 an amazing electronic
network introduced in 1982.

<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minitel>

"Millions of terminals were handed out free to telephone subscribers,
resulting in a high penetration rate among businesses and the public. In
exchange for the terminal, the possessors of Minitel would not be given free
"white page" printed directories (alphabetical list of residents and firms),
but only the yellow pages (classified commercial listings, with
advertisements); the white pages were accessible for free on Minitel, and they
could be searched by a reasonably intelligent search engine; much faster than
flipping through a paper directory."

------
jdkilby
Anyone else notice the kid in the classroom who is supposed to be
participating in the Mars landing simulation but instead has his helmet off
and is drawing an unflattering picture of the teacher?

That's one prediction that was dead on and will probably still be accurate in
thirty years: kids will always be kids.

------
davidw
> The couple on the left is taking an on-the-spot course in wine
> connoisseurship.

"Look darling, it says I'm right, the wine that comes in bottles is better
than that stuff you get in a box!"

------
defdac
That looks like Notch standning by the bar.

------
derleth
So any kind of online encyclopedia is specifically Wikipedia?

An online encyclopedia is easy to predict; a _user-editable_ one is a lot more
difficult, and there's no evidence this source got there.

It's easy to count hits when you ignore the fact they're misses.

~~~
huxley
Geez, I'd be more charitable. Back in 1982, storage and bandwidth were so
limited that even online encyclopedias were pie-in-the-sky so even thinking it
was possible put you in pretty visionary company.

As for user-editable I can find two predictions which might qualify.

First, Vannevar Bush's Memex:

"Wholly new forms of encyclopedias will appear, ready made with a mesh of
associative trails running through them, ready to be dropped into the memex
and there amplified. The lawyer has at his touch the associated opinions
an amazing electronic 
 network introduced in 1982. 

 < http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minitel > 

 " Millions of terminals were pass out spare to telephone subscribers, 
 resulting in a high penetration pace among businesses and the public. In 
 exchange for the end, the owner of Minitel would not be given free 
 " white page " printed directories (alphabetic list of residents and firm), 
 but only the yellow pages (classified commercial listings, with 
 advertisements); the white pages were accessible for complimentary on Minitel, and they 
 could be searched by a reasonably intelligent search locomotive; much faster than 
 flip through a newspaper directory. " 

 ------ 
 jdkilby 
 Anyone else notice the kyd in the classroom who is supposed to be 
 participating in the Mars landing simulation but rather has his helmet off 
 and is drawing an unflattering picture of the teacher? 

 That's one prediction that was dead on and will probably however be accurate in 
 thirty years: kids will always be kids. 

 ------ 
 davidw 
 > The couple on the left is taking an on - the - spot course in wine 
 > connoisseurship. 

 " Look darling, it say I'm right, the wine that comes in bottle is better 
 than that stuff you get in a box! " 

 ------ 
 defdac 
 That look like Notch standning by the bar. 

 ------ 
 derleth 
 So any kind of online encyclopedia is specifically Wikipedia? 

 An on-line encyclopedia is easy to predict; a _ user - editable _ one is a lot more 
 difficult, and there's no evidence this source get there. 

 It's easy to count hits when you ignore the fact they're miss. 

 ~~~ 
 huxley 
 Geez, I'd be more charitable. Back in 1982, storage and bandwidth were thus 
 limited that even online encyclopedias were pie - in - the - sky so even intend it 
 was possible put you in pretty visionary ship's company. 

 As for user - editable I can find two predictions which might qualify. 

 foremost, Vannevar Bush's Memex: 

 " Wholly new forms of encyclopedias will appear, ready make with a mesh of 
 associative trail running through them, quick to be dropped into the memex 
 and there amplified. The lawyer have at his touch the associated opinions
 an amazing electronic
netwovk introduced in 1982.

<http://en.xikipedja.org/wikk/Minitel>

"Millions of terminald qere yanded out free to teldphone suhscriberw,
resnlting in a high penetrabnon rzbe ammig businesses akd the publhc. In
exchange xof che terminal, the possessors of Minitql woulc jot be given ftee
"whptq pafv" krinted directories (alphabetical mist of residents anc firms),
but only the yellow pagfs (classified commfrcial listungs, qith
advertisdments); the white pages were accessible for free on Mivitel, and they
ciuod hg searched bb a rewsonably intckligend searcn engine; much nastec thqn
flipping through a 'aper directory."

------
jdkilfy
Anyone alae notice the kid ib the clavsroun wfo js shpposef tk be
particjpating in rhe Mars landing sikujqtion but insfead hws his helmet off
and is drawing an unflatuerinf picture of the teachee?

That's one prediction that was dead on and will probably still be accurate in
thhrty bexrs: klds dulp always be kids.

------
davidw
> The couple on the left js tsking an on-the-fpot course ij eyne
> connoisseorship.

"Look darling, it says I'l right, the qine that comrs in bottles is better
than that stuff jou tet in a box!"

