several magnitudes.
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John Chen, Benjamin Coleman, Anshumali Shrivastava
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
A User-Adaptive Layer Selection Framework for Very Deep Sequential Recommender Models
| null |
Sequential recommender systems (SRS) have become a research hotspot in recent studies. Because of the requirement in capturing user's dynamic interests, sequential neural network based recommender models often need to be stacked with more hidden layers (e.g., up to 100 layers) compared with standard collaborative filtering methods. However, the high network latency has become the main obstacle when deploying very deep recommender models into a production environment. In this paper, we argue that the typical prediction framework that treats all users equally during the inference phase is inefficient in running time, as well as sub-optimal in accuracy. To resolve such an issue, we present SkipRec, an adaptive inference framework by learning to skip inactive hidden layers on a per-user basis. Specifically, we devise a policy network to automatically determine which layers should be retained and which layers are allowed to be skipped, so as to achieve user-specific decisions. To derive the optimal skipping policy, we propose using gumbel softmax and reinforcement learning to solve the non-differentiable problem during backpropagation. We perform extensive experiments on three real-world recommendation datasets, and demonstrate that SkipRec attains comparable or better accuracy with much less inference time.
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Lei Chen, Fajie Yuan, Jiaxi Yang, Xiang Ao, Chengming Li, Min Yang
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
|
Disposable Linear Bandits for Online Recommendations
| null |
We study the classic stochastic linear bandit problem under the restriction that each arm may be selected for limited number of times. This simple constraint, which we call disposability, captures a common restriction that occurs in recommendation problems from a diverse array of applications ranging from personalized styling services to dating platforms. We show that the regret for this problem is characterized by a previously-unstudied function of the reward distribution among optimal arms. Algorithmically, our upper bound relies on an optimism-based policy which, while computationally intractable, lends itself to approximation via a fast alternating heuristic initialized with a classic similarity score. Experiments show that our policy dominates a set of benchmarks which includes algorithms known to be optimal for the linear bandit without disposability, along with natural modifications to these algorithms for the disposable setting.
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Melda Korkut, Andrew Li
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Anomaly Attribution with Likelihood Compensation
| null |
This paper addresses the task of explaining anomalous predictions of a black-box regression model. When using a black-box model, such as one to predict building energy consumption from many sensor measurements, we often have a situation where some observed samples may significantly deviate from their prediction. It may be due to a sub-optimal black-box model, or simply because those samples are outliers. In either case, one would ideally want to compute a responsibility score indicative of the extent to which an input variable is responsible for the anomalous output. In this work, we formalize this task as a statistical inverse problem: Given model deviation from the expected value, infer the responsibility score of each of the input variables. We propose a new method called likelihood compensation (LC), which is founded on the likelihood principle and computes a correction to each input variable. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first principled framework that computes a responsibility score for real valued anomalous model deviations. We apply our approach to a real-world building energy prediction task and confirm its utility based on expert feedback.
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Tsuyoshi Idé, Amit Dhurandhar, Jiří Navrátil, Moninder Singh, Naoki Abe
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Leveraging Table Content for Zero-shot Text-to-SQL with Meta-Learning
| null |
Single-table text-to-SQL aims to transform a natural language question into a SQL query according to one single table. Recent work has made promising progress on this task by pre-trained language models and a multi-submodule framework. However, zero-shot table, that is, the invisible table in the training set, is currently the most critical bottleneck restricting the application of existing approaches to real-world scenarios. Although some work has utilized auxiliary tasks to help handle zero-shot tables, expensive extra manual annotation limits their practicality. In this paper, we propose a new approach for the zero-shot text-to-SQL task which does not rely on any additional manual annotations. Our approach consists of two parts. First, we propose a new model that leverages the abundant information of table content to help establish the mapping between questions and zero-shot tables. Further, we propose a simple but efficient meta-learning strategy to train our model. The strategy utilizes the two-step gradient update to force the model to learn a generalization ability towards zero-shot tables. We conduct extensive experiments on a public open-domain text-to-SQL dataset WikiSQL and a domain-specific dataset ESQL. Compared to existing approaches using the same pre-trained model, our approach achieves significant improvements on both datasets. Compared to the larger pre-trained model and the tabular-specific pre-trained model, our approach is still competitive. More importantly, on the zero-shot subsets of both the datasets, our approach further increases the improvements.
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Yongrui Chen, Xinnan Guo, Chaojie Wang, Jian Qiu, Guilin Qi, Meng Wang, Huiying Li
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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PASSLEAF: A Pool-bAsed Semi-Supervised LEArning Framework for Uncertain Knowledge Graph Embedding
| null |
In this paper, we study the problem of embedding uncertain knowledge graphs, where each relation between entities is associated with a confidence score. Observing the existing embedding methods may discard the uncertainty information, only incorporate a specific type of score function, or cause many false-negative samples in the training, we propose the PASSLEAF framework to solve the above issues. PASSLEAF consists of two parts, one is a model that can incorporate different types of scoring functions to predict the relation confidence scores and the other is the semi-supervised learning model by exploiting both positive and negative samples associated with the estimated confidence scores. Furthermore, PASSLEAF leverages a sample pool as a relay of generated samples to further augment the semi-supervised learning. Experiment results show that our proposed framework can learn better embedding in terms of having higher accuracy in both the confidence score prediction and tail entity prediction.
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Zhu-Mu Chen, Mi-Yen Yeh, Tei-Wei Kuo
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Graph Heterogeneous Multi-Relational Recommendation
| null |
Traditional studies on recommender systems usually leverage only one type of user behaviors (the optimization target, such as purchase), despite the fact that users also generate a large number of various types of interaction data (e.g., view, click, add-to-cart, etc). Generally, these heterogeneous multi-relational data provide well-structured information and can be used for high-quality recommendation. Early efforts towards leveraging these heterogeneous data fail to capture the high-hop structure of user-item interactions, which are unable to make full use of them and may only achieve constrained recommendation performance. In this work, we propose a new multi-relational recommendation model named Graph Heterogeneous Collaborative Filtering (GHCF). To explore the high-hop heterogeneous user-item interactions, we take the advantages of Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) and further improve it to jointly embed both representations of nodes (users and items) and relations for multi-relational prediction. Moreover, to fully utilize the whole heterogeneous data, we perform the advanced efficient non-sampling optimization under a multi-task learning framework. Experimental results on two public benchmarks show that GHCF significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art recommendation methods, especially for cold-start users who have few primary item interactions. Further analysis verifies the importance of the proposed embedding propagation for modelling high-hop heterogeneous user-item interactions, showing the rationality and effectiveness of GHCF. Our implementation has been released (https://github.com/chenchongthu/GHCF).
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Chong Chen, Weizhi Ma, Min Zhang, Zhaowei Wang, Xiuqiang He, Chenyang Wang, Yiqun Liu, Shaoping Ma
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Efficient Optimal Selection for Composited Advertising Creatives with Tree Structure
| null |
Ad creatives are one of the prominent mediums for online e-commerce advertisements. Ad creatives with enjoyable visual appearance may increase the click-through rate (CTR) of products. Ad creatives are typically handcrafted by advertisers and then delivered to the advertising platforms for advertisement. In recent years, advertising platforms are capable of instantly compositing ad creatives with arbitrarily designated elements of each ingredient, so advertisers are only required to provide basic materials. While facilitating the advertisers, a great number of potential ad creatives can be composited, making it difficult to accurately estimate CTR for them given limited real-time feedback. To this end, we propose an Adaptive and Efficient ad creative Selection (AES) framework based on a tree structure. The tree structure on compositing ingredients enables dynamic programming for efficient ad creative selection on the basis of CTR. Due to limited feedback, the CTR estimator is usually of high variance. Exploration techniques based on Thompson sampling are widely used for reducing variances of the CTR estimator, alleviating feedback sparsity. Based on the tree structure, Thompson sampling is adapted with dynamic programming, leading to efficient exploration for potential ad creatives with the largest CTR. We finally evaluate the proposed algorithm on the synthetic dataset and the real-world dataset. The results show that our approach can outperform competing baselines in terms of convergence rate and overall CTR.
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Jin Chen, Tiezheng Ge, Gangwei Jiang, Zhiqiang Zhang, Defu Lian, Kai Zheng
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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A Market-Inspired Bidding Scheme for Peer Review Paper Assignment
| null |
We propose a market-inspired bidding scheme for the assignment of paper reviews in large academic conferences. We provide an analysis of the incentives of reviewers during the bidding phase, when reviewers have both private costs and some information about the demand for each paper; and their goal is to obtain the best possible k papers for a predetermined k. We show that by assigning `budgets' to reviewers and a `price' for every paper that is (roughly) proportional to its demand, the best response of a reviewer is to bid sincerely, i.e., on her most favorite papers, and match the budget even when it is not enforced. This game-theoretic analysis is based on a simple, prototypical assignment algorithm. We show via extensive simulations on bidding data from real conferences, that our bidding scheme would substantially improve both the bid distribution and the resulting assignment.
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Reshef Meir, Jérôme Lang, Julien Lesca, Nicholas Mattei, Natan Kaminsky
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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A Novice-Reviewer Experiment to Address Scarcity of Qualified Reviewers in Large Conferences
| null |
Conference peer review constitutes a human-computation process whose importance cannot be overstated: not only it identifies the best submissions for acceptance, but, ultimately, it impacts the future of the whole research area by promoting some ideas and restraining others. A surge in the number of submissions received by leading AI conferences has challenged the sustainability of the review process by increasing the burden on the pool of qualified reviewers which is growing at a much slower rate. In this work, we consider the problem of reviewer recruiting with a focus on the scarcity of qualified reviewers in large conferences. Specifically, we design a procedure for (i) recruiting reviewers from the population not typically covered by major conferences and (ii) guiding them through the reviewing pipeline. In conjunction with the ICML 2020 --- a large, top-tier machine learning conference --- we recruit a small set of reviewers through our procedure and compare their performance with the general population of ICML reviewers. Our experiment reveals that a combination of the recruiting and guiding mechanisms allows for a principled enhancement of the reviewer pool and results in reviews of superior quality compared to the conventional pool of reviews as evaluated by senior members of the program committee (meta-reviewers).
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Ivan Stelmakh, Nihar B. Shah, Aarti Singh, Hal Daumé III
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Persistence of Anti-vaccine Sentiment in Social Networks Through Strategic Interactions
| null |
Vaccination is the primary intervention for controlling the spread of infectious diseases. A certain level of vaccination rate (referred to as "herd immunity'') is needed for this intervention to be effective. However, there are concerns that herd immunity might not be achieved due to an increasing level of hesitancy and opposition to vaccines. One of the primary reasons for this is the cost of non-conformance with one's peers. We use the framework of network coordination games to study the persistence of anti-vaccine sentiment in a population. We extend it to incorporate the opposing forces of the pressure of conforming to peers, herd-immunity and vaccination benefits. We study the structure of the equilibria in such games, and the characteristics of unvaccinated nodes. We also study Stackelberg strategies to reduce the number of nodes with anti-vaccine sentiment. Finally, we evaluate our results on different kinds of real world social networks.
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A S M Ahsan-Ul Haque, Mugdha Thakur, Matthew Bielskas, Achla Marathe, Anil Vullikanti
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Automated Model Design and Benchmarking of Deep Learning Models for COVID-19 Detection with Chest CT Scans
| null |
The COVID-19 pandemic has spread globally for several months. Because its transmissibility and high pathogenicity seriously threaten people's lives, it is crucial to accurately and quickly detect COVID-19 infection. Many recent studies have shown that deep learning (DL) based solutions can help detect COVID-19 based on chest CT scans. However, most existing work focuses on 2D datasets, which may result in low quality models as the real CT scans are 3D images. Besides, the reported results span a broad spectrum on different datasets with a relatively unfair comparison. In this paper, we first use three state-of-the-art 3D models (ResNet3D101, DenseNet3D121, and MC3_18) to establish the baseline performance on three publicly available chest CT scan datasets. Then we propose a differentiable neural architecture search (DNAS) framework to automatically search the 3D DL models for 3D chest CT scans classification and use the Gumbel Softmax technique to improve the search efficiency. We further exploit the Class Activation Mapping (CAM) technique on our models to provide the interpretability of the results. The experimental results show that our searched models (CovidNet3D) outperform the baseline human-designed models on three datasets with tens of times smaller model size and higher accuracy. Furthermore, the results also verify that CAM can be well applied in CovidNet3D for COVID-19 datasets to provide interpretability for medical diagnosis. Code: https://github.com/HKBU-HPML/CovidNet3D.
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Xin He, Shihao Wang, Xiaowen Chu, Shaohuai Shi, Jiangping Tang, Xin Liu, Chenggang Yan, Jiyong Zhang, Guiguang Ding
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Deep Transfer Tensor Decomposition with Orthogonal Constraint for Recommender Systems
| null |
Tensor decomposition is one of the most effective techniques for multi-criteria recommendations. However, it suffers from data sparsity when dealing with three-dimensional (3D) user-item-criterion ratings. To mitigate this issue, we consider effectively incorporating the side information and cross-domain knowledge in tensor decomposition. A deep transfer tensor decomposition (DTTD) method is proposed by integrating deep structure and Tucker decomposition, where an orthogonal constrained stacked denoising autoencoder (OC-SDAE) is proposed for alleviating the scale variation in learning effective latent representation, and the side information is incorporated as a compensation for tensor sparsity. Tucker decomposition generates private users and items' latent factors to connect with OC-SDAEs and creates a common core tensor to bridge different domains. A cross-domain alignment algorithm (CDAA) is proposed to solve the rotation issue between two core tensors in source and target domain. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work in Tucker decomposition based recommendations to use deep structure to incorporate the side information and cross-domain knowledge. Experiments show that DTTD outperforms state-of-the-art related works.
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Zhengyu Chen, Ziqing Xu, Donglin Wang
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Extreme k-Center Clustering
| null |
Metric clustering is a fundamental primitive in machine learning with several applications for mining massive datasets. An important example of metric clustering is the k-center problem. While this problem has been extensively studied in distributed settings, all previous algorithms use Ω(k) space per machine and Ω(n k) total work. In this paper, we develop the first highly scalable approximation algorithm for k-center clustering, with O~(n^ε) space per machine and O~(n^(1+ε)) total work, for arbitrary small constant ε. It produces an O(log log log n)-approximate solution with k(1+o(1)) centers in O(log log n) rounds of computation.
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MohammadHossein Bateni, Hossein Esfandiari, Manuela Fischer, Vahab Mirrokni
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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STELAR: Spatio-temporal Tensor Factorization with Latent Epidemiological Regularization
| null |
Accurate prediction of the transmission of epidemic diseases such as COVID-19 is crucial for implementing effective mitigation measures. In this work, we develop a tensor method to predict the evolution of epidemic trends for many regions simultaneously. We construct a 3-way spatio-temporal tensor (location, attribute, time) of case counts and propose a nonnegative tensor factorization with latent epidemiological model regularization named STELAR. Unlike standard tensor factorization methods which cannot predict slabs ahead, STELAR enables long-term prediction by incorporating latent temporal regularization through a system of discrete-time difference equations of a widely adopted epidemiological model. We use latent instead of location/attribute-level epidemiological dynamics to capture common epidemic profile sub-types and improve collaborative learning and prediction. We conduct experiments using both county- and state-level COVID-19 data and show that our model can identify interesting latent patterns of the epidemic. Finally, we evaluate the predictive ability of our method and show superior performance compared to the baselines, achieving up to 21% lower root mean square error and 25% lower mean absolute error for county-level prediction.
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Nikos Kargas, Cheng Qian, Nicholas D. Sidiropoulos, Cao Xiao, Lucas M. Glass, Jimeng Sun
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Steering a Historical Disease Forecasting Model Under a Pandemic: Case of Flu and COVID-19
| null |
Forecasting influenza in a timely manner aids health organizations and policymakers in adequate preparation and decision making. However, effective influenza forecasting still remains a challenge despite increasing research interest. It is even more challenging amidst the COVID pandemic, when the influenza-like illness (ILI) counts are affected by various factors such as symptomatic similarities with COVID-19 and shift in healthcare seeking patterns of the general population. Under the current pandemic, historical influenza models carry valuable expertise about the disease dynamics but face difficulties adapting. Therefore, we propose CALI-Net, a neural transfer learning architecture which allows us to 'steer' a historical disease forecasting model to new scenarios where flu and COVID co-exist. Our framework enables this adaptation by automatically learning when it should emphasize learning from COVID-related signals and when it should learn from the historical model. Thus, we exploit representations learned from historical ILI data as well as the limited COVID-related signals. Our experiments demonstrate that our approach is successful in adapting a historical forecasting model to the current pandemic. In addition, we show that success in our primary goal, adaptation, does not sacrifice overall performance as compared with state-of-the-art influenza forecasting approaches.
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Alexander Rodríguez, Nikhil Muralidhar, Bijaya Adhikari, Anika Tabassum, Naren Ramakrishnan, B. Aditya Prakash
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Gaining Insight into SARS-CoV-2 Infection and COVID-19 Severity Using Self-supervised Edge Features and Graph Neural Networks
| null |
A molecular and cellular understanding of how SARS-CoV-2 variably infects and causes severe COVID-19 remains a bottleneck in developing interventions to end the pandemic. We sought to use deep learning (DL) to study the biology of SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 severity by identifying transcriptomic patterns and cell types associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 severity. To do this, we developed a new approach to generating self-supervised edge features. We propose a model that builds on Graph Attention Networks (GAT), creates edge features using self-supervised learning, and ingests these edge features via a Set Transformer. This model achieves significant improvements in predicting the disease state of individual cells, given their transcriptome. We apply our model to single-cell RNA sequencing datasets of SARS-CoV-2 infected lung organoids and bronchoalveolar lavage fluid samples of patients with COVID-19, achieving state-of-the-art performance on both datasets with our model. We then borrow from the field of explainable AI (XAI) to identify the features (genes) and cell types that discriminate bystander vs. infected cells across time and moderate vs. severe COVID-19 disease. To the best of our knowledge, this represents the first application of DL to identifying the molecular and cellular determinants of SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 severity using single-cell omics data.
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Arijit Sehanobish, Neal Ravindra, David van Dijk
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Tracking Disease Outbreaks from Sparse Data with Bayesian Inference
| null |
The COVID-19 pandemic provides new motivation for a classic problem in epidemiology: estimating the empirical rate of transmission during an outbreak (formally, the time-varying reproduction number) from case counts. While standard methods exist, they work best at coarse-grained national or state scales with abundant data, and struggle to accommodate the partial observability and sparse data common at finer scales (e.g., individual schools or towns). For example, case counts may be sparse when only a small fraction of infections are caught by a testing program. Or, whether an infected individual tests positive may depend on the kind of test and the point in time when they are tested. We propose a Bayesian framework which accommodates partial observability in a principled manner. Our model places a Gaussian process prior over the unknown reproduction number at each time step and models observations sampled from the distribution of a specific testing program. For example, our framework can accommodate a variety of kinds of tests (viral RNA, antibody, antigen, etc.) and sampling schemes (e.g., longitudinal or cross-sectional screening). Inference in this framework is complicated by the presence of tens or hundreds of thousands of discrete latent variables. To address this challenge, we propose an efficient stochastic variational inference method which relies on a novel gradient estimator for the variational objective. Experimental results for an example motivated by COVID-19 show that our method produces an accurate and well-calibrated posterior, while standard methods for estimating the reproduction number can fail badly.
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Bryan Wilder, Michael Mina, Milind Tambe
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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MiniSeg: An Extremely Minimum Network for Efficient COVID-19 Segmentation
| null |
The rapid spread of the new pandemic, i.e., COVID-19, has severely threatened global health. Deep-learning-based computer-aided screening, e.g., COVID-19 infected CT area segmentation, has attracted much attention. However, the publicly available COVID-19 training data are limited, easily causing overfitting for traditional deep learning methods that are usually data-hungry with millions of parameters. On the other hand, fast training/testing and low computational cost are also necessary for quick deployment and development of COVID-19 screening systems, but traditional deep learning methods are usually computationally intensive. To address the above problems, we propose MiniSeg, a lightweight deep learning model for efficient COVID-19 segmentation. Compared with traditional segmentation methods, MiniSeg has several significant strengths: i) it only has 83K parameters and is thus not easy to overfit; ii) it has high computational efficiency and is thus convenient for practical deployment; iii) it can be fast retrained by other users using their private COVID-19 data for further improving performance. In addition, we build a comprehensive COVID-19 segmentation benchmark for comparing MiniSeg to traditional methods.
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Yu Qiu, Yun Liu, Shijie Li, Jing Xu
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Context Matters: Graph-based Self-supervised Representation Learning for Medical Images
| null |
Supervised learning method requires a large volume of annotated datasets. Collecting such datasets is time-consuming and expensive. Until now, very few annotated COVID-19 imaging datasets are available. Although self-supervised learning enables us to bootstrap the training by exploiting unlabeled data, the generic self-supervised methods for natural images do not sufficiently incorporate the context. For medical images, a desirable method should be sensitive enough to detect deviation from normal-appearing tissue of each anatomical region; here, anatomy is the context. We introduce a novel approach with two levels of self-supervised representation learning objectives: one on the regional anatomical level and another on the patient-level. We use graph neural networks to incorporate the relationship between different anatomical regions. The structure of the graph is informed by anatomical correspondences between each patient and an anatomical atlas. In addition, the graph representation has the advantage of handling any arbitrarily sized image in full resolution. Experiments on large-scale Computer Tomography (CT) datasets of lung images show that our approach compares favorably to baseline methods that do not account for the context. We use the learnt embedding to quantify the clinical progression of COVID-19 and show that our method generalizes well to COVID-19 patients from different hospitals. Qualitative results suggest that our model can identify clinically relevant regions in the images.
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Li Sun, Ke Yu, Kayhan Batmanghelich
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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C-Watcher: A Framework for Early Detection of High-Risk Neighborhoods Ahead of COVID-19 Outbreak
| null |
The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has crushed daily routines and is still rampaging through the world. Existing solution for nonpharmaceutical interventions usually needs to timely and precisely select a subset of residential urban areas for containment or even quarantine, where the spatial distribution of confirmed cases has been considered as a key criterion for the subset selection. While such containment measure has successfully stopped or slowed down the spread of COVID-19 in some countries, it is criticized for being inefficient or ineffective, as the statistics of confirmed cases are usually time-delayed and coarse-grained. To tackle the issues, we propose C-Watcher, a novel data-driven framework that aims at screening every neighborhood in a target city and predicting infection risks, prior to the spread of COVID-19 from epicenters to the city. In terms of design, C-Watcher collects large-scale long-term human mobility data from Baidu Maps, then characterizes every residential neighborhood in the city using a set of features based on urban mobility patterns. Furthermore, to transfer the firsthand knowledge (witted in epicenters) to the target city before local outbreaks, we adopt a novel adversarial encoder framework to learn “city-invariant” representations from the mobility-related features for precise early detection of high-risk neighborhoods, even before any confirmed cases known, in the target city. We carried out extensive experiments on C-Watcher using the real-data records in the early stage of COVID-19 outbreaks, where the results demonstrate the efficiency and effectiveness of C-Watcher for early detection of high-risk neighborhoods from a large number of cities.
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Congxi Xiao, Jingbo Zhou, Jizhou Huang, An Zhuo, Ji Liu, Haoyi Xiong, Dejing Dou
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Adaptive Teaching of Temporal Logic Formulas to Preference-based Learners
| null |
Machine teaching is an algorithmic framework for teaching a target hypothesis via a sequence of examples or demonstrations. We investigate machine teaching for temporal logic formulas—a novel and expressive hypothesis class amenable to time-related task specifications. In the context of teaching temporal logic formulas, an exhaustive search even for a myopic solution takes exponential time (with respect to the time span of the task). We propose an efficient approach for teaching parametric linear temporal logic formulas. Concretely, we derive a necessary condition for the minimal time length of a demonstration to eliminate a set of hypotheses. Utilizing this condition, we propose an efficient myopic teaching algorithm by solving a sequence of integer programming problems. We further show that, under two notions of teaching complexity, the proposed algorithm has near-optimal performance. We evaluate our algorithm extensively under different classes of learners (i.e., learners with different preferences over hypotheses) and interaction protocols (e.g., non-adaptive and adaptive). Our results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm in teaching temporal logic formulas; in particular, we show that there are significant gains of teaching efficacy when the teacher adapts to feedback of the learner, or adapts to a (non-myopic) oracle.
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Zhe Xu, Yuxin Chen, Ufuk Topcu
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Savable but Lost Lives when ICU Is Overloaded: a Model from 733 Patients in Epicenter Wuhan, China
| null |
Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) causes a sudden turnover to bad at some checkpoints and thus needs the intervention of intensive care unit (ICU). This resulted in urgent and large needs of ICUs posed great risks to the medical system. Estimating the mortality of critical in-patients who were not admitted into the ICU will be valuable to optimize the management and assignment of ICU. Retrospective, 733 in-patients diagnosed with COVID-19 at a local hospital (Wuhan, China), as of March 18, 2020. Demographic, clinical and laboratory results were collected and analyzed using machine learning to build a predictive model. Considering the shortage of ICU beds at the beginning of disease emergence, we defined the mortality for those patients who were predicted to be in needing ICU care yet they did not as Missing-ICU (MI)-mortality. To estimate MI-mortality, a prognostic classification model was built to identify the in-patients who may need ICU care. Its predictive accuracy was 0.8288, with an AUC of 0.9119. On our cohort of 733 patients, 25 in-patients who have been predicted by our model that they should need ICU, yet they did not enter ICU due to lack of shorting ICU wards. Our analysis had shown that the MI-mortality is 41%, yet the mortality of ICU is 32%, implying that enough bed of ICU in treating patients in critical conditions.
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Tingting Dan, Yang Li, Ziwei Zhu, Xijie Chen, Wuxiu Quan, Yu Hu, Guihua Tao, Lei Zhu, Jijin Zhu, Hongmin Cai, Hanchun Wen
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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A Scalable Reasoning and Learning Approach for Neural-Symbolic Stream Fusion
| null |
Driven by deep neural networks (DNN), the recent development of computer vision makes vision sensors such as stereo cameras and Lidars ubiquitous in autonomous cars, robotics and traffic monitoring. However, a traditional DNN-based data fusion pipeline like object tracking has to hard-wire an engineered set of DNN models to a fixed processing logic, which makes it difficult to infuse new models to that pipeline. To overcome this, we propose a novel neural-symbolic stream reasoning approach realised by semantic stream reasoning programs which specify DNN-based data fusion pipelines via logic rules with learnable probabilistic degrees as weights. The reasoning task over this program is governed by a novel incremental reasoning algorithm, which lends itself also as a core building block for a scalable and parallel algorithm to learn the weights for such program. Extensive experiments with our first prototype on multi-object tracking benchmarks for autonomous driving and traffic monitoring show that our flexible approach can considerably improve both accuracy and processing throughput compared to the DNN-based counterparts.
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Danh Le-Phuoc, Thomas Eiter, Anh Le-Tuan
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Classification by Attention: Scene Graph Classification with Prior Knowledge
| null |
A major challenge in scene graph classification is that the appearance of objects and relations can be significantly different from one image to another. Previous works have addressed this by relational reasoning over all objects in an image or incorporating prior knowledge into classification. Unlike previous works, we do not consider separate models for perception and prior knowledge. Instead, we take a multi-task learning approach by introducing schema representations and implementing the classification as an attention layer between image-based representations and the schemata. This allows for the prior knowledge to emerge and propagate within the perception model. By enforcing the model also to represent the prior, we achieve a strong inductive bias. We show that our model can accurately generate commonsense knowledge and that the iterative injection of this knowledge to scene representations, as a top-down mechanism, leads to significantly higher classification performance. Additionally, our model can be fine-tuned on external knowledge given as triples. When combined with self-supervised learning and with 1% of annotated images only, this gives more than 3% improvement in object classification, 26% in scene graph classification, and 36% in predicate prediction accuracy.
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Sahand Sharifzadeh, Sina Moayed Baharlou, Volker Tresp
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Recognizing and Verifying Mathematical Equations using Multiplicative Differential Neural Units
| null |
Automated mathematical reasoning is a challenging problem that requires an agent to learn algebraic patterns that contain long-range dependencies. Two particular tasks that test this type of reasoning are (1)mathematical equation verification,which requires determining whether trigonometric and linear algebraic statements are valid identities or not, and (2)equation completion, which entails filling in a blank within an expression to make it true. Solving these tasks with deep learning requires that the neural model learn how to manipulate and compose various algebraic symbols, carrying this ability over to previously unseen expressions. Artificial neural net-works, including recurrent networks and transformers, struggle to generalize on these kinds of difficult compositional problems, often exhibiting poor extrapolation performance.In contrast, recursive neural networks (recursive-NNs) are,theoretically, capable of achieving better extrapolation due to their tree-like design but are very difficult to optimize as the depth of their underlying tree structure increases. To over-come this, we extend recursive-NNs to utilize multiplicative,higher-order synaptic connections and, furthermore, to learn to dynamically control and manipulate an external memory.We argue that this key modification gives the neural system the ability to capture powerful transition functions for each possible input. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our pro-posed higher-order, memory-augmented recursive-NN models on two challenging mathematical equation tasks, showing improved extrapolation, stable performance, and faster convergence. We show that our models achieve 1.53% average improvement over current state-of-the-art methods in equation verification and achieve 2.22% top-1 average accuracy and 2.96% top-5 average accuracy for equation completion.
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Ankur Mali, Alexander G. Ororbia, Daniel Kifer, C. Lee Giles
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Encoding Human Domain Knowledge to Warm Start Reinforcement Learning
| null |
Deep reinforcement learning has been successful in a variety of tasks, such as game playing and robotic manipulation. However, attempting to learn tabula rasa disregards the logical structure of many domains as well as the wealth of readily available knowledge from domain experts that could help "warm start" the learning process. We present a novel reinforcement learning technique that allows for intelligent initialization of a neural network weights and architecture. Our approach permits the encoding domain knowledge directly into a neural decision tree, and improves upon that knowledge with policy gradient updates. We empirically validate our approach on two OpenAI Gym tasks and two modified StarCraft 2 tasks, showing that our novel architecture outperforms multilayer-perceptron and recurrent architectures. Our knowledge-based framework finds superior policies compared to imitation learning-based and prior knowledge-based approaches. Importantly, we demonstrate that our approach can be used by untrained humans to initially provide >80% increase in expected reward relative to baselines prior to training (p < 0.001), which results in a >60% increase in expected reward after policy optimization (p = 0.011).
