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"Thank you for stopping by the Weather Watch 12 blog! \u00A0A chill is back in the air across southeastern Wisconsin. \u00A0In today's blog we discuss the colder temperatures, snow, and look ahead to the weather pattern next week.Let's start with snow! \u00A0Milwaukee is still waiting for it's first official snowflakes of the season. \u00A0Typically we record a trace of snow by late October, and measurable snow by November 13. \u00A0Parts of northern Wisconsin were blanketed by snow on Wednesday. \u00A0The snowfall map below shows the narrow band of snow produced about 1\" to 5\".One of the most popular questions I receive right now is:What does the forecast look like for this winter? \u00A0AND \u00A0When will we see our first snow?Before we get ahead of ourselves, let's retrace our steps and discuss our current weather pattern. \u00A0Weather Watch 12 uses a groundbreaking theory called Lezak's Recurring Cycle to make accurate and pinpoint long range forecasts. \u00A0The theory allows us to identify the weather pattern, and once the pattern is known determine the cycle duration. \u00A0Knowing the cycle duration(which last week we estimated to be around 56-58 days) is a key to making long range forecasts. \u00A0An entire blog was dedicated to the background of the LRC, and the cycle duration. \u00A0You can read it here.Looking ahead, there are some hints more and more locations may be seeing the first snowflakes of the season next week. \u00A0Computer models will vary greatly each time they are updated, that's why knowing the weather pattern is key.Here's a map comparison using ~57 day cycle duration. \u00A0The maps below are 500mb, which is the middle of the atmosphere and shows the large scale flow.The 500mb map below is a FORECAST map for early Friday, November 15. \u00A0The key features are labeled for easy comparison to the map below. \u00A0The feature to really focus on is feature 1. \u00A0Each number is highlighting an upper level low pressure area or trough.Now let's go back ~57 days to September 19 which I estimate to be the same part of the pattern. \u00A0Our key features are again in place labeled 1-3. \u00A0The feature that will be watched closely heading into next week will be feature 1. \u00A0Will this develop a coastal storm, and if so, what impact will it have on the East Coast?For the Midwest, a strong cold front dropping south on Monday may produce some sprinkles/flurries or light rain/snow in spots. \u00A0Again not all areas will see snow, and the amount of moisture available to squeeze out is still a question, but appears to be on the low side. \u00A0If you are hoping for the first snowflakes of the season, keep an eye on Monday. \u00A0While snowflakes are in question, cold is not. \u00A0Expect highs in the 30s to low 40s by Tuesday!For the latest weather information watch WISN 12 News, and for updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter @jnelsonweatherHave a great day!Jeremy Nelson"^^<http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#string>
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