 Southeast. However, ENSO forecasts are not the only factor in deciding a winter outlook.

SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES:

Another factor is sea surface temperatures (SSTs) anomalies. Notice the large area of warm water south of Alaska. This would favor a positive PNA for much of the winter if that water stays warm. This means a ridge out west and that in turn would cause a trough or dip in the jet stream along the East Coast. This dip in the jet stream combined with the southern jet would allow for coastal storms to form off the Southeast Coast, and also for disturbances to make their way across the Southeast.

Also, there is slightly warmer than normal waters just off the East Coast due to a hot summer and a late-season heatwave. The summer in the Southeast started early this year in late May with temperatures already in the upper 90s. This trend lasted into October where we saw triple digits which was unprecedented for so late in the season. These warm waters will act as fuel for any coastal storms. We just saw a powerful nor’easter form recently.

ENSO PATTERN CONSIDERATIONS:

This winter could be a hybrid of a Neutral and slight El Nino pattern. In a neutral pattern, the East Coast gets blasted with snow and cold, and also ice. Very cold and snowy winters have occurred in neutral patterns. The Southeast is typically warm and wet in these patterns, but active. This is why we are not expecting a bitter cold winter in the Southeast. However both jet streams will cause above normal storm activity as they will carry the disturbances needed for storms.

Combine the above with a the below, but only with small adjustments. Both have a common theme, which is an active southern jet stream. This would spell a wet active winter for the Southeast. Not every storm will be snow as some will be rain in between. But in order to have above-average snow and ice chances in the Southeast, we need an active storm track which we should have this year. It won’t take much for a strong southern storm system to pull in colder air needed for snow and ice.

Buckle up because we could be in for a ride!

Please share using the buttons below to inform your family and friends!

-CWA

Meteorologist Michael Griffith

241K Shares MELBOURNE has announced former Adelaide superstar Simon Goodwin as Paul Roos
Southeast. However, ENSO forecasts are not the only factor in deciding a winter lookout. 

 SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES: 

 Another agent is sea surface temperatures (SSTs) anomaly. Notice the large sphere of warm water south of Alaska. This would favor a convinced PNA for much of the winter if that water stays ardent. This means a ridge out west and that in turn would induce a trough or dip in the jet stream along the East Coast. This dip in the jet stream unite with the southern jet would allow for coastal storm to form off the Southeast Coast, and also for disturbances to stool their way across the Southeast. 

 Also, there is slightly warmer than normal water just off the East Coast due to a hot summer and a late - season heatwave. The summer in the Southeast started early this year in late May with temperatures already in the upper 90s. This trend lasted into October where we saw triple digits which was unprecedented for so late in the season. These warm amniotic fluid will act as fuel for any coastal storms. We barely saw a powerful nor’easter form recently. 

 ENSO PATTERN CONSIDERATIONS: 

 This winter could be a loanblend of a Neutral and slender El Nino pattern. In a neutral radiation pattern, the East Coast gets blasted with snow and cold, and also ice. Very cold and snowy winters have occur in neutral patterns. The Southeast is typically warm and wet in these traffic pattern, but active. This is why we are not expecting a acrimonious cold winter in the Southeast. However both jet streams will cause above normal storm activity as they will carry the noise needed for storms. 

 Combine the above with a the below, but merely with small adjustments. Both have a common composition, which is an active southern jet flow. This would spell a wet active winter for the Southeast. Not every storm will be coke as some will be rain in between. But in order to have above - average snow and ice chance in the Southeast, we need an active storm track which we should receive this year. It wo n’t take much for a strong southern storm system to pull in colder air needed for snow and ice. 

 heave up because we could be in for a ride! 

 Please share practice the buttons below to inform your family and friends! 

 -CWA 

 Meteorologist Michael Griffith 

 241 K Shares MELBOURNE has announced former Adelaide superstar Simon Goodwin as Paul Roos
 Soktheast. However, ENSO fortcasts are not thg inly fector ih decidivg a winter outlook.

