text:  And I'm just talking about what Nate Silver said. I'm talking about what other people are saying. The national vote right now is so tight that the Democrats have to win by more than two or three points nationally on the polling to be able to win the electoral. He has to win. First of all, that's that's actually not true. The industrial the industrial states that the three industrial states, Biden is either leading or within the margin of error. If he was one of those, he would.