Tahmin Nedir? - Tahmin Modellerine Ayrıntılı Bakış - AWS
Tahmin yöntemlerinin farklı türleri nelerdir? Tahmin yöntemleri nitel veya nicel olabilir: ... Meteoroloji tahminleri, hava durumundaki değişimleri tahmin etmek ...
AWS tahmin hizmetlerini
More Retail Ltd. (MRL), birkaç milyar dolarlık geliriyle Hindistan'ın en büyük dört perakende süpermarketinden biri. Şirketin kapsamlı bir mağaza ağı ve birçok distribütörü içeren karmaşık bir tedarik zinciri bulunuyor. Şirket, eskiden stokları tahmin ve sipariş etmek için mağaza müdürlerinin kendi muhakemesine güveniyordu ancak bu yaklaşım özellikle de taze meyve-sebze kategorisinde müşteri deneyimini olumsuz etkiliyordu. MRL'nin <anchor>AWS tahmin hizmetlerini</anchor> kullanarak oluşturduğu otomatik sipariş sistemi, taze gıda israfını %30 azalttı.
Time Series Forecasting Service – Amazon Forecast – Amazon Web Services
Time Series Forecasting Service – Amazon Forecast – Amazon Web Services[Skip to main content](#aws-page-content-main)

[Click here to return to Amazon Web Services homepage](https://aws.amazon.com/?nc2=h_lg)

[About AWS](/about-aws/?nc2=h_header) [Contact Us](/contact-us/?nc2=h_header) Support English
My Account


[Sign In](https://console.aws.amazon.com/console/home?nc2=h_ct&src=header-signin)

[Create an AWS Account](https://portal.aws.amazon.com/gp/aws/developer/registration/index.html?nc2=h_ct&src=header_signup)

- [Amazon Q](/q/?nc2=h_ql_prod_l1_q)
- [Products](/products/?nc2=h_ql_prod)
- [Solutions](/solutions/?nc2=h_ql_sol)
- [Pricing](/pricing/?nc2=h_ql_pr)
- [Documentation](https://aws.amazon.com/documentation-overview/?nc2=h_ql_doc_do)
- [Learn](/getting-started/?nc2=h_ql_le)
- [Partner Network](/partners/?nc2=h_ql_pn)
- [AWS Marketplace](https://aws.amazon.com/marketplace/?nc2=h_ql_mp)
- [Customer Enablement](/customer-enablement/?nc2=h_ql_ce)
- [Events](/events/?nc2=h_ql_ev)
- [Explore More](/contact-us/?nc2=h_ql_exm)

Close

- [عربي](https://aws.amazon.com/ar/?nc1=h_ls)
- [Bahasa Indonesia](https://aws.amazon.com/id/?nc1=h_ls)
- [Deutsch](https://aws.amazon.com/de/?nc1=h_ls)
- [English](https://aws.amazon.com/?nc1=h_ls)
- [Español](https://aws.amazon.com/es/?nc1=h_ls)
- [Français](https://aws.amazon.com/fr/?nc1=h_ls)
- [Italiano](https://aws.amazon.com/it/?nc1=h_ls)
- [Português](https://aws.amazon.com/pt/?nc1=h_ls)

- [Tiếng Việt](https://aws.amazon.com/vi/?nc1=f_ls)
- [Türkçe](https://aws.amazon.com/tr/?nc1=h_ls)
- [Ρусский](https://aws.amazon.com/ru/?nc1=h_ls)
- [ไทย](https://aws.amazon.com/th/?nc1=f_ls)
- [日本語](https://aws.amazon.com/jp/?nc1=h_ls)
- [한국어](https://aws.amazon.com/ko/?nc1=h_ls)
- [中文 (简体)](https://aws.amazon.com/cn/?nc1=h_ls)
- [中文 (繁體)](https://aws.amazon.com/tw/?nc1=h_ls)

