claim: According to polling, most people planning to cast a first preference vote for the UUP in May’s Assembly election will switch their vote to nationalists before they provide a transfer to other unionist parties.
evidence: Only 7% of UUP voters plan to switch to a nationalist party first, according to the survey. While 31% say their first move will be to Alliance, that isn’t a nationalist party. 42% intend to first transfer to another unionist party: DUP, TUV or the NI Conservatives