text:  back now to Jim Birkland. And Jim, very briefly, before we dive back in here, and I've got a ton of stuff for you, the phone lines are boiling, let's do it one more time. A lot of people joined us at 1 a.m. Pacific time. We're in a window. We went into a window at midnight that extends now through July 6th, and you have a very specific set of predictions for what's going to occur between now and then, 85% probability. What is that?