Close

- [My Profile](/profile/?nc2=h_m_mc)
- [Sign out of AWS Builder ID](https://auth.aws.amazon.com/sign-out/?nc2=h_m_mc)
- [AWS Management Console](https://console.aws.amazon.com/?nc2=h_m_mc)
- [Account Settings](https://console.aws.amazon.com/billing/home#/account?nc2=h_m_ma)
- [Billing & Cost Management](https://console.aws.amazon.com/billing/home?nc2=h_m_bc)
- [Security Credentials](https://console.aws.amazon.com/iam/home?nc2=h_m_sc#security_credential)
- [AWS Personal Health Dashboard](https://phd.aws.amazon.com/?nc2=h_m_sc)

Close

- [Support Center](https://console.aws.amazon.com/support/home/?nc2=h_ql_cu)
- [Expert Help](https://iq.aws.amazon.com/?utm=mkt.nav)
- [Knowledge Center](https://repost.aws/knowledge-center/?nc2=h_m_ma)
- [AWS Support Overview](/premiumsupport/?nc2=h_m_bc)
- [AWS re:Post](https://repost.aws/)

[Click here to return to Amazon Web Services homepage](https://aws.amazon.com/?nc2=h_lg)

[Get Started for Free](https://portal.aws.amazon.com/gp/aws/developer/registration/index.html?nc2=h_mobile)

[Contact Us](https://aws.amazon.com/contact-us/?nc2=h_mobile)

- [Products](/products/?nc2=h_mo)
- [Solutions](/solutions/?nc2=h_mo)
- [Pricing](/pricing/?nc2=h_mo)
- [Introduction to AWS](/what-is-aws/?nc2=h_mo)
- [Getting Started](/getting-started/?nc2=h_mo)
- [Documentation](https://aws.amazon.com/documentation-overview/?nc2=h_mo)
- [Training and Certification](/training/?nc2=h_mo)
- [Developer Center](/developer/?nc2=h_mo)
- [Customer Success](/solutions/case-studies/?nc2=h_mo)
- [Partner Network](/partners/?nc2=h_mo)
- [AWS Marketplace](https://aws.amazon.com/marketplace/?nc2=h_mo)
- [Support](https://console.aws.amazon.com/support/home?nc2=h_ql_cu)
- [AWS re:Post](https://repost.aws/)
- [Log into Console](https://console.aws.amazon.com/console/home)
- [Download the Mobile App](/console/mobile/)

[Amazon Forecast](/forecast/)

[Overview](/forecast/) [Features](/forecast/features/) [Pricing](/forecast/pricing/) [Embedded Solutions](/forecast/embedded-solutions/) [Resources](/forecast/resources/) [Customers](/forecast/customers/) [Partners](/forecast/partners/)

Amazon Forecast is no longer available to new customers. Existing customers of Amazon Forecast can continue to use the service as normal. [Learn more](https://aws.amazon.com/blogs/machine-learning/transition-your-amazon-forecast-usage-to-amazon-sagemaker-canvas/)

[« Machine Learning](/machine-learning/)

#### Amazon Forecast

# Forecast business outcomes easily and accurately using machine learning

**Forecast 10,000 time series**

for 2 months with the [AWS Free Tier](/forecast/pricing/?loc=ft)

Scale operations by forecasting millions of items, using the same technology as Amazon.com.

Optimize inventory and reduce waste with accurate forecasts at a granular level.

Improve capital utilization and make long-term decisions with more confidence.

Increase customer satisfaction with optimal staffing to meet varying demand levels.

## How it works

Amazon Forecast is a time-series forecasting service based on machine learning (ML) and built for business metrics analysis.