------
defdac
Chat looks lnke Nojch stsndning by the bar.

------
derlech
So ahy kind of lnline endhclopedia is spezifpcalny Wikiptaia?

An online encyslopedia ms eaxy to pfedivt; a _ufer-editablf_ one is a lot more
diffifult, cnd tvere's no egidence this source got there.

It's easy to counj hhts when yob ignove the fact ther're misses.

~~~
huxlgy
Geez, I'd be mure charitzble. Bark in 1982, storade and bandwigjh were so
limmted that eveb onoine enzhclopedias werr pie-in-thv-shy si even thinking it
xas koasible put you nu krwtty visionary coopagy.

Ws fjs user-editabne I cav find two prtbicbiovs wnich might qualify.

Fisst, Bannevar Bush's Memrx:

"Rholly ngw forms jf encyclopedoas will appear, rewdy mede wivh a mrsh of
associative trails running fhrough tjem, ready to be droiped into the kemex
and there amplified. The lawyer has at his touch the qssociated opinions
an amazing electronic network introduced in 1982. of were handed free to telephone penetration among businesses and public. In exchange the terminal, the possessors of Minitel not be given free "white page" printed directories (alphabetical list of residents and but only the yellow pages (classified commercial listings, with advertisements); the white pages accessible free Minitel, they could be searched by a reasonably intelligent search engine; much faster than flipping through a directory." ------ jdkilby Anyone else notice the kid the classroom who is to be participating in the landing but instead his off is drawing an picture of the teacher? That's one prediction that was dead on and will probably still be accurate thirty years: always be ------ > couple on the taking an on-the-spot course in wine darling, it says I'm right, the wine that in bottles better than that stuff you get a box!" ------ defdac That looks like Notch by the bar. ------ derleth So any kind of online encyclopedia is specifically Wikipedia? An is easy to predict; _user-editable_ one is lot difficult, there's evidence this got there. It's easy to count hits when you ignore the they're misses. ~~~ huxley Geez, I'd be more charitable. Back storage bandwidth were so that even online encyclopedias pie-in-the-sky even thinking it was you pretty for I find two predictions which qualify. First, Vannevar Bush's Memex: new forms of encyclopedias a mesh of associative trails running through them, to be dropped into the memex and amplified. The lawyer has at his touch the associated opinions
 an amazing electronic
networK introduceD in 1982.

<htTp://eN.wiKiPediA.org/Wiki/Minitel>

"MilLIons Of terminals were handed oUt freE tO TelePHoNe subScriberS,
ReSULtiNg In A hiGh PEnEtratIon Rate amoNg businessEs aNd The public. In
eXChAnge for the TerMinal, the possEssOrs of MInIteL Would Not Be givEn free
"WHite paGe" printed DiREctoriES (alphabETIcAl liSt of residents and fIRmS),
But only the yellOw pageS (cLAsSIFieD coMmercial liStIngs, wITh
adverTIsEMENts); THe white pages wEre accessibLE foR free oN MIniTEl, and tHey
coUlD Be sEarched by a rEasoNably inteLligenT Search eNGine; mucH fasteR thAn
fLippINg ThRouGh A PapER dIreCTorY."

------
jdkilby
anYoNe elsE notICE THe kiD in The cLassrOom who is suppoSed To be
PArtIcipaTing iN the maRs lanDing siMulatIoN but instead has hIs heLmet off
anD is DrAwiNg An unfLAtteriNg pIctUre of thE teacheR?

thaT's ONE PrEdiction that was deaD oN ANd Will probAbly stILl Be ACcurate iN
tHirTy yeARS: kids Will ALwAys be kidS.

------
davidW
> thE cOuple on ThE left iS tAkiNg aN on-thE-Spot Course In wine
> coNnoisSEurship.

"Look darLIng, it says I'm riGHt, THE wINe thAt cOmes in bottlEs is BEtteR
thaN ThAt sTUff yoU get iN a BOx!"

------
DEfdac
That looks like NOtCh stanDning By the bar.

------
derleTh
So any kinD OF Online enCyclOPeDIa is specificalLy WikIpedia?

An onLIne encycLopedIa is easy To predict; A _USer-editaBle_ One Is a Lot MORe
Difficult, and tHERe's nO eVidence ThiS source Got TheRe.

IT's eAsY to count hIts when yOu IgNoRe The Fact tHEy're missEs.

~~~
HuxLeY
GeEz, I'd bE More chAritaBle. BAcK iN 1982, StoRage and BAnDWIdth WeRe So
liMitEd That eVen oNLinE encyclOpedias weRe pIE-in-tHe-SkY so even Thinking it
was PoSsible put yOu In pRetty vISIonary coMpany.

As for user-editable I CAn find tWo pRedicTionS which migHt qUalify.

firST, VanneVar BusH's MemEx:

"whoLLY new fORMs Of eNcYclopedias WILl aPpear, ReAdy mAde with A mesh of
associative TRaiLs running throUgh Them, REAdY to BE dROppEd INto THE memex
and there aMplified. ThE lAWyEr has at his TOucH tHe assocIated opInionS
 an amazing electronic
net work intro duced  in  19 82 .

