The 2012 presidential race begins Tuesday with Iowa caucuses . Michele Bachmann 's campaign , which once was strong enough to win a straw poll in the state , has collapsed under the weight of the candidate 's considerable overreach , marked by high-level defections and rock-bottom polls . John Avlon says the caucuses are low-turnout , high-intensity elections . He says worst case for Mitt Romney would be a surprise surge by Newt Gingrich or Rick Perry . TL;DR A new poll shows that President Obama is leading in Iowa, but he trails significantly among likely caucus-goers.
The 2012 presidential race begins Tuesday with Iowa caucuses . John Avlon says the caucuses are low-turnout , high-intensity elections . He says worst case for Mitt Romney would be a surprise surge by Newt Gingrich or Rick Perry . TL;DR A new poll shows that President Obama is leading in Iowa, but he trails significantly among likely caucus-goers.