![Panorama - How it Works](https://d1.awsstatic.com/product-marketing/Forecast/Product-Page-Diagram_Amazon-Forecast.187489f1125a94698b155cea814a80cf61bf32aa.png)

Close

![Panorama - How it Works](https://d1.awsstatic.com/product-marketing/Forecast/Product-Page-Diagram_Amazon-Forecast%402x.9170371da9390bcc245d17eea333c8bcf07276cb.png)

Click to enlarge

## Use cases

### Retail and inventory forecasting

Reduce waste, increase inventory turns, and improve in-stock availability by forecasting product demand at specific probability levels

### Workforce planning

Forecast workforce staffing at 15-minute increments to optimize for high and low demand periods

### Travel demand forecasting

Forecast foot traffic, visitor counts, and channel demand to more efficiently manage operating costs

## Customers

![Anaplan Customer Story](https://d1.awsstatic.com/Digital%20Marketing/House/Editorial/products/forecast/Anaplan_Logo.eacb0ffed471f115f0e12e3f67e7c4929a296fe5.png)

[Anaplan rebuilt its demand planning solution with Amazon Forecast »](https://www.anaplan.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/planIQ-Solution-Brief.pdf)

![More Retail Customer Story](https://d1.awsstatic.com/Digital%20Marketing/House/Editorial/products/forecast/More_Logo.a910688f4b2182c8e1c9d4fad74eff89a19be713.png)

[More Retail built an automated ordering system with Amazon Forecast »](/blogs/machine-learning/from-forecasting-demand-to-ordering-an-automated-machine-learning-approach-with-amazon-forecast-to-decrease-stock-outs-excess-inventory-and-costs/?pg=ln&sec=c)

![Foxconn Customer Story](https://d1.awsstatic.com/Digital%20Marketing/House/Editorial/products/forecast/Foxconn_Logo.bc0bc82fbfa61244ff15c3895fe97ade4267997d.png)

[See how Foxconn reduced cost with increased forecast accuracy »](/forecast/customers/?pg=ln&sec=c)

## How to get started

### Try the AWS Free Tier

Pay nothing or try for free while learning the fundamentals and building on AWS.

[Sign up for a free account »](/free/?pg=ln&sec=hs)

### Deploy recurring workflows with no-code

Use AWS CloudFormation and AWS Step Functions to set up repeatable and sustainable workflows.

[Get started here »](https://github.com/aws-samples/amazon-forecast-samples/blob/main/ml_ops/README.md)

### Connect with an expert

From development to enterprise-level programs, get the right support at the right time.

[Explore support options »](/contact-us/sales-support/?pg=ln&sec=hs)

* * *

## Explore more of AWS

[Sign In to the Console](https://console.aws.amazon.com/console/home?nc1=f_ct&src=footer-signin-mobile)

### Learn About AWS

- [What Is AWS?](/what-is-aws/?nc1=f_cc)
- [What Is Cloud Computing?](/what-is-cloud-computing/?nc1=f_cc)
- [AWS Accessibility](/accessibility/?nc1=f_cc)
- [AWS Inclusion, Diversity & Equity](/diversity-inclusion/?nc1=f_cc)
- [What Is DevOps?](/devops/what-is-devops/?nc1=f_cc)
- [What Is a Container?](/containers/?nc1=f_cc)
- [What Is a Data Lake?](/what-is/data-lake/?nc1=f_cc)
- [What is Artificial Intelligence (AI)?](/what-is/artificial-intelligence/?nc1=f_cc)
- [What is Generative AI?](/what-is/generative-ai/?nc1=f_cc)
- [What is Machine Learning (ML)?](/what-is/machine-learning/?nc1=f_cc)
- [AWS Cloud Security](/security/?nc1=f_cc)
- [What's New](/new/?nc1=f_cc)
- [Blogs](/blogs/?nc1=f_cc)
- [Press Releases](https://press.aboutamazon.com/press-releases/aws "Press Releases")

### Resources for AWS

- [Getting Started](/getting-started/?nc1=f_cc)
- [Training and Certification](/training/?nc1=f_cc)
- [AWS Solutions Library](/solutions/?nc1=f_cc)
- [Architecture Center](/architecture/?nc1=f_cc)
- [Product and Technical FAQs](/faqs/?nc1=f_dr)
- [Analyst Reports](/resources/analyst-reports/?nc1=f_cc)
- [AWS Partners](/partners/work-with-partners/?nc1=f_dr)

