This work is an attempt to discover hidden structural configurations in learning activity sequences of students in Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs). Leveraging combined representations of video clickstream interactions and forum activities, we seek to fundamentally understand traits that are predictive of decreasing engagement over time. Grounded in the interdisciplinary field of network science, we follow a graph based approach to successfully extract indicators of active and passive MOOC participation that reflect persistence and regularity in the overall interaction footprint. Using these rich educational semantics, we focus on the problem of predicting student attrition, one of the major highlights of MOOC literature in the recent years. Our results indicate an improvement over a baseline ngram based approach in capturing "attrition intensifying" features from the learning activities that MOOC learners engage in. Implications for some compelling future research are discussed.
@cite_1: In this paper, we explore student dropout behavior in a Massively Open Online Course (MOOC). We use a survival model to measure the impact of three social factors that make predictions about attrition along the way for students who have participated in the course discussion forum.
@cite_8: We examine the process of engineering features for developing models that improve our understanding of learners' online behavior in MOOCs. Because feature engineering relies so heavily on human insight, we argue that extra effort should be made to engage the crowd for feature proposals and even their operationalization. We show two approaches where we have started to engage the crowd. We also show how features can be evaluated for their relevance in predictive accuracy. When we examined crowd-sourced features in the context of predicting stopout, not only were they nuanced, but they also considered more than one interaction mode between the learner and platform and how the learner was relatively performing. We were able to identify different influential features for stop out prediction that depended on whether a learner was in 1 of 4 cohorts defined by their level of engagement with the course discussion forum or wiki. This report is part of a compendium which considers different aspects of MOOC data science and stop out prediction.
Some prior research has focused on deriving social positioning metrics within discussion forums to understand influencing factors that lead to differently motivated behaviors of students. For example, @cite_8 @cite_1 used aggregate post-reply discussion forum graph per week, with an aim to investigate posting behavior and collaborative aspects of participation through operationalizations of social positioning. However, we work at a much finer granularity in the current study and our focus is on individual student modeling instead. We capture not only forum participation trajectory, but also video lecture viewing activity of every student in their participation week. Modeling the combined interaction footprint as an activity network, allows us to decipher the type of engagement and organization of behavior for each student, which are reflective of attrition.