Opinion polling for the 2015 United Kingdom general election
Introduction Polling results for the 2015 UK General Election, compared to the actual result.In the run up to the general election on 7 May 2015, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.The date range for these opinion polls is from 6 May 2010 (the date of the previous general election) to 7 May 2015.Most opinion polls cover only Great Britain (England, Scotland and Wales). Separate polls covering constituent countries of the UK and English regions are reported further below while polling of individual constituencies and groups of them (such as groups of marginals) is covered in a separate article.In the event, the actual results proved to be rather different from those indicated by the opinion polls. Opinion polls conducted in the last few months of the campaign, and even in the last few days, had indicated a very close result between the Conservatives and Labour in terms of numbers of votes, suggesting that one of the main parties would have to form a perhaps complex coalition with smaller parties in order to govern.However the actual results showed a stronger performance by the Conservatives, which gave them an overall majority, since Labour also had a weaker performance than the polls had suggested. When the exit poll was initially presented, some commentators and politicians doubted it, with Paddy Ashdown even declaring "If this poll is correct I will publicly eat my hat on your programme" in response to the apparently poor results for the Liberal Democrats. The exit poll was eventually proved to have in fact ''overestimated'' the Liberal Democrats' performance. If the Survation telephone poll (6 May) had been published it would have produced results within 1% of the election results.
Graphical summary Local regression of poll results from 6 May 2010 to 7 May 2015, with each line corresponding to a political party.The chart shows the relative state of the parties from 13 May 2010 to 7 May 2015, with each line's colour corresponding to a political party: red for the Labour Party, blue for the Conservative Party, purple for the UK Independence Party, yellow for the Liberal Democrats, and green for the combined Green Party of England and Wales and Scottish Green Party. While not shown here, other parties have on occasion polled higher than one or more of the parties represented, for example in the Lord Ashcroft poll conducted on 17–19 April 2015, where the Scottish National Party polled 6% and the Greens 4%. Each dot represents a party's results from an opinion poll displayed in the table below.
Poll results Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The 'party lead' column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance of a tie, no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold.Throughout the 2010-2015 parliament, first and second places have without exception alternated between the Conservatives and Labour. The Liberal Democrats and the UK Independence Party have tended to hold either third or fourth place in each individual poll. The combined Green parties of England and Wales and Scotland have most frequently polled fifth and have on occasions polled fourth – level with or ahead of the UK Independence Party or the Liberal Democrats. Included in the 'others' column are other smaller parties, the largest of which (by votes at the 2010 general election) are the British National Party, the Scottish National Party and Plaid Cymru. Detailed poll results that break down 'others' for some dates in 2014 and 2010 are available in a second table, below.===2015===Date(s)conductedPolling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLib DemUKIPGreenOthersLead    '''7 May'''2015 general election ''(GB only)''–'''37.8%'''31.2%8.1%12.9%3.8%6.3%'''6.6%'''5–7 May Populus '''34%''' '''34%'''9%13%5%6% '''Tie'''6 May Survation(unpublished)1,045'''37%'''31%10%11%5%6%6%30 Apr–6 May SurveyMonkey 18,131'''34%''' 28%7%13%8%9%6%5–6 May Lord Ashcroft '''33%''''''33%'''10%11%6%8% '''Tie'''5–6 May Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,186'''36%'''35%8%11%5%5%1%4–6 May YouGov/The Sun10,307'''34%''''''34%'''10%12%4%6% '''Tie'''5–6 May ComRes/Daily Mail, ITV News 1,007'''35%'''34%9%12%4%6%1%4–6 May Survation/Daily Mirror4,088'''31%''''''31%'''10%16%5%7% '''Tie'''3–6 May ICM/The Guardian2,02334%'''35%'''9%11%4%7%1%3–6 May ICM/The Guardian1,560'''35%''''''35%'''9%11%3%7% '''Tie'''1–6 May Panelbase 31%'''33%'''8%16%5%7%2%4–5 May Opinium2,960'''35%'''34%8%12%6%5%1%4–5 May YouGov/The Sun2,148'''34%''''''34%'''9%12%5%6% '''Tie'''4–5 May Survation/Daily Mirror33%'''34%'''9%16%4%4%1%3–5 May ComRes/Daily Mail, ITV News 1,011'''35%'''32%9%14%4%6%3%3–5 May BMG/May2015.com, New Statesman1,009'''34%''''''34%'''10%12%4%6% '''Tie'''3–4 May YouGov/The Sun1,664'''33%''''''33%'''10%12%5%6% '''Tie'''30 Apr–4 May  TNS 1,185'''33%'''32%8%14%6%6%1%2–3 May  YouGov/The Sun 1,789'''34%'''33%9%12%5%7%1%1–3 May Lord Ashcroft 1,001'''32%'''30%11%12%7%9%2%1–3 May  Populus  2,054  '''34%''''''34%''' 10%  13%  5% 5% '''Tie'''1–2 May YouGov/Sunday Times1,967'''34%'''33%8%13%5%7%1%1–2 May Survation/Mail on Sunday31%'''34%'''8%17%4%6%3%30 Apr–1 May YouGov/The Sun33%'''34%'''8%14%5%5%1%30 Apr–1 May Survation/Daily Mirror33%'''34%'''9%16%3%5%1%30 Apr'''''Question Time'' featuring David Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Miliband broadcast on BBC One; ''Ask Nicola Sturgeon'', ''Ask Leanne Wood'' and ''Ask Nigel Farage'' programmes also shown'''29–30 Apr YouGov/Sun on Sunday34%'''35%'''9%12%5%6%1%29–30 Apr Populus2,016'''33%''''''33%'''9%15%4%5% '''Tie'''29–30 Apr YouGov/The Sun34%'''35%'''8%12%5%6%1%29–30 Apr Panelbase32%'''34%'''8%17%4%7%2%28–30 Apr ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror 1,002'''33%''''''33%'''8%13%7%6% '''Tie'''28–30 Apr Opinium/The Observer1,956'''35%'''34%8%13%5%5%1%28–29 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,823'''35%'''34%9%12%4%6%1%26–29 Apr Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,010'''35%'''30%8%10%8%9%5%27–28 Apr ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail 1,005'''35%''''''35%'''7%11%6%6% '''Tie'''27–28 Apr YouGov/The Sun34%'''35%'''9%12%4%6%1%26–27 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,127'''35%'''34%9%12%5%6%1%25–27 Apr BMG/May2015.com 1,013'''35%'''32%11%14%3%5%3%23–27 Apr TNS1,186'''34%'''33%7%15%5%5%1%25–26 Apr YouGov/The Sun33%'''34%'''8%14%5%6%1%24–26 Apr Lord Ashcroft1,003'''36%'''30%9%11%7%7%6%24–26 Apr ICM/The Guardian1,004'''35%'''32%9%13%5%6%3%24–26 Apr Populus33%'''36%'''8%14%5%4%3%24–25 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times32%'''34%'''9%14%6%5%2%24–25 Apr Survation/Mail on Sunday1,004'''33%'''30%9%18%4%6%3%23–24 Apr YouGov/The Sun33%'''35%'''8%13%6%5%2%21–24 Apr Opinium/The Observer1,964'''34%'''33%9%13%6%5%1%22–23 Apr Populus32%'''35%'''8%14%5%6%3%22–23 Apr  YouGov/The Sun  33%'''35%'''8%13%6%6%2%22–23 Apr Survation/Daily Mirror1,205'''33%'''29%10%18%4%6%4%21–23 Apr Panelbase31%'''34%'''7%17%4%7%3%21–22 Apr ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail 1,003'''36%'''32%8%10%5%9%4%21–22 Apr YouGov/The Sun33%'''34%''' 7%14%5%6%1%20–21 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,799'''35%'''34%7%13%5%6%1%19–20 Apr YouGov/The Sun34%'''35%''' 7%13%5%6%1%16–20 Apr TNS1,19932%'''34%''' 8%15%5%6%2%18–19 Apr YouGov/The Sun34%'''35%''' 8%13%5%6%1%17–19 Apr Lord Ashcroft1,002'''34%'''30%10%13%4%9%4%17–19 Apr Populus32%'''34%'''9%15%4%6%2%17–19 Apr ICM/The Guardian1,003'''34%'''32%10%11%5%8%2%17–18 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times33%'''36%''' 8%13%5%5%3%16–17 Apr Opinium/The Observer1,955'''36%'''32%8%13%5%6%4%16–17 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,713'''34%''''''34%'''9%14%5%5% '''Tie'''16–17 Apr Survation/Daily Mirror1,314'''34%'''33%7%17%3%6%1%16 