For Beyoncé, the path of victory for 'COWBOY CARTER' to an Album of the Year win begins with the potential of a pop vote split, and with 5 albums with pop appeal competing, this is very possible. Such a situation would mirror what occurred at the 2022 #GRAMMYs, with Jon Batiste's 'WE ARE' winning.

However, for Beyoncé to gain from a split, a question remains: how much will country voters support 'COWBOY CARTER'? Rallying R&B and rap voters to support her should be easy, but vast support among Country and Americana, 2 massive blocs at the GRAMMYs, who she has never had appeal with before, will be a necessity to clinching the victory. If Beyoncé is not able to solidify that support, with country voters perhaps choosing to vote for other nominees, then 'COWBOY CARTER' would end up as yet another Album of the Year loss for her.
#GRAMMYs