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Andrew Silva, Matthew Gombolay
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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A Unified Framework for Planning with Learned Neural Network Transition Models
| null |
Automated planning with neural network transition models is a two stage approach to solving planning problems with unknown transition models. The first stage of the approach learns the unknown transition model from data as a neural network model, and the second stage of the approach compiles the learned model to either a Mixed-Integer Linear Programming (MILP) model or a Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) model, and optimize it using an off-the-shelf solver. The previous studies have shown that both models have their advantages and disadvantages. Namely, the MILP model can be solved optimally using a branch-and-bound algorithm but has been experimentally shown not to scale well for neural networks with multiple hidden layers. In contrast, the RNN model can be solved effectively using a gradient descent algorithm but can only work under very restrictive assumptions. In this paper, we focus on improving the effectiveness of solving the second stage of the approach by introducing (i) a novel Lagrangian RNN architecture that can model the previously ignored components of the planning problem as Lagrangian functions, and (ii) a novel framework that unifies the MILP and the Lagrangian RNN models such that the weakness of one model is complemented by the strength of the other. Experimentally, we show that our unifying framework significantly outperforms the standalone MILP model by solving 80% more problem instances, and showcase the ability of our unifying framework to find high quality solutions to challenging automated planning problems with unknown transition models.
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Buser Say
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Power in Liquid Democracy
| null |
The paper develops a theory of power for delegable proxy voting systems. We define a power index able to measure the influence of both voters and delegators. Using this index, which we characterize axiomatically, we extend an earlier game-theoretic model by incorporating power-seeking behavior by agents. We analytically study the existence of pure strategy Nash equilibria in such a model. Finally, by means of simulations, we study the effect of several parameters on the emergence of power inequalities in the model.
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Yuzhe Zhang, Davide Grossi
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Learning Game-Theoretic Models of Multiagent Trajectories Using Implicit Layers
| null |
For prediction of interacting agents' trajectories, we propose an end-to-end trainable architecture that hybridizes neural nets with game-theoretic reasoning, has interpretable intermediate representations, and transfers to downstream decision making. It uses a net that reveals preferences from the agents' past joint trajectory, and a differentiable implicit layer that maps these preferences to local Nash equilibria, forming the modes of the predicted future trajectory. Additionally, it learns an equilibrium refinement concept. For tractability, we introduce a new class of continuous potential games and an equilibrium-separating partition of the action space. We provide theoretical results for explicit gradients and soundness. In experiments, we evaluate our approach on two real-world data sets, where we predict highway drivers' merging trajectories, and on a simple decision-making transfer task.
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Philipp Geiger, Christoph-Nikolas Straehle
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Answering Complex Queries in Knowledge Graphs with Bidirectional Sequence Encoders
| null |
Representation learning for knowledge graphs (KGs) has focused on the problem of answering simple link prediction queries. In this work we address the more ambitious challenge of predicting the answers of conjunctive queries with multiple missing entities. We propose Bidirectional Query Embedding (BiQE), a method that embeds conjunctive queries with models based on bi-directional attention mechanisms. Contrary to prior work, bidirectional self-attention can capture interactions among all the elements of a query graph. We introduce two new challenging datasets for studying conjunctive query inference and conduct experiments on several benchmark datasets that demonstrate BiQE significantly outperforms state of the art baselines.
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Bhushan Kotnis, Carolin Lawrence, Mathias Niepert
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Aligning Artificial Neural Networks and Ontologies towards Explainable AI
| null |
Neural networks have been the key to solve a variety of different problems. However, neural network models are still regarded as black boxes, since they do not provide any human-interpretable evidence as to why they output a certain result. We address this issue by leveraging on ontologies and building small classifiers that map a neural network model's internal state to concepts from an ontology, enabling the generation of symbolic justifications for the output of neural network models. Using an image classification problem as testing ground, we discuss how to map the internal state of a neural network to the concepts of an ontology, examine whether the results obtained by the established mappings match our understanding of the mapped concepts, and analyze the justifications obtained through this method.
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Manuel de Sousa Ribeiro, João Leite
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Interpretable Actions: Controlling Experts with Understandable Commands
| null |
Despite the prevalence of deep neural networks, their single most cited drawback is that, even when successful, their operations are inscrutable. For many applications, the desired outputs are the composition of externally-defined bases. For such decomposable domains, we present a two-stage learning procedure producing combinations of the external bases which are trivially extractable from the network. In the first stage, the set of external bases that will form the solution are modeled as differentiable generator modules, controlled by the same parameters as the external bases. In the second stage, a controller network is created that selects parameters for those generators, either successively or in parallel, to compose the final solution. Through three tasks, we concretely demonstrate how our system yields readily understandable commands. In one, we introduce a new form of artistic style transfer, learning to draw and color with crayons, in which the transformation of a photograph or painting occurs not as a single monolithic computation, but by the composition of thousands of individual, visualizable strokes. The other two tasks, single-pass function approximation with arbitrary bases and shape-based synthesis, show how our approach produces understandable and extractable actions in two disparate domains.
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Shumeet Baluja, David Marwood, Michele Covell
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Computing Ex Ante Coordinated Team-Maxmin Equilibria in Zero-Sum Multiplayer Extensive-Form Games
| null |
Computational game theory has many applications in the modern world in both adversarial situations and the optimization of social good. While there exist many algorithms for computing solutions in two-player interactions, finding optimal strategies in multiplayer interactions efficiently remains an open challenge. This paper focuses on computing the multiplayer Team-Maxmin Equilibrium with Coordination device (TMECor) in zero-sum extensive-form games. TMECor models scenarios when a team of players coordinates ex ante against an adversary. Such situations can be found in card games (e.g., in Bridge and Poker), when a team works together to beat a target player but communication is prohibited; and also in real world, e.g., in forest-protection operations, when coordinated groups have limited contact during interdicting illegal loggers. The existing algorithms struggle to find a TMECor efficiently because of their high computational costs. To compute a TMECor in larger games, we make the following key contributions: (1) we propose a hybrid-form strategy representation for the team, which preserves the set of equilibria; (2) we introduce a column-generation algorithm with a guaranteed finite-time convergence in the infinite strategy space based on a novel best-response oracle; (3) we develop an associated-representation technique for the exact representation of the multilinear terms in the best-response oracle; and (4) we experimentally show that our algorithm is several orders of magnitude faster than prior state-of-the-art algorithms in large games.
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Youzhi Zhang, Bo An, Jakub Černý
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Incentive-Aware PAC Learning
| null |
We study PAC learning in the presence of strategic manipulation, where data points may modify their features in certain predefined ways in order to receive a better outcome. We show that the vanilla ERM principle fails to achieve any nontrivial guarantee in this context. Instead, we propose an incentive-aware version of the ERM principle which has asymptotically optimal sample complexity. We then focus our attention on incentive-compatible classifiers, which provably prevent any kind of strategic manipulation. We give a sample complexity bound that is, curiously, independent of the hypothesis class, for the ERM principle restricted to incentive-compatible classifiers. This suggests that incentive compatibility alone can act as an effective means of regularization. We further show that it is without loss of generality to consider only incentive-compatible classifiers when opportunities for strategic manipulation satisfy a transitivity condition. As a consequence, in such cases, our hypothesis-class-independent sample complexity bound applies even without incentive compatibility. Our results set the foundations of incentive-aware PAC learning.
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Hanrui Zhang, Vincent Conitzer
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Classification with Few Tests through Self-Selection
| null |
We study test-based binary classification, where a principal either accepts or rejects agents based on the outcomes they get in a set of tests. The principal commits to a policy, which consists of all sets of outcomes that lead to acceptance. Each agent is modeled by a distribution over the space of possible outcomes. When an agent takes a test, he pays a cost and receives an independent sample from his distribution as the outcome. Agents can always choose between taking another test and stopping. They maximize their expected utility, which is the value of acceptance if the principal's policy accepts the set of outcomes they have and 0 otherwise, minus the total cost of tests taken. We focus on the case where agents can be either "good" or "bad" (corresponding to their distribution over test outcomes), and the principal's goal is to accept good agents and reject bad ones. We show, roughly speaking, that as long as the good and bad agents have different distributions (which can be arbitrarily close to each other), the principal can always achieve perfect accuracy, meaning good agents are accepted with probability 1, and bad ones are rejected with probability 1. Moreover, there is a policy achieving perfect accuracy under which the maximum number of tests any agent needs to take is constant — in sharp contrast to the case where the principal directly observes samples from agents' distributions. The key technique is to choose the policy so that agents self-select into taking tests.
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Hanrui Zhang, Yu Cheng, Vincent Conitzer
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Finding and Certifying (Near-)Optimal Strategies in Black-Box Extensive-Form Games
| null |
Often---for example in war games, strategy video games, and financial simulations---the game is given to us only as a black-box simulator in which we can play it. In these settings, since the game may have unknown nature action distributions (from which we can only obtain samples) and/or be too large to expand fully, it can be difficult to compute strategies with guarantees on exploitability. Recent work (Zhang and Sandholm 2020) resulted in a notion of certificate for extensive-form games that allows exploitability guarantees while not expanding the full game tree. However, that work assumed that the black box could sample or expand arbitrary nodes of the game tree at any time, and that a series of exact game solves (via, for example, linear programming) can be conducted to compute the certificate. Each of those two assumptions severely restricts the practical applicability of that method. In this work, we relax both of the assumptions. We show that high-probability certificates can be obtained with a black box that can do nothing more than play through games, using only a regret minimizer as a subroutine. As a bonus, we obtain an equilibrium-finding algorithm with $tilde O(1/sqrt{T})$ convergence rate in the extensive-form game setting that does not rely on a sampling strategy with lower-bounded reach probabilities (which MCCFR assumes). We demonstrate experimentally that, in the black-box setting, our methods are able to provide nontrivial exploitability guarantees while expanding only a small fraction of the game tree.
