and you get the election outcome -- pure , unsentimental and simple . Reagan : Can one predict presidential chances by GDP growth , approval , jobs ? He says Bush , Reagan overcame poor approval ratings . Avlon : Clinton hit Bush . Bush over a small recession . Iran faces strong headwinds in a 50 % conservative electorate .
Reagan : Can one predict presidential chances by GDP growth , approval , jobs ? He says Bush , Reagan overcame poor approval ratings . Avlon : Clinton hit Bush . Bush over a small recession . Iran faces strong headwinds in a 50 % conservative electorate .