Apr'''Five-way ''Opposition Leaders' Debate'' held on BBC One'''15–16 Apr Populus 2,04833%'''34%''' 9%14%4%5%1%15–16 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,939'''34%''''''34%'''7%14%5%6% '''Tie'''14–16 Apr Panelbase1,02533%8%16%4%5%1%14–15 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,89434%8%13%5%6%1%12–15 Apr Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00033%7%10%8%7%2%13–14 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,84233%8%13%5%6%2%12–13 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,44433%8%13%6%5%1%9–13 Apr TNS1,192'''34%''' 32%9%14%5%6%2%11–12 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,71733%7%13%5%6%3%10–12 Apr Lord Ashcroft1,003'''33%'''9%13%6%8% '''Tie'''10–12 Apr ICM/The Guardian1,042'''39%''' 33%8%7%7%5%6%10–12 Apr Populus2,036'''33%''''''33%'''8%15%5%6% '''Tie'''10–11 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times1,887'''34%''' '''34%''' 7%13%6%6% '''Tie'''9–10 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,78233%8%13%5%5%2%8–9 Apr Opinium/The Observer1,916'''36%''' 34%7%11%6%6%2%8–9 Apr Populus2,02031%'''33%''' 8%16%6%7%2%8–9 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,93834%8%12%4%6%1%8–9 Apr Survation/Daily Mirror1,11131%'''35%''' 9%15%4%6%4%7–9 Apr Panelbase1,01331%'''37%'''8%16%4%4%6%7–8 Apr ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail 1,013'''34%''' 33%12%12%4%6%1%7–8 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,87134%'''35%''' 8%13%5%5%1%6–7 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,67233%'''35%''' 8%14%5%5%2%2–7 Apr TNS1,20730%'''33%'''8%19%4%7%3%2–6 Apr Populus2,00831%'''33%''' 10%15%4%7%2%3–4 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times1,906'''34%''' 33%10%13%4%6%1%2–3 Apr Opinium/The Observer1,974'''33%''' '''33%''' 7%14%7%5% '''Tie'''2–3 Apr Survation/Daily Mirror1,20731%'''33%''' 9%18%3%6%2%2 Apr'''Seven-way ''Leaders' Debate'' on ITV'''1–2 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,583'''37%''' 35%7%12%5%4%2%31 Mar–2 Apr Panelbase1,006'''33%''' '''33%''' 7%17%5%5% '''Tie'''31 Mar–1 Apr Populus2,05732%'''34%''' 9%15%5%5%2%31 Mar–1 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,678'''36%''' 34%8%13%4%5%2%30–31 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,56635%'''36%''' 7%12%5%5%1%30 Mar '''Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign'''29–30 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,001'''35%''' '''35%''' 8%12%5%5% '''Tie'''26–30 Mar TNS1,197'''33%''' 32%8%16%5%7%1%28–29 Mar ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail 1,005'''36%''' 32%9%12%5%7%4%27–29 Mar Lord Ashcroft1,004'''36%''' 34%6%10%7%6%2%27–29 Mar Populus2,004'''34%''' '''34%''' 8%15%4%5% '''Tie'''27–28 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times1,79932%'''36%''' 8%13%6%5%4%26 Mar'''First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4'''25–26 Mar Populus2,04931%'''33%''' 9%16%5%6%2%25–26 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,698'''36%''' 34%7%13%5%5%2%24–26 Mar Panelbase1,007'''34%''' '''34%''' 5%15%6%6% '''Tie'''24–25 Mar Opinium/The Observer1,959'''34%''' 33%8%13%7%3%1%24–25 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,61034%'''35%''' 8%12%6%5%1%24–25 Mar Survation/Daily Mirror1,00732%'''33%''' 8%18%4%5%1%23–24 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,006'''35%''' '''35%''' 8%12%6%4% '''Tie'''22–23 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,641'''34%''' '''34%''' 8%12%6%5% '''Tie'''18–23 Mar YouGov/The Times8,271'''34%''' 33%8%14%5%6%1%20–22 Mar ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail 1,001'''35%''' '''35%''' 8%10%7%6% '''Tie'''20–22 Mar Lord Ashcroft1,003'''33%''' '''33%''' 8%12%5%9% '''Tie'''20–22 Mar Populus2,03531%'''33%''' 9%16%5%5%2%20–21 Mar Survation/Mail on Sunday1,00830%'''34%''' 10%17%3%6%4%19–20 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times1,53233%'''35%''' 8%14%5%5%2%18–19 Mar Opinium/The Observer1,979'''36%''' 33%7%14%6%4%3%18–19 Mar Populus 2,02031%'''34%''' 9%17%5%4%3%18–19 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,293'''35%''' 33%8%13%6%5%2%17–18 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,75233%'''34%''' 8%14%6%5%1%16–17 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,83034%'''36%''' 7%12%6%5%2%15–16 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,68333%'''35%''' 7%13%7%5%2%13–16 Mar TNS1,188'''33%''' 32%7%17%4%7%1%13–15 Mar Lord Ashcroft1,002'''31%''' 29%8%15%8%9%2%13–15 Mar ICM/The Guardian 1,001 '''36%'''35%8%9%4%8%1%13–15 Mar Populus2,041'''34%''' '''34%''' 8%15%5%5% '''Tie'''12–13 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times1,669'''34%''' '''34%''' 7%14%5%6% '''Tie'''11–13 Mar ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,00233%'''35%'''7%16%4%5%2%11–12 Mar Populus2,04129%'''32%'''8%18%6%7%3%11–12 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,619 '''33%'''32%7%16%6%6%1%10–12 Mar Opinium/The Observer1,94733%'''35%'''7%14%7%5%2%10–11 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,728 34%'''35%'''7%14%5%5%1%8–11 Mar Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,025 33%'''34%'''8%13%6%6%1%9–10 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,598'''33%''' 31%8%15%6%6%2%8–9 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,745'''35%''' 31%8%14%6%6%4%6–8 Mar Lord Ashcroft1,003'''34%''' 30%5%15%8%7%4%6–8 Mar Populus 2,026 32%'''33%'''9%15%6%6%1%5–6 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times1,754'''34%''' 33%8%15%5%5%1%3–6 Mar Opinium/The Observer1,961'''34%''' '''34%''' 8%14%7%5% '''Tie'''4–5 Mar Populus  2,063 31%'''33%'''8%16%5%5%2%4–5 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,748 31%'''35%'''6%15%8%4%4%3–4 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,544'''34%''' '''34%''' 8%14%6%4% '''Tie'''2–3 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,701'''36%''' 34%5%14%6%5%2%1–2 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,866'''35%''' 32%7%15%6%5%3%27 Feb–1 Mar Lord Ashcroft1,003'''34%''' 31%7%14%7%8%3%27 Feb–1 Mar Populus2,05632%'''34%''' 8%14%5%7%2%26–27 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times1,959'''34%''' '''34%''' 8%14%5%5% '''Tie'''25–27 Feb Populus 2,00531%'''33%''' 9%16%6%5%2%25–26 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,63833%'''34%''' 8%13%6%6%1%24–26 Feb Opinium/The Observer1,94834%'''35%''' 6%14%6%6%1%24–25 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,581'''33%''' '''33%''' 8%15%6%5% '''Tie'''23–24 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,520'''35%''' 33%6%14%7%5%2%23 Feb Survation/Daily Mirror1,04628%'''34%''' 10%19%4%5%6%22–23 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,772'''33%''' '''33%''' 8%13%7%5% '''Tie'''20–23 Feb ComRes/Daily Mail 1,004'''34%'''32%8%13%8%6%2%20–22 Feb Lord Ashcroft1,00432%'''36%''' 7%11%8%6%4%20–22 Feb Populus2,059'''32%''' '''32%''' 9%15%6%6% '''Tie'''19–20 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times1,56833%'''34%''' 8%13%6%6%1%17–20 Feb Opinium/The Observer1,975'''35%'''33%6%15%7%5%2%18–19 Feb Populus2,01131%'''32%''' 9%17%6%5%1%18–19 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,56432%'''33%''' 9%15%6%5%1%17–18 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,74332%'''34%''' 8%14%6%5%2%16–17 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,54833%'''34%''' 6%15%7%5%1%15–16 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,580'''32%''' '''32%''' 6%16%8%5% '''Tie'''12–16 Feb TNS1,19328%'''35%''' 6%18%7%6%7%13–15 Feb Lord Ashcroft1,00430%'''31%''' 9%16%8%6%1%13–15 Feb Populus2,01231%'''33%''' 10%15%5%5%2%13–15 Feb ICM/The Guardian1,000'''36%'''32%10%9%7%7%4%12–13 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times1,62032%'''35%''' 7%15%7%5%3%11–12 Feb ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,01732%'''34%''' 