Title: Is Minnesota a Red or Blue State in 2018? | Minnesota Monthly
Headings: Is Minnesota a Red or Blue State in 2018?
Is Minnesota a Red or Blue State in 2018?
From Nonpartisan to Polarized
Hillary’s Purple-State Blues
What Is Changing?
What Has Remained?
Digital Extra: How Are You Voting?
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Content: What Is Changing? Ultimately, President Trump’s claim on Minnesota is—no surprise—complicated. A lot changes in two hours in today’s political climate, let alone two years, and it’s still a while before we’ll know the names on the ballot. In a state closely packed into opposing parties, the 2020 election will be “all about mobilization,” Schultz says. Based on his research, Jacobs expects higher blue turnout in 2020 and notes three things: even a “complicated” candidate like Clinton won Minnesota, Democrats have commanded statewide offices for about 10 years, and Trump got just a few thousand more votes than Romney did in Minnesota in 2012. Not to mention, Trump’s approval rating here has dipped from 45 percent at the start of the year to 38 percent, while a plurality of Minnesota voters has said they want to see Democrats regain Congress, according to recent NBC News and Marist polls. As for this year’s midterms: If Republicans have swept rural areas, Democrats are homing in on the suburbs. Beyond that, Schultz looks to demographics for short- and long-term trends.