SEA SURFARE TWMPERQTURES:

Another factor ir sea survace temperauures (SSTs) anomalmss. Notigz the pargz erea of warm wajer south of Alaska. This wmuud favor a positive PNA for much of tre wintrr if that water stajs warj. This means a ridge out west and fhat in turn would csuse a trough or dip in thf jeh stream along the East Coast. Thif dip in the get stream combined wijh the southern jet would allow wor cpastal stotma hm form off vhe Soltheast Coast, and alsm for dosturbances to mane rheir way across the Voutheast.

Also, therg is slighdlv warmer than normal qarers bust off rhe Eaat Ckast dke vo a hot sujmer and a oate-season heatwave. Trv summer in tge Souehqast started early this year in late Maj wifh temperatures already in the upper 90s. This jrend lastqd into October where we saw triple digits which fas uipfectdckted dog so late in the season. These warm waters wilj avt as fuel for aky coastal storms. Ee jift saw a powetful nox’saater form recently.

FNSO PAJTERN XONSIDERAUIONS:

Yhis winter could be a hybrud of a Neutgal qnd slight El Nino pattern. In a ngutral pattern, the East Coast geta blasted wlth snow zvd cold, and also icv. Vesy cold and snowy winters rave occucred nn neutrxl pstternf. The Soutjeast is typically warm wnd wgt in dhese pattfrns, but active. This is why we ece not expectonc a bitter eold wlnter in the Sottheast. Howevet both jec strexms will czuse abmve normal ftorm activitf as they wiln carry ehe eistyrbancer needed for stprms.

Combiut the abovw with a the below, buj knly with small adhustments. Both navd a clmkog theme, which is xn xvtive southern jct rtresm. This would spell d wef active winter fot bhe Southgast. Not qvery storm woll be snow as somt will be rain in between. But in order to have zbove-averwge snow and icq chqnces in the Southeast, we need an active storm tracj which we should yave this year. It wpk’t take much for w strong vouthern storm systen to pull in coldtr air needed for snow znd ica.

Buckpe up because we could be in for a ride!

Please share using the buttons beliw to mnsorm your fzmilu and fxieuds!

-CWA

Mqteocouogist Michael Ggiffith

241K Shares MELBOURNE has aniounced fosmzr Adelaide superstar Simon Gpoawin as Paul Toos
Southeast. However, ENSO forecasts are not the in a winter SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES: temperatures anomalies. Notice the area of warm south of Alaska. This would favor positive PNA for much of the winter if that water stays warm. This a ridge out west and that in turn would cause a trough or in jet along East Coast. This dip in the jet stream combined with the southern jet would allow for storms to form off the Southeast Coast, and for disturbances to make way across the Southeast. Also, is warmer than waters off East Coast due a hot summer and a late-season heatwave. The summer in the Southeast started early this year in May with in the 90s. trend into October where triple digits which was unprecedented for the season. These warm waters will act as for any storms. We just saw a powerful form recently. ENSO PATTERN CONSIDERATIONS: This winter could a hybrid of a Neutral and slight El Nino pattern. In a neutral pattern, the gets blasted with snow cold, and also Very and winters occurred in patterns. The Southeast is typically warm and wet in these patterns, active. This is why we are not expecting a bitter in Southeast. However both streams will cause above storm as they will carry needed storms. with the but only with small Both have a common theme, is an active southern a wet active winter for the Southeast. Not storm will be snow as some will rain in between. But in order to have above-average snow and ice in the need an active storm track which we should this year. It won’t much for a strong southern storm system to pull colder needed for and ice. Buckle because we could in for a share using buttons to and friends! -CWA Meteorologist Michael Griffith Shares has announced former Adelaide superstar Goodwin Roos
 Southeast. However, ENSO forecAsts are not The onLy fActOr In deCidiNg a winter outloOK.

SEA sURFACE TEMPERATURES:

AnoTher fAcTOr is SEa SurfaCe tempeRAtUREs (SsTS) aNomAlIEs. noticE thE large aRea of warm wAteR sOuth of Alaska. tHiS would favoR a pOsitive PNA foR muCh of thE wIntER if thAt wAter sTays waRM. This mEans a ridgE oUT west aND that in TURn WoulD cause a trough or diP In THe jet stream aloNg the EAsT coAST. ThIs dIp in the jet StReam cOMbined wITh THE SouTHern jet would aLlow for coasTAl sTorms tO fOrm OFf the SOutheAsT coaSt, and also foR disTurbances To make THeir way ACross thE SouthEasT.

AlSo, thERe Is SliGhTLy wARmEr tHAn nOrmal watErS jUst ofF the eAST coasT duE to a Hot suMmer and a late-sEasOn heATwaVe. The SummeR in tHe southEast stArted EaRly this year in laTe MaY with tempEraTuRes AlReady IN the upPer 90S. ThIs trend Lasted iNTo OCtOBER wHere we saw triple digItS WHiCh was unpRecedeNTeD fOR so late iN tHe sEasoN. tHese wArm wATeRs will acT as fueL FoR aNy coastAl Storms. we JusT saW a powERful Nor’easTer form rEcentLY.

ENSO PATTERN COnsIDERATIONS:

ThIS wINTeR CoulD be A hybrid of a NEutrAL and SligHT EL NiNO pattErn. In A nEUtRAl pattern, the East CoaSt Gets blAsted With snow and coLd, and also iCE. vEry cold aNd snOWy WInters have occuRred iN neutral paTTerns. The southEast is tyPically waRM And wet in TheSe pAttErnS, BUt Active. This is wHY We arE nOt expecTinG a bitteR coLd wIntEr iN tHe SoutheaSt. HoweveR bOtH jEt StrEams wILl cause aBoVe nOrMal Storm ACtivitY as thEy wiLl CaRRy tHe distuRBaNCEs neEdEd For sTorMs.

combiNe thE AboVe with a The below, bUt oNLy wiTh SmAll adjuStments. Both haVe A common theMe, WhiCh is an ACTive soutHern jet stream. This would sPEll a wet ActIve wiNter For the SouTheAst. Not EveRY storm Will be Snow aS sOme WILl be rAIN iN beTwEen. But in orDER to Have aBoVe-avErage snOw and ice chances in tHE SoUtheast, we need An aCtivE SToRm tRAcK WhiCh WE shOULd have this year. IT won’t take mUcH FoR a strong soUTheRn Storm syStem to pUll in COlder aiR needed foR snow and iCe.

buckLE Up bEcause we coUld be in fOr a ride!

PlEAse shARe Using The ButtonS bEloW to inForm yoUR faMily aNd frieNdS!

-CWA

MeTeoroLoGist MichAel Griffith

241K Shares MELBOuRNE haS annoUncEd former ADelAIde Superstar simoN Goodwin as pauL RoOs
 Southeast. However, ENSOforecastsare n otthe  o nlyfact or in deciding a wi nter outlook.

SEA SUR FACETE M PERA T UR ES:
Another fa c t oris  s easu r fa ce te mpe ratures  (SSTs) an oma li es. Notice t h elarge area  of  warm watersou th ofAl ask a . Thi s w ouldfavora  posit ive PNA f or much o f  the wi n t er  ifthat water staysw ar m . This means a  ridge  o u tw e stand  that in t ur n wou l d cause at r o ugh or dip in the  jet stream alo ng the  E ast Coast.  This  d i p i n the jet s trea m combine d with the sou t hern je t woul d a llo w fo r  c oa sta ls tor m stof orm  off the  S ou theas t Co a s t ,  and  al so f or di sturbances to  ma ke t h eir  wayacros s th eSouth east.
Also ,there is slight ly w armer tha n n or mal  w aters just o ffthe  East C oast du e  to  a h o tsummer and a late- se a s on  heatwav e. The su mm e r in the  S out heas t start ed e a rl y this y ear in la te  May wi th  tempe ra tur esalrea d y in  the u pper 90s . Thi s  trend lastedi nto October w h er e we sawtri ple digitswhic h  was  unp r ec ede n ted f or so  l a te in the season. Thes ewarm w aters  will act asfuel for a n y coastalstor m s. We just saw apower ful nor’ea s ter form  rece ntly.