7%16%4%7%2%11–12 Feb Populus2,05531%'''34%''' 9%14%6%6%3%11–12 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,59231%'''34%''' 7%15%7%6%3%10–12 Feb Opinium/The Observer1,96933%'''35%''' 8%14%6%6%2%10–11 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,76432%'''33%''' 7%15%7%6%1%9–10 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,67733%'''35%''' 6%13%8%5%2%8–10 Feb Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,01034%'''36%''' 6%9%7%8%2%8–9 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,552'''34%''' 33%7%14%7%6%1%6–8 Feb Lord Ashcroft1,003'''34%''' 31%9%14%6%6%3%6–8 Feb Populus2,00333%'''34%''' 8%15%4%4%1%5–6 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times1,66832%'''33%''' 7%15%8%5%1%3–6 Feb Opinium/The Observer1,94732%'''34%''' 7%15%8%4%2%4–5 Feb Populus2,05631%'''34%''' 8%16%5%6%3%4–5 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,71932%'''33%'''9%15%5%5%1%3–4 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,749'''34%''' 33%6%13%7%7%1%2–3 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,705'''33%''' '''33%''' 7%14%7%5% '''Tie'''1–2 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,63033%'''35%'''7%14%6%5%2%30 Jan–2 Feb Populus2,04031%'''34%''' 8%14%5%6%3%29 Jan–2 Feb TNS1,18227%'''33%''' 6%18%8%8%6%30 Jan–1 Feb Lord Ashcroft1,002'''31%''' '''31%''' 8%15%9%6% '''Tie'''29–30 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times1,55032%'''35%'''7%15%6%5%3%27–30 Jan Opinium/The Observer1,97532%'''33%''' 5%18%6%6%1%28–29 Jan Populus2,02034%'''35%''' 10%14%4%3%1%28–29 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,593'''34%''' '''34%''' 6%14%7%5% '''Tie'''27–28 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,548'''33%''''''33%'''6%16%7%5% '''Tie'''26–27 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,655'''34%''' 33%7%14%7%5%1%25–26 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,656'''34%''' 33%6%15%7%5%1%23–26 Jan TNS-BMRB/BBC Radio 4 Woman's Hour 97528%'''39%''' 4%14%8%7%11%25 Jan Survation/Daily Mirror1,014'''31%''' 30%7%23%3%6% 1%23–25 Jan ComRes/The Independent 1,001'''31%''' 30%8%17%7%7% 1%23–25 Jan Populus2,03934%'''35%''' 9%13%6%3% 1%22–25 Jan Lord Ashcroft1,001'''32%''''''32%'''6%15%9%6% '''Tie'''22–23 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times1,578'''32%''''''32%'''7%15%7%6% '''Tie'''21–22 Jan Populus2,04932%'''36%''' 9%13%6%4% 4%21–22 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,64031%'''33%''' 7%17%8%4% 2%20–21 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,64533%'''34%''' 6%14%8%5% 1%19–20 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,570'''32%''' 30%8%15%10%5% 2%18–19 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,747'''32%''' '''32%''' 8%15%7%6% '''Tie'''16–19 Jan ICM/The Guardian1,00230%'''33%''' 11%11%9%7%3%15–19 Jan TNS1,188'''31%''' '''31%''' 8%16%7%7% '''Tie'''16–18 Jan Lord Ashcroft1,004'''29%''' 28%9%15%11%8%1%16–18 Jan Populus2,03635%'''36%''' 8%13%4%4%1%15–16 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times1,64731%'''32%''' 7%18%7%4%1%14–15 Jan YouGov/Sun on Sunday1,76331%'''33%''' 7%16%7%6%2%14–15 Jan ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday2,02333%'''34%''' 7%18%3%5%1%14–15 Jan Populus2,07032%'''35%''' 9%14%6%4% 3%14–15 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,660'''32%''' '''32%''' 6%16%8%6% '''Tie'''13–15 Jan Opinium/The Observer1,96628%'''33%''' 7%20%6%6%5%13–14 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,83432%'''34%''' 6%15%7%6% 2%12–13 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,78232%'''33%'''7%14%7%6%1%11–13 Jan Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,01033%'''34%''' 8%11%8%6% 1%11–12 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,64932%'''33%'''6%17%6%6%1%9–11 Jan Lord Ashcroft1,002'''34%''' 28%8%16%8%6%6%9–11 Jan Populus 2,05632%'''37%'''10%13%4%4%5%8–9 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times1,684'''32%''''''32%'''7%18%6%5% '''Tie'''7–8 Jan Populus 2,04633%'''34%'''8%14%6%5%1%7–8 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,753'''33%''''''33%'''8%13%7%6% '''Tie'''6–8 Jan TNS 1,20128%'''35%'''6%18%5%8%7%6–7 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,70732%'''33%'''7%15%7%6%1%5–6 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,769'''33%''''''33%'''7%13%8%5% '''Tie'''4–5 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,72831%'''34%''' 7%14%8%6%3%2–4 Jan Populus2,04634%'''36%''' 9%12%5%5%2%30 Dec–2 Jan Opinium/The Observer1,97032%'''33%''' 8%17%4%7%1%===2014===Date(s)conductedPolling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLib DemUKIPGreenOthersLead    19–23 Dec Opinium/The Observer2,00329%'''33%''' 6%19%6%7%4%21–22 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,64232%'''36%''' 6%16%5%5%4%19–21 Dec Populus 2,051 '''35%''' '''35%''' 9%12%4%5% '''Tie'''18–19 Dec Survation/Daily Mirror1,009 30%'''33%''' 10%21%3%3%3%18–19 Dec YouGov/Sunday Times2,10932%'''34%''' 6%15%8%5%2%16–19 Dec Opinium/The Observer1,42729%'''36%''' 6%16%5%8%7%17–18 Dec Populus2,06934%'''35%''' 9%13%4%4%1%17–18 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,981 30%'''35%''' 6%16%8%4%5%16–17 Dec YouGov/The Sun2,087'''33%''' 8%14%7%5% '''Tie'''15–16 Dec YouGov/The Sun2,02133%'''34%''' 6%16%6%5%1%12–16 Dec ICM/The Guardian1,00128%'''33%''' 14%14%5%6%5%14–15 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,64832%'''34%''' 6%14%8%6%2%13–15 Dec Ipsos Mori/Evening Standard1,012'''32%''' 29%9%13%9%8%3%11–15 Dec TNS1,180 28%'''35%''' 5%19%7%6% 7%12–14 Dec ComRes/The Independent1,00229%'''32%''' 12%16%5%6%3%12–14 Dec Populus2,07434%'''36%''' 10%12%5%4%2%11–12 Dec YouGov/Sunday Times 1,941 '''32%''' '''32%''' 7%16%7%5% '''Tie'''10–12 Dec ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent on Sunday2,01433%'''34%''' 8%18%2%5%1%10–11 Dec Populus1,14034%'''35%''' 9%14%4%3%1%10–11 Dec YouGov/The Sun2,08832%'''34%''' 7%14%7%6%2%9–10 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,983'''33%''' '''33%''' 6%15%7%5% '''Tie'''8–9 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,959'''32%''' '''32%''' 8%15%7%5% '''Tie'''7–8 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,925'''34%''' 33%6%15%6%6%1%5–7 Dec Lord Ashcroft1,00130%'''31%''' 8%19%5%7%1%5–7 Dec Populus1,32333%'''36%''' 8%15%4%4%3%4–5 Dec YouGov/SundayTimes1,838'''32%''''''32%'''6%17%7%7% '''Tie'''3–4 Dec Opinium/The Observer1,94029%'''34%'''6%19%6%6%5%3–4 Dec Populus1,27133%'''35%'''9%14%4%5%2%3–4 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,66331%'''32%'''7%15%8%6%1%2–3 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,925'''32%'''31%6%17%7%6%1%1–2 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,91232%'''33%'''7%16%7%5%1%30 Nov–1 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,763'''32%''''''32%'''8%15%6%6% '''Tie'''28–30 Nov ComRes/The Independent1,00528%'''31%'''9%18%7%7%3%28–30 Nov Lord Ashcroft1,00330%'''32%'''7%16%6%8%2%28–30 Nov Populus2,05332%'''35%'''9%14%5%5%3%27–28 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times2,01832%'''34%'''7%15%6%6%2%26–27 Nov Populus2,04832%'''37%'''9%14%4%5%5%26–27 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,970'''31%''''''31%'''8%17%6%6% '''Tie'''25–27 Nov TNS1,19430%'''31%'''6%19%6%8%1%25–26 Nov YouGov/The Sun2,067'''33%'''32%6%16%7%5%1%24–25 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,89032%'''33%'''7%16%6%6%1%23–24 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,64130%'''34%'''6%18%6%6%4%14–24 Nov Lord Ashcroft20,01130%'''33%'''7%19%6%5%3%21–23 Nov Lord Ashcroft1,00427%'''32%'''7%18%7%8%5%21–23 Nov Populus2,04931%'''36%'''9%15%5%4%5%20–21 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times1,970'''33%''''''33%'''7%16%6%5% '''Tie'''19–21 Nov YouGov/The Sun on Sunday2,31433%'''34%'''8%15%5%4%1%20 Nov'''2014''' '''Rochester and Strood