And you just, you, you know, it's I think we use a term, it's a kind of a stew, and you hope that at the end of the day, the ingredients that you put into this decision making stew and the pasting good. unfortunately, you don't ever know it, and you, you can't really know until you have that event that falls outside what you thought was possible, based on your models, to know whether they were good or not. 