UK insurer Lloyd 's is celebrating after it correctly predicted the FIFA World Cup winners in two consecutive tournaments , using a model based on a squad 's insurable value . The team with the highest insurable value in each match is the team Lloyd’s predicted would win and progress. Created by the Centre for Economics and Business Research ( CEBR ) , the model used players ' current earnings and other indicators to estimate earnings to retirement , giving an insurable value for each team based on age , playing position and nationality , with the highest , — this time , being — expected to come out on top . Overall , the metric proved successful in predicting 64 % of the 64 match winners .
UK insurer Lloyd 's is celebrating after it correctly predicted the FIFA World Cup winners in two consecutive tournaments , using a model based on a squad 's insurable value . Created by the Centre for Economics and Business Research ( CEBR ) , the model used players ' current earnings and other indicators to estimate earnings to retirement , giving an insurable value for each team based on age , playing position and nationality , with the highest , — this time , being — expected to come out on top . Overall , the metric proved successful in predicting 64 % of the 64 match winners .