 This is a dead heat of a race. In the two weeks of the debate, so much has changed, but the horse race truly hasn't. Donald Trump up a single point well within the margin of error for contrast. Back in April, he led by two points. We're basically where we've been all along. Fewer Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week as the labor market remained sturdy despite high interest rates. When it comes to inflation, it cooled in June for a third straight month.