VanEck’s $SUI $16 Price Target: Methodology and Drivers

VanEck’s projection assumes Sui captures 5.5% of the smart contract platform (SCP) market by late 2025. Key factors include:

1) SCP Market Growth: The total SCP market is projected to reach $1.1trillion, driven by correlation with U.S.M2 money supply expansion - forecasted at $22.3 trillion by 2025

2) Market Share Expansion: Move-based blockchains (@SuiNetwork  + @Aptos ) are expected to grow from 2.7% to 6.5% of the SCP market. Sui’s technical edge positions it to claim the majority (5.5%).

3) Token Supply: With 3 billion SUI unlocked by 2025, a $61B MC implies a $16 token price.

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