 and then it's it that the republicans get no coverage in what matters with a special election kicks in because of early voting so forth that window is so tight and what they would see is that you cannot look at the numbers today if you look at those numbers today before today's debate president biden's gonna lose and i'm just talking about what nate silver said i'm talking about what other people are saying the national vote right now is so tight that the democrats have to win more than two or three points nationally on the polling