text:  And yet at the same time, there comes a point at which the data, the cold, hard science of the election may tell you something else. Are you talking about polls? I mean, what is the cold, hard science of this? Well, to give you one data point right now, there has never been a president in recent memory with approval ratings as low as his who has gone on to win reelection. That's a fact that is very hard to explain away.