1. A computer-implemented method comprising: generating, by a computer system, a univariate impact reflecting index (UIRI) based on an indicator, the indicator having a monotonic relationship to a focal conclusion, wherein the UIRI spaces subscales of the indicator according to a magnitude of impact of the indicator to the focal conclusion; and determining, by the computer system, a probability that the focal conclusion will occur, wherein determining the probability is based at least partially on a regression analysis of the UIRI.