text:  Biden has not led a poll in Pennsylvania since mid-March, and the last 14 polls he has not led. But Biden's biggest problems appear to be in the Sun Belt, where he's hemorrhaging support among Latino, Black, and young voters. And Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia are states where Trump now has a small but significant lead. Bottom line, Trump has a much easier and more plausible path to 270 electoral votes than Joe Biden.