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Trump 2.0 First 100 Days: How Will U.S. Stocks, Gold, Oil, and Other Assets Perform?
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📈 U.S. Stock Market Performance
During the first 100 days of Trump’s first term, U.S. stocks performed strongly, but investors believe the market won’t rise sharply this time. Jeff Kilburg, founder of KKM Financial, pointed out that unless consumer strength and corporate profit growth continue, it will be difficult to replicate past performance. Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Wealth Management, noted that uncertainty brought by the new administration might lead investors to take a wait-and-see approach, with the stock market remaining flat so far this year.
In 2017, the technology sector performed well, while the energy sector declined. However, in 2025, the energy sector has been leading the market. Hogan believes that energy stocks have reasonable valuations and attractive dividends, and they are expected to continue performing well.
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🛢️ Oil Price Outlook
Although oil prices fluctuated during Trump’s first term and ended lower than their starting level, investors predict that oil prices will rise this time. Kilburg believes that if Trump can bring peace to the Middle East, oil prices are likely to rise. Peter Boockvar, CIO of Bleakley Financial Group, mentioned that new U.S. sanctions on Russian oil producers could also drive prices up. Hogan added that easing regulations might help energy distribution and transportation, which could boost overall supply. Regarding gasoline prices, Hogan believes that if oil prices remain in a range, gasoline prices will remain stable.
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💰 Gold and Bitcoin
All three investors believe that gold will rise in the next 100 days, driven by geopolitical uncertainty and inflation concerns. Boockvar stated that gold’s rise is closely linked to strong demand from central banks. As for Bitcoin, Hogan believes that a more cryptocurrency-friendly government and broader adoption will push the price of this flagship cryptocurrency higher. Bitcoin recently surpassed $100,000, continuing its upward momentum from last week.
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