by-election'''19–20 Nov Populus2,01333%'''36%'''9%14%4%4%3%19–20 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,995 '''34%'''33%7%15%6%5% 1%18–20 Nov Opinium/The Observer1,94830%'''33%'''7%19%4%7%3%18–19 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,906 '''34%'''33%7%14%6%6% 1%17–18 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,97532%'''34%'''7%15%6%6%2%16–17 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,589 '''33%'''32%7%15%8%6% 1%14–17 Nov Opinium 1,947 '''34%'''33%5%18%5%6% 1%14–16 Nov Lord Ashcroft1,00429%'''30%'''9%16%7%9%1%14–16 Nov Populus2,05435%'''36%'''7%11%5%6%1%13–14 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times1,97531%'''33%'''7%18%5%6%2%12–14 Nov ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror2,00030%'''34%'''8%19%3%6%4%12–13 Nov Populus2,05233%'''35%'''9%13%4%5%2%12–13 Nov YouGov/The Sun2,003'''33%'''32%8%15%6%6%1%11–12 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,972 32%'''35%'''7%15%6%4%3%10–11 Nov YouGov/The Sun2,143 33%'''34%'''7%15%6%6%1%9–10 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,656 32%'''33%'''6%17%6%6%1%8–10 Nov Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,011'''32%'''29%9%14%7%9%3%7–9 Nov ICM/The Guardian1,00231%'''32%'''11%14%6%6%1%7–9 Nov Lord Ashcroft1,005'''30%'''29%10%16%7%8%1%7–9 Nov Populus2,04734%'''36%'''8%13%4%5%2%7 Nov Survation/Mail on Sunday1,02029%'''34%'''6%23%4%4%5%6–7 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times2,022'''33%''''''33%'''7%16%6%5% '''Tie'''4–7 Nov Opinium/The Observer1,98029%'''32%'''9%19%4%7%3%5–6 Nov Populus2,01133%'''35%'''9%14%4%4%2%5–6 Nov YouGov/The Sun2,04132%'''33%'''8%15%7%5%1%4–5 Nov YouGov/The Sun2,04732%'''33%'''7%17%7%5% 1%3–4 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,98832%'''34%'''7%15%6%6% 2%2–3 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,65233%'''34%'''8%15%5%5% 1%31 Oct–2 Nov Lord Ashcroft1,002'''30%'''29%10%16%6%9%1%31 Oct–2 Nov Populus2,01934%'''35%'''9%13%4%4% 1%31 Oct–1 Nov Survation/The Mirror2,01227%'''31%'''9%24%3%6% 4%30–31 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times1,80831%'''32%'''7%18%6%6% 1%29–30 Oct Populus2,035'''34%'''8%15%5%3% '''Tie'''29–30 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,883'''33%'''32%7%15%7%6%1%28–29 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,97231%'''34%'''6%17%7%5% 3%27–28 Oct YouGov/The Sun2,05232%'''33%'''8%17%5%5%1%26–27 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,629'''32%'''8%18%6%4% '''Tie'''24–26 Oct ComRes/The Independent1,002'''30%'''9%19%4%7% '''Tie'''24–26 Oct Lord Ashcroft1,003'''31%'''7%18%5%7% '''Tie'''24–26 Oct Populus2,00434%'''36%'''8%13%3%4%2%23–24 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times2,069'''33%'''7%16%6%6% '''Tie'''21–24 Oct Opinium/The Observer1,972'''33%'''6%18%4%5% '''Tie'''22–23 Oct Populus2,02933%'''35%'''9%15%3%4%2%22–23 Oct YouGov/The Sun2,020'''34%'''6%15%6%5% '''Tie'''21–22 Oct YouGov/The Sun2,05231%'''33%'''7%17%6%6%2%20–21 Oct YouGov/The Sun2,10332%'''33%'''8%16%5%5%1%19–20 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,72731%'''33%'''7%15%6%8%2%17–19 Oct Lord Ashcroft1,00028%'''31%'''7%18%8%8%3%17–19 Oct Populus2,05834%'''36%'''9%13%3%5%2%16–17 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times1,96632%'''35%'''7%16%5%6%3%15–16 Oct ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday99629%'''31%'''7%24%5%5%2%15–16 Oct ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday1,00431%'''34%'''7%19%4%5%3%15–16 Oct Populus2,03133%'''35%'''10%14%4%3%2%15–16 Oct YouGov/The Sun2,04531%'''32%'''8%18%7%4%1%14–15 Oct YouGov/The Sun2,13331%'''33%'''7%19%5%5%2%13–14 Oct YouGov/The Sun2,14430%'''34%'''8%18%5%5%4%11–14 Oct Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00230%'''33%'''8%16%5%8%3%12–13 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,78231%'''34%'''7%17%4%7%3%10–12 Oct Lord Ashcroft1,00128%'''32%'''8%19%5%8%4%10–12 Oct ICM/The Guardian1,00131%'''35%'''11%14%4%6%4%10–12 Oct Populus2,06735%'''36%'''9%13%3%4%1%10 Oct Survation/Mail on Sunday1,003'''31%''''''31%'''7%25%2%4% '''Tie'''9–10 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times2,16732%'''34%'''9%16%5%5%2%9 Oct'''2014 Clacton by-election'''9 Oct'''2014 Heywood and Middleton by-election'''8–9 Oct Lord Ashcroft5,05931%'''34%'''8%18%4%5%3%8–9 Oct Populus2,05534%'''35%'''9%13%4%5%1%8–9 Oct YouGov/The Sun2,04930%'''35%'''9%15%5%5%5%7–9 Oct Opinium/The Observer1,96828%'''35%'''9%17%4%7%7%7–8 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,86233%'''34%'''7%14%6%6%1%6–7 Oct YouGov/The Sun2,15532%'''34%'''8%15%5%6%2%5–6 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,739'''35%'''33%8%13%4%7%2%3–5 Oct Lord Ashcroft1,002'''32%'''30%7%17%7%6%2%3–5 Oct Populus2,03731%'''37%'''8%15%3%4%6%2–3 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times2,130'''36%'''34%7%13%5%5%2%1–2 Oct Populus2,01433%'''38%'''8%13%3%4%5%1–2 Oct YouGov/The Sun2,133'''35%'''34%6%14%5%6%1%30 Sep–1 Oct YouGov/The Sun2,06831%'''38%'''7%15%5%4%7%29–30 Sep YouGov/The Sun2,10631%'''36%'''7%15%5%6%5%28–29 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,71531%'''36%'''7%16%4%6%5%26–28 Sep ComRes/Independent1,00729%'''35%'''10%15%4%7%6%26–28 Sep Lord Ashcroft1,000'''32%'''8%17%4%8% '''Tie'''26–28 Sep Populus2,02434%'''36%'''7%14%5%3%2%25–26 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times1,99231%'''36%'''6%15%6%6%5%24–26 Sep ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday2,00329%'''35%'''7%19%4%6%6%23–26 Sep Opinium/The Observer1,98432%'''34%'''7%17%4%6%2%24–25 Sep Populus2,03433%'''37%'''9%13%3%4%4%24–25 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,97231%'''37%'''7%13%5%7%6%23–24 Sep YouGov/The Sun2,11733%'''37%'''7%13%5%5%4%22–23 Sep YouGov/The Sun2,14131%'''37%'''7%15%5%5%6%21–22 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,67133%'''35%'''7%14%5%6%2%19–21 Sep Lord Ashcroft1,00427%'''33%'''9%17%6%8%6%19–21 Sep Populus2,04833%'''37%'''9%12%4%4%4%19 Sep'''2014 Scottish independence referendum: The "No" campaign wins'''18–19 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times2,12631%'''36%'''7%16%5%5%5%17–18 Sep Populus2,26832%'''36%'''9%15%4%5%4%17–18 Sep YouGov/The Sun2,07233%'''35%'''8%14%5%5%2%16–17 Sep YouGov/The Sun2,02933%'''36%'''8%13%5%5%3%12–17 Sep Lord Ashcroft8,05330%'''35%'''7%19%5%6%5%15–16 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,97734%'''37%'''7%12%6%4%3%12–16 Sep Survation/Bright Blue1,05229%'''34%'''11%18%4%4%5%14–15 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,70331%'''35%'''7%15%6%5%4%12–14 Sep ICM/The Guardian1,00233%'''35%'''10%9%7%6%2%12–14 Sep Lord Ashcroft1,004'''33%''''''33%'''9%14%6%6% '''Tie'''12–14 Sep Populus2,05234%'''35%'''9%13%3%5%1%12 Sep Survation/Mail on Sunday1,09031%'''35%'''8%19%3%4%4%11–12 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times1,90032%'''35%'''7%15%6%6%3%10–11 Sep Populus2,01033%'''37%'''9%13%2%4%4%10–11 Sep YouGov/TheSun2,06831%'''35%'''7%16%5%6%4%9–11 Sep Opinium/The Observer1,96029%'''37%'''7%19%4%5%8%9–10 Sep YouGov/The Sun2,12232%'''38%'''6%14%5%5%6%8–9 Sep YouGov/TheSun2,09930%'''36%'''8%16%5%5%6%6–9 Sep Ipsos MORI1,010'''34%'''33%7%15%6%5%1%7–8 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,72431%'''36%'''8%16%5%4%5%5–7 Sep Lord Ashcroft1,00128%'''35%'''8%18%6%5%7%5–7 Sep Populus2,05834%'''36%'''9%12%4%6%2%4–5 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times1,96133%'''35%'''7%15%4%5%2%3–4 Sep Populus2,02632%'''38%'''8%14%4%4%6%3–4 Sep YouGov/The Sun2,04332%'''36%'''7%16%5%4%4%2–3 Sep YouGov/The Sun2,10333%'''36%'''7%14%5%5%3%1–2 Sep YouGov/The Sun2,06832%'''35%'''8%15%5%4%3%31 Aug–1 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,70434%'''35%'''7%14%5%6%1%29–31 Aug ComRes/Independent1,00128%'''35%'''9%17%6%5%7%29–31 Aug Populus2,01032%'''36%'''9%15%3%5%4%28–29 