text:  Welcome back. This is the Ben Shapiro Show. It is truly incredible. Trump apparently is now the heavy favorite in this election, according to Nate Silver. According to Silver, his model is largely the same as the one he built for 538 and used for the 2020 election. This is according to Mediaite, but adjusting for turnout dynamics, factoring in the increased relevance of third-party candidates like Robert Kennedy Jr. this time around, and without some COVID-specific assumptions. And his conclusion is that while either candidate could certainly win, the reality is...