title: Future of Mobile Development
body: <p>I was reading <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/8157043.stm" rel="nofollow noreferrer">an article based on Mobile Development in 2020</a> and run into such a pessimistic claim:</p>
  
  <blockquote>
    <p>"But the economics are a different
    story. The ratio of those developers
    who will fail is about 90%; they will
    simply not make a return on their
    investment or make a good enough
    living at this,"  said Mr Laurs.</p>
    
    <p>He said that will result in developers
    taking their talent elsewhere and also
    slow down the rate of growth in
    applications.</p>
  </blockquote>
  
  <p>Do you think it will be just another hype so that the majority of the developers will have to switch to something else? or What might be the driving force behind this? </p>
  
  <p>Ps: I hope my <strong>argumentative</strong> question doesn't violate SO rules.</p>
  
  <p>Thanks.</p>