text:  On October 8th of 1865, a seven-magnitude quake hit the San Andreas Fault near Loma Prieta. And so with the same conditions developing, I could see the probabilities were there at the start of the year, and I issued a little pamphlet saying that between the 14th and 21st, there was an 80% chance that there would be a three-and-a-half to six-magnitude quake or five-and-a-half magnitude at the top. And then just before that critical period,