#NBA for 2025-01-29 Pistons @ Pacers

TJ McConnell (Pacers) Under 5.5 Assists (-115 Bet365)

- This line is high because of both Mathurin and Nembhard are out tonight. But this doesn't mean huge minute boos for McConnell directly. For example last time when both Haliburton and Nesmith were out, he only played 21 minutes. His role and minutes are so limited as backup guard when Haliburton not on the court. And when they play together sometimes, Hali play like a sole playmaker anyway.
- Matchup is tough as well. Pistons play single coverage defense and which leads ball handlers to score more often than role players. So they force opponents to play ISO and limit their potential assists. I expect to see him more like a scorer like last time he played vs Pistons without Nembhard.
- McConnell had 4, 3 and 5 assists vs Pistons this season with maximum of 8 potentials.
- 32/35 hit rate with 10 or less potentials this season.
- 14/16 hit rate with Haliburton vs top 10 ast matchups.

Research: @propsmadness

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