title: Epidemic Modelling: An Introduction (Cambridge Studies in Mathematical Biology)
author: D. J. Daley
description: "An excellent pedagogical resource for students and researchers...a lucid exposition of the basic mathematical methods required for the study of epidemic models. Students of mathematical biology...will find this work very appealing." Choice<br /><br />"The book's emphasis is on mathematical techniques for the analysis of given models...Illustrations are simple, but relevant and clear...Although the authors claim that "the monograph id designed to introduce probabilists and statisticians to the diverse models describing the spread of epidemics and rumours in a population", the clarity of style of this monograph would certainly also make it suitable reading matter for many mathematical biologists...To my knowledge, Daley and Gani's monograph is the only recent book of this nature.Its excellence is, therefore fortunate." Canadian Journal of Infections Diseases<br /><br />"... the text offers a wealth of information regarding epidemic modeling ... making the book usable as a text for upperlevel graduate students in a program with a strong statistical foundation." Chance<br /><br />"a pleasing depth of material." Siam Review Vol 43/4
zlib_text: Patterns of the COVID19 epidemic spread
  around the world: exponential vs power
  laws
  Natalia L. Komarova1 and Dominik Wodarz2
  1 Department of Mathematics, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA 92697
  2 Department of Population Health and Disease Prevention, Program in Public Health,
  Susan and Henry Samueli College of Health Science, University of California Irvine,
  Irvine, CA 92697
  Abstract.
  We have analyzed the COVID19 epidemic data of more than 174 countries
  (excluding China) in the period between January 22 and March 28, 2020. We found that
  some countries (such as the US, the UK, and Canada) follow an exponential epidemic
  growth, while others (like Italy and several other European countries) show a power law
  like growth. At the same time, regardless of the best ﬁtting law, most countries can be
  shown to follow a trajectory similar to that of Italy, but with varying degrees of delay.
  We found that countries with “younger” epidemics tend to exhibit more exponential like
  behavior, 