In recent past online social media has played a pivotal role in sharing of information and opinions on real time events. Events in physical space are reflected in digital world through online social networks. Event based studies for such content have been widely done on Twitter in the computer science community. In this report, we performed a detailed analysis of a sports event called the Indian Premier League (IPL'13) for both Facebook and Twitter. IPL is the most popular cricket league in India with players from across the world. We analysed more than 2.6 million tweets and 700 thousand Facebook posts for temporal activity, text quality, geography of users and the spot-fixing scandal which came up during the league. We were able to draw strong correlations between the brand value of teams and how much they were talked about on social media across Facebook and Twitter. Analysis of geo-tagged data showed major activity from metropolitan suburbs however activity was not restricted to the regions geographically associated with each team. We present a decay calculation methodology, using which we derive that activity died down on both Twitter and Facebook in a very similar manner. Such analysis can be used to model events and study their penetration in social networks. We analysed text for spot-fixing and found that user response to allegations about matches being fixed was cold. The complete analysis presented in this report, can be particularly useful for studying events involving crisis or events of political importance having similar structure.
@cite_4: Social media generates a prodigious wealth of real-time content at an incessant rate. From all the content that people create and share, only a few topics manage to attract enough attention to rise to the top and become temporal trends which are displayed to users. The question of what factors cause the formation and persistence of trends is an important one that has not been answered yet. In this paper, we conduct an intensive study of trending topics on Twitter and provide a theoretical basis for the formation, persistence and decay of trends. We also demonstrate empirically how factors such as user activity and number of followers do not contribute strongly to trend creation and its propagation. In fact, we find that the resonance of the content with the users of the social network plays a major role in causing trends.
@cite_21: Mining subtopics from weblogs and analyzing their spatiotemporal patterns have applications in multiple domains. In this paper, we define the novel problem of mining spatiotemporal theme patterns from weblogs and propose a novel probabilistic approach to model the subtopic themes and spatiotemporal theme patterns simultaneously. The proposed model discovers spatiotemporal theme patterns by (1) extracting common themes from weblogs; (2) generating theme life cycles for each given location; and (3) generating theme snapshots for each given time period. Evolution of patterns can be discovered by comparative analysis of theme life cycles and theme snapshots. Experiments on three different data sets show that the proposed approach can discover interesting spatiotemporal theme patterns effectively. The proposed probabilistic model is general and can be used for spatiotemporal text mining on any domain with time and location information.
@cite_6: Microblogging is a new form of communication in which users can describe their current status in short posts distributed by instant messages, mobile phones, email or the Web. Twitter, a popular microblogging tool has seen a lot of growth since it launched in October, 2006. In this paper, we present our observations of the microblogging phenomena by studying the topological and geographical properties of Twitter's social network. We find that people use microblogging to talk about their daily activities and to seek or share information. Finally, we analyze the user intentions associated at a community level and show how users with similar intentions connect with each other.
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@cite_2: Online content exhibits rich temporal dynamics, and diverse realtime user generated content further intensifies this process. However, temporal patterns by which online content grows and fades over time, and by which different pieces of content compete for attention remain largely unexplored. We study temporal patterns associated with online content and how the content's popularity grows and fades over time. The attention that content receives on the Web varies depending on many factors and occurs on very different time scales and at different resolutions. In order to uncover the temporal dynamics of online content we formulate a time series clustering problem using a similarity metric that is invariant to scaling and shifting. We develop the K-Spectral Centroid (K-SC) clustering algorithm that effectively finds cluster centroids with our similarity measure. By applying an adaptive wavelet-based incremental approach to clustering, we scale K-SC to large data sets. We demonstrate our approach on two massive datasets: a set of 580 million Tweets, and a set of 170 million blog posts and news media articles. We find that K-SC outperforms the K-means clustering algorithm in finding distinct shapes of time series. Our analysis shows that there are six main temporal shapes of attention of online content. We also present a simple model that reliably predicts the shape of attention by using information about only a small number of participants. Our analyses offer insight into common temporal patterns of the content on theWeb and broaden the understanding of the dynamics of human attention.
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@cite_13: We present a method for accurately predicting the long time popularity of online content from early measurements of user's access. Using two content sharing portals, Youtube and Digg, we show that by modeling the accrual of views and votes on content offered by these services we can predict the long-term dynamics of individual submissions from initial data. In the case of Digg, measuring access to given stories during the first two hours allows us to forecast their popularity 30 days ahead with remarkable accuracy, while downloads of Youtube videos need to be followed for 10 days to attain the same performance. The differing time scales of the predictions are shown to be due to differences in how content is consumed on the two portals: Digg stories quickly become outdated, while Youtube videos are still found long after they are initially submitted to the portal. We show that predictions are more accurate for submissions for which attention decays quickly, whereas predictions for evergreen content will be prone to larger errors.
@cite_20: When harvesting collective intelligence, a user wishes to maximize the accuracy and value of the acquired information without spending too much time collecting it. We empirically study how people behave when facing these conflicting objectives using data from Yahoo Answers, a community driven question-and-answer site. We take two complementary approaches. We first study how users behave when trying to maximize the amount of the acquired information, while minimizing the waiting time. We identify and quantify how question authors at Yahoo Answers trade off the number of answers they receive and the cost of waiting. We find that users are willing to wait more to obtain an additional answer when they have only received a small number of answers; this implies decreasing marginal returns in the amount of collected information. We also estimate the user's utility function from the data. Our second approach focuses on how users assess the qualities of the individual answers without explicitly considering the cost of waiting. We assume that users make a sequence of decisions, deciding to wait for an additional answer as long as the quality of the current answer exceeds some threshold. Under this model, the probability distribution for the number of answers that a question gets is an inverse Gaussian, which is a Zipf-like distribution. We use the data to validate this conclusion.
Popularity of content on the Web, like news articles @cite_13 , blog posts @cite_21 @cite_0 and posts in online discussion forums @cite_20 , vary on different temporal scales. For example, content on micro-blogging platforms, like Twitter is very volatile, and pieces of content become popular and fade away in a matter of hours @cite_6 . Blogging and micro-blogging networks show temporal and topological patterns which largely exhibit power law behavior @cite_23 @cite_15 . have studied the growth and decay of trending topics on Twitter @cite_4 . Temporal trends displayed by users have been analysed and the decay factor has been found to decrease in a power law fashion. Yang and Leskovec examined patterns of temporal behavior for hashtags in Twitter @cite_2 . They presented a stable time series clustering algorithm and demonstrated the common temporal patterns that tweets containing hashtags follow.