 What matters is – and he's got 13 things. The 13 things, the 13 – what's he call them? Criteria, the keys to predict a presidential election, number one, party mandate, number two, contest, number three, incumbency, number four, third party, number five, short-term economy, number six, long-term economy, number seven, policy change, number eight, social unrest, number nine, scandal.