Opinion polling for the 2009 Norwegian parliamentary election
Introduction Poll results for the Norwegian parliamentary elections that were held in Norway on 13–14 September 2009.The results are shown in chronological order, with the oldest poll at the top of the list and the newest poll at the bottom of the list.
Poll results Polling FirmDateSource'''FrP''''''DNA''''''H''''''KrF''''''SV''''''Sp''''''V'''OthersNorstat2008-0424.7%29.4%16.9%7.1%5.9%5.3%8.4%2.3%Response Analyse2008-0425.3%31.6%15.7%5.7%7.5%5.5%6.4%2.3%TNS Gallup2008-0423.5%31.6%18.2%6.9%6.4%5.2%4.9%3.3%Norstat2008-0530.8%26.6%17.0%6.3%6.9%6.3%5.3%0.8%Response Analyse2008-0524.8%28.8%19.0%6.8%7.0%4.7%7.0%1.9%TNS Gallup2008-0526.5%26.3%18.4%6.0%8.3%4.7%6.6%3.2%Sentio-Norsk Statistikk2008-0629.3%23.9%17.9%6.7%7.1%5.2%5.2%4.7%Norstat2008-0630.6%26.0%15.8%6.3%6.7%6.3%5.3%3.0%Response Analyse2008-0630.7%26.4%17.8%4.7%6.5%5.3%5.6%3.0%TNS Gallup2008-0628.3%30.3%16.5%7.7%6.1%3.4%5.2%2.5%Norstat2008-0730.7%28.1%16.1%5.6%5.7%4.5%5.6%3.7%Norstat2008-0832.1%26.2%16.2%5.8%7.0%5.0%5.1%2.6%TNS Gallup2008-0830.4%29.2%15.4%4.8%5.7%4.2%6.3%4.0%Norstat2008-0930.7%29.3%13.8%6.5%6.0%5.5%5.4%2.8%Response Analyse2008-0931.7%27.9%14.6%5.8%6.1%5.6%5.9%2.4%Norstat2008-1026.3%32.2%15.2%5.7%7.5%4.5%5.9%2.8%Norstat2008-1127.5%31.1%14.5%6.6%8.5%4.8%5.5%1.5%TNS Gallup2008-1221.6%32.4%16.7%5.4%7.9%6.1%5.8%4.1%Response Analyse2008-1221.5%32.5%18.2%6.7%7.2%5.9%6.1%0.9%Opinion2008-1225.1%27.5%19.1%6.2%7.5%5.4%5.1%4.1%Norstat2008-1225.7%30.7%17.1%6.1%8.1%5.3%5.1%1.2%Sentio2008-1224.0%29.9%16.8%6.2%8.5%5.9%5.8%1.4%Opinion2009-0128.6%28.7%15.2%5.6%8.1%6.0%5.1%2.6%Sentio2009-0124.5%36.5%13.9%5.9%6.8%5.3%4.5%2.4%Synovate2009-0119.5%34.5%16.6%5.2%9.2%5.5%5.4%4.1%Norstat2009-0221.6%35.4%15.8%5.2%6.8%5.5%6.6%3.0%Synovate2009-0220.8%35.1%15.6%5.9%8.4%4.7%6.8%2.8%Norstat2009-0229.4%33.0%12.6%5.2%7.1%6.5%5.9%2.5%In fact2009-0327.2%32.2%13.2%6.5%6.9%6.6%5.0%2.4%Norfakta2009-0328.0%31.0%14.7%6.9%6.9%4.6%4.7%3.8%Norstat2009-0330.1%31.3%14.1%5.7%6.6%5.0%5.3%1.9%Norstat2009-0329.7%31.7%13.3%7.3%6.9%5.0%3.7%2.3%Opinion2009-0330.9%28.4%13.2%5.6%6.4%6.8%6.1%2.6%Response Analyse2009-0325.4%32.8%14.2%6.1%6.0%5.9%6.5%3.2%Sentio2009-0326.9%32.9%14.7%6.5%6.1%5.7%4.5%2.7%Synovate2009-0323.7%36.2%11.5%4.7%9.9%5.5%5.0%3.4%TNB2009-0327.4%32.4%13.9%6.1%7.0%5.6%5.0%2.7%TNS Gallup/TV22009-0324.7%35.5%15.6%5.2%7.0%5.1%4.5%2.6%Sentio/BT2009-04-0229.6%31.5%13.3%5.9%7.1%5.3%4.7%2.6%TNS Gallup/TV22009-04-0226.0%35.7%12.6%5.1%7.7%5.9%3.4%3.5%Norstat/NRK2009-04-0926.4%31.7%13.7%7.2%7.0%6.8%4.6%2.7%In fact/VG2009-04-1725.8%29.1%17.6%6.0%7.2%5.1%5.2%4.0%Sentio/DN2009-04-1728.4%29.7%13.9%9.0%5.7%5.3%5.0%3.0%Norfakta/Nationen/Klassekampen2009-04-1827.7%33.6%14.1%6.6%5.5%4.7%5.3%2.5%Opinion/ANB2009-04-2328.5%29.1%13.9%7.6%5.9%5.8%6.2%3.0%Opinion/ANB2009-04-2330.3%34.5%10.8%4.8%6.5%6.5%4.2%2.3%Synovate/Dagbladet2009-04-2525.2%35.2%14.0%7.3%6.4%6.0%3.9%2.1%TNS Gallup/TV22009-05-0424.2%33.0%14.3%5.3%8.9%4.2%5.9%4.2%Norstat/NRK2009-05-0727.7%34.1%11.9%6.5%6.7%5.8%5.9%1.5%Norfakta/Nationen/Klassekampen2009-05-0926.9%31.1%13.9%6.5%8.2%6.1%4.8%3.3%Opinion/ANB2009-05-1428.5%29.0%13.0%5.9%7.1%4.3%8.7%3.3%Sentio/DN2009-05-1530.3%31.5%13.2%5.8%6.3%4.0%5.8%3.0%Response/Aftenposten2009-05-1524.0%35.8%15.3%5.3%5.8%4.7%5.9%3.2%Response/VG2009-05-1525.9%33.3%15.9%6.5%6.0%6.0%3.7%2.5%Response/Aftenposten2009-06-1226.1%35.4%13.5%5.8%5.5%4.3%5.6%3.8%Sentio/DN2009-06-1329.3%23.9%17.9%6.5%7.1%5.2%5.2%4.9%Norstat/Vårt Land2009-06-2628.6%29.4%13.4%5.7%8.3%6.3%5.9%2.4%Norfakta2009-07-0629.8%32.6%13.0%5.7%6.7%5.3%4.6%2.4%