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times2,01032%'''36%'''7%16%4% 4%4%26–29 Aug Opinium/The Observer1,97430%'''36%'''7%16%4%7%6%27–28 Aug Populus2,006'''35%'''34%8%13%5% 4%1%27–28 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,04633%'''36%'''7%13%5%6%3%26–27 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,12934%'''35%'''7%14%6%5%1%25–26 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,02133%'''37%'''8%13%5% 5%4%22–25 Aug Populus2,06232%'''38%'''8%15%3% 4%6%21–22 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times1,86634%'''36%'''8%14%5% 3%2%20–22 Aug ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday2,05832%'''34%'''8%18%3%5%2%20–21 Aug Populus2,06533%'''39%'''9%11%3% 4%6%20–21 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,02833%'''38%'''8%12% 5%4%5%19–20 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,07034%'''38%'''9%11%4% 4%4%18–19 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,03636%'''37%'''9%12%3% 3%1%17–18 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,71033%'''38%'''8%12%4% 4%5%15–17 Aug Populus2,04932%'''37%'''9%14%3% 5%5%14–15 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times2,01934%'''38%'''7%13%4% 4%4%12–15 Aug Opinium/The Observer1,96328%'''32%'''10%21%4%6%4%13–14 Aug Populus2,01832%'''35%'''9%14%5%7%3%13–14 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,984'''35%''''''35%'''8%12%5%5% '''Tie'''12–13 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,11634%'''36%'''10%12%4%5%2%11–12 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,94235%'''38%'''8%11%4% 3%3%10–11 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,67633%'''37%'''8%12%5% 4%4%9–11 Aug Ipsos MORI1,003'''33%''''''33%'''7%13%7%6% '''Tie'''8–11 Aug Populus2,03133%'''37%'''9%12%3%5%4%8–10 Aug ICM/The Guardian1,00231%'''38%'''12%10%4%5%7%7–8 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times1,94333%'''37%'''8%13%4%4%4%6–7 Aug Populus2,050'''36%'''35%9%11%3%5%1%6–7 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,01633%'''38%'''7%12%4%5%5%5–6 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,94434%'''37%'''9%12%4%4%3%4–5 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,97733%'''38%'''8%12%4% 5%5%3–4 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,61734%'''38%'''6%13%4%5%4%1–3 Aug Lord Ashcroft1,00230%'''33%'''8%18%6%5%3%1–3 Aug Populus2,02135%'''37%'''9%12%3%4%2%31 Jul–1 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times2,08335%'''38%'''7%12%4%4%3%29 Jul–1 Aug Opinium/The Observer1,97932%'''35%'''7%15%5%7%3%30–31 Jul Populus2,02735%'''36%'''8%13%4%4%1%30–31 Jul YouGov/The Sun2,02334%'''38%'''8%13%4%3%4%29–30 Jul YouGov/The Sun2,10035%'''37%'''8%12%4%4%2%28–29 Jul YouGov/The Sun2,00434%'''35%'''8%12%6%5%1%27–28 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,65833%'''39%'''8%12%4%4%6%25–27 Jul ComRes/Independent1,00127%'''33%'''8%17%7%6%6%25–27 Jul Lord Ashcroft1,00032%'''34%'''9%14%6%5%2%25–27 Jul Populus2,02433%'''37%'''9%12%4%5%4%24–25 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times1,74135%'''36%'''8%13%5%3%1%23–24 Jul Populus2,03535%'''37%'''9%9%4%6%2%23–24 Jul YouGov/The Sun2,06535%'''38%'''8%11%4%4%3%22–23 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,89734%'''38%'''8%12%4%4%4%21–22 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,90434%'''37%'''7%14%5%4%3%20–21 Jul YouGov/The Sun2,10734%'''38%'''9%11%4%5%4%18–20 Jul Lord Ashcroft1,00727%'''35%'''7%17%7%7%8%18–20 Jul Populus2,03532%'''37%'''9%13%4%5%5%17–18 Jul YouGov/Sunday 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Ashcroft1,00628%'''33%'''9%17%7%6%5%20–22 Jun Populus2,06232%'''37%'''9%13%3%5%5%19–20 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times2,01632%'''38%'''8%14%5%4%6%18–19 Jun Populus2,03234%'''36%'''8%13%3%6%2%18–19 Jun YouGov/The Sun2,09733%'''37%'''8%15%3%4%4%17–19 Jun Opinium/The Observer1,94631%'''35%'''7%17%5%5%4%17–18 Jun YouGov/The Sun2,06634%'''38%'''7%13%5%3%4%16–17 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,89734%'''37%'''7%13%4%6%3%14–17 Jun Ipsos MORI1,00131%'''34%'''8%14%8%5%3%15–16 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,69632%'''36%'''10%14%5%4%4%13–15 Jun ICM/The Guardian1,00131%'''32%'''10%16%6%5%1%13–15 Jun Lord Ashcroft1,00129%'''35%'''8%15%6%7%6%13–15 Jun Populus2,03633%'''37%'''9%13%4%4%4%12–13 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times2,10633%'''37%'''8%13%5%4%4%11–13 Jun ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror2,03432%'''34%'''7%18%4%5%2%11–12 Jun YouGov/The Sun on Sunday2,33733%'''36%'''8%14%5%4%3%11–12 Jun Populus2,05132%'''35%'''8%15%5%5%3%11–12 Jun YouGov/The Sun2,18332%'''38%'''8%12%5%5%6%10–12 Jun TNS BMRB 1,19529%'''35%'''6%23%7%6%10–11 Jun YouGov/The Sun2,15734%'''36%'''6%14%5% 5%2%9–10 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,97435%'''37%'''8%12%3%5%2%8–9 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,68531%'''37%'''7%15%5%5%6%6–8 Jun Lord Ashcroft1,00328%'''32%'''8%17%7%8%4%6–8 Jun Populus2,03935%'''36%'''9%14%3%4%1%5–6 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times2,13433%'''37%'''7%14%5%4%4%4–6 Jun Populus2,00634%'''35%'''9%14%5%4%1%5 Jun'''2014 Newark by-election'''4–5 Jun YouGov/The Sun2,10731%'''37%'''8%15%5%4%6%3–5 Jun Opinium/The Observer1,95031%'''35%'''6%19%4%5%4%3–4 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,95132%'''37%'''7%13%5%5%5%2–3 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,96232%'''36%'''8%14%5%4%4%1–2 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,74030%'''36%'''8%17%5%4%6%30 May–1 Jun Lord Ashcroft1,00025%'''34%'''6%19%7%8%9%30 May–1 Jun Populus2,06232%'''37%'''10%13%3%5%5%29–30 May YouGov/Sunday Times2,09033%'''36%'''7%15%4%5%3%28–29 May Populus2,01034%'''35%'''9%14%4%4%1%28–29 May YouGov/The Sun2,12331%'''38%'''7%16%4% 5%7%27–28 May YouGov/The Sun2,10932%'''36%'''9%14%5% 5%4%26–27 May YouGov/The Sun2,07932%'''34%'''8%15%5%5%2%23–26 May Populus2,06034%'''36%'''9%14%3%4%2%23–25 May Lord Ashcroft1,00029%'''31%'''8%17%7%10%2%22–26 May'''2014 European Parliament election'''23 May Survation/Mail on Sunday1,01727%'''32%'''9%23%3%6%5%22–23 May YouGov/Sunday Times1,89834%'''35%'''9%13%5%5%1%20–23 May Opinium/The Observer1,96832%'''33%'''7%19%4%5%1%22 May'''2014 United Kingdom local elections'''21–22 May Populus2,04534%'''36%'''9%14%3%4%2%21–22 May YouGov/The Sun1,922'''34%''''''34%'''9%14%5%4% '''Tie'''20–21 May YouGov/The Times, The Sun6,12433%'''36%'''9%13%4%5%3%19–20 May Survation/Daily Mirror1,10628%'''34%'''9%20%3%6%6%19–20 May YouGov/The Sun1,87433%'''35%'''11%13% 3%5%2%18–19 May YouGov/The Sun1,74033%'''37%'''9%11%6%4%4%16–18 May ComRes/Independent1,00830%'''35%'''8%14%5%8%5%16–18 May Lord Ashcroft1,00629%'''35%'''9%14%5%7%6%16–18 May Populus2,026'''35%'''34%8%14%3%6%1%15–16 May YouGov/Sunday Times1,89234%'''37%'''9%13%4%3%3%14–15 May ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror2,04529%'''33%'''8%19%4%7%4%14–15 May YouGov/The Sun2,08334%'''36%'''8%13%4%5%2%14–15 May Populus2,04332%'''36%'''10%13%3%6%4%13–14 May YouGov/The Sun1,96832%'''35%'''10%13%4%5%3%12–13 May YouGov/The Sun1,977'''34%''''''34%'''8%15%3%5% '''Tie'''11–12 May YouGov/The Sun1,68035%'''36%'''9%14%3%5%1%10–12 May Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00331%'''34%'''9%11%8%7%3%9–11 May ICM/The Guardian1,000'''33%'''31%13%15%4%5%2%9–11 May Lord Ashcroft1,001'''34%'''32%9%15%5%6%2%9–11 May Populus2,05635%'''36%'''8%13%3%5%1%9 May Survation/Mail on Sunday1,00528%'''33%'''10%20%3%6%5%8–9 May YouGov/Sunday Times1,90531%'''38%'''9%13%4%5%7%7–8 May Populus2,00632%'''36%'''8%16%4%5%4%7–8 May YouGov/The Sun1,87534%'''35%'''8%13%4%6%1%6–8 May Opinium/The Observer1,99729%'''33%'''9%20%4%5%4%6–7 May YouGov/The Sun1,85834%'''37%'''8%13%3%5%3%5–6 May YouGov/The Sun1,93334%'''35%'''9%14%3%5%1%2–5 May Populus2,03433%'''36%'''8%14%4%5%3%2–3 