1. A method of assessing and managing behavior of a complex adaptive system, comprising the steps of: inputting a first plurality of data defining parameters of said complex adaptive system; defining a plurality of fundamental events which determine behavior of said complex adaptive system; modifying at each of a plurality of times at least ones of said first plurality of data to define a plurality of initial conditions; testing each of said first plurality of data to determine a first subset of said first plurality of data which are most relevant to said plurality of fundamental events for each of said plurality of initial conditions in order to develop a plurality of scenarios of behavior of said complex adaptive system; measuring an effect of each one of said plurality of initial conditions of each respective one of said developed plurality of scenarios on said first subset of data to provide status information which is capable of being tested to indicate likelihood of an event occurring in said complex adaptive system.