text:  scientific pronouncement over the previous 15 years that we are 10 years away from the effective earthquake prediction and the next year we're still a decade away from earthquake prediction and it's kept every year the goal would it would recede 10 years and i brought up this clipping from russia and it said the soviet scientists now believe they are five years away from effective earthquake prediction and i leaned over this table with all these graybeards around and i said