text:  Now, remember, that's a state that Biden won by three. It's a six point shift in Michigan. In North Carolina, Trump is up four. In Nevada, Trump is up five. In Arizona, he's up five. In Georgia, he's up five. Disaster area polling numbers for Joe Biden heading into this election cycle. Truly disastrous. So bad that Nate Silver, no Republican he, is now suggesting that Donald Trump is heavily favored to beat Joe Biden. He said the model is ready. And here is our headline. The presidential election is not a toss up. We'll get to more on this in just one second. First,