May Survation/Daily Mirror1,00533%'''34%'''8%18%4%3%1%1–2 May YouGov/Sunday Times1,94533%'''36%'''9%15%4%3%3%30 Apr–1 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Sun2,16234%'''37%'''10%13%2%4%3%13–14 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,54133%'''38%'''9%12%3%5%5%11–13 Apr ComRes/The Independent1,00030%'''36%'''9%12%4%9%6%11–13 Apr ICM/The Guardian1,00032%'''37%'''12%11%2%6%5%11–13 Apr Populus2,01133%'''35%'''11%13%2%6%2%10–11 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times2,03632%'''38%'''8%14%2%6%6%9–10 Apr ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror2,00329%'''35%'''7%20%4%5%6%9–10 Apr Populus2,05134%'''35%'''11%12%2%6%1%9–10 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,11132%'''38%'''8%14%2%5%6%8–10 Apr Opinium/The Observer1,97230%'''36%'''7%18%3%6%6%8–9 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,06133%'''36%'''10%14%2%5%3%7–8 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,14433%'''37%'''10%13%2%4%4%6–7 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,74833%'''36%'''10%14%2%5%3%5–7 Apr Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00231%'''37%'''9%15%3%4%6%4–6 Apr Populus2,03434%'''37%'''9%14%3%4%3%4 Apr Survation/Mail on Sunday1,00129%'''36%'''10%20%2%4%7%3–4 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times1,99834%'''39%'''9%12%2%4%5%2–3 Apr Populus2,06733%'''37%'''10%13%2%5%4%2–3 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,07632%'''38%'''10%13%3%4%6%1–2 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,14832%'''38%'''10%13%2%5%6%31 Mar–1 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,98133%'''37%'''10%12%2%6%4%30–31 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,69634%'''37%'''11%13%2%5%3%28–30 Mar Populus2,00834%'''37%'''10%11%3%5%3%5–30 Mar Populus/Financial Times16,42434%'''37%'''9%12%3%5%3%27–28 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times1,91633%'''40%'''9%11%2%5%7%27–28 Mar Populus2,06635%'''37%'''8%12%3%5%2%25–28 Mar Opinium/The Observer1,93632%'''33%'''10%15%3%7%1%26–27 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,03935%'''36%'''10%11%3%4%1%25–26 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,07035%'''37%'''9%11%2%5%2%24–25 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,95835%'''38%'''10%10%2%5%3%23–24 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,55836%'''38%'''10%10%2%4%2%21–23 Mar ComRes/Independent1,02431%'''36%'''9%11%5%8%5%21–23 Mar Populus2,03934%'''35%'''10%13%2%6%1%20–21 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times2,10336%'''37%'''9%11%2%5%1%20–21 Mar Survation/Mail on Sunday1,00034%'''35%'''9%15%2%5%1%19–20 Mar Populus2,12234%'''38%'''9%12%2%5%4%19–20 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,90434%'''39%'''10%10%2%5%5%18–19 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,08833%'''38%'''11%11%3%4%5%17–18 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,28434%'''38%'''11%11%3%4%4%16–17 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,91932%'''40%'''9%11%3%4%8%14–16 Mar Populus2,05332%'''36%'''10%13%3%6%4%13–14 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times1,94633%'''40%'''8%12%2%4%7%12–13 Mar ComRes/Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror2,00132%'''35%'''9%16%3%5%3%12–13 Mar Populus2,05334%'''35%'''10%13%2%6%1%12–13 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,09833%'''38%'''11%10%2%6%5%11–12 Mar Opinium/The Observer1,97130%'''35%'''10%16%3%6%5%11–12 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,09535%'''37%'''9%13%2%4%2%8–12 Mar Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00032%'''35%'''13%11%5%4%3%10–11 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,04034%'''38%'''10%12%2%4%4%7–11 Mar ICM/The Guardian1,00335%'''38%'''12%9%3%3%3%9–10 Mar YouGov/The Sun3,19532%'''39%'''8%13%3%5%7%7–9 Mar Populus2,05834%'''38%'''9%12%3%4%4%6–7 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times2,02932%'''39%'''10%14%2%3%7%5–6 Mar Populus2,02534%'''37%'''9%12%3%5%3%5–6 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,83331%'''40%'''9%13%3%4%9%4–5 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,86834%'''37%'''10%11%3%5%3%3–4 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,04134%'''38%'''9%13%2%4%4%2–3 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,86832%'''41%'''8%12%1%6%9%28 Feb–2 Mar ComRes/Independent1,00430%'''38%'''10%11%4%7%8%28 Feb–2 Mar Populus2,05534%'''37%'''10%12%3%4%3%27–28 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times2,09833%'''38%'''9%13%2%5%5%25–28 Feb Opinium/The Observer1,94629%'''34%'''10%19%3%5%5%26–27 Feb Populus1,13133%'''38%'''9%13%3%5%5%5–27 Feb Populus/Financial Times14,20333%'''37%'''10%14%3%3%4%26–27 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,86834%'''39%'''8%12%3%4%5%25–26 Feb YouGov/The Sun2,06234%'''40%'''10%11%3%4%6%24–25 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,93633%'''39%'''10%11%3%4%6%23–24 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,77333%'''38%'''10%13%2%5%5%21–23 Feb Populus2,05232%'''37%'''10%15%2%4%5%20–21 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times2,14132%'''39%'''8%12%2%6%7%19–20 Feb Populus2,06632%'''38%'''9%13%3%5%6%19–20 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,75634%'''39%'''9%12%2%4%5%18–19 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,76633%'''37%'''10%12%3%5%4%17–18 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,75833%'''40%'''8%12%3%4%7%16–17 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,64533%'''40%'''9%11%2%5%7%14–16 Feb Populus2,03133%'''38%'''10%13%3%3%5%13–14 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times1,86832%'''39%'''9%12%3%6%7%11–14 Feb Opinium/The Observer1,96928%'''37%'''8%17%2%8%9%13 Feb'''2014 Wythenshawe and Sale East by-election'''12–13 Feb Populus2,01532%'''38%'''9%14%3%4%6%12–13 Feb ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror2,03132%'''37%'''9%15%2%5%5%12–13 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,89633%'''39%'''9%12%2%5%6%11–12 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,82632%'''39%'''8%13%2%6%7%10–11 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,89934%'''39%'''10%11%2%4%5%9–10 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,68533%'''39%'''10%12%2%4%6%7–9 Feb ICM/The Guardian1,00234%'''38%'''10%11%3%5%4%7–9 Feb Populus2,01334%'''36%'''11%12%3%4%2%6–7 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times1,52135%'''39%'''10%10%3%3%4%5–6 Feb Populus2,01533%'''36%'''9%15%2%5%3%5–6 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,91132%'''38%'''10%14%2%4%6%4–5 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,90235%'''39%'''9%10%2%4%4%3–4 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,94233%'''39%'''8%13%3%4%6%2–3 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,74133%'''38%'''11%11%1%6%5%1–3 Feb Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01231%'''38%'''12%10%3%6%7%31 Jan–2 Feb Populus2,04332%'''41%'''11%9%3%4%9%30–31 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times1,88534%'''39%'''8%11%3%5%5%28–31 Jan Opinium/The Observer1,97229%'''36%'''8%17%3%6%7%29–30 Jan Populus2,04432%'''39%'''11%10%3%4%7%29–30 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,94232%'''42%'''8%12%2%4%10%28–29 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,88435%'''38%'''10%11%2%4%3%27–28 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,81434%'''37%'''9%12%3%5%3%26–27 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,38135%'''37%'''9%13%2%5%2%24–26 Jan ComRes/Independent1,00232%'''33%'''9%14%5%7%1%24–26 Jan Populus2,05233%'''40%'''11%8%3%5%7%23–24 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times1,85932%'''39%'''9%13%2%5%7%22–23 Jan Populus2,05132%'''40%'''11%9%3%5%8%22–23 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,84035%'''38%'''8%12%2%5%3%21–22 