The real action is in the competition for second place in the Republican field, where CNN and RCP both have Rubio's support at 15 percent; all of the CNN polling and most of the RCP polling, though, was conducted before Rubio's already-infamous performance in Saturday night's debate. John Kasich, who seemed to do well in the debate and has picked up a number of New Hampshire endorsements, is in third in the FiveThirtyEight projections and in fourth, narrowly behind Ted Cruz's 13 percent, in both the CNN and RCP numbers.