The 2012 presidential race begins 2012 with Iowa caucuses . Three out of four states by the end of January makes a candidate extremely likely to win the party 's nomination . Newt Gingrich says the caucuses are low-turnout , high-intensity elections . He says worst case for GOP would be a surprise surge by Rick Perry or John Avlon . Avlon : Romney could win with only a quarter of the vote .
The 2012 presidential race begins 2012 with Iowa caucuses . Newt Gingrich says the caucuses are low-turnout , high-intensity elections . He says worst case for GOP would be a surprise surge by Rick Perry or John Avlon . Avlon : Romney could win with only a quarter of the vote .