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Sagar Thacker
commited on
Commit
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77aa42d
1
Parent(s):
4b1c70e
update to app.py
Browse files
app.py
CHANGED
@@ -108,6 +108,14 @@ def cal_result(alpha, month):
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with gr.Blocks() as demo:
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with gr.Row():
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alpha = gr.Dropdown(choices=["0.1", "0.05", "0.01"], label="Significance level", info="The significance level for the confidence intervals.", value="0.05")
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month = gr.Dropdown(choices=["1", "2", "3", "4", "5", "6", "7", "8", "9", "10", "11", "12"], label="Forecast period", info="The number of months to forecast.", value="12")
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with gr.Blocks() as demo:
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gr.Markdown("""There are two models with the difference with the damped parameter. Why are there two models? Why do we use damping?
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1. **Realistic Forecasts**: In many real-world scenarios, it's unlikely for a trend to continue indefinitely at the same rate. For example, if sales of a product are increasing, they might not keep increasing forever at the same rate. After a certain point, the growth might slow down. Damping takes this into account.
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2. **Avoid Over-optimistic or Pessimistic Predictions**: Without damping, the model could make overly optimistic (for upward trends) or overly pessimistic (for downward trends) predictions for long-term forecasts.
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3. **Stability**: Damped models often provide more stable long-term forecasts, especially when the data has some inherent variability or noise.""")
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with gr.Row():
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alpha = gr.Dropdown(choices=["0.1", "0.05", "0.01"], label="Significance level", info="The significance level for the confidence intervals.", value="0.05")
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month = gr.Dropdown(choices=["1", "2", "3", "4", "5", "6", "7", "8", "9", "10", "11", "12"], label="Forecast period", info="The number of months to forecast.", value="12")
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