Title: Why do national polling analysts think Minnesota is a swing state? | MinnPost
Headings: Why do national polling analysts think Minnesota is a swing state?
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Why do national polling analysts think Minnesota is a swing state?
Limited data
‘Might be a swing state’
Getting (relatively) less blue
Minnesota's Partisan Voter Index
Demographics
Greta Kaul

Content: That measure is the Partisan Voting Index (PVI) by the Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan organization that analyzes U.S. elections. This year, Minnesota’s PVI is D+2, which means it’s thought to be 2 percentage points more Democratic than the rest of the U.S. is, on average. In 1994, Minnesota was D+6, but dropped to D+4 in 1998 and D+3 in 2002. In 2006, it dropped to D+2, where it has remained ever since. Minnesota's Partisan Voter Index
Minnesota has become a less blue-leaning state relative to the rest of the U.S. in recent years, according to the Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index, a measure of how Republican or Democratic-leaning a state is. In 1996, it was considered D+6. Today, it's D+2. Created with Highcharts 9.0.1
PVI
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1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 D+0 D+2 D+4 D+6 D+8
Source: Cook Political Report
“It’s been turning redder, even though Republicans haven’t been winning in the state,” Byler said. “ I think of it a little bit similarly to North Carolina, because North Carolina is, according to the Cook Political Voting Index, R+3.