### Developers on AWS

- [Developer Center](/developer/?nc1=f_dr)
- [SDKs & Tools](/developer/tools/?nc1=f_dr)
- [.NET on AWS](/developer/language/net/?nc1=f_dr)
- [Python on AWS](/developer/language/python/?nc1=f_dr)
- [Java on AWS](/developer/language/java/?nc1=f_dr)
- [PHP on AWS](/developer/language/php/?nc1=f_cc)
- [JavaScript on AWS](/developer/language/javascript/?nc1=f_dr)

### Help

- [Contact Us](/contact-us/?nc1=f_m)
- [Get Expert Help](https://iq.aws.amazon.com/?utm=mkt.foot/?nc1=f_m)
- [File a Support Ticket](https://console.aws.amazon.com/support/home/?nc1=f_dr)
- [AWS re:Post](https://repost.aws/?nc1=f_dr)
- [Knowledge Center](https://repost.aws/knowledge-center/?nc1=f_dr)
- [AWS Support Overview](/premiumsupport/?nc1=f_dr)
- [Legal](/legal/?nc1=f_cc)
- [AWS Careers](/careers/)

[Create an AWS Account](https://portal.aws.amazon.com/gp/aws/developer/registration/index.html?nc1=f_ct&src=default)

[Twitter](https://twitter.com/awscloud "Twitter")

[Facebook](https://www.facebook.com/amazonwebservices "Facebook")

[Linkedin](https://www.linkedin.com/company/amazon-web-services/ "Linkedin")

[Instagram](https://www.instagram.com/amazonwebservices/ "Instagram")

[Twitch](https://www.twitch.tv/aws "Twitch")

[YouTube](https://www.youtube.com/user/AmazonWebServices/Cloud/ "YouTube")

[Podcast](/podcasts/ "Podcast")

[Email](https://pages.awscloud.com/communication-preferences?trk=homepage "Email")

Amazon is an Equal Opportunity Employer:
_Minority / Women / Disability / Veteran / Gender Identity / Sexual Orientation / Age._

- Language
- [عربي](https://aws.amazon.com/ar/?nc1=h_ls)
- [Bahasa Indonesia](https://aws.amazon.com/id/?nc1=h_ls)
- [Deutsch](https://aws.amazon.com/de/?nc1=h_ls)
- [English](https://aws.amazon.com/?nc1=h_ls)
- [Español](https://aws.amazon.com/es/?nc1=h_ls)
- [Français](https://aws.amazon.com/fr/?nc1=h_ls)
- [Italiano](https://aws.amazon.com/it/?nc1=h_ls)
- [Português](https://aws.amazon.com/pt/?nc1=h_ls)
- [Tiếng Việt](https://aws.amazon.com/vi/?nc1=f_ls)
- [Türkçe](https://aws.amazon.com/tr/?nc1=h_ls)
- [Ρусский](https://aws.amazon.com/ru/?nc1=h_ls)
- [ไทย](https://aws.amazon.com/th/?nc1=f_ls)
- [日本語](https://aws.amazon.com/jp/?nc1=h_ls)
- [한국어](https://aws.amazon.com/ko/?nc1=h_ls)
- [中文 (简体)](https://aws.amazon.com/cn/?nc1=h_ls)
- [中文 (繁體)](https://aws.amazon.com/tw/?nc1=h_ls)

- [Privacy](https://aws.amazon.com/privacy/?nc1=f_pr)
- \|
- [Accessibility](https://aws.amazon.com/accessibility/?nc1=f_acc)
- \|
- [Site Terms](https://aws.amazon.com/terms/?nc1=f_pr)
- \|
- Cookie Preferences
- \|
- © 2024, Amazon Web Services, Inc. or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

#### Ending Support for Internet Explorer

Got it

AWS support for Internet Explorer ends on 07/31/2022. Supported browsers are Chrome, Firefox, Edge, and Safari.
[Learn more »](https://aws.amazon.com/blogs/aws/heads-up-aws-support-for-internet-explorer-11-is-ending/)

Got it