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"[\n\n](http://blog.gq.com/news-politics/blogs/death-race/gopcandidates.jpg)\n\nTomorrow will be the biggest day for the GOP primary\u2014ten states and 437 delegates are up for grabs\u2014but we almost certainly know where this will end up by the end of the night: Romney will continue to inch ahead in the all-important delegate fight/&amp;quot;inevitability&amp;quot; math, his three remaining rivals will claim victory in whatever form they can plausibly claim it, and this campaign kabuki-dance will likely continue on for at least another month or two. None of the candidates have floated any hints that they\u2019re even thinking of dropping out tomorrow night. Which begs the question: what exactly will it take for the not-Romneys to throw in the towel? I called Chip Felkel, a South Carolina-based GOP consultant who is unaffiliated with any of the candidates, to help me imagine some endgame circumstances.\n\n1) Newt Gingrich\n\n What could push him out: Losing Georgia.\n\n Likelihood it happens: Low. The polls show he\u2019s leading by as many as 23 points, so this isn\u2019t likely to happen. But Gingrich said last week that he needed to win Georgia to stay viable in the race, which makes it sound like Gingrich is setting a low standard to justify continuing on. A loss in Georgia &amp;quot;would be catastrophic,&amp;quot; Felkel says. &amp;quot;A win in Georgia but doing poorly everywhere else is a pretty good signal that ... Santorum has clearly usurped his position as the more conservative choice. So I think that Gingrich has to do especially well in Georgia. But if he doesn\u2019t do well anywhere else, unless Sheldon Adelson is just nuts, why would he continue?&amp;quot;\n\n2) Rick Santorum\n\n What could push him out: Big losses in Ohio and elsewhere Tuesday, plus the dawning realization that he might have a better shot in 2016.\n\n Likelihood it happens: Very low. And even if it did, Santorum, like Gingrich, has been written off before and surely assumes he can come back again. &amp;quot;I think Santorum sees himself as the holy warrior right now, the one who for whatever reason has been anointed to be the carrier of the more conservative banner,&amp;quot; says Flekel. &amp;quot;If the numbers aren\u2019t adding up and if he stays in much longer, then he becomes Don Quixote.&amp;quot; But, unlike Gingrich, Santorum might have another chance in 2016. &amp;quot;I don\u2019t see a presidential run in [Gingrich\u2019s] future. Santorum, on the other hand, can make an argument that if we nominate Romney and lose, that you didn\u2019t go with a better contrast to Obama.&amp;quot;\n\n3) Ron Paul\n\n What could push him out: President Obama agrees to immediately abolish the Federal Reserve, end the Afghanistan war, and shutter the Department of Education, and cut the budget by a trillion dollars.\n\n Likelihood it happens: Ha! A rational person might think that Paul, who hasn\u2019t won a primary or even a caucus this year, would drop out if he goes 0-for-10 on Tuesday. But, as Felkel points out, there\u2019s little point &amp;quot;trying to apply logic to what has been a most illogic campaign.&amp;quot;"^^<http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#string>
<http://www.gq.com/story/what-it-takes-to-get-the-not-romneys-to-drop-out>