The likelihood of a US recession this year is growing , as the US 's economic growth period reaches 10 years in June , the longest since the Second World War , according to Peter Jones in Bloomberg . the Dow 30 and S&P 500 indexes both fell over 15% in December The duration of the growth period alone increases the risk of a slowdown or recession , but the Cleveland Fed has also pointed to the flattening yield curve as an indicator . Meanwhile , the slowing housing and car markets , alongside a steady 40-year reduction in interest rates and the threat posed by a renewal of the US - China trade war all contribute to the increased risk of a recession .
The likelihood of a US recession this year is growing , as the US 's economic growth period reaches 10 years in June , the longest since the Second World War , according to Peter Jones in Bloomberg . The duration of the growth period alone increases the risk of a slowdown or recession , but the Cleveland Fed has also pointed to the flattening yield curve as an indicator . Meanwhile , the slowing housing and car markets , alongside a steady 40-year reduction in interest rates and the threat posed by a renewal of the US - China trade war all contribute to the increased risk of a recession .