Title: Global EV Outlook 2020 – Analysis - IEA
Headings: Global EV Outlook 2020
Global EV Outlook 2020
In this report
The global electric vehicle fleet expanded significantly over the last decade, underpinned by supportive policies and technology advances
Global sales of passenger cars were sluggish in 2019, but electric cars had another banner year
Global electric car stock, 2010-2019
Most charging is done at home and work, yet deploying publicly accessible charging points is outpacing electric vehicle sales
Private electric vehicle slow chargers by country, 2019
Publicly accessible electric vehicle fast chargers by country, 2019
Publicly accessible electric vehicle slow chargers by country, 2019
China continues to lead in electrifying two/three- wheelers and urban buses
New electric bus registrations by country/region, 2015-2019
thousand
New electric bus registrations in China, 2015-2019
Electrifying heavy-duty trucks and air- and seaport operations offer opportunities for cost and emission savings
Policies continue to support electric vehicle deployment and are evolving to a more holistic policy portfolio
Environmental and sustainability objectives drive electric vehicle policy support at all governance levels
Policies are being tailored to support market transition
Government responses to Covid-19 will influence the pace of the transition to electric vehicles
Prospects for electrification in transport in the coming decade
Adoption of electric drivetrains accelerates.
Global electric vehicle stock in the Sustainable Development Scenario, 2019 and 2030
Global electric vehicle stock in the Stated Policies Scenario, 2019 and 2030
Electric car sales drive cost reductions in batteries, which boosts deployment across all road vehicle categories
Electric vehicles increase electricity demand but reduce oil demand and well-to-wheel greenhouse gas emissions
Electricity demand from the electric vehicle fleet by charger type, 2030
TWh
Electricity demand from the electric vehicle fleet by mode, 2019 and 2030
TWh
Electricity demand from the electric vehicle fleet by oil displacement, 2019 and 2030
mb/d
Electricity demand from the electric vehicle fleet by country and region, 2030
TWh
Net and avoided well-to-wheel GHG emissions from the global electric vehicle fleet, 2030
Net and avoided well-to-wheel GHG emissions from the global electric vehicle fleet, 2019
Batteries: An essential technology to electrify road transport
Battery capacity increases, pushing up demand for materials
Annual lithium demand for electric vehicle batteries, 2019-2030
Annual cobalt demand for electric vehicle batteries, 2019-2030
Battery technologies improve and costs drop
Promising avenues for advanced battery technologies arise, but not without trade-offs
As volumes and ranges increase, an appropriate battery value chain is important for ensuring that electric vehicles continue to contribute to sustainability goals
How batteries are used, recycled, or disposed of after their electric vehicle application affects their life-cycle impacts
Automotive battery capacity available for repurposing or recycling in the Sustainable Development Scenario, 2019-203
Automotive battery capacity available for repurposing or recycling in the Stated Policies Scenario, 2019-2030
The policy landscape for battery end-of-life is evolving in key regions
Integrating electric vehicles with power systems can benefit both
Contribution of electric vehicles to hourly peak demand by country and region in the evening and night charging cases in the Sustainable Development Scenario, 2030
Vehicle-to-grid potential and variable renewable capacity relative to total capacity generation requirements in the Sustainable Development Scenario, 2030
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References

Content: The US federal tax credit programme ran out for key electric vehicle automakers such as General Motors and Tesla (the tax credit is applicable up to a 200 000 sales cap per automaker). These actions contributed to a significant drop in electric car sales in China in the second half of 2019, and a 10% drop in the United States over the year. With 90% of global electric car sales concentrated in China, Europe and the United States, this affected global sales and overshadowed the notable 50% sales increase in Europe in 2019, thus slowing the growth trend. Consumer expectations of further technology improvements and new models. Today’s consumer profile in the electric car market is evolving from early adopters and technophile purchasers to mass adoption. Significant improvements in technology and a wider variety of electric car models on offer have stimulated consumer purchase decisions. The 2018-19 versions of some common electric car models display a battery energy density that is 20-100% higher than were their counterparts in 2012. Further, battery costs have decreased by more than 85% since 2010. The delivery of new mass-market models such as the Tesla Model 3 caused a spike in sales in 2018 in key markets such as the United States. Automakers have announced a diversified menu of electric cars, many of which are expected in 2020 or 2021.