text:  And so that's why the SAM rule has been so effective over time at predicting and codifying recessions, because at the end of the day, all these crazy indicators, it comes down to the people have jobs and are they spending money? Right. Claudia, I'm an occasional guest on this program and source for many of our reporters. Courtney, let me ask you this, though, and it's you wrote about this in Axios News.