text:  or even seven-point race in some of those battleground states, a lead for the former president. So back to our conversation about J.D. Vance, he's a senator from Ohio, and he obviously, Ohio is no longer really a swing state in American politics, but it has a lot of the same demographic trends in American politics. Demographics and identities say a lot about how you might vote. It shares a lot of commonalities with places like Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin,