text:  saying the average Americans have struggled to see enough gains in their paychecks to keep up with inflation. There's, of course, immigration and there's the war in Gaza. Silver also says that Biden looks stronger in the popular vote than in the electoral college, which is interesting. Now, that's not saying that Trump wins every state by 67 percent. That just means that Trump has a 67, sorry, 66.7 percent chance of winning. That's a big number.