Average polling The following table gives the average of 10 monthly opinion polls (9 before December 2008 - Synovate, Opinion, Gallup, Sentio BT, Sentio DN, Norstat NRK, Norstat VL, Response, In fact and, from December 2008, Norfakta).Party''Result, Parliam. election 2005''''Result, County elections 2007''Aug 2008Sep 2008Oct 2008Nov 2008Dec 2008Jan 2009Feb 2009Mar 2009Apr 2009May 2009Jun 2009Jul 2009Aug 2009Labour32.7%30.8%26.5%29.0%30.6%31.4%30.7%33.9%34.2%32.8%32.5%32.9%32.9%33.1%32.4%Progress22.1%18.5%30.8%29.6%26.5%24.2%23.7%23.2%24.1%27.3%27.0%26.4%26.0%28.2%25.7%Conservative14.1%18.8%16.3%15.4%16.1%15.9%17.4%16.1%15.1%13.8%13.9%13.8%13.5%12.9%13.8%Socialist Left8.8%6.5%6.7%6.5%7.3%7.7%7.8%7.5%7.1%7.0%7.1%7.5%7.3%7.2%8.1%Christian Democratic6.8%6.7%5.5%5.6%5.6%6.6%6.3%6.0%6.0%6.2%6.0%6.0%5.8%5.9%6.1%Centre6.5%7.8%5.2%5.0%5.3%5.5%5.7%5.5%4.9%5.5%5.8%5.0%5.8%5.1%5.6%Liberal5.9%5.6%6.1%5.8%5.6%5.7%5.5%4.8%6.0%5.0%4.9%5.4%5.6%4.8%5.2%Red1.2%2.1%1.7%1.6%1.4%1.6%1.6%1.6%1.5%1.2%1.3%1.5%1.5%1.6%1.6%Others1.9%3.2%0.1%1.4%0.2%1.2%1.4%1.0%1.1%1.4%1.5%1.3%1.4%1.1%1.6%The following table gives the average of poll results through the electoral campaign, the last six weeks before the election. The biggest surprise was the successful campaign of the Conservative Party, which saw a great increase in its poll results at the cost of the Progress Party, up until the election day.PartyWeek 32Week 33Week 34Week 35Week 36Week 37Labour32.7%31.9%32.1%33.0%32.0%33.4%Progress26.2%26.4%26.5%23.7%23.7%23.0%Conservative13.2%14.3%13.6%14.8%14.9%16.1%Socialist Left7.2%7.1%7.3%8.5%7.5%7.0%Christian Democratic6.4%6.1%6.0%5.9%6.5%6.7%Centre6.5%5.9%5.8%5.8%6.5%5.8%Liberal4.9%5.2%5.7%4.9%5.6%5.2%Red1.2%1.7%1.6%2.0%1.8%1.8%
NRK polling Polls During the CampaignPolling firmMonthLab.Pro.Con.Soc.Cen.Chr.Lib.RedNorstat NRK  26%  30.6%  15.8%  6.7%  6.3%  6.3%  5.3%  1.7%Norstat NRK  29.5%  29.2%  13.3%  8.4%  5.3%  5.8%  4.5%  1.3%Norstat NRK  32.5%  26.3%  15.2%  7.5%  4.5%  5.7%  5.9%  1.5%Norstat NRK  31.1%  27.5%  14.5%  8.5%  4.8%  6.6%  5.5%  0.8%Norstat NRK  30.7%  25.9%  17.1%  8.1%  5.3%  6.1%  5.1%  1.2% Norstat NRK  33.2%  24.4%  17.6%  6.6%  4.8%  7.1%  4.2%  0.7% Norstat NRK  35.4%  21.6%  15.8%  6.8%  5.5%  5.2%  6.6%  1.3% Norstat NRK  31.3%  30.1%  14.1%  6.6%  5%  5.7%  5.3%  0.8% Norstat NRK  31.7%  26.4%  13.7%  7%  6.8%  7.2%  4.6%  1% Norstat NRK  34.1%  27.7%  11.9%  6.7%  5.8%  6.5%  5.9%  0.2% Norstat NRK  33%  29.7%  12%  7.1%  4.9%  6.1%  4.2%  0.8% Norstat NRK  33.2%  28.1%  11.3%  7.1%  6%  6.6%  4.9%  1.2% Norstat NRK  33%  25.1%  13.6%  7.1%  6%  6.6%  4.9%  0.8% Norstat NRK  35%  24%  13.1%  5.8%  6.2%  6.9%  6%  2.1% Synovate NRK  33.8%  21.4%  14.5%  9.1%  5.9%  6.9%  4.7%  2.3% '''Results'''  35.4%  22.9%  17.2%  6.2%  6.2%  5.5%  3.9%  1.3%
References