The main implications of the method mainly consist in allowing benchmarking and forecasting analyses of the epidemic trend to be carried out to support policy and decision-making processes.
Conclusions: this study led to the development of an accessible and reproducible method to determine the start-of-wave and end-of-wave dates of an epidemic, starting only from the number of cases and susceptible people. The main implications of the method mainly consist in allowing benchmarking and forecasting analyses of the epidemic trend to be carried out to support policy and decision-making processes.