 relieve some of the planning burden on fleet commanders and make the carrier battle group much more effective during future conflicts in contested environments.
“The real game-changer in all of this, is in my view, the electromagnetic rail gun,” Work said.
While there are many advocates of the rail gun for the strike mission, Work said that Navy has plenty of options to hit enemy targets. “What I would buy the electromagnetic rail gun for is theater ballistic-missile defense and cruise-missile defense,” he said.
Using a rail gun for defense would drastically reduce the cost-per-shot for the Navy when defending against mass salvos of guided cruise or ballistic missiles compared with an interceptor missile like a Standard Missile -3.
The use of weapons such as the railgun would invert the cost-imposition strategy. Instead of launching, for example—two interceptors costing roughly $12 million to $15 million each at an incoming $10 million incoming missile, the Navy could obliterate the target with a rail gun slug costing a fraction of that.
“It’s going to cost them a lot more to create a salvo dense enough to get though the electromagnetic rail gun,” Work said.
Work said that the Navy is also working on directed-energy weapons—particularly lasers.
The Navy recently announced it would deploy an industrial-grade laser on board its afloat forward staging base, the USS Ponce (LPD-15), in 2014. The solid-state laser weapon system (LaWS) has proved a limited ability to splash small unmanned aerial vehicles and disable small boats.
Work said that lasers are best used for applications similar to those for which the Phalanx close-in weapon system (CIWS) is currently used.
The third crucial technology for the Navy is an anti-torpedo torpedo, Work said. As the carrier battle group pushes into A2/AD networks in the littorals, the threat from submarines increases exponentially.
Work said that the threat to carrier battle groups is increasing without question—that has been anticipated since the mid-1990s. But if Navy can get electromagnetic rail guns, lasers and anti-torpedo torpedoes into service within the next decade, the carrier battle group will be able to operate deeper inside a contested environment.
That is all good stuff - but we need to be careful.
To start off with - we need to be careful that we aren't looking so far in the the future to what will be IOC in a decade or more - that we ignore a capability requirement NOW or in 5-years.
That is why in 2013 we find ourselves with a 1970s/80s ASCM and a single point of likely failure LWT answer to killing submarines. That is why we got rid of so many good FFG/DD/CG who had a decade or more of life in them for future ships that never showed up.
We need to be able to do both - those who came before did, so can we.
I have been and always will be a fan of the potential of the rail gun. We have been smartly working towards this promise, but we do not need to get carried away. Build the capability, test that capability, refine it, test it some more, put it in the Fleet - learn how to make it work, and then make it work.
Guided missiles were hard to make work - heck Aegis was ugly when it hit the Fleet too, as are many new systems. Expect that for the rail gun. We know they will not appear FMC on every ship in one year. Odds are they will be PMC for years after they hit the Fleet, and that is fine. Good chance, it will get there.
In the meantime, we need something for the Fleet to fight with now, in 5-years, and in the years as we try to figure out how to make rail guns work for us, and once we do that - to fill the gaps where rail guns cannot be the answer to everything.
That will be more than a decade.
As for lasers, same thing. All the usual developmental problems outlined above along with significant physics related issues that will make lasers good at a few things, excellent in others - but not the answer to all our challenges... and not for well over a decade.
Anti-torpedo torpedoes. Well, I don't think we need to talk much about that here, ahem... but we have been going at this for awhile and that should speak to that. Also, the surface to air missile did not end the utility of aircraft and missiles. So to for this combo.
... if Navy can get electromagnetic rail guns, lasers and anti-torpedo torpedoes into service within the next decade,...
Everyone listened to the last Midrats, correct? OK, good.
When is "the next decade?" That would be 2023; right smack dab in the middle of the Terrible 20s. From Sequester to SSBN re-capitalizaiton and all the macro budgetary pressures we will be suffering under due to the huge debt load we have taken since 2009 - where is all that money going to come from? What ships will have the rail-guns and lasers retrofitted? We'll be digging under the cushions in the Wardroom in order to find enough money for scheduled maintenance, much less everyone's science experiment.
NAVSEA, call your office - and bring your best electrical engineers - oh, and if you have a dwarf Master of Coin, that would be great.
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