text:  Right now, he is down 48-44. That is the biggest lead that Donald Trump has had in the National Times-Siena poll among likely voters in months. Trump's lead with registered voters is six percentage points. So in other words, a higher turnout election is now better for Donald Trump. These numbers are awful numbers for Joe Biden, truly terrible numbers for Joe Biden. When you look at the swing states, it's even worse for Joe Biden.