text:  So what happens if Donald Trump starts to open up a big lead? If Donald Trump does well tonight, the lead that he has in the polling data is going to increase by a point or two. And suddenly it looks like a five-point Trump lead or a six-point Trump lead among likely voters. If that happens, if suddenly Donald Trump looks like he is on the verge of blowing out Joe Biden, he's going to win the swing states, might pick off New Hampshire, might pick off Minnesota.