New poll shows Donald Trump surging far ahead of Senator Ted Cruz in that crucial state
HARLOW: One week from tomorrow, the people of Iowa will cast the first official votes of the 2016 presidential race. A brand- new FOX News poll shows Donald Trump with a strong lead over Senator Ted Cruz. Trump getting 34 percent support among likely Republican caucus goers. That's an 11-point bump from just two weeks ago. Cruz coming in at 23 percent, slightly down from 27 percent in the last FOX News poll. A top Clinton ally who runs her super PAC tells CNN today quote "I may have spoken too soon when predicting in December that the Democrats would face Cruz in November. I now believe the GOP nominee is likely to be Donald Trump. I don't agree with some Democratic thinking that Trump would be easy to beat. He has rewritten all the rules, and I would expect a tough race with Hillary." Let's talk about all of it with Kathie O'Broadovich, political columnist for "the Des Moines Register." Yesterday, Kathie, thank you for being here. Yesterday, your paper endorsed Hillary Clinton and Marco Rubio for president. Just a couple of weeks ago, the poll from the register, had Trump trailing Cruz. Now Trump seems to be surging by 11 points. Why do you think that is?</s>KATHIE O'BROADOVICH, POLITICAL COLUMNIST, THE DES MOINES REGISTER: I think that people are making up their minds at the very last minute, Poppy. And I actually think that the polls might fluctuate again here before Monday -- before a week from Monday. We have a situation where we have people really deciding late. I was just at a Ted Cruz event yesterday</s>HARLOW: Yes. A lot of them still undecided, that's for sure. Let's have on the Democratic side, right. You have Bernie Sanders out with a new ad. It is airing in Iowa right now. They just started airing it in Iowa and New Hampshire. There's no one speaking in it or talking about Bernie's message. It is simply a bunch of images set to the Simon & Garfunkel single "America." let's roll it.</s>HARLOW: All right. There it is. No attacks. Just a collection of images to that famous song. How effective, Kathie, is something like that in your state?</s>O'BROADOVICH: Well, you know, ads by themselves don't necessarily move people to the caucuses. You know, we like to talk about the ground game and face-to-face contacts. But this is a really interesting ad. It wouldn't be talking about it if it was a typical ad, right? And the interesting thing, I think, is you know, Bernie Sanders has really been mostly appealing -- not mostly, but in a large way appealing to younger voters. "America t "Simon & Garfunkel it hitting a much older generation. And the way I read this is, you know, he is hitting back I think at Hillary Clinton talking about reality and which candidate has the most realistic plan. Bernie Sanders is about idealism. And I think he's reminding voters my age and older of a more idealistic time tp.</s>HARLOW: Yes. It's interesting. I mean, that sort of theme of pragmatism versus idealism has been playing out across this campaign, hasn't it, on both sides. When you look at the latest polling, it has Hillary Clinton trailing Sanders in Iowa by eight points. This is among likely democratic caucus goers. One voting bloc that Clinton is really hitting hard is younger women. She had stars like Demi Lovato, Lena Dunham stumping for her. There's campaign swag they're giving out including a, quote, "girls just want to have fundamental rights." That's a tote bag. There's a throw pillow even. It says a woman's place is in the White House. There you go. So how key is that voting bloc when it really comes down to it for her?</s>O'BROADOVICH: You know, younger women have been harder to get out to the polls. And, you know, I think that Hillary Clinton is trying, you know, to appeal to the -- you know, the fact that she could make history being the first woman president. And you know, this is a Democrat that may be sort of untapped. And so, you know, it's interesting that she's working hard for younger women in particular. Bernie Sanders overall does better with younger voters. But they're also, you know, a little bit harder to get out to the caucuses. They're going to be in college. They might be concentrated in their college towns instead of spread out around a state like any democratic candidate wants their support to be. So, you know, she's trying to maybe peel away this younger woman demographic from Bernie Sanders.</s>HARLOW: Right. Well, and isn't that sort of a demographic that can sort of rally the troops, if you will. Because on the Democratic side, to be honest, there's been an issue of enthusiasm especially, some would argue, for Hillary Clinton. When you look at this new CBS/"New York Times" poll that found 47 percent of Republican voters are more enthusiastic about this election season than the Democratic voters. Only 32 percent of Democratic primary voters are sort of reared up to go and enthusiastic. Why do you think that enthusiasm is lacking on the democratic side?</s>O'BROADOVICH: Well, I think that there has been just a lot of excitement and interest generated by Donald Trump and all of the media attention to Donald Trump. This is something truly new. On the Democratic side, you have a known quantity in Hillary Clinton. You have an outsider in Bernie Sanders, but he's not a brand-new type of animal in politics. And then Martin O'Malley who just hasn't made it competitive. And so, I think that part of the real outsider energy has been on the Republican side. That does not mean, though, that people won't get excited about caucusing for the Democrats. A close race will get people into the game and going out to their caucuses.</s>HARLOW: No. It is a good point. All right. Kathie O'Broadovich, good luck to you this week. Busy week ahead for you in Iowa, no question.</s>O'BROADOVICH: Thanks, Poppy.</s>HARLOW: I do want to go to Hillary Clinton speaking live in north liberty, Iowa.</s>CLINTON: They're just making small talk. We said well, you know, how long have you worked here? She told us. We said, well, is this a good job? She said, well, I have two jobs. I work 7:00 to 7:00 at one of my jobs and then I come here and work till 3:00 a.m. and I have two kids and I'm raising them alone. And we are just going to keep trying as hard as I can to make it. I met a woman in Tama last week who has three minimum wage jobs working about 65 hours a week, and is so worried she's not going to be able to help her daughter go to college. She introduced me to her daughter who is in high school. And I said, well, I'm going to make it possible for her to go to college. And I'm also going to work as hard as I can to get wages up and get more economic security for people.</s>HARLOW: All right. We'll continue monitoring Hillary Clinton. Obviously, she and her competitors on both sides spending a lot of time in Iowa this week as we are just about one week away from this critical Iowa caucuses. Interesting to know, you heard Kathie O'Broadovich said, but our most recent CNN/ORC poll found in Iowa right now, you have 20 percent of likely Democratic caucus goers still deciding who they're going to support. Those undecided voters, those are the ones who the candidates are going after right now and tomorrow night at this event our CNN Iowa Democratic presidential town hall, our very own Chris Cuomo will moderate. That's tomorrow night 9:00 p.m. eastern only on CNN. Coming up, it is game day, as if I needed to tell you that, football fans. It is game day. And not even the biggest blizzard that North Carolina has seen in quite a long time can stop the NFC championship in Charlotte. A live report from the stadium next.