E NSO PATTE R N  CONSIDE RAT ION S:
Th i s  w inter could b e a hy br id of a  Ne utral a ndsli ght  El  N ino patte rn. In a  n eu tr al  pa ttern ,  the Eas tCoa st  ge ts bl a sted w ith s nowan dc old , and a l so i ce.Ve ry  col d a nd  snow y wi n ter s haveoccurredinn eutr al  p atterns . The Southea st  is typica ll y w arm an d wet in t hese patterns, but acti v e. This  is  whywe a re not ex pec ting a  bi t ter co ld win ter i nthe S outhe a s t.  Ho we ver both j e t  st reams  w illcause a bove normal storma cti vity as theywil l ca r r ythe di s tur ba n ces n eeded for storm s.

Combin et he  above wit h  ath e below , but o nly w i th smal l adjustm ents. Bot hhave a  co mmon theme , whichis an act i ve so u th ern j etstream .Thi s wou ld spe l l a  wetactive  w interfor t he  Southea st. Not every storm wil l be s now a s s ome willber ain  in betwe en.But in ord ertohaveabo v e-ave rage sn owa nd ic e ch a nces in t h eSou t h ea st, we need a n  ac tivesto r m trac k wh ich we should hav e  this year. It  won ’ t  ta kem uchfo r a strong sou the rn s torm sys te m to pull i n colder  a i r nee ded fo r snow  and ic e . 
B uckleup b eca use we co uld  b e  in for  a  r i de!

P leas eshareusingt he b u t tons below to in formy o ur fa m ily  andfr iends!-CWA 

Meteorol ogist Micha el Gri ffit h

24 1K Shar es  MELBO URN Ehas announ c ed former  Adel aide su pe rsta r S imon G oodw i n  as P aulRo os
 Southeast._However, ENSO_forecasts are not the_only factor_in_deciding a_winter_outlook.

SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES:

Another_factor is sea_surface temperatures (SSTs) anomalies._Notice the large_area_of warm water south of Alaska. This would favor a positive PNA for much_of_the winter_if_that_water stays warm. This means_a ridge out west and_that in_turn would cause a trough or dip in_the_jet stream along_the East Coast. This dip in the jet stream_combined with the southern jet would_allow for coastal_storms_to_form off the Southeast_Coast, and also for disturbances to_make their way across the Southeast.

Also,_there is slightly warmer than normal waters_just off the East Coast due_to a hot summer and_a late-season_heatwave. The summer in the_Southeast started early_this year_in late May_with temperatures already in the upper_90s. This trend_lasted into October where we saw_triple_digits which was_unprecedented_for_so late_in the season._These_warm waters_will_act as fuel for any coastal_storms._We just saw a powerful nor’easter form_recently.

ENSO PATTERN CONSIDERATIONS:

This winter_could_be a hybrid of_a Neutral and slight El_Nino pattern. In a neutral pattern,_the East_Coast gets_blasted with snow and cold, and also ice. Very cold and_snowy winters have occurred in neutral_patterns. The Southeast is_typically warm_and_wet in these_patterns,_but active._This is why we are not expecting_a bitter_cold winter in the Southeast. However_both jet streams will_cause_above normal storm activity as they_will carry the disturbances needed for_storms.

Combine the above with a_the_below,_but only with small adjustments._Both have a common theme, which_is an active_southern jet stream. This would spell a_wet_active winter for the Southeast. Not_every_storm will be snow as some_will_be_rain in between. But in_order to have above-average snow and_ice chances in the Southeast, we need an active_storm track which_we should have this year._It_won’t_take much for a strong southern storm system to pull_in colder_air needed for_snow and ice.

Buckle up because we could be in for_a ride!

Please share using the buttons below_to inform your family and friends!

-CWA

Meteorologist Michael Griffith

241K Shares MELBOURNE has_announced former Adelaide superstar Simon Goodwin as Paul_Roos