Title: Why do national polling analysts think Minnesota is a swing state? | MinnPost
Headings: Why do national polling analysts think Minnesota is a swing state?
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Why do national polling analysts think Minnesota is a swing state?
Limited data
‘Might be a swing state’
Getting (relatively) less blue
Minnesota's Partisan Voter Index
Demographics
Greta Kaul

Content: In 1996, it was considered D+6. Today, it's D+2. Created with Highcharts 9.0.1
PVI
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1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 D+0 D+2 D+4 D+6 D+8
Source: Cook Political Report
“It’s been turning redder, even though Republicans haven’t been winning in the state,” Byler said. “ I think of it a little bit similarly to North Carolina, because North Carolina is, according to the Cook Political Voting Index, R+3. When you have a big enough Democratic margin, (they) can peel it off.” ( Obama won North Carolina in 2008, but lost it in 2012.) Remember, too, that despite its track record on presidential elections, Minnesota isn’t all blue. The Minnesota governor’s office and the state House and Senate have switched party control in recent years. Minnesota’s congressional delegation is split, though weighted toward Democrats — there are five Democrats and three Republicans in the House and two Democrats in the Senate.