One of the current challenges in machine learning is how to deal with data coming at increasing rates in data streams. New predictive learning strategies are needed to cope with the high throughput data and concept drift. One of the data stream mining tasks where new learning strategies are needed is multi-target regression, due to its applicability in a high number of real world problems. While reliable and effective learning strategies have been proposed for batch multi-target regression, few have been proposed for multi-target online learning in data streams. Besides, the existing solutions do not consider the occurrence of inter-target correlations when making predictions. In this work, we propose an online learning strategy for multi-target regression in data streams. The proposed strategy extends a single target decision tree online learning algorithm to allow multi-target online regression learning in data streams. For such, the proposed strategy, called Stacked Single-target Hoeffding Tree (SST-HT), uses the inter-target dependencies as an additional information source to enhance predictive accuracy. Throughout an extensive experimental setup, we evaluate our proposal against state-of-the-art decision tree-based algorithms for online multi-target regression. According to the experimental results, SST-HT presents superior predictive accuracy, with a small increase in the processing time and memory requirements.
@cite_3: In many practical applications of supervised learning the task involves the prediction of multiple target variables from a common set of input variables. When the prediction targets are binary the task is called multi-label classification, while when the targets are continuous the task is called multi-target regression. In both tasks, target variables often exhibit statistical dependencies and exploiting them in order to improve predictive accuracy is a core challenge. A family of multi-label classification methods address this challenge by building a separate model for each target on an expanded input space where other targets are treated as additional input variables. Despite the success of these methods in the multi-label classification domain, their applicability and effectiveness in multi-target regression has not been studied until now. In this paper, we introduce two new methods for multi-target regression, called stacked single-target and ensemble of regressor chains, by adapting two popular multi-label classification methods of this family. Furthermore, we highlight an inherent problem of these methods--a discrepancy of the values of the additional input variables between training and prediction--and develop extensions that use out-of-sample estimates of the target variables during training in order to tackle this problem. The results of an extensive experimental evaluation carried out on a large and diverse collection of datasets show that, when the discrepancy is appropriately mitigated, the proposed methods attain consistent improvements over the independent regressions baseline. Moreover, two versions of Ensemble of Regression Chains perform significantly better than four state-of-the-art methods including regularization-based multi-task learning methods and a multi-objective random forest approach.
Despite the efforts made to build methods tailored to split the decision space considering all the targets, neither of the presented solutions effectively take advantage of the inter-target dependencies at the moment of generating predictions. In all of the presented cases, individual models are created for each target, simply ignoring how their values relate to each other. Inspired by the work of @cite_3 , we propose employing the strategy of Stacked Single-target (SST) at the leaves' models for further improving the prediction performance of the MTR decision tree models. Also, considering the mutable characteristics of streaming tasks, our proposal, called Stacked Single-target Hoeffding Tree (SST-HT) can be setup to dynamically selecting for each target when to use its SST model, the standard perceptron, or the most straightforward mean predictor.