Alex Castellanos says it takes some guesswork to predict outcome of such a close election . He says several factors make Mitt Romney more likely to win . Romney has made progress in reducing gender gap and may have an edge with independents . In effect , survey questioners are asking Obama voters if they self-identify as cool . But he is still trailing President Obama among women by double digits, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll.
Alex Castellanos says it takes some guesswork to predict outcome of such a close election . He says several factors make Mitt Romney more likely to win . Romney has made progress in reducing gender gap and may have an edge with independents . But he is still trailing President Obama among women by double digits, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll.