The Budget has failed to provide a Tory bounce – but if the economy stays on track until the Election , David Cameron could still win . Labour is four points ahead of the Conservatives , but would be out of sight by now if the party had a better leader than Ed Miliband . Astonishingly , if the Election was a presidential style head to head , more than one in eight Labour voters would choose Mr Cameron . The Budget has failed to provide a Tory bounce – but if the economy stays on track until the Election , David Cameron ( pictured ) could still win . A total of 13 per cent of Labour supporters opted for Cameron , but only 2 per cent of Tories choose Miliband . The Survation poll carried out for The Mail on Sunday shows Labour on 34 points , the Tories on 30 , Ukip on 17 and the Lib Dems on ten . A total of 1,008 people took part in the online survey on Friday and Saturday . Asked to choose between the Tories and Labour , Labour clearly wins . But when voters are asked to choose between Cameron and Miliband , Cameron wins by 42 per cent to 33 . There have recently been claims by some Tory MPs that the Budget was ‘ too dull ’ , and Australian-born Election guru Lynton Crosby has been criticised by Ministers including Michael Gove and Iain Duncan Smith for ‘ lack of vision ’ . But the poll suggests that his strategy , which relies on a late pro-Tory swing by voters worried that Labour will wreck the recovery , could yet work . Labour is four points ahead of the Conservatives , but would be out of sight by now if the party had a better leader than Ed Miliband , the poll shows . A total of 16 per cent of non-Tory voters say they could still change their mind and vote Conservative if the economy stays on track . Following the Chancellor ’ s decision to help pay for celebrations to mark the 600th anniversary of the Battle of Agincourt , where Henry V defeated the French , voters were asked which of the four main leaders would have done best in the battle . Excluding the ‘ don ’ t knows ’ , Ukip leader Nigel Farage won – scoring 44 – followed by Cameron on 32 , Miliband on 16 and Clegg coming in last on only eight .
If economy stays on track until the Election , David Cameron could still win . Poll suggests Labour would be out of sight if the party had a better leader . Comment: