text:  They currently project him to win the popular vote by maybe two to three percentage points. That would make this a toss-up race, given Biden's problems in the Electoral College. He says the problem is the economy isn't all that good. Real GDP grew by 2.5% last year, following 1.9% in 2020. It grew at an annualized rate of 1.3% in the first quarter of 2024. This is like, okay, but it's below the long-term median growth rate in the United States. So in other words, if you look at the modeling,