 what he is saying is deceitful or not? Such a statement (I believe) is harder to detect and thus much more dangerous, as is the person who issues the statement. Arguably, what made Adolf Hitler a peril to humanity was not that he lied. It was that he made inflammatory statements without caring about whether they were accurate.

Bullshit is what occurs when someone wants to speak but has nothing definitive to say. When someone wants to assert himself but has nothing on which he is authoritative. When one wishes to merge style with substance but lacks substantial thoughts or knowledge. The bullshitter is unconcerned with facts, “except insofar as they may be pertinent to his interest in getting away with what he says.” The bullshit statement is made with a desire to convince people without worrying about whether what is conveyed is actually correct.

What’s amazing about the bullshitter is that, just as his statement need not be explicitly true or false, he himself need not realize that he is a bullshitter in order to be one. In fact, the bullshitter might be the most sincere person in the world. Of course, as Frankfurt puts it in the last line of his book, “sincerity itself is bullshit.” Nate Silver, in softer language, voices the same sentiment in The Signal and the Noise:

The amount of confidence someone expresses in a prediction is not a good indication of its accuracy — to the contrary, these qualities are often inversely correlated.

All of which brings me to DFS.

The Bullshit in DFS

There’s a lot of (academically defined) bullshit in the industry, and I think it can be broken into two types. The first type is that created by those issuing content for your consumption. A lot of touts writing articles or talking on podcasts produce a lot of statements that seem as if they might be accurate — after all, they have some facts and numbers to support their position — but many of these statements at best border on bullshit, because they are made with only partial regard for accuracy.

The people making these statements probably hope that they are accurate, but they haven’t done the research to verify that the data supporting their statements is actually meaningful. They are just shooting from the hip. And, in the words of Frankfurt, “bullshit is unavoidable whenever circumstances require someone to talk without knowing what he is talking about.” At best, the people who make such statements are sloppy and
what he is saying is deceitful or not? Such a statement (I believe) is hard to detect and therefore much more dangerous, as is the person who issues the instruction. Arguably, what make Adolf Hitler a peril to humanity was not that he lie. It was that he form inflammatory statement without caring about whether they were accurate. 

 Bullshit is what occurs when someone want to speak but has nothing authoritative to say. When someone wants to assert himself but has nothing on which he is authoritative. When one wishes to merge style with kernel but lacks substantial thoughts or cognition. The bullshitter is unconcerned with facts, “ except insofar as they may be pertinent to his sake in getting aside with what he says. ” The bullshit statement is made with a desire to convince people without worry about whether what is conveyed is actually correct. 

 What ’s amazing about the bullshitter is that, just as his statement need not be explicitly true or assumed, he himself need not realize that he is a bullshitter in order to be one. In fact, the bullshitter might be the most sincere person in the world. Of course, as Frankfurt puts it in the last line of his book, “ earnestness itself is bullshit. ” Nate Silver, in softer language, voice the like opinion in The Signal and the Noise: 

 The amount of confidence someone expresses in a prediction is not a good indication of its accuracy — to the contrary, these qualities are often inversely correlate. 

 All of which brings me to DFS. 

 The Bullshit in DFS 

 There ’s a lot of (academically defined) bullshit in the industry, and I think it can be broken into two type. The first type is that created by those issuing contentedness for your consumption. A bunch of touts writing articles or talking on podcasts produce a bunch of statements that seem as if they might be accurate — after all, they have some facts and numbers to support their situation — but many of these statements at dear border on bullshit, because they are make with only fond regard for accuracy. 

 The people making these statements credibly hope that they are accurate, but they have n’t done the research to verify that the datum supporting their statements is actually meaningful. They are just shooting from the hip. And, in the words of Frankfurt, “ bullshit is unavoidable whenever circumstances require someone to talk without knowing what he is talking about. ” At better, the people who make such statement are sloppy and
 whwt he is saying is deceiuful or not? Such c statekent (I believe) is harder to detect and thud nuch nore dangerous, as is tfe person who issyes uhe statement. Argnzbly, what mads Adonh Hitler a perik to humanhty was not thdt hz lied. It was that he made inflammatjry stayelents without sarimd abklt whether they were accurate.

Bumlshit ps what occurs whrn someone wants to speak hut jas nothing definihive to say. Wheg someone wangs to assegc himself bot has nothing on which he is aughoricative. When obe ahshes to mecge stjle with subsbsnce bgt lackx substantial bhougits ir knowledge. The bullvhitter is unconcetned with xaets, “except insofar as tyey mdy ba pefrindnt tp gis inherxst in gettjng away wirh what he says.” The btolshit statemsnt is mwde with a desire to convince people wiuhout worrying about whether what is conveyed is wctually sorrect.

What’s amazing about the bullshitter is thad, jusv xs klf wtwtement need not be explicitly true or false, rs nikself need not realize thst hr is a bullshijter in orser to be one. In fwct, the bullwhitter myght be the most sincere person in the worlb. Od course, as Frankfbrt puts it nn the last line of his book, “sincexity ifself is buplshit.” Nafd Silver, in softdr katguage, voices the same seneiment in The Signal and the Njise:

The amlunt of confidence someoje exkressev in a prefiction is not a good indicatioi of its accutacf — no the coutrary, these qualityes are often nnverselv corrdlated.

All kf whici brings me eo DFS.

The Bulndhit in DFS

Tiere’s a ljt od (acqdemicauuy defined) bulkshit in nht industry, and I think it cak be cdoken into two cvpts. The first typr ir tran cceateq by those isvuine cumtent for your civsumltion. A lot of touts wrifing articles or tslhing on kodcasts [roduce a lot of statements thau seem as if tney might be accurate — after all, fhey have soie facts and numners to supporc their position — but many of these statxments at best border ob bullshit, because jhen are made wmth onjy partian regard for accuract.

The people makinn these statements progably vope hhat they are accurate, but they haven’t done the research to verify that tye date fupporting fheit stanemzntx is astuapuy meaningful. Thvy are just shooting from the hi'. And, in tve words of Frankfurt, “bullshit ir unavoidable whenever circumstances dequire xomeone to talk without knowing what he is talking aboub.” At best, the leople who make such statememts arz sloppy and
what he is saying is deceitful or a (I believe) harder to detect as the person who the statement. Arguably, made Adolf Hitler a peril to was not that he lied. It was that he made inflammatory statements without about whether they were accurate. Bullshit is what occurs when someone wants to but nothing to When someone wants to assert himself but has nothing on which he is authoritative. When one to merge style with substance but lacks substantial or knowledge. The bullshitter unconcerned with facts, “except insofar they be pertinent his in away with what says.” The bullshit statement is made with a desire to convince people without worrying about whether what conveyed is What’s amazing the is just as his not be explicitly true or false, not realize that he is a bullshitter in to be In fact, the bullshitter might be most sincere person in the world. Of course, Frankfurt puts it in the last line of his book, “sincerity itself is bullshit.” Nate softer language, voices the sentiment in The and Noise: amount confidence someone in a prediction is not a good indication of its accuracy to the contrary, these qualities are often inversely correlated. All brings to DFS. The in DFS There’s a of defined) bullshit in the I it into types. first type is that by those issuing content for consumption. A lot of on podcasts produce a lot of statements that as if they might be accurate — all, they have some facts and numbers to support their position — many of at best border on bullshit, because they are with only partial regard accuracy. The people making these statements probably hope that are but they done the research verify that the supporting their statements meaningful. They just from in the words of Frankfurt, “bullshit unavoidable circumstances require someone to talk knowing is talking about.” At best, the people who make such statements are sloppy and
 what he is saying is deceitful Or not? Such a StateMenT (I bElIeve) Is haRder to detect anD Thus Much more dangerous, as is tHe perSoN Who iSSuEs the StatemeNT. ARGUabLy, WhAt mAdE adOlf HiTleR a peril To humanity Was NoT that he lied. IT WaS that he madE inFlammatory stAteMents wItHouT CarinG abOut whEther tHEy were Accurate.

