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<p>We develop a model that is a combination of Lanchester and Deitchman attrition models and population epidemic  models. Based on different attrition, recruitment, and transition rules we study the relationships between dynamic  population flow and insurgency success or failure. The goal of our work is to provide an analytical framework for  these situations and to analyze the effect of different initial conditions and interactions on the success or failure of an  insurgency. The models developed herein are descriptive, not predictive, and are designed to give decision makers an  insight into a complex insurgency process.
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<br>Subjects: Insurgency; Iraq; Asymmetric warfare</div>
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Howell, Jeffrey M.</div>
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