Title: united states - Did the UK homicide rate go up after handgun ownership was banned? - Skeptics Stack Exchange
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Did the UK homicide rate go up after handgun ownership was banned?
3 Answers
3
The numbers are cherry-picked.
Very low UK homicide numbers are susceptible to how individual events are reported.
There was a slow upward trend through 2000.
The "spike" happened years after the ban.
US and UK gun crime and ownership are very, very different.
0.1% of the population turned in handguns.
~7% of UK homicides are with a gun, ~67% in the US.
US homicide rates are 5x the UK, yet they have so many more guns.
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Content: Correlation is not causality, and they ignore other factors on crime. This particular quote has cherry picked some data to support their argument, and ignored others. Let's look at their data claim again. From 1990 until the ban was enacted [1997], the homicide rate fluctuated between 10.9 and 13 homicides per million. After the ban was enacted, homicides trended up until they reached a peak of 18.0 in 2003. Very low UK homicide numbers are susceptible to how individual events are reported. The absolute rate of homicides in England and Wales (the data I'm using does not include Scotland) is so low, about 500 to 1000 persons per year, that individual events and how they're reported can throw off the trend. Let's begin by using the numbers in Homicide In England and Wales from the Office of National Statistics ...
(Note: Reporting switched from Jan-Dec to April-March in 1997.) However, there are notes about anomalous events included in each year's numbers.