Around 80,000 jobs in Scotland could be lost if the government decides on a “ hard ” Brexit , according to research from Strathclyde University ’s Fraser of Scotland Institute . The analysis found that both “ soft ” and “ hard ” Brexit options will have a negative economic impact , but that Scotland will be less affected than the rest of the UK , suffering a 3 - 5 % GDP drop after a decade . The analysis does not take into account new trade deals with non - EU countries . The analysis found Scottish GDP would be between £4 billion and £6 billion lower than it otherwise would have been, with real wages between £1,200 and £1,600 lower and employment falling by between one per cent and two per cent. Scotland may also gain a $ 860 m “ fiscal stimulus ” if the Scottish share of EU contributions is returned to the SNP government .
Around 80,000 jobs in Scotland could be lost if the government decides on a “ hard ” Brexit , according to research from Strathclyde University ’s Fraser of Scotland Institute . The analysis found that both “ soft ” and “ hard ” Brexit options will have a negative economic impact , but that Scotland will be less affected than the rest of the UK , suffering a 3 - 5 % GDP drop after a decade . The analysis does not take into account new trade deals with non - EU countries . Scotland may also gain a $ 860 m “ fiscal stimulus ” if the Scottish share of EU contributions is returned to the SNP government .