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,84332%'''40%'''8%12%3%5%8%20–21 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,96134%'''38%'''9%13%3%3%4%19–20 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,68232%'''40%'''11%12%2%3%8%7–20 Jan Lord Ashcroft20,05830%'''38%'''8%16%3%5%8%17–19 Jan Populus2,02732%'''39%'''12%9%3%5%7%16–17 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times1,95733%'''39%'''8%13%2%5%6%15–16 Jan ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent2,02930%'''35%'''8%19%3%5%5%15–16 Jan Populus2,03933%'''40%'''13%9%2%3%7%15–16 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,98132%'''39%'''10%12%2%5%7%14–16 Jan Opinium/The Observer1,93030%'''36%'''8%17%3%6%6%14–15 Jan Survation/Sky News1,00530%'''34%'''12%18%2%4%4%14–15 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,89333%'''39%'''10%12%2%4%6%13–14 Jan YouGov/The Sun2,00034%'''37%'''9%13%2%5%3%11–14 Jan Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,03530%'''39%'''13%11%3%4%9%12–13 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,76233%'''38%'''11%12%2%4%5%10–12 Jan ICM/The Guardian1,00532%'''35%'''14%10%3%6%3%10–11 Jan Populus2,07933%'''38%'''12%9%3%5%5%9–10 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times1,90431%'''40%'''9%14%2%4%9%8–9 Jan Populus2,01233%'''40%'''11%8%3%5%7%8–9 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,88732%'''38%'''9%13%2%6%6%7–8 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,95832%'''38%'''9%13%3%5%6%6–7 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,97232%'''37%'''10%14%3%4%5%5–6 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,72932%'''40%'''9%12%2%5%8%3 Jan Survation/Mail on 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4%6%9–10 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,85234%'''39%'''9%12%2% 4%5%8–9 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,76633%'''38%'''10%13%2% 4%5%7–9 Dec Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01133%'''37%'''9%10% 5%6%4%6–8 Dec ICM/The Guardian1,00132%'''37%'''12%9% 3%6%5%6–8 Dec Populus 2,02733%'''41%'''11%7%3% 5%8%5–6 Dec YouGov/Sunday Times1,80234%'''39%'''10%11%3%3%5%4–5 Dec Populus 2,03834%'''38%'''13%7%3% 5%4%4–5 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,83329%'''41%'''9%14%2%5%12%3–4 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,94334%'''40%'''10%10%3%4%6%2–3 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,93532%'''40%'''9%12%3%4%8%1–2 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,69932%'''38%'''10%12%2%6%6%29 Nov–1 Dec Populus2,01233%'''40%'''10%9% 3%5%8%28–29 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times1,79630%'''38%'''10%15%2%5%8%26–29 Nov Opinium/The Observer1,94128%'''35%'''8%19%4%6%7%27–28 Nov Populus 2,02535%'''38%'''12%7%3% 5%3%27–28 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,81733%'''39%'''8%14%2%4%6%26–27 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,88832%'''39%'''10%13%2%4%7%25–26 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,91932%'''39%'''10%12% 3%4%7%24–25 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,68132%'''40%'''10%12%2% 4%8%22–24 Nov ComRes/Independent1,00232%'''37%'''9%11% 3%8%5%22–24 Nov Populus2,07534%'''39%'''12%7%2% 6%5%21–22 Nov Survation/Daily Star1,00629%'''36%'''10%18%3% 4%7%21–22 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times1,86733%'''40%'''9%11%2%5%7%20–21 Nov Populus2,02833%'''38%'''11%11%2% 5%5%20–21 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,90932%'''39%'''10%12%2%5%7%19–20 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,86532%'''40%'''9%12%3%4%8%18–19 Nov YouGov/The Sun2,10834%'''38%'''10%11%2%5%4%17–18 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,65032%'''39%'''11%12%2%4%7%15–17 Nov Populus2,01032%'''41%'''10%9%2%6%9%14–15 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times1,85133%'''39%'''10%12%2% 4%6%13–15 Nov ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent2,02329%'''35%'''10%17%5%4%6%13–14 Nov Populus2,05131%'''40%'''11%10%3% 5%9%13–14 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,76532%'''40%'''10%13%2% 3%8%12–14 Nov Opinium/The Observer1,94628%'''37%'''9%16%4%6%9%12–13 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,99831%'''39%'''9%13%2%6%8%11–12 Nov YouGov/The Sun2,03232%'''42%'''8%10%3% 5%10%10–11 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,75233%'''40%'''9%11%3% 4%7%9–11 Nov Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01932%'''38%'''8%8%7% 8%6%7–11 Nov TNS BMRB 1,21030%'''38%'''8%12%4%7%8%8–10 Nov ICM/The Guardian1,00430%'''38%'''13%10%3%7%8%8–10 Nov Populus2,05331%'''39%'''11%10%3% 6%8%4–10 Nov Lord Ashcroft8,05330%'''39%'''8%16%3% 5%9%7–8 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times1,87834%'''39%'''10%11%2% 4%5%6–7 Nov Populus2,01932%'''39%'''12%9%3%5%7%6–7 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,80633%'''39%'''10%11%2%5%6%5–6 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,82533%'''40%'''9%12%3%4%7%4–5 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,87634%'''40%'''8%11%2%6%6%3–4 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,74733%'''40%'''9%12%2% 4%7%1–3 Nov Populus2,01434%'''39%'''10%10%3% 4%5%25 Sep–3 Nov Populus14,70134%'''39%'''12%9%3%3%5%31 Oct–1 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times1,88532%'''41%'''8%12%2%5%9%29 Oct–1 Nov Opinium/The Observer1,95731%'''37%'''7%16%3%6%6%30–31 Oct Populus2,01533%'''40%'''11%9%2%5%7%30–31 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,67135%'''39%'''9%10%2% 5%4%29–30 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,86233%'''40%'''8%11%2% 6%7%28–29 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,95633%'''39%'''10%11%2%5%6%27–28 Oct YouGov/The 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Sun1,91431%'''41%'''8%12%2%5%10%29–30 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,71733%'''39%'''11%13%2%3%6%27–29 Sep ComRes/Independent1,00133%'''37%'''11%11%3%5%4%27–29 Sep Populus2,00636%'''39%'''11%7%3%4%3%26–27 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times1,89531%'''42%'''9%13%2%4%11%25–26 Sep Populus2,01534%'''37%'''12%9%2%6%3%25–26 Sep  YouGov/The Sun1,84033%'''40%'''9%11%2%5%7%24–25 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,91932%'''41%'''8%11%3%4%9%23–24 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,90534%'''39%'''10%10%3%4%5%22–23 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,76332%'''40%'''10%12%2%3%8%14 Aug–22 Sep Populus14,61633%'''38%'''12%9%3%5%5%20–22 Sep Populus2,03633%'''39%'''14%9%2%3%6%19–20 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times1,95633%'''37%'''11%11%3%5%4%17–20 Sep Opinium/The Observer1,92929%'''36%'''7%17%4%7%7%18–19 Sep Populus2,04333%'''39%'''11%9%3%5%6%18–19 Sep ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent2,00328%'''36%'''10%17%4%5%8%18–19 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,87834%'''35%'''11%11%3%5%1%17–18 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,853'''36%''''''36%'''10%12%2%4% '''Tie'''16–17 Sep YouGov/The 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Populus2,03432%'''38%'''12%11%3%4%6%15–16 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times1,86632%'''38%'''10%13%3%5%6%14–15 Aug Populus2,05036%'''39%'''10%8%2%5%3%14–15 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,86534%'''39%'''9%11%2%5%5%14–15 Aug ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent2,00128%'''37%'''8%19%3%5%9%13–14 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,91432%'''38%'''11%13%2%4%6%12–13 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,96035%'''38%'''10%11%2%5%3%11–12 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,66033%'''40%'''8%13%2%5%7%10–12 Aug Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00730%'''40%'''10%11%6%3%10%9–11 Aug ICM/The Guardian1,00132%'''35%'''14%10%3%5%3%9–11 Aug Populus2,01433%'''39%'''12%10%2%4%6%8–9 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times1,83433%'''41%'''9%10%3%4%8%7–8 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,73534%'''38%'''9%12%2%5%4%6–8 Aug Opinium/The Observer1,94529%'''36%'''9%17%3%6%7%6–7 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,88431%'''39%'''11%11%4%4%8%5–6 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,97932%'''39%'''10%11%2%5%7%4–5 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,68434%'''38%'''11%12%2%5%4%2–4 Aug Populus2,00633%'''38%'''12%9%3%5%5%2 Aug Survation/Mail on Sunday1,00128%'''36%'''11%18%1%6%8%1–2 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times1,95232%'''38%'''10%13%2%5%6%31 Jul–1 Aug Populus2,02729%'''40%'''11%12%3%5%11%31 Jul–1 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,99534%'''40%'''10%11%3%2%6%30–31 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,86933%'''38%'''10%14%2%3%5%29–30 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,86934%'''40%'''11%10%2%4%6%28–29 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,75133%'''40%'''10%12%2%3%7%26–28 Jul Populus 2,04934%'''39%'''11%8%3%5%5%25–27 Jul ComRes/Independent1,00134%'''37%'''10%12%4%4%3%25–26 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times1,85733%'''39%'''10%11%2%5%6%23–26 Jul Opinium/The Observer1,93528%'''39%'''8%16%3%6%11%24–25 Jul Populus2,00532%'''39%'''11%10%3%5%7%24–25 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,81732%'''38%'''11%11%3%5%6%23–24 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,92635%'''39%'''8%11%3%4%4%22–23 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,96832%'''39%'''11%12%2%4%7%21–22 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,71035%'''38%'''11%10%2%4%3%18–22 Jul TNS BMRB 1,23228%'''38%'''9%16%2%7%10%19–21 Jul Populus 2,04932%'''39%'''12%9%2%6%7%18–19 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times1,87732%'''39%'''10%11%2%5%7%17–18 Jul 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Sun1,94632%'''42%'''9%9%3%4%10%11–12 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,90232%'''43%'''10%9%2%4%11%10–11 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,69131%'''42%'''11%9%2%5%11%9–11 Feb Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01830%'''42%'''7%9%4%8%12%7–11 Feb TNS BMRB 1,19731%'''41%'''10%10%3%5%10%8–10 Feb ICM/The Guardian1,00129%'''41%'''13%9% 2%6%12%7–8 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times1,93032%'''41%'''11%9%2%5%9%6–7 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,91733%'''41%'''11%9%2%4%8%5–7 Feb Opinium/The Observer1,95329%'''39%'''8%14%4%5%10%5–6 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,95531%'''42%'''12%9%1%4%11%4–5 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,96232%'''42%'''11%8%2%5%10%3–4 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,71230%'''45%'''11%9%2%3%15%31 Jan–4 Feb TNS BMRB 1,19928%'''41%'''10%11%3%7%13%31 Jan–1 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times2,03034%'''41%'''12%8%1%4%7%30–31 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,91432%'''44%'''10%8%2%3%12%29–30 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,93933%'''42%'''10%7%2%5%9%28–29 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,97133%'''42%'''11%8%2%4%9%27–28 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,72735%'''41%'''10%9%2%3%6%25–27 Jan ComRes/Independent1,00232%'''39%'''10%10%5%4%7%25 Jan Survation/Mail on Sunday1,00531%'''38%'''10%14%2%5%7%24–25 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times1,94335%'''41%'''12%7%1%4%6%24–25 Jan Angus Reid Public Opinion2,00430%'''39%'''10%12%3%6%9%23–25 Jan ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent2,03533%'''39%'''11%10%2%5%6%23–24 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,84333%'''43%'''10%9%2%3%10%22–24 Jan Opinium/The Observer1,94928%'''41%'''8%14%3%6%13%22–24 Jan TNS BMRB 1,23731%'''41%'''8%12%3%6%10%22–23 Jan YouGov/The Sun2,04531%'''43%'''11%10%2%3%12%21–22 Jan YouGov/The Sun2,11931%'''41%'''12%10%2%3%10%20–21 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,67533%'''42%'''10%10%2%2%9%18–20 Jan ICM/The Guardian1,00133%'''38%'''15%6%2%5%5%17–18 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times1,91233%'''42%'''11%7%2%5%9%16–17 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,88734%'''44%'''9%8%2%3%10%15–16 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,88033%'''42%'''12%8%2%3%9%14–15 Jan YouGov/The Sun2,00732%'''44%'''10%9%2%3%12%13–14 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,71431%'''44%'''11%9%2%3%13%12–14 Jan Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01530%'''43%'''8%9%3%8%13%11–14 Jan TNS BMRB 1,19831%'''37%'''9%13%3%7%6%10–11 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times1,99531%'''44%'''11%8%2%4%13%10–11 Jan Angus Reid Public Opinion2,01527%'''42%'''10%11%3%6%15%8–11 Jan Opinium/The Observer1,96431%'''41%'''7%12%2%9%10%9–10 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,97131%'''42%'''11%10%2%3%11%8–9 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,98033%'''43%'''10%10%2%2%10%7–8 Jan YouGov/The Sun2,05032%'''44%'''10%9%2%3%12%6–7 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,75032%'''41%'''11%9%2%5%9%4–7 Jan TNS BMRB 1,22129%'''39%'''10%12%3%7%10%5 Jan Survation/Mail on Sunday79029%'''38%'''11%16%3%4%9%3–4 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,98832%'''43%'''10%9%2%4%11%2–3 Jan YouGov/The Sun2,00532%'''43%'''10%9%2%4%11%1–2 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,76031%'''43%'''11%9%2%4%12%===2012===Date(s)conductedPolling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLib DemUKIPGreenOthersLead21–27 Dec Opinium/The Observer1,96529%'''39%'''8%15%4%5%10%19–23 Dec ICM/The Guardian1,00232%'''40%'''13%7%3%5%8%20–21 Dec YouGov/Sunday Times1,66133%'''43%'''10%8%1%5%10%19–20 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,92333%'''41%'''11%10%2%4%8%18–19 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,55630%'''43%'''11%10%2%4%13%17–18 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,81632%'''43%'''9%10%2%4%11%16–17 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,63331%'''43%'''9%11%2%3%12%13–17 Dec TNS BMRB 1,19030%'''43%'''7%12%4%4%13%15–16 Dec ComRes/The Independent on Sunday; The Sunday Mirror2,00228%'''39%'''9%14%4%6%11%14–16 Dec Populus/The Times1,51228%'''41%'''10%11%3%7%13%13–14 Dec YouGov/The Sunday Times1,79433%'''45%'''9%8%2%3%12%12–13 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,73633%'''43%'''9%10%2%4%10%11–13 Dec Opinium/The Observer1,96829%'''39%'''8%14%4%6%10%11–12 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,80531%'''44%'''12%9%2%3%13%10–11 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,89731%'''43%'''10%9%2%4%12%9–10 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,72933%'''42%'''10%8%2%5%9%8–10 Dec Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,02335%'''44%'''9%7%3%2%9%6–10 Dec TNS BMRB 1,17126%'''41%'''8%16%3%6%15%6–7 Dec YouGov/The Sunday Times1,77933%'''42%'''10%9%2%4%9%5–6 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,89932%'''42%'''10%9%2%6%10%4–5 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,78432%'''44%'''9%10%2%3%12%4 Dec Angus Reid Public Opinion2,00528%'''42%'''10%11%3%6%14%3–4 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,74330%'''44%'''11%10%1%4%14%2–3 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,58431%'''43%'''11%10%2%3%12%29 Nov–3 Dec TNS BMRB 1,17228%'''40%'''10%12%2%8%12%30 Nov–1 Dec YouGov/The Sunday Times1,77331%'''44%'''10%10%2%4%13%29 Nov'''2012 Rotherham by-election'''29 Nov'''2012 Croydon North by-election'''29 Nov'''2012 Middlesbrough by-election'''28–29 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,85432%'''42%