ZHUHAI: China will need nearly 6,000 aircraft worth $945 billion over the next two decades, aerospace giant Airbus said Tuesday at the Zhuhai air show. At that point China will be the world's number one source of air traffic and its top aircraft market, it said in its 2016-2035 Global Market Forecast. "Domestic passenger traffic in mainland China has quadrupled over the last 10 years, and is set to become the world's number one aviation market," said John Leahy, Airbus Chief Operating Officer Customers. "In the next 20 years, the greatest demand for passenger aircraft will come from China." China accounts for nearly a quarter of the European aircraft maker's deliveries, with 158 delivered to China last year. It is currently the second-largest aviation market after the US. Air travel is booming in the world's second-largest economy, as its burgeoning middle class spends more on travel, with overall air traffic growth of over 500 percent from 2000 to 2014, Airbus said. Despite slowing economic expansion and a challenging transition to a consumer economy, China's market for international air travel is predicted to average 6.7 percent annual growth for the next 20 years, it added. Airbus is locked in close competition with Boeing for China market share, with Airbus planes accounting for slightly less than half of the country's fleets. Meanwhile, homegrown Chinese competitors COMAC and AVIC seek to strip the foreign giants of their duopoly, and are developing single-aisle and wide-body planes with the explicit support of Beijing.
Airbus has raised its 20-year forecast for aircraft demand in China by 500 jets due to the nation's middle class fuelling private consumption. The aircraft maker expects total demand for around 6,000 passenger jets worth about $1tn over the next 20 years in China. "Domestic passenger traffic in mainland China has quadrupled over the last 10 years, and is set to become the world's number one aviation market," said John Leahy, Airbus Chief Operating Officer Customers. At the same time, local Chinese competitors COMAC and AVIC are looking to take on the foreign giants, developing single-aisle and wide-body planes with the explicit support of the Beijing government.