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<p>In October 2007, a raid in the town of Sinjar, Iraq produced a large trove of  foreign fighter personnel records. In the years since this discovery, researchers  have used this data in an effort to illuminate the places from which recruits joined  Al Qaeda and associated movements. While that research is important, it has  placed little emphasis on the particular hometowns of these fighters. Thus,  building upon social movement theory, environmental criminology, and  geospatial analysis techniques, this research will build and test several spatial  regression models of the factors potentially contributing to Al Qaeda recruitment  patterns in North Africa. Moreover, this study also applies a new spatial crime  analysis technique that maps risk terrain in a process using environmental  factors to calculate the risk of recruitment. In all, these spatially integrated social  science techniques hold great potential for improving intelligence support to  ongoing contingency operations.
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<br>Subjects: Regression analysis</div>
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Rodriguez, Ismael R.</div>
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