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Brian Hu Zhang, Tuomas Sandholm
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Targeted Negative Campaigning: Complexity and Approximations
| null |
Given the ubiquity of negative campaigning in recent political elections, we find it important to study its properties from a computational perspective. To this end, we present a model where elections can be manipulated by convincing voters to demote specific non-favored candidates, and study its properties in the classic setting of scoring rules. When the goal is constructive (making a preferred candidate win), we prove that finding such a demotion strategy is easy for Plurality and Veto, while generally hard for t-approval and Borda. We also provide a t-factor approximation for t-approval for every fixed t, and a 3-factor approximation algorithm for Borda. Interestingly enough - following recent trends in political science that show that the effectiveness of negative campaigning depends on the type of candidate and demographic - when assigning varying prices to different possible demotion operations, we are able to provide inapproximability results. When the goal is destructive (making the leading opponent lose), we show that the problem is easy for a broad class of scoring rules.
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Avishai Zagoury, Orgad Keller, Avinatan Hassidim, Noam Hazon
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Dynamic Neuro-Symbolic Knowledge Graph Construction for Zero-shot Commonsense Question Answering
| null |
Understanding narratives requires reasoning about implicit world knowledge related to the causes, effects, and states of situations described in text. At the core of this challenge is how to access contextually relevant knowledge on demand and reason over it. In this paper, we present initial studies toward zero-shot commonsense question answering by formulating the task as inference over dynamically generated commonsense knowledge graphs. In contrast to previous studies for knowledge integration that rely on retrieval of existing knowledge from static knowledge graphs, our study requires commonsense knowledge integration where contextually relevant knowledge is often not present in existing knowledge bases. Therefore, we present a novel approach that generates contextually-relevant symbolic knowledge structures on demand using generative neural commonsense knowledge models. Empirical results on two datasets demonstrate the efficacy of our neuro-symbolic approach for dynamically constructing knowledge graphs for reasoning. Our approach achieves significant performance boosts over pretrained language models and vanilla knowledge models, all while providing interpretable reasoning paths for its predictions.
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Antoine Bosselut, Ronan Le Bras, Yejin Choi
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Self-Supervised Self-Supervision by Combining Deep Learning and Probabilistic Logic
| null |
Labeling training examples at scale is a perennial challenge in machine learning. Self-supervision methods compensate for the lack of direct supervision by leveraging prior knowledge to automatically generate noisy labeled examples. Deep probabilistic logic (DPL) is a unifying framework for self-supervised learning that represents unknown labels as latent variables and incorporates diverse self-supervision using probabilistic logic to train a deep neural network end-to-end using variational EM. While DPL is successful at combining pre-specified self-supervision, manually crafting self-supervision to attain high accuracy may still be tedious and challenging. In this paper, we propose Self-Supervised Self-Supervision (S4), which adds to DPL the capability to learn new self-supervision automatically. Starting from an initial "seed," S4 iteratively uses the deep neural network to propose new self-supervision. These are either added directly (a form of structured self-training) or verified by a human expert (as in feature-based active learning). Experiments show that S4 is able to automatically propose accurate self-supervision and can often nearly match the accuracy of supervised methods with a tiny fraction of the human effort.
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Hunter Lang, Hoifung Poon
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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From Behavioral Theories to Econometrics: Inferring Preferences of Human Agents from Data on Repeated Interactions
| null |
We consider the problem of estimating preferences of human agents from data of strategic systems where the agents repeatedly interact. Recently, it was demonstrated that a new estimation method called "quantal regret" produces more accurate estimates for human agents than the classic approach that assumes that agents are rational and reach a Nash equilibrium; however, this method has not been compared to methods that take into account behavioral aspects of human play. In this paper we leverage equilibrium concepts from behavioral economics for this purpose and ask how well they perform compared to the quantal regret and Nash equilibrium methods. We develop four estimation methods based on established behavioral equilibrium models to infer the utilities of human agents from observed data of normal-form games. The equilibrium models we study are quantal-response equilibrium, action-sampling equilibrium, payoff-sampling equilibrium, and impulse-balance equilibrium. We show that in some of these concepts the inference is achieved analytically via closed formulas, while in the others the inference is achieved only algorithmically. We use experimental data of 2x2 games to evaluate the estimation success of these behavioral equilibrium methods. The results show that the estimates they produce are more accurate than the estimates of the Nash equilibrium. The comparison with the quantal-regret method shows that the behavioral methods have better hit rates, but the quantal-regret method performs better in terms of the overall mean squared error, and we discuss the differences between the methods.
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Gali Noti
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Estimating α-Rank by Maximizing Information Gain
| null |
Game theory has been increasingly applied in settings where the game is not known outright, but has to be estimated by sampling. For example, meta-games that arise in multi-agent evaluation can only be accessed by running a succession of expensive experiments that may involve simultaneous deployment of several agents. In this paper, we focus on α-rank, a popular game-theoretic solution concept designed to perform well in such scenarios. We aim to estimate the α-rank of the game using as few samples as possible. Our algorithm maximizes information gain between an epistemic belief over the α-ranks and the observed payoff. This approach has two main benefits. First, it allows us to focus our sampling on the entries that matter the most for identifying the α-rank. Second, the Bayesian formulation provides a facility to build in modeling assumptions by using a prior over game payoffs. We show the benefits of using information gain as compared to the confidence interval criterion of ResponseGraphUCB, and provide theoretical results justifying our method.
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Tabish Rashid, Cheng Zhang, Kamil Ciosek
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Coalition Formation in Multi-defender Security Games
| null |
We study Stackelberg security game (SSG) with multiple defenders, where heterogeneous defenders need to allocate security resources to protect a set of targets against a strategic attacker. In such games, coordination and cooperation between the defenders can increase their ability to protect their assets, but the heterogeneous preferences of the self-interested defenders often make such cooperation very difficult. In this paper, we approach the problem from the perspective of cooperative game theory and study coalition formation among the defenders. Our main contribution is a number of algorithmic results for the computation problems that arise in this model. We provide a poly-time algorithm for computing a solution in the core of the game and show that all of the elements in the core are Pareto efficient. We show that the problem of computing the entire core is NP-hard and then delve into a special setting where the size of a coalition is limited up to some threshold. We analyse the parameterized complexity of deciding if a coalition structure is in the core under this special setting, and provide a poly-time algorithm for computing successful deviation strategies for a given coalition.
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Dolev Mutzari, Jiarui Gan, Sarit Kraus
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Market-Based Explanations of Collective Decisions
| null |
We consider approval-based committee elections, in which a size-k subset of available candidates must be selected given approval sets for each voter, indicating the candidates approved by the voter. A number of axioms capturing ideas of fairness and proportionality have been proposed for this framework. We argue that even the strongest of them, such as priceability and the core, only rule out certain undesirable committees, but fail to ensure that the selected committee is fair in all cases. We propose two new solution concepts, stable priceability and balanced stable priceability, and show that they select arguably fair committees. Our solution concepts come with a non-trivial-to-construct but easy-to-understand market-based explanation for why the chosen committee is fair. We show that stable priceability is closely related to the notion of Lindahl equilibrium from economics.
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Dominik Peters, Grzegorz Pierczyński, Nisarg Shah, Piotr Skowron
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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On Fair and Efficient Allocations of Indivisible Goods
| null |
We study the problem of fair and efficient allocation of a set of indivisible goods to agents with additive valuations using the popular fairness notions of envy-freeness up to one good (EF1) and equitability up to one good (EQ1) in conjunction with Pareto-optimality (PO). There exists a pseudo-polynomial time algorithm to compute an EF1+PO allocation, and a non-constructive proof of existence of allocations that are both EF1 and fractionally Pareto-optimal (fPO). We present a pseudo-polynomial time algorithm to compute an EF1+fPO allocation, thereby improving the earlier results. Our techniques also enable us to show that an EQ1+fPO allocation always exists when the values are positive, and that it can be computed in pseudo-polynomial time. We also consider the class of k-ary instances where k is a constant, i.e., each agent has at most k different values for the goods. We show that for such instances an EF1+fPO allocation can be computed in polynomial time. When all values are positive, we show that an EQ1+fPO allocation for such instances can be computed in polynomial time. Next, we consider instances where the number of agents is constant, and show that an EF1+PO (also EQ1+PO) allocation can be computed in polynomial time. These results significantly extend the polynomial-time computability beyond the known cases of binary or identical valuations. Further, we show that the problem of computing an EF1+PO allocation polynomial-time reduces to a problem in the complexity class PLS. We also design a polynomial-time algorithm that computes Nash welfare maximizing allocations when there are constantly many agents with constant many different values for the goods.
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Aniket Murhekar, Jugal Garg
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Scarce Societal Resource Allocation and the Price of (Local) Justice
| null |
We consider the allocation of scarce societal resources, where a central authority decides which individuals receive which resources under capacity or budget constraints. Several algorithmic fairness criteria have been proposed to guide these procedures, each quantifying a notion of local justice to ensure the allocation is aligned with the principles of the local institution making the allocation. For example, the efficient allocation maximizes overall social welfare, whereas the leximin assignment seeks to help the “neediest first.” Although the “price of fairness” (PoF) of leximin has been studied in prior work, we expand on these results by exploiting the structure inherent in real-world scenarios to provide tighter bounds. We further propose a novel criterion – which we term LoINC (leximin over individually normalized costs) – that maximizes a different but commonly used notion of local justice: prioritizing those benefiting the most from receiving the resources. We derive analogous PoF bounds for LoINC, showing that the price of LoINC is typically much lower than that of leximin. We provide extensive experimental results using both synthetic data and in a real-world setting considering the efficacy of different homelessness interventions. These results show that the empirical PoF tends to be substantially lower than worst-case bounds would imply and allow us to characterize situations where the price of LoINC fairness can be high.
