#NBA Player Prop Drop!

Trae Young "O" 10.5 Assists (+104 CZR | 1u)

Kyrie Irving "O" 25.5 Points (-125 DK | 1.25u)

Rob Dillingham "O" 10.5 PA (+100 MGM | 1u)

Nick Smith Jr "O" 11.5 Points (-105 MGM | 1.05u)

Jalen Green "O" 2.5 Assists (-109 CZR | 1.09u)

Domantas Sabonis "O" 24.5 PA (-125 DK | 1.25u)

Trae Young has gone over 10.5 Rebounds in 5/L5 vs Detroit, averaging 13.0. Young had 13 assists on 30 POTENTIALS in his only head-to-head matchup vs the Pistons this season. This was Trae's 2nd Highest Potential Assists Total this season. Although the Pistons allow the 7th Least Assists, I still like Trae to go over, especially for plus money.

Kyrie Irving has gone Over 25.5 Points in 10/L12 vs Minnesota, averaging 32.3. Kyrie dropped 35 and 39 points in his 2 matchups vs the Timberwolves this season. And he did it WITH Luka Doncic playing. Luka is OUT tonight so Kyrie will need to score. Minnesota is a tough defensive team but rank 19th in allowed points to both Isolation and the PNR Ball Handler, which are the 2 dominant ways Kyrie scores (20% isolation, 20% PNR handler). Kyrie continues his dominance against Minnesota in this one. 

Rob Dillingham has gone Over 10.5 PA in 3/L3, averaging 14.3 PA (12.0 Points, 2.3 Assists). The important factor is that Donte DiVincenzo is OUT again tonight, as he has been in the 3 aforementioned games. Dillingham also had two big games in November when Conley was out (14 and 12 PA), so the Rookie shown he's ready to take the next step. I added Assists even though he hasn't had too many, even with DiVincenzo out (3, 2, 2), but his potentials are up (5, 4, 7, respectively). And Dallas allows more dimes per game than his past 3 opponents. They'll start converting. As long as his minutes stay up without DiVincenzo, Dillingham gets us there. 

Nick Smith Jr has gone Over 11.5 Points in his Last 2 Games, scoring 15 and 19 Points. The key here is that his increase in production, and time on the court, are because Brandon Miller was OUT. Miller is out again tonight so we're hoping Smith gets the minutes to cash for us. Memphis also provides a nice matchup for Smith. He gets 62% of his points as the PNR Ball Handler (32%) and in Transition (30%). The Grizzlies rank 22nd in allowed points to the PNR Ball Handler and 25th to Transition. I like this one a lot. 

Jalen Green and the Rockets face off against the 1st Place Cavaliers. Green has 3+ Assists in 5/5 career games vs Cleveland, averaging 3.8. Green has also been diming recently, going over 2.5 in 6/L8, averaging 3.4 assists. His assists numbers have been up with Jabari Smith Jr out and Smith is out again tonight. I like this spot because Cleveland ranks in the Top Half in defending the PNR Ball Handler, Transition, and Free Throws, which are the 3 primary ways Green scores (69% of points). Cleveland will defend Green well, forcing him to dish the ball and cash for us. 

Domantas Sabonis has gone Over 24.5 PA in 7/L7, averaging 28.9 PA (21.9 Points, 7.0 Assists). He's also gone over this line in 5/L7 vs the Warriors, averaging 26.8 PA (18.4 Points, 8.4 Assists). Although Golden State is stingy in the paint, allowing the 3rd least points (44.8), Sabonis has a size advantage and used that in their last matchup to get a lot of easy buckets in the paint. I like Assists too because Sabonis has gone over his 6.5 assists line in 7/L7 vs Golden State and the Warriors give up a lot of dimes to big men. We've cashed Sabonis a few times this season and I like him to cash for us again. 

❤️ if tailing!

Research: @propsmadness, @statmuse, @SharpNumbers, @yourlinemate, @hashtbasketball 

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