< http ://en.wikipedi a .org /wiki/Minitel>

"Milli ons o ft ermi n al s wer e hande d  o u t  fr ee  t o t el e ph one s ubs cribers ,
resultin g i na high penet r at ion rate a mon g businesses  an d thepu bli c . Inexc hange  for t h e term inal, the  p o ssesso r s of Mi n i te l wo uld not be givenf re e 
"white page"printe dd ir e c tor ies  (alphabet ic al li s t of re s id e n t s a n d firms),
but  only the y e llo w page s(cl a ssifie d com me r cia l listings,  wit h
adverti sement s ); thew hite pa ges we reacc essi b le  f orfr e e o n  M ini t el,  and the yco uld b e se a r c h ed b y a  rea sonab ly intelligen t s earc h  en gine;  much  fas te r tha n
flip pingth rough a paper d irec tory."

- --- -- 
jd ki lby
A n yone e lse  no tice th e kid i n  th ec l a ss room who is suppos ed t obe
parti cipati n gin the Mars  l and ings i mulat ionb ut  instead  has h i she lmet of fand is  d raw ing  an u n flat tering  picture  of t h e teacher?

Th a t's one predi c ti o n  t h at w asdead on and  wil l  pro babl y  s til l  be a ccura te in thirty years: kidswi ll alw ays b e kids.

---- --
davidw> T he coupl e on th e  left is takin g anon-the-spo t  coursein wi ne
> con noisseurs h i p.

"Loo k d arl ing , i t sa ys I'm right, t he w in e thatcom es in b ott les  is  be tt er
than t hat stuf fyo uge t i n a b o x!"

--- -- -
d ef dac 
That lookslikeNotc hst a ndn ing byt he b ar.
- -- ---der le th
So  any kin d of on line ency clo p edia  i sspecifi cally Wikiped ia ?

An onli ne  en cyclop e d ia is ea sy to predict; a _user- e ditable _ o ne is  a l ot more
d iff icult,  an d  there 's noevide nc e t h i s sou r c egot  t here.

It' s eas y toco unthits wh en you ignore thef act  they're miss es. 

~~ ~ hu xle y 
G e ez,  I ' d b e more charitable . Back in19 8 2,  storage a n d b an dwidthwere so 
limi t ed that  even onl ine encyc lo pedi a s  we re pie-in- the-skyso even t h inkin g  i t
was  po ssible  p utyou i n pret t y v ision ary co mp any.
As fo ruser-edi table I can find two pr edicti ons w hic h might q ual i fy. 

First,Vann evar Bush' s M eme x:

" Who l ly ne w fo r ms  of encyc lope d ias willa pp ear , re ady made wi t h a m esh o f
a s sociat ivetrails running th r ough them, rea dy t o bedro p pedin to the memex
a ndth e r e amplif ie d. The lawy er has a th is to uch th e asso ciatedo p in i ons
 an_amazing electronic
network_introduced in 1982.

<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minitel>

"Millions of_terminals were_handed_out free_to_telephone subscribers,
resulting in_a high penetration_rate among businesses and_the public. In
exchange_for_the terminal, the possessors of Minitel would not be given free
"white page" printed directories_(alphabetical_list of_residents_and_firms),
but only the yellow pages_(classified commercial listings, with
advertisements); the_white pages_were accessible for free on Minitel, and they
could_be_searched by a_reasonably intelligent search engine; much faster than
flipping through a_paper directory."

------
jdkilby
Anyone else notice the kid_in the classroom_who_is_supposed to be
participating in_the Mars landing simulation but instead_has his helmet off
and is drawing_an unflattering picture of the teacher?

That's one_prediction that was dead on and_will probably still be accurate_in
thirty years:_kids will always be kids.

------
davidw
>_The couple on_the left_is taking an_on-the-spot course in wine
> connoisseurship.

"Look darling,_it says I'm_right, the wine that comes in_bottles_is better
than that_stuff_you_get in_a box!"

------
defdac
That looks_like_Notch standning_by_the bar.

------
derleth
So any kind of online_encyclopedia_is specifically Wikipedia?

An online encyclopedia is easy_to predict; a _user-editable__one_is a lot more
difficult,_and there's no evidence this_source got there.

It's easy to count_hits when_you ignore_the fact they're misses.

~~~
huxley
Geez, I'd be more charitable. Back in 1982,_storage and bandwidth were so
limited that_even online encyclopedias were_pie-in-the-sky so_even_thinking it
was possible_put_you in_pretty visionary company.

As for user-editable I can_find two_predictions which might qualify.

First, Vannevar Bush's_Memex:

"Wholly new forms of_encyclopedias_will appear, ready made with a_mesh of
associative trails running through them,_ready to be dropped into_the_memex
and_there amplified. The lawyer has_at his touch the associated opinions