Digital learning environments generate a precise record of the actions learners take as they interact with learning materials and complete exercises towards comprehension. With this high quantity of sequential data comes the potential to apply time series models to learn about underlying behavioral patterns and trends that characterize successful learning based on the granular record of student actions. There exist several methods for looking at longitudinal, sequential data like those recorded from learning environments. In the field of language modelling, traditional n-gram techniques and modern recurrent neural network (RNN) approaches have been applied to algorithmically find structure in language and predict the next word given the previous words in the sentence or paragraph as input. In this paper, we draw an analogy to this work by treating student sequences of resource views and interactions in a MOOC as the inputs and predicting students' next interaction as outputs. In this study, we train only on students who received a certificate of completion. In doing so, the model could potentially be used for recommendation of sequences eventually leading to success, as opposed to perpetuating unproductive behavior. Given that the MOOC used in our study had over 3,500 unique resources, predicting the exact resource that a student will interact with next might appear to be a difficult classification problem. We find that simply following the syllabus (built-in structure of the course) gives on average 23 accuracy in making this prediction, followed by the n-gram method with 70.4 , and RNN based methods with 72.2 . This research lays the ground work for recommendation in a MOOC and other digital learning environments where high volumes of sequential data exist.
@cite_11: Students in online courses generate large amounts of data that can be used to personalize the learning process and improve quality of education. In this paper, we present the Latent Skill Embedding (LSE), a probabilistic model of students and educational content that can be used to recommend personalized sequences of lessons with the goal of helping students prepare for specic assessments. Akin to collaborative ltering for recommender systems, the algorithm does not require students or content to be described by features, but it learns a representation using access traces. We formulate this problem as a regularized maximum-likelihood embedding of students, lessons, and assessments from historical student-content interactions. An empirical evaluation on large-scale data from Knewton, an adaptive learning technology company, shows that this approach predicts assessment results competitively with benchmark models and is able to discriminate between lesson sequences that lead to mastery and failure.
Other work has been done to map assignments, student ability, lesson gains and pre-requisites all onto the same dimensional embedding space, where dimensions represent latent skills @cite_11 . This mapping enables the model to produce potential lesson and assignment pathways so that students can have an optimal path for learning. The work in this paper differs by attempting to utilize all sources of student actions, such as forum posts or specific video viewings, and as such requires the use of a different approach.