Title: 
Headings: 
1050
 
DIABETES
 
CARE,
VOLUME
27,
NUMBER
5,
 
MAY
2004

References

1052
 
DIABETES
 
CARE,
VOLUME
27,
NUMBER
5,
 
MAY
2004


Content: Assuming
 
that
 
age-speciﬁc
 
preva-
lence
 
remains
 
constant,
 
the
 
number
 
of
people
 
with
 
diabetes
 
in
 
the
 
world
 
is
 
ex-
pected
 
to
 
approximately
 
double
 
between
2000
 
and
 
2030,
 
based
 
solely
 
upon
 
demo-
graphic
 
changes. The
 
greatest
 
relative
 
in-
creases
 
will
 
occur
 
in
 
the
 
Middle
 
Eastern
Crescent,
 
sub-Saharan
 
Africa,
 
and
 
India. The
 
greatest
 
absolute
 
increase
 
in
 
the
 
num-
ber
 
of
 
people
 
with
 
diabetes
 
will
 
be
 
in
 
In-
dia. Most
 
of
 
the
 
expected
 
population
growth
 
between
 
2000
 
and
 
2030
 
will
 
be
concentrated
 
in
 
the
 
urban
 
areas
 
of
 
the
world
 
(15). The
 
most
 
striking
 
demo-
graphic
 
change
 
in
 
global
 
terms
 
will
 
be
 
the
increase
 
in
 
the
 
proportion
 
of
 
the
 
popula-
tion
65
 
years
 
of
 
age
 
(see
 
Table
 
2). The
 
importance
 
of
 
age
 
on
 
the
 
preva-
lence
 
of
 
diabetes
 
is
 
illustrated
 
in
 
Fig. 1,
which
 
shows
 
sex-speciﬁc
 
estimates
 
of
 
di-
abetes
 
prevalence
 
by
 
age. Globally,
 
diabe-
tes
 
prevalence
 
is
 
similar
 
in
 
men
 
and
women
 
but
 
it
 
is
 
slightly
 
higher
 
in
 
men
60
 
years
 
of
 
age
 
and
 
in
 
women
 
at
 
older
ages. Overall,
 
diabetes
 
prevalence
 
is
higher
 
in
 
men,
 
but
 
there
 
are
 
more
 
women
with
 
diabetes
 
than
 
men
 
(data
 
available
from
 
the
 
authors). The
 
combined
 
effect
of
 
a
 
greater
 
number
 
of
 
elderly
 
women
than
 
men
 
in
 
most
 
populations
 
and
 
the
increasing
 
prevalence
 
of
 
diabetes
 
with
age
 
is
 
the
 
most
 
likely
 
explanation
 
for
 
this
observation.