Erm, I think it's probably inevitable but most of the Republics will become independent, but I think the idea of them becoming independent in their present borders is very worrying indeed cos that, most of the borders are grossly irrational and  becoming independent with those borders  ethnic conflicts built into it, erm, and I think unless there's some sort of er negotiations about what border these countries will have before they become inde  independent, we could see quite a lot of bloodshed.