Journal issues: 6/2015
Pages: 393-413
Language: (RU, EN)
25 November, 2015
METHOD OF PREDICTING THE TIME INCIDENTS IN OIL MINES
FSBEI HPE "Ukhta State Technical University", Ukhta, the Russian Federation
Yagubov E.Z.
FSBEI HPE "Ukhta State Technical University", Ukhta, the Russian Federation
zav_eatp@ugtu.net
Zhuikov A.E.
FSBEI HPE "Ukhta State Technical University", Ukhta, the Russian Federation
Zakharov D.Yu.
FSBEI HPE "Ukhta State Technical University", Ukhta, the Russian Federation
In oil mines during accident situations in consequence of failure the quality of environment, where radio waves are propagated, changes. This fact in mines is possible to be considered as an influence of the multiplicative noise.
In the article there are results of researches about forecasting accident response time with an influence of a multiplicative noise. Influencing on amplitude of signal, a multiplicative noise is capable of disturbance of useful information receiving process, and in some cases loss of data about technological parameters is possible. If provided useful data reflects information about gas abundance in different divisions of a mine, the situation can be threatening.
The results of researches about the coordination of the law of distribution of this time with different laws on the criterion ω2, achieved from processing a large number of samples for sub threshold time, and it sets out the method for the numerical description of the generalized truncated normal law. In researches of probability characteristics of pre-threshold time are used as the experimental information obtained in the oil mine in Yarega Urban village.
It is shown that with comparatively low values of the distribution law of pre-threshold times, it is better correlating with normal or truncated normal law. In case of increasing in pre-threshold times it is distributed by the generalized truncated normal distribution.
For that reason, the results of calculations of numerical characteristics of the pre-threshold times for the proposed method for different conditions of the precision of the iterative process.
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elimination landslides; elimination of emergency situation; multiplicative interference; the law of distribution of pre-threshold times; useful information; закон распределения предпороговых времен; ликвидация аварийного положения; ликвидация обвалов; мультипликативная помеха; полезная информация DOI 10.17122/ogbus-2015-6-393-413 References to this article (GOST) Yagubov Z.Kh., Yagubov E.Z., Zhuikov A.E., Zakharov D.Yu. METHOD OF PREDICTING THE TIME INCIDENTS IN OIL MINES // Electronic scientific journal "Oil and Gas Business". 2015. №6. P.393-413. URL: