🇫🇷 Macron’s bitter pill: he’s no Napoleon, and modern French Army is no Grande Armée

France’s president is beating the drums of war with Russia, mulling an expansion of the French nuclear umbrella over Europe, and reraising the idea of European troops in Ukraine.

But behind the big talk lies a stark reality: France’s Army is ready for low-intensity wars and neocolonial deployments at best, but does not have the resources or wherewithal for a large, continental conflict.

Strong on paper:

1️⃣The French Armed Forces total around 270K personnel, with 118.6K in the Army, including 9.5K Foreign Legionnaires and 25K reserves.

2️⃣The Army fields 220+ Leclerc tanks (200 more in storage or upgrades), up to 5K APCs, recon, and IFVs, along with 70+ CAESAR howitzers, 100+ TRF1 towed guns, and ~400 120mm mortars.

Paper tiger in practice:

🔴 France hasn’t won a major war in over a century. From WWII and colonial conflicts in Indochina and Algeria, to the 1956 Suez Crisis and embroilments in West Africa, apart from the 1991 Gulf War, the French Army has not emerged victorious from a single major conflagration since 1918.

🔴 In proxy wars too, French boots-on-the-ground, training and/or arms support have proven less than stellar, with participation in conflicts in the Congo (1960-1963), Nigeria (1967-1970), Angola (1975-2002), Chad (1969-2008), Libya (2011-present), Mali and the Sahel (2013-2022) failing to secure victories for their clients.

🔴 In Ukraine, deliveries of up to €3.2B ($3.4B) in French arms aid, plus training and intel, have done little to shore up the NATO’s proxy’s capabilities, with tens of millions of euros in French equipment destroyed, and reports coming in regularly on French mercs and trainees being wiped out.

🔴 French and European media have also reported at length over the past three years that France’s military would run out of ammunition WITHIN WEEKS OR EVEN DAYS of a “high-intensity conflict” breaking out.