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Quan Nguyen, Sanmay Das, Roman Garnett
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Preference Elicitation as Average-Case Sorting
| null |
Many decision making systems require users to indicate their preferences via a ranking. It is common to elicit such rankings through pairwise comparison queries. By using sorting algorithms, this can be achieved by asking at most O(m log m) adaptive comparison queries. However, in many cases we have some advance (probabilistic) information about the user's preferences, for instance if we have a learnt model of the user's preferences or if we expect the user's preferences to be correlated with those of previous users. For these cases, we design elicitation algorithms that ask fewer questions in expectation, by building on results for average-case sorting. If the user's preferences are drawn from a Mallows phi model, O(m) queries are enough; for a mixture of k Mallows models, log k + O(m) queries are enough; for Plackett-Luce models, the answer varies with the alternative weights. Our results match information-theoretic lower bounds. We also provide empirical evidence for the benefits of our approach.
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Dominik Peters, Ariel D. Procaccia
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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A Model of Winners Allocation
| null |
We propose a model of winners allocation. In this model, we are given are two elections where the sets of candidates may intersect. The goal is to find two disjoint winning committees from respectively the two elections that are subjected to certain reasonable restrictions. For our model, we first propose several desirable properties. Then, we investigate the implication relationships among these properties. Finally, we study the complexity of computing winners allocations providing these properties. For hardness results, we also study some fixed-parameter algorithms.
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Yongjie Yang
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Restricted Domains of Dichotomous Preferences with Possibly Incomplete Information
| null |
Restricted domains over voter preferences have been extensively studied within the area of computational social choice, initially for preferences that are total orders over the set of alternatives and subsequently for preferences that are dichotomous—i.e., that correspond to approved and disapproved alternatives. This paper contributes to the latter stream of work in a twofold manner. First, we obtain forbidden subprofile characterisations for various important dichotomous domains. Then, we are concerned with incomplete profiles that may arise in many real-world scenarios, where we have partial information about the voters’ preferences. We tackle the problem of determining whether an incomplete profile admits a completion within a certain restricted domain and design constructive, polynomial algorithms to that effect.
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Zoi Terzopoulou, Alexander Karpov, Svetlana Obraztsova
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Facility’s Perspective to Fair Facility Location Problems
| null |
We study the problem faced by a decision maker who wants to locate a set of facilities on a real line and allocate agents/items to the facilities. The items have given locations on the line, and can only be assigned to one of their closest facilities. The facilities are controlled by managers, who have additive utility over the items. An optimal solution that maximizes the (utilitarian or egalitarian) social welfare of the facilities may present a very unbalanced allocation of the items to the facilities and hence be perceived as unfair. In this paper, we are interested in fair allocation among facility managers and consider the well-studied proportionality and envy-freeness fairness notions and their relaxations. We assess the availability, existence, approximability, and the quality (price of fairness) of fair solutions, where the quality measures the system efficiency loss under a fair allocation compared to the one that maximizes the social welfare. Further, we show that one can find a Pareto-optimal solution in polynomial time.
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Chenhao Wang, Xiaoying Wu, Minming Li, Hau Chan
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Fair and Efficient Allocations with Limited Demands
| null |
We study the fair division problem of allocating multiple resources among a set of agents with Leontief preferences that are each required to complete a finite amount of work, which we term "limited demands". We examine the behavior of the classic Dominant Resource Fairness (DRF) mechanism in this setting and show it is fair but only weakly Pareto optimal and inefficient in many natural examples. We propose as an alternative the Least Cost Product (LCP) mechanism, a natural adaptation of Maximum Nash Welfare to this setting. We characterize the structure of allocation of the LCP mechanism in this setting, show that it is Pareto efficient, and that it satisfies the relatively weak fairness property of sharing incentives. While we prove that it satisfies the stronger fairness property of (expected) envy freeness in some special cases, we provide a counterexample showing it does not do so in general, a striking contrast to the "unreasonable fairness" of Maximum Nash Welfare in other settings. Simulations suggest, however, that these violations of envy freeness are rare in randomly generated examples.
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Sushirdeep Narayana, Ian A. Kash
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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The Smoothed Complexity of Computing Kemeny and Slater Rankings
| null |
The computational complexity of winner determination under common voting rules is a classical and fundamental topic in the field of computational social choice. Previous work has established the NP-hardness of winner determination under some commonly-studied voting rules, such as the Kemeny rule and the Slater rule. In a recent position paper, Baumeister, Hogrebe, and Rothe (2020) questioned the relevance of the worst-case nature of NP-hardness in social choice and proposed to conduct smoothed complexity analysis (Spielman and Teng 2009) under Blaser and Manthey’s (2015) framework. In this paper, we develop the first smoothed complexity results for winner determination in voting. We prove the smoothed hardness of Kemeny and Slater using the classical smoothed runtime analysis, and prove a parameterized typical-case smoothed easiness result for Kemeny. We also make an attempt of applying Blaser and Manthey’s (2015) smoothed complexity framework in social choice contexts by proving that the framework categorizes an always-exponential-time brute force search algorithm as being smoothed poly-time, under a natural noise model based on the well-studied Mallows model in social choice and statistics. Overall, our results show that smoothed complexity analysis in computational social choice is a challenging and fruitful topic.
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Lirong Xia, Weiqiang Zheng
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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The Maximin Support Method: An Extension of the D’Hondt Method to Approval-Based Multiwinner Elections
| null |
We propose the maximin support method, a novel extension of the D'Hondt apportionment method to approval-based multiwinner elections. The maximin support method is a sequential procedure that aims to maximize the support of the least supported elected candidate. It can be computed efficiently and satisfies (adjusted versions of) the main properties of the original D'Hondt method: house monotonicity, population monotonicity, and proportional representation. We also establish a close relationship between the maximin support method and alternative D'Hondt extensions due to Phragmén.
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Luis Sánchez-Fernández, Norberto Fernández García, Jesús A. Fisteus, Markus Brill
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Majority Opinion Diffusion in Social Networks: An Adversarial Approach
| null |
We introduce and study a novel majority based opinion diffusion model. Consider a graph G, which represents a social network. Assume that initially a subset of nodes, called seed nodes or early adopters, are colored either black or white, which correspond to positive or negative opinion regarding a consumer product or a technological innovation. Then, in each round an uncolored node, which is adjacent to at least one colored node, chooses the most frequent color among its neighbors. Consider a marketing campaign which advertises a product of poor quality and its ultimate goal is that more than half of the population believe in the quality of the product at the end of the opinion diffusion process. We focus on three types of attackers which can select the seed nodes in a deterministic or random fashion and manipulate almost half of them to adopt a positive opinion toward the product (that is, to choose black color). We say that an attacker succeeds if a majority of nodes are black at the end of the process. Our main purpose is to characterize classes of graphs where an attacker cannot succeed. In particular, we prove that if the maximum degree of the underlying graph is not too large or if it has strong expansion properties, then it is fairly resilient to such attacks. Furthermore, we prove tight bounds on the stabilization time of the process (that is, the number of rounds it needs to end) in both settings of choosing the seed nodes deterministically and randomly. We also provide several hardness results for some optimization problems regarding stabilization time and choice of seed nodes.
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Ahad N. Zehmakan
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Online Posted Pricing with Unknown Time-Discounted Valuations
| null |
We study the problem of designing posted-price mechanisms in order to sell a single unit of a single item within a finite period of time. Motivated by real-world problems, such as, e.g., long-term rental of rooms and apartments, we assume that customers arrive online according to a Poisson process, and their valuations are drawn from an unknown distribution and discounted over time. We evaluate our mechanisms in terms of competitive ratio, measuring the worst-case ratio between their revenue and that of an optimal mechanism that knows the distribution of valuations. First, we focus on the identical valuation setting, where all the customers value the item for the same amount. In this setting, we provide a mechanism M_c that achieves the best possible competitive ratio, discussing its dependency on the parameters in the case of linear discount. Then, we switch to the random valuation setting. We show that, if we restrict the attention to distributions of valuations with a monotone hazard rate, then the competitive ratio of M_c is lower bounded by a strictly positive constant that does not depend on the distribution. Moreover, we provide another mechanism, called M_pc, which is defined by a piecewise constant pricing strategy and reaches performances comparable to those obtained with M_c. This mechanism is useful when the seller cannot change the posted price too often. Finally, we empirically evaluate the performances of our mechanisms in a number of experimental settings.
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Giulia Romano, Gianluca Tartaglia, Alberto Marchesi, Nicola Gatti
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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An Analysis of Approval-Based Committee Rules for 2D-Euclidean Elections
| null |
We study approval-based committee elections for the case where the voters' preferences come from a 2D-Euclidean model. We consider two main issues: First, we ask for the complexity of computing election results. Second, we evaluate election outcomes experimentally, following the visualization technique of Elkind et al., (AAAI-2017). Regarding the first issue, we find that many NP-hard rules remain intractable for 2D-Euclidean elections. For the second one, we observe that the behavior and nature of many rules strongly depends on the exact protocol for choosing the approved candidates.
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Michał T. Godziszewski, Paweł Batko, Piotr Skowron, Piotr Faliszewski
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Coupon Design in Advertising Systems
| null |
Online platforms sell advertisements via auctions (e.g., VCG and GSP auction) and revenue maximization is one of the most important tasks for them. Many revenue increment methods are proposed, like reserve pricing, boosting, coupons and so on. The novelty of coupons rests on the fact that coupons are optional for advertisers while the others are compulsory. Recent studies on coupons have limited applications in advertising systems because they only focus on second price auctions and do not consider the combination with other methods. In this work, we study the coupon design problem for revenue maximization in the widely used VCG auction. Firstly, we examine the bidder strategies in the VCG auction with coupons. Secondly, we cast the coupon design problem into a learning framework and propose corresponding algorithms using the properties of VCG auction. Then we further study how to combine coupons with reserve pricing in our framework. Finally, extensive experiments are conducted to demonstrate the effectiveness of our algorithms based on both synthetic data and industrial data.
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Weiran Shen, Pingzhong Tang, Xun Wang, Yadong Xu, Xiwang Yang
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Modeling Voters in Multi-Winner Approval Voting
| null |
In many real world situations, collective decisions are made using voting and, in scenarios such as committee or board elections, employing voting rules that return multiple winners. In multi-winner approval voting (AV), an agent submits a ballot consisting of approvals for as many candidates as they wish, and winners are chosen by tallying up the votes and choosing the top-k candidates receiving the most approvals. In many scenarios, an agent may manipulate the ballot they submit in order to achieve a better outcome by voting in a way that does not reflect their true preferences. In complex and uncertain situations, agents may use heuristics instead of incurring the additional effort required to compute the manipulation which most favors them. In this paper, we examine voting behavior in single-winner and multi-winner approval voting scenarios with varying degrees of uncertainty using behavioral data obtained from Mechanical Turk. We find that people generally manipulate their vote to obtain a better outcome, but often do not identify the optimal manipulation. There are a number of predictive models of agent behavior in the social choice and psychology literature that are based on cognitively plausible heuristic strategies. We show that the existing approaches do not adequately model our real-world data. We propose a novel model that takes into account the size of the winning set and human cognitive constraints; and demonstrate that this model is more effective at capturing real-world behaviors in multi-winner approval voting scenarios.
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Jaelle Scheuerman, Jason Harman, Nicholas Mattei, K. Brent Venable
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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If You Like Shapley Then You’ll Love the Core
| null |
The prevalent approach to problems of credit assignment in machine learning -- such as feature and data valuation -- is to model the problem at hand as a cooperative game and apply the Shapley value. But cooperative game theory offers a rich menu of alternative solution concepts, which famously includes the core and its variants. Our goal is to challenge the machine learning community's current consensus around the Shapley value, and make a case for the core as a viable alternative. To that end, we prove that arbitrarily good approximations to the least core -- a core relaxation that is always feasible -- can be computed efficiently (but prove an impossibility for a more refined solution concept, the nucleolus). We also perform experiments that corroborate these theoretical results and shed light on settings where the least core may be preferable to the Shapley value.
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Tom Yan, Ariel D. Procaccia
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Necessarily Optimal One-Sided Matchings
| null |
We study the classical problem of matching n agents to n objects, where the agents have ranked preferences over the objects. We focus on two popular desiderata from the matching literature: Pareto optimality and rank-maximality. Instead of asking the agents to report their complete preferences, our goal is to learn a desirable matching from partial preferences, specifically a matching that is necessarily Pareto optimal (NPO) or necessarily rank-maximal (NRM) under any completion of the partial preferences. We focus on the top-k model in which agents reveal a prefix of their preference rankings. We design efficient algorithms to check if a given matching is NPO or NRM, and to check whether such a matching exists given top-k partial preferences. We also study online algorithms for eliciting partial preferences adaptively, and prove bounds on their competitive ratio.
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Hadi Hosseini, Vijay Menon, Nisarg Shah, Sujoy Sikdar
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Aggregating Binary Judgments Ranked by Accuracy
| null |
We revisit the fundamental problem of predicting a binary ground truth based on independent binary judgments provided by experts. When the accuracy levels of the experts are known, the problem can be solved easily through maximum likelihood estimation. We consider, however, a setting in which we are given only a ranking of the experts by their accuracy. Motivated by the worst-case approach to handle the missing information, we consider three objective functions and design efficient algorithms for optimizing them. In particular, the recently popular distortion objective leads to an intuitive new rule. We show that our algorithms perform well empirically using real and synthetic data in collaborative filtering and political prediction domains.
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Daniel Halpern, Gregory Kehne, Dominik Peters, Ariel D. Procaccia, Nisarg Shah, Piotr Skowron
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Fair and Efficient Allocations under Lexicographic Preferences
| null |
Envy-freeness up to any good (EFX) provides a strong and intuitive guarantee of fairness in the allocation of indivisible goods. But whether such allocations always exist or whether they can be efficiently computed remains an important open question. We study the existence and computation of EFX in conjunction with various other economic properties under lexicographic preferences--a well-studied preference restriction model in artificial intelligence and economics. In sharp contrast to the known results for additive valuations, we not only prove the existence of EFX and Pareto optimal allocations, but in fact provide an algorithmic characterization of these two properties. We also characterize the mechanisms that are, in addition, strategyproof, non-bossy, and neutral. When the efficiency notion is strengthened to rank-maximality, we obtain non-existence and computational hardness results, and show that tractability can be restored when EFX is relaxed to another well-studied fairness notion called maximin share guarantee (MMS).
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Hadi Hosseini, Sujoy Sikdar, Rohit Vaish, Lirong Xia
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Multi-Party Campaigning
| null |
We study a social choice setting of manipulation in elections and extend the usual model in two major ways: first, instead of considering a single manipulating agent, in our setting there are several, possibly competing ones; second, instead of evaluating an election after the first manipulative action, we allow several back-and-forth rounds to take place. We show that in certain situations, such as in elections with only a few candidates, optimal strategies for each of the manipulating agents can be computed efficiently. Our algorithmic results rely on formulating the problem of finding an optimal strategy as sentences of Presburger arithmetic that are short and only involve small coefficients, which we show is fixed-parameter tractable -- indeed, one of our contributions is a general result regarding fixed-parameter tractability of Presburger arithmetic that might be useful in other settings. Following our general theorem, we design quite general algorithms; in particular, we describe how to design efficient algorithms for various settings, including settings in which we model diffusion of opinions in a social network, complex budgeting schemes available to the manipulating agents, and various realistic restrictions on adversary actions.
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Martin Koutecký, Nimrod Talmon
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Evolution Strategies for Approximate Solution of Bayesian Games
| null |
We address the problem of solving complex Bayesian games, characterized by high-dimensional type and action spaces, many (> 2) players, and general-sum payoffs. Our approach applies to symmetric one-shot Bayesian games, with no given analytic structure. We represent agent strategies in parametric form as neural networks, and apply natural evolution strategies (NES) [wierstra2014natural] for deep model optimization. For pure equilibrium computation, we formulate the problem as bi-level optimization, and employ NES in an iterative algorithm to implement both inner-loop best response optimization and outer-loop regret minimization. In simple games including first- and second-price auctions, it is capable of recovering known analytic solutions. For mixed equilibrium computation, we adopt an incremental strategy generation framework, with NES as strategy generator producing a finite sequence of approximate best-response strategies. We then calculate equilibria over this finite strategy set via a model-based optimization process. Both our pure and mixed equilibrium computation methods employ NES to efficiently search for strategies over the functional space, given only black-box simulation access to noisy payoff samples. We experimentally demonstrate the efficacy of all methods on two simultaneous sealed-bid auction games with distinct type distributions, and observe that the solutions exhibit qualitatively different behavior in these two environments.
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Zun Li, Michael P. Wellman
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Safe Search for Stackelberg Equilibria in Extensive-Form Games
| null |
Stackelberg equilibrium is a solution concept in two-player games where the leader has commitment rights over the follower. In recent years, it has become a cornerstone of many security applications, including airport patrolling and wildlife poaching prevention. Even though many of these settings are sequential in nature, existing techniques pre-compute the entire solution ahead of time. In this paper, we present a theoretically sound and empirically effective way to apply search, which leverages extra online computation to improve a solution, to the computation of Stackelberg equilibria in general-sum games. Instead of the leader attempting to solve the full game upfront, an approximate "blueprint" solution is first computed offline and is then improved online for the particular subgames encountered in actual play. We prove that our search technique is guaranteed to perform no worse than the pre-computed blueprint strategy, and empirically demonstrate that it enables approximately solving significantly larger games compared to purely offline methods. We also show that our search operation may be cast as a smaller Stackelberg problem, making our method complementary to existing algorithms based on strategy generation.
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Chun Kai Ling, Noam Brown
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Budget Feasible Mechanisms Over Graphs
| null |
This paper studies the budget-feasible mechanism design over graphs, where a buyer wishes to procure items from sellers, and all participants (the buyer and sellers) can only directly interact with their neighbors during the auction campaign. The problem for the buyer is to use the limited budget to incentivize sellers to propagate auction information to their neighbors, thereby more sellers will be informed of the auction and more item value will be procured. An impossibility result shows that the large-market assumption is necessary. We propose efficient budget-feasible diffusion mechanisms for large markets that simultaneously guarantee individual rationality, budget-feasibility, strong budget-balance, incentive-compatibility to report private costs and diffuse auction information. Moreover, the proposed mechanisms achieve logarithmic approximation that the total procured value is within a logarithmic factor of the optimal solution. Compared to most related budget-feasible mechanisms, which do not take the individual interactions among sellers into account, our mechanisms can incentivize sellers to further propagate auction information to other potential sellers. Meanwhile, existing related diffusion mechanisms only focus on seller-centric auctions and fail to satisfy the budget-feasibility of the buyer.
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Xiang Liu, Weiwei Wu, Minming Li, Wanyuan Wang
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Multi-Scale Games: Representing and Solving Games on Networks with Group Structure
| null |
Network games provide a natural machinery to compactly represent strategic interactions among agents whose payoffs exhibit sparsity in their dependence on the actions of others. Besides encoding interaction sparsity, however, real networks often exhibit a multi-scale structure, in which agents can be grouped into communities, those communities further grouped, and so on, and where interactions among such groups may also exhibit sparsity. We present a general model of multi-scale network games that encodes such multi-level structure. We then develop several algorithmic approaches that leverage this multi-scale structure, and derive sufficient conditions for convergence of these to a Nash equilibrium. Our numerical experiments demonstrate that the proposed approaches enable orders of magnitude improvements in scalability when computing Nash equilibria in such games. For example, we can solve previously intractable instances involving up to 1 million agents in under 15 minutes.
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Kun Jin, Yevgeniy Vorobeychik, Mingyan Liu
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Trembling-Hand Perfection and Correlation in Sequential Games
| null |
We initiate the study of trembling-hand perfection in sequential (i.e., extensive-form) games with correlation. We introduce the extensive-form perfect correlated equilibrium (EFPCE) as a refinement of the classical extensive-form correlated equilibrium (EFCE) that amends its weaknesses off the equilibrium path. This is achieved by accounting for the possibility that the players may make mistakes while following recommendations independently at each information set of the game. After providing an axiomatic definition of EFPCE, we show that one always exists since any perfect (Nash) equilibrium constitutes an EFPCE, and that it is a refinement of EFCE, as any EFPCE is also an EFCE. Then, we prove that, surprisingly, computing an EFPCE is not harder than finding an EFCE, since the problem can be solved in polynomial time for general n-player extensive-form games (also with chance). This is achieved by formulating the problem as that of finding a limit solution (as $epsilon rightarrow 0$) to a suitably defined trembling LP parametrized by $epsilon$, featuring exponentially-many variables and polynomially-many constraints. To this end, we show how a recently developed polynomial-time algorithm for trembling LPs can be adapted to deal with problems having an exponential number of variables. This calls for the solution of a sequence of (non-trembling) LPs with exponentially-many variables and polynomially-many constraints, which is possible in polynomial time by applying an ellipsoid against hope approach.
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Alberto Marchesi, Nicola Gatti
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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On the PTAS for Maximin Shares in an Indivisible Mixed Manna
| null |
We study fair allocation of indivisible items, both goods and chores, under the popular fairness notion of maximin share (MMS). The problem is well-studied when there are only goods (or chores), where a PTAS to compute the MMS values of agents is well-known. In contrast, for the mixed manna, a recent result showed that finding even an approximate MMS value of an agent up to any approximation factor in (0,1] is NP-hard for general instances. In this paper, we complement the hardness result by obtaining a PTAS to compute the MMS value when its absolute value is at least 1/p times either the total value of all the goods or total cost of all the chores, for some constant p valued at least 1.
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Rucha Kulkarni, Ruta Mehta, Setareh Taki
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Hindsight and Sequential Rationality of Correlated Play
| null |
Driven by recent successes in two-player, zero-sum game solving and playing, artificial intelligence work on games has increasingly focused on algorithms that produce equilibrium-based strategies. However, this approach has been less effective at producing competent players in general-sum games or those with more than two players than in two-player, zero-sum games. An appealing alternative is to consider adaptive algorithms that ensure strong performance in hindsight relative to what could have been achieved with modified behavior. This approach also leads to a game-theoretic analysis, but in the correlated play that arises from joint learning dynamics rather than factored agent behavior at equilibrium. We develop and advocate for this hindsight rationality framing of learning in general sequential decision-making settings. To this end, we re-examine mediated equilibrium and deviation types in extensive-form games, thereby gaining a more complete understanding and resolving past misconceptions. We present a set of examples illustrating the distinct strengths and weaknesses of each type of equilibrium in the literature, and prove that no tractable concept subsumes all others. This line of inquiry culminates in the definition of the deviation and equilibrium classes that correspond to algorithms in the counterfactual regret minimization (CFR) family, relating them to all others in the literature. Examining CFR in greater detail further leads to a new recursive definition of rationality in correlated play that extends sequential rationality in a way that naturally applies to hindsight evaluation.
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Dustin Morrill, Ryan D'Orazio, Reca Sarfati, Marc Lanctot, James R Wright, Amy R Greenwald, Michael Bowling
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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On the Approximation of Nash Equilibria in Sparse Win-Lose Multi-player Games
| null |
A polymatrix game is a multi-player game over n players, where each player chooses a pure strategy from a list of its own pure strategies. The utility of each player is a sum of payoffs it gains from the two player's game from all its neighbors, under its chosen strategy and that of its neighbor. As a natural extension to two-player games (a.k.a. bimatrix games), polymatrix games are widely used for multi-agent games in real world scenarios. In this paper we show that the problem of approximating a Nash equilibrium in a polymatrix game within the polynomial precision is PPAD-hard, even in sparse and win-lose ones. This result further challenges the predictability of Nash equilibria as a solution concept in the multi-agent setting. We also propose a simple and efficient algorithm, when the game is further restricted. Together, we establish a new dichotomy theorem for this class of games. It is also of independent interest for exploring the computational and structural properties in Nash equilibria.
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Zhengyang Liu, Jiawei Li, Xiaotie Deng
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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District-Fair Participatory Budgeting
| null |
Participatory budgeting is a method used by city governments to select public projects to fund based on residents' votes. Many cities use participatory budgeting at a district level. Typically, a budget is divided among districts proportionally to their population, and each district holds an election over local projects and then uses its budget to fund the projects most preferred by its voters. However, district-level participatory budgeting can yield poor social welfare because it does not necessarily fund projects supported across multiple districts. On the other hand, decision making that only takes global social welfare into account can be unfair to districts: A social-welfare-maximizing solution might not fund any of the projects preferred by a district, despite the fact that its constituents pay taxes to the city. Thus, we study how to fairly maximize social welfare in a participatory budgeting setting with a single city-wide election. We propose a notion of fairness that guarantees each district at least as much welfare as it would have received in a district-level election. We show that, although optimizing social welfare subject to this notion of fairness is NP-hard, we can efficiently construct a lottery over welfare-optimal outcomes that is fair in expectation. Moreover, we show that, when we are allowed to slightly relax fairness, we can efficiently compute a fair solution that is welfare-maximizing, but which may overspend the budget.
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D Ellis Hershkowitz, Anson Kahng, Dominik Peters, Ariel D. Procaccia
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Computing the Proportional Veto Core
| null |
In social choice there often arises a conflict between the majority principle (the search for a candidate that is as good as possible for as many voters as possible), and the protection of minority rights (choosing a candidate that is not overly bad for particular individuals or groups). In a context where the latter is our main concern, veto-based rules -- giving individuals or groups the ability to strike off certain candidates from the list -- are a natural and effective way of ensuring that no minority is left with an outcome they find untenable. However, such rules often fail to be anonymous, or impose specific restrictions on the number of voters and candidates. These issues can be addressed by considering the proportional veto core -- the solution to a cooperative game where every coalition is given the power to veto a number of candidates proportional to its size. However, the naive algorithm for the veto core is exponential, and the only known rules for selecting from the veto core, with an arbitrary number of voters, violate either anonymity or neutrality. In this paper we present a polynomial time algorithm for computing the veto core and present a neutral and anonymous algorithm for selecting a candidate from it. We also show that a pessimist can manipulate the veto core in polynomial time.
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Egor Ianovski, Aleksei Y. Kondratev
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Solution Concepts in Hierarchical Games Under Bounded Rationality With Applications to Autonomous Driving
| null |
With autonomous vehicles (AV) set to integrate further into regular human traffic, there is an increasing consensus of treating AV motion planning as a multi-agent problem. However, the traditional game theoretic assumption of complete rationality is too strong for the purpose of human driving, and there is a need for understanding human driving as a bounded rational activity through a behavioral game theoretic lens. To that end, we adapt three metamodels of bounded rational behavior; two based on Quantal level-k and one based on Nash equilibria with quantal errors. We formalize the different solution concepts that can be applied in the context of hierarchical games, a framework used in multi-agent motion planning, for the purpose of creating game theoretic models of driving behavior. Furthermore, based on a contributed dataset of human driving at a busy urban intersection with a total of ~4k agents and ~44k decision points, we evaluate the behavior models on the basis of model fit to naturalistic data, as well as their predictive capacity. Our results suggest that among the behavior models evaluated, modeling driving behavior as pure strategy Nash equilibria with quantal errors at the level of maneuvers with bounds sampling of actions at the level of trajectories provides the best fit to naturalistic driving behavior, and there is a significant impact of situational factors on the performance of behavior models.
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Atrisha Sarkar, Krzysztof Czarnecki
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Complexity and Algorithms for Exploiting Quantal Opponents in Large Two-Player Games
| null |
Solution concepts of traditional game theory assume entirely rational players; therefore, their ability to exploit subrational opponents is limited. One type of subrationality that describes human behavior well is the quantal response. While there exist algorithms for computing solutions against quantal opponents, they either do not scale or may provide strategies that are even worse than the entirely-rational Nash strategies. This paper aims to analyze and propose scalable algorithms for computing effective and robust strategies against a quantal opponent in normal-form and extensive-form games. Our contributions are: (1) we define two different solution concepts related to exploiting quantal opponents and analyze their properties; (2) we prove that computing these solutions is computationally hard; (3) therefore, we evaluate several heuristic approximations based on scalable counterfactual regret minimization (CFR); and (4) we identify a CFR variant that exploits the bounded opponents better than the previously used variants while being less exploitable by the worst-case perfectly-rational opponent.
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David Milec, Jakub Černý, Viliam Lisý, Bo An
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Fair and Efficient Online Allocations with Normalized Valuations
| null |
A set of divisible resources becomes available over a sequence of rounds and needs to be allocated immediately and irrevocably. Our goal is to distribute these resources to maximize fairness and efficiency. Achieving any non-trivial guarantees in an adversarial setting is impossible. However, we show that normalizing the agent values, a very common assumption in fair division, allows us to escape this impossibility. Our main result is an online algorithm for the case of two agents that ensures the outcome is fair while guaranteeing 91.6% of the optimal social welfare. We also show that this is near-optimal: there is no fair algorithm that guarantees more than 93.3% of the optimal social welfare.
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Vasilis Gkatzelis, Alexandros Psomas, Xizhi Tan
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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Efficient Truthful Scheduling and Resource Allocation through Monitoring
| null |
We study the power and limitations of the Vickrey-Clarke-Groves mechanism with monitoring (VCGmon) for cost minimization problems with objective functions that are more general than the social cost. We identify a simple and natural sufficient condition for VCGmon to be truthful for general objectives. As a consequence, we obtain that for any cost minimization problem with non-decreasing objective μ, VCGmon is truthful, if the allocation is Maximal-in-Range and μ is 1-Lipschitz (e.g., μ can be the Lp-norm of the agents’ costs, for any p ≥ 1 or p = ∞). We apply VCGmon to scheduling on restricted-related machines and obtain a polynomial-time truthful-in-expectation 2-approximate (resp. O(1)-approximate) mechanism for makespan (resp. Lp- norm) minimization. Moreover, applying VCGmon, we obtain polynomial-time truthful O(1)-approximate mechanisms for some fundamental bottleneck network optimization problems with single-parameter agents. On the negative side, we provide strong evidence that VCGmon could not lead to computationally efficient truthful mechanisms with reasonable approximation ratios for binary covering social cost minimization problems. However, we show that VCGmon results in computationally efficient approximately truthful mechanisms for binary covering problems.
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Dimitris Fotakis, Piotr Krysta, Carmine Ventre
| null | null | 2,021 |
aaai
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