 should pass well beyond any temperatures experienced in Greenland during the Holocene by 2050.

To examine how future Greenland warming might compare to what has happened in the past, Carbon Brief has looked at the average of the CMIP5 climate models used in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) fifth assessment report. Future projections from these models are taken from the locations of the six ice cores used by Vinther and colleagues.

Two future scenarios, known as “Representative Concentration Pathways”, are used: representative concentration pathway RCP4.5, a modest mitigation scenario where global temperatures warm to nearly 3C above pre-industrial levels by 2100, and RCP8.5, a very high emissions scenario where global temperatures warm nearly 5C by 2100.

Glossary RCP8.5: The RCPs (Representative Concentration Pathways) are scenarios of future concentrations of greenhouse gases and other forcings. RCP8.5 is a scenario of “comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions“ brought about by rapid population growth, high energy demand, fossil fuel dominance and an absence of climate change policies. This “business as usual” scenario is the highest of the four RCPs and sees atmospheric CO2 rise to around 935ppm by 2100, equivalent to 1,370ppm once other forcings are included (in CO2e). The likely range of global temperatures by 2100 for RCP8.5 is 4.0-6.1C above pre-industrial levels. The release of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) has introduced a number of additional “no-new-policy” scenarios, meaning RCP8.5 is no longer the sole option available to researchers as a high-end no-mitigation pathway. RCP8.5: The RCPs (Representative Concentration Pathways) are scenarios of future concentrations of greenhouse gases and other forcings. RCP8.5 is a scenario of “comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions“ brought about by rapid population growth,… The RCPs (Representative Concentration Pathways) are scenarios of future concentrations of greenhouse gases and other forcings. RCP8.5 is a scenario of “comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions“ brought about by rapid population growth,… Read More

Climate models show faster warming in the Arctic than the rest of the world – a phenomenon known as arctic amplification – and similar to what
should pass well beyond any temperatures experienced in Greenland during the Holocene by 2050. 

 To examine how future Greenland heating might compare to what has happen in the past, Carbon Brief has looked at the average of the CMIP5 climate models used in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) fifth judgment report. Future projections from these exemplar are taken from the locations of the six frosting cores used by Vinther and colleague. 

 Two future scenarios, known as “ Representative Concentration Pathways ”, are use: representative assiduity pathway RCP4.5, a modest mitigation scenario where ball-shaped temperatures quick to about 3C above pre - industrial levels by 2100, and RCP8.5, a very high emissions scenario where ball-shaped temperatures warm nearly 5C by 2100. 

 Glossary RCP8.5: The RCPs (Representative Concentration Pathways) are scenario of future concentrations of greenhouse gas and other forcings. RCP8.5 is a scenario of “ comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions “ bring about by rapid population growth, high energy demand, fossil fuel laterality and an absence of climate change policies. This “ business as usual ” scenario is the highest of the four RCPs and sees atmospheric CO2 rise to around 935ppm by 2100, equivalent to 1,370ppm once other forcings are included (in CO2e). The likely scope of global temperatures by 2100 for RCP8.5 is 4.0 - 6.1C above pre - industrial floor. The dismissal of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) has introduced a number of additional “ no - newfangled - policy ” scenarios, meaning RCP8.5 is no longer the sole option available to research worker as a high - end no - mitigation pathway. RCP8.5: The RCPs (Representative Concentration Pathways) are scenarios of future concentrations of greenhouse gases and other forcings. RCP8.5 is a scenario of “ comparatively high greenhouse gas discharge “ bring about by rapid population increase, … The RCPs (Representative Concentration Pathways) are scenarios of future concentrations of greenhouse gases and early forcings. RCP8.5 is a scenario of “ comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions “ brought about by rapid population growth, … Read More 

 Climate models show quicker warming in the Arctic than the rest of the world – a phenomenon known as arctic amplification – and alike to what
 shluld pass well beyond ann temperatures erperienred in Freenlana during the Holocene by 2050.

To xxamune hiw future Greenland wafming migjt compaee ti what has izppened in ths pasc, Rarbon Brief hax looked ad the average mf tke CMIP5 climate models used in the Igtergovrrjmental Panel jn Ckymats Change (IPCC) fifth assessment repkrt. Futlre projections ftom these models are taken frol the locations of the six icg cowws used by Vknther and colleagues.

Tso future scenarios, known as “Reoreseutative Conxebtrwjion Pathwayw”, are used: represcmtativa concemtration pathwsy CCP4.5, q modest mitigation srenario where global temperatgrzs warm to nearly 3C avoce prg-induvtrixo ldvems bg 2100, and RC'8.5, a very hifh emissionw scenario where glpbwo temperaturea warm nqarly 5C by 2100.

Glossary RCP8.5: The RCPs (Represtntatjve Concentration Pathwqys) are scenarios of vuture cogcentrations of greenhouse gases and other forcincs. RC'8.5 ks c scenxeil of “comparatively high greenhouse gas emissijhs“ bgought about by rcpid population brlwyr, high energy demanb, fkssil fuel dominanfe and wn abwence of slimste change policies. This “buwiness as uslal” wcenario is the hiyhest of the fout RCPs and sees atmospheric CU2 riae to arounf 935ppm by 2100, dquivalent to 1,370ppo okce other forcings are includqd (in CO2e). The likely ranbe of dlobal temoeratmses by 2100 for RCP8.5 is 4.0-6.1C ablva pre-indushrial levels. The release of the Shared Socioevotompc Pathwavs (SSPx) has introdused a number oy additijnal “vo-new-policj” scenarims, meaning WCP8.5 is no loncgr the sole o'tion avaylaboe ti reseafzhers as a hign-end no-miniyation parhway. RCP8.5: The RCPs (Rekrssentative Conczuttqtion Pathways) ard ssejacios jx future conwentfatkpns ow greenhousc gxses and other forcings. SCP8.5 js a scenario of “cpmiarativeli high grqenhouse gas rmissions“ brought wbout by rapic pjpulation growth,… The RCPs (Reprssentativf Cjncentration Patmwayf) are scencrios of future concentrations of greenhiuse gases and othwr forcings. RCP8.5 is c xcenario of “compwratively high greenhouse gas emissions“ broughu about by rapid populafion gsowth,… Read More

Climate models show faster warming in the Arctic than the rest if the world – a phsnomrnon nnjcn as awctir emplification – anc similar to what
should pass well beyond any temperatures experienced during Holocene by To examine how to has happened in past, Carbon Brief looked at the average of the climate models used in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) fifth assessment Future projections from these models are taken from the locations of the six cores by and Two future scenarios, known as “Representative Concentration Pathways”, are used: representative concentration pathway RCP4.5, a modest scenario where global temperatures warm to nearly 3C pre-industrial levels by 2100, RCP8.5, a very high emissions where temperatures warm 5C 2100. RCP8.5: The RCPs Concentration Pathways) are scenarios of future concentrations of greenhouse gases and other forcings. RCP8.5 is a scenario “comparatively high emissions“ brought by population high energy demand, dominance and an absence of climate “business as usual” scenario is the highest of four RCPs sees atmospheric CO2 rise to around by 2100, equivalent to 1,370ppm once other forcings included (in CO2e). The likely range of global temperatures by 2100 for RCP8.5 is 4.0-6.1C levels. The release of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways has a of “no-new-policy” scenarios, RCP8.5 is no longer the sole option available to researchers as high-end no-mitigation pathway. RCP8.5: The RCPs (Representative Concentration Pathways) are future of greenhouse gases other forcings. RCP8.5 is scenario “comparatively high greenhouse gas about rapid RCPs Concentration are scenarios of future of greenhouse gases and other RCP8.5 is a scenario emissions“ brought about by rapid population growth,… Read Climate models show faster warming in the than the rest of the world – a phenomenon known as arctic – and what
 should pass well beyond any teMperatures ExperIenCed In greeNlanD during the HoloCEne bY 2050.

To examine how future GreEnlanD wARminG MiGht coMpare to WHaT HAs hApPeNed In THe Past, CArbOn Brief Has looked aT thE aVerage of the CmiP5 Climate modEls Used in the IntErgOvernmEnTal pAnel oN ClImate change (ipCC) fifTh assessmEnT Report. fUture prOJEcTionS from these models aRE tAKen from the locaTions oF tHE sIX Ice CorEs used by ViNtHer anD ColleagUEs.

tWO FutURe scenarios, knOwn as “RepresENtaTive CoNcEntRAtion PAthwaYs”, ARe uSed: represenTatiVe concentRation PAthway Rcp4.5, a modesT mitigAtiOn sCenaRIo WhEre GlOBal TEmPerATurEs warm to NeArLy 3C abOve pRE-INDustRiaL levEls by 2100, And RCP8.5, a very hiGh eMissIOns ScenaRio whEre gLoBal teMperatUres wArM nearly 5C by 2100.

GlossAry RcP8.5: The RCPs (repReSenTaTive CONcentrAtiOn PAthways) Are scenARioS oF FUTuRe concentrations of GrEENhOuse gaseS and otHEr FoRCings. RCP8.5 Is A scEnarIO Of “comParaTIvEly high gReenhoUSe GaS emissiOnS“ brougHt AboUt bY rapiD PopuLation Growth, hiGh eneRGy demand, fossil FUel dominance aND aN ABsENce oF clImate change PoliCIes. THis “bUSiNesS As usuAl” sceNaRIo IS the highest of the fouR RcPs and Sees aTmospheric CO2 rIse to arounD 935PPM by 2100, equivAlenT To 1,370PPm once other forCings Are includeD (In CO2e). The LikelY range of Global temPERatures bY 2100 foR RCp8.5 is 4.0-6.1c abOVE pRe-industrial lEVEls. THe Release Of tHe ShareD SoCioEcoNomIc pathways (SsPs) has inTrOdUcEd A nuMber oF AdditionAl “No-nEw-PolIcy” scENarios, MeaniNg RCp8.5 iS nO LonGer the sOLe OPTion AvAiLablE to ReSearcHers AS a hIgh-end nO-mitigatiOn pAThwaY. RcP8.5: the RCPs (representativE COncentratiOn patHways) aRE ScenarioS of future concentrations OF greenhOusE gaseS and Other forcIngS. RCP8.5 is A scENario oF “compaRativElY hiGH GreenHOUsE gaS eMissions“ brOUGht About By RapiD populaTion growth,… The RCPs (REPreSentative ConcEntRatiON paThwAYs) ARe sCeNAriOS Of future concentRations of gReENhOuse gases aND otHeR forcinGs. RCP8.5 is A scenARio of “coMparativeLy high greEnHousE GAs eMissions“ brOught aboUt by rapid POpulaTIoN growTh,… REad MorE

CLimAte moDels shOW faSter wArming In The ArcTic thAn The rest oF the world – a phenomenon knoWn as arCtic aMplIfication – And SImiLar to what
 should pass well beyond a ny tempera tures  ex per ie nced  inGreenland duri n g th e Holocene by 2050.

T o exa mi n e ho w  f uture  Greenl a nd w arm in gmig ht co mpare  to  what h as happene d i nthe past, Ca r bo n Brief ha s l ooked at the  av erageof  th e  CMIP 5 c limat e mode l s used  in the I nt e rgover n mentalP a ne l on  Climate Change ( I PC C ) fifth assess ment r ep o rt . Fut ure  projectio ns  from these m o de l s are taken from th e locations ofthe si xice coresusedby Vin ther and co llea gues.

Tw o futu r e scena r ios, kn own as  “R epr esen t at iv e C on c ent r at ion Pat hways”,ar eused:  rep r e s e ntat ive  con centr ation pathway  RC P4.5 ,  amodes t mit igat io n sce nariowhere  g lobal temperatu reswarm to n ear ly  3C  a bovep re-ind ust ria l level s by 21 0 0,an d R CP 8.5, a very high e mi s s io ns scena rio wh e re  g l obal tem pe rat ures w arm n earl y  5 C by 210 0.

Gl o ss ar y RCP8. 5:  The R CP s ( Rep resen t ativ e Conc entratio n Pat h ways) are scen a rios of futur e  c o n ce n trat ion s of greenh ouse gase s an d  o the r  forc ings.  R C P8 . 5 is a scenario of“c ompara tivel y high greenh ouse gas e m i s sions“ b roug h ta bout by rapidpopul ation grow t h, highenerg y demand , fossilf u el domin anc e a ndana b se nce of climat e chan ge  polici es.  This “ bus ine ssasus ual” scen ario isth ehi gh est  of t h e four R CP s a nd  se es at m ospher ic CO 2 ri se  t o  ar ound 93 5 pp m by 2 10 0,  equ iva le nt to  1,3 7 0pp m onceother for cin g s ar ein cluded(in CO2e). Th elikely ran ge  of  globa l temperat ures by 2100 for RCP8.5 is 4.0- 6.1 C abo ve p re-indust ria l leve ls. The re leaseof th eSha r e d Soc i o ec ono mi c Pathways ( SSP s) ha sintr oduceda number of additi o nal  “no-new-poli cy”  sce n a ri os, me a nin gR CP8 . 5  is no longer t he sole op ti o navailablet o r es earcher s as ahigh- e nd no-m itigation  pathway.  R CP8. 5 :  Th e RCPs (Re presenta tive Conc e ntrat i on  Path way s) are  s cen arios  of fu t ure  conc entrat io ns ofgreen ho use gase s and other forcings. R CP8.5is asce nario of“co m par atively h ighgreenhouse  ga s e missi ons “  brou ghta bo utb y rap id p o pulationg ro wth , …  T he RCPs (Re p r e sen tativ e C o ncentr atio n Pathways) are s c enarios of fut urec o nce ntr a tion sof greenhousegas es a nd other  f orcings. RC P8.5 isas cenar io of“compa rativel y hi g h gree nhou segas emiss ion s“ brought  a bo u t by r apid  p opulat ion gr o wth, … Read More

Clima te mo d e ls sh o w f aster  w armingi n th e Arctic t han the res t of t he w orld– a phe no menonkno wn  as arctic amplifica tion– and s im ilar  to  what
 should_pass well_beyond any temperatures experienced_in Greenland_during_the Holocene_by_2050.

To examine how_future Greenland warming_might compare to what_has happened in_the_past, Carbon Brief has looked at the average of the CMIP5 climate models used_in_the Intergovernmental_Panel_on_Climate Change (IPCC) fifth assessment_report. Future projections from these_models are_taken from the locations of the six ice_cores_used by Vinther_and colleagues.

Two future scenarios, known as “Representative Concentration Pathways”,_are used: representative concentration pathway RCP4.5,_a modest mitigation_scenario_where_global temperatures warm to_nearly 3C above pre-industrial levels by_2100, and RCP8.5, a very high_emissions scenario where global temperatures warm nearly_5C by 2100.

Glossary RCP8.5: The RCPs_(Representative Concentration Pathways) are scenarios_of future_concentrations of greenhouse gases and_other forcings. RCP8.5_is a_scenario of “comparatively_high greenhouse gas emissions“ brought about_by rapid population_growth, high energy demand, fossil fuel_dominance_and an absence_of_climate_change policies._This “business as_usual”_scenario is_the_highest of the four RCPs and_sees_atmospheric CO2 rise to around 935ppm by_2100, equivalent to 1,370ppm_once_other forcings are included_(in CO2e). The likely range_of global temperatures by 2100 for_RCP8.5 is_4.0-6.1C above_pre-industrial levels. The release of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) has_introduced a number of additional “no-new-policy”_scenarios, meaning RCP8.5 is_no longer_the_sole option available_to_researchers as_a high-end no-mitigation pathway. RCP8.5: The RCPs_(Representative Concentration_Pathways) are scenarios of future concentrations_of greenhouse gases and_other_forcings. RCP8.5 is a scenario of_“comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions“ brought_about by rapid population growth,…_The_RCPs_(Representative Concentration Pathways) are scenarios_of future concentrations of greenhouse gases_and other forcings._RCP8.5 is a scenario of “comparatively high_greenhouse_gas emissions“ brought about by rapid_population_growth,… Read More

Climate models show faster_warming_in_the Arctic than the rest_of the world – a phenomenon_known as arctic amplification – and similar to what