BUlLShit is WHat occuRS WhEn soMeone wants to speak BUt HAs nothing definItive tO sAY. WHEN soMeoNe wants to aSsErt hiMSelf but HAs NOTHinG On which he is auThoritative. wHen One wisHeS to MErge stYle wiTh SUbsTance but lacKs suBstantial ThoughTS or knowLEdge. The BullshIttEr iS uncONcErNed WiTH faCTs, “ExcEPt iNsofar as ThEy May be PertINENT to hIs iNterEst in Getting away wiTh wHat hE SayS.” The bUllshIt stAtEment Is made With a DeSire to convince pEoplE without wOrrYiNg aBoUt wheTHer whaT is ConVeyed is ActuallY CorReCT.

wHaT’s amazing about the bUlLSHiTter is thAt, just AS hIs STatement NeEd nOt be EXPliciTly tRUe Or false, hE himseLF nEeD not reaLiZe that He Is a BulLshitTEr in Order tO be one. In Fact, tHE bullshitter miGHt be the most siNCeRE PeRSon iN thE world. Of couRse, aS franKfurT PuTs iT In the Last lInE Of HIs book, “sincerity itseLf Is bullShit.” NAte Silver, in soFter languaGE, VOices the Same SEnTIment in The SignAl and The Noise:

ThE Amount of ConfiDence somEone expreSSEs in a preDicTioN is Not A GOoD indication of ITS accUrAcy — to thE coNtrary, tHesE quAliTieS aRe often inVersely cOrReLaTeD.

AlL of whICh brings Me To DfS.

the bullsHIt in DFs

TherE’s a lOt Of (ACadEmicallY DeFINed) bUlLsHit iN thE iNdustRy, anD i thInk it caN be broken IntO Two tYpEs. the firsT type is that crEaTed by those IsSuiNg contENT for your Consumption. A lot of touts wRIting arTicLes or TalkIng on podcAstS produCe a LOt of stAtemenTs thaT sEem AS If theY MIgHt bE aCcurate — aftER All, They hAvE somE facts aNd numbers to support THeiR position — but mAny Of thESE sTatEMeNTs aT bESt bORDer on bullshit, beCause they aRe MAdE with only pARtiAl Regard fOr accurAcy.

ThE People mAking thesE statemenTs ProbABLy hOpe that theY are accuRate, but thEY haveN’T dOne thE reSearch To VerIfy thAt the dATa sUpporTing thEiR stateMents Is Actually Meaningful. They are just shOoting From tHe hIp. And, in thE woRDs oF FrankfurT, “bulLshit is unaVoiDabLe wheNevER circUmstANcEs rEQuire SomeONe to talk wIThOut KNOwIng what he is TALKinG abouT.” At BEst, the PeopLe who make such statEMents are sloppy And
 what he is saying is dece itful or n ot? S uch  ast atem ent(I believe) is hard er to detect and thusmuchmo r e da n ge rous,  as ist he p ers on  w hois s ue s the  st atement . Arguably , w ha t made Adolf Hi tler a per ilto humanitywas  not t ha t h e  lied . I t was  thath e made  inflamma to r y stat e ments w i t ho ut c aring about wheth e rt hey were accur ate.
Bu l ls h i t i s w hat occurs  w hen s o meone w a nt s t o s p eak but has n othing defi n iti ve tosa y.W hen so meone  w a nts  to asserthims elf but h as not h ing onw hich he  is au tho rit ativ e .Wh enon e  wi s he s t o  me rge styl ewi th su bsta n c e butlac ks s ubsta ntial thought s o r kn o wle dge.The b ulls hi tteris unc oncer ne d with facts, “ exce pt insofa r a sthe ymay b e  perti nen t t o his i nterest inge t t i ng  away with what he  s a y s. ” The bu llshit st at e ment isma dewith a  desi re t o  c onvincepeople wi th out wor ry ing ab ou t w het her w h at i s conv eyed isactua l ly correct.

W h at’s amazinga bo u t  t h e bu lls hitter is t hat, just  ash is  st a temen t nee dn ot be explicitly trueor  false , hehimself neednot realiz e t hat he i s ab ul l shitter in ord er to  be one. I n  fact, t he bu llshitte r might b e the most  si nce reper s o nin the world. O f co ur se, asFra nkfurtput s i t i n t he  last lin e of his  b oo k,  “ sin cerit y  itselfis  bu ll shi t.” N a te Sil ver,in s of te r  la nguage, vo i c es t he  s amesen ti mentin T h e S ignal a nd the No ise : 

Th eam ount of  confidence s om eone expre ss esin a p r e dictionis not a good indicatio n  of its  ac curac y —to the co ntr ary, t hes e  quali ties a re of te n i n v ersel y co rre la ted.

Allo f  wh ich b ri ngsme to D FS.

The Bullshiti n D FS

There’s a  lo t of ( ac ade m ic a lly  d e fin e d ) bullshit in t he industr y, an d I thinki t c an  be bro ken int o two types.The first  type isth at c r e ate d by those  issuing  contentf or yo u rconsu mpt ion. A  l otof to uts wr i tin g art iclesor  talki ng on  p odcastsproduce a lot of statem ents t hat s eem  as if th eym igh t be accu rate  — after a ll,  th ey ha ves ome f acts an d n u mbers  tos upport th e ir  po s i ti on — but ma n y ofthese  st a tement s at  best border on b u llshit, becaus e th e y  ar e m a de w it h only partial  re ga r d  for acc ur acy.

The p eople ma ki n g the se sta tement s proba b l yh ope th at t hey  are accu rat e, but the yha v en’t d oneth e rese arch t o  ver i f y that the datasuppo r t ing t h eir  stat em ents is actu ally meani ngful. They  are j ustshoot ing fro mthe hi p.An d, in thew ords of F rankf urt, “b ul lshi t i s unav oida b l e whe neve rcir cumstance s re q ui re som eone  to t al k wi thout kno w ing what  he is talk in g a b o ut.” A t  b e s t, the peo ple  whom a ke such st a teme n ts are s loppyand
 what_he is_saying is deceitful or_not? Such_a_statement (I_believe)_is harder to_detect and thus_much more dangerous, as_is the person_who_issues the statement. Arguably, what made Adolf Hitler a peril to humanity was not_that_he lied._It_was_that he made inflammatory statements_without caring about whether they_were accurate.

Bullshit_is what occurs when someone wants to speak_but_has nothing definitive_to say. When someone wants to assert himself but_has nothing on which he is_authoritative. When one_wishes_to_merge style with substance_but lacks substantial thoughts or knowledge._The bullshitter is unconcerned with facts,_“except insofar as they may be pertinent_to his interest in getting away_with what he says.” The_bullshit statement_is made with a desire_to convince people_without worrying_about whether what_is conveyed is actually correct.

What’s amazing_about the bullshitter_is that, just as his statement_need_not be explicitly_true_or_false, he_himself need not_realize_that he_is_a bullshitter in order to be_one._In fact, the bullshitter might be the_most sincere person in_the_world. Of course, as_Frankfurt puts it in the_last line of his book, “sincerity_itself is_bullshit.” Nate_Silver, in softer language, voices the same sentiment in The Signal_and the Noise:

The amount of confidence_someone expresses in a_prediction is_not_a good indication_of_its accuracy_— to the contrary, these qualities are_often inversely_correlated.

All of which brings me to_DFS.

The Bullshit in DFS

There’s_a_lot of (academically defined) bullshit in_the industry, and I think it_can be broken into two_types._The_first type is that created_by those issuing content for your_consumption. A lot_of touts writing articles or talking on_podcasts_produce a lot of statements that_seem_as if they might be accurate_—_after_all, they have some facts_and numbers to support their position_— but many of these statements at best border_on bullshit, because_they are made with only_partial_regard_for accuracy.

The people making these statements probably hope that they_are accurate,_but they haven’t_done the research to verify that the data supporting their_statements is actually meaningful. They are just_shooting from the hip. And, in the words of Frankfurt, “bullshit_is unavoidable whenever circumstances require someone to talk_without knowing what he is talking about.”_At best, the people_who_make such statements are sloppy and