Title: united states - Did the UK homicide rate go up after handgun ownership was banned? - Skeptics Stack Exchange
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Did the UK homicide rate go up after handgun ownership was banned?
3 Answers
3
The numbers are cherry-picked.
Very low UK homicide numbers are susceptible to how individual events are reported.
There was a slow upward trend through 2000.
The "spike" happened years after the ban.
US and UK gun crime and ownership are very, very different.
0.1% of the population turned in handguns.
~7% of UK homicides are with a gun, ~67% in the US.
US homicide rates are 5x the UK, yet they have so many more guns.
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Content: The data notes other large, anomalous events are noted which can explain spikes in individual years. 2001 includes 58 Chinese nationals who suffocated in a lorry en route into the UK. 2004 includes 20 cockle pickers who drowned in Morecambe Bay. 2006 includes 52 victims of the 7 July London bombings. 2011 includes 12 victims of Derrick Bird. Once we remove the 171 deaths mis-attributed to 2003, the 2003 spike is replaced with a smooth plateau. Similarly once we move the 96 victims of Hillsborough from 2017 to 1989 where they belong, the 2017 uptick is diminished. The corrected data shows a smooth upward trend until a small spike in 2001, followed by a plateau for a few years, then a rapid fall off. There was a slow upward trend through 2000. Note that homicides are generally on a slow climb for decades.