The best current estimates of the thresholds for the existence of solutions in random constraint satisfaction problems ('CSPs') mostly derive from the first and the second moment method. Yet apart from a very few exceptional cases these methods do not quite yield matching upper and lower bounds. According to deep but non-rigorous arguments from statistical mechanics, this discrepancy is due to a change in the geometry of the set of solutions called condensation that occurs shortly before the actual threshold for the existence of solutions (Krzakala, Montanari, Ricci-Tersenghi, Semerjian, Zdeborova: PNAS 2007). To cope with condensation, physicists have developed a sophisticated but non-rigorous formalism called Survey Propagation (Me-zard, Parisi, Zecchina: Science 2002). This formalism yields precise conjectures on the threshold values of many random CSPs. Here we develop a new Survey Propagation inspired second moment method for the random k-NAESAT problem, which is one of the standard benchmark problems in the theory of random CSPs. This new technique allows us to overcome the barrier posed by condensation rigorously. We prove that the threshold for the existence of solutions in random k-NAESAT is 2k-1ln2-(ln 2 2+1 4)+ek, where |ek| ≤ 2-(1-ok(1))k, thereby verifying the statistical mechanics conjecture for this problem.
@cite_27: 
@cite_29: Given d ?? (0,??) let kd be the smallest integer k such that d < 2k log k. We prove that the chromatic number of a random graph G(n, d n) is either kd or kd + 1 almost surely.
@cite_10: Many NP-complete constraint satisfaction problems appear to undergo a “phase transition” from solubility to insolubility when the constraint density passes through a critical threshold. In all such cases it is easy to derive upper bounds on the location of the threshold by showing that above a certain density the first moment (expectation) of the number of solutions tends to zero. We show that in the case of certain symmetric constraints, considering the second moment of the number of solutions yields nearly matching lower bounds for the location of the threshold. Specifically, we prove that the threshold for both random hypergraph 2-colorability (Property B) and random Not-All-Equal @math -SAT is @math . As a corollary, we establish that the threshold for random @math -SAT is of order @math , resolving a long-standing open problem.
From a statistical mechanics point of view, many random CSPs are similar to random @math -NAESAT. In particular, the physics methods suggest the existence of a condensation phase in most random CSPs (e.g., random @math -SAT graph @math -coloring). While @cite_10 provided the prototype for the second moment arguments in these and other problems, the technical details in random graph @math -coloring @cite_29 or random @math -SAT @cite_27 are quite a bit more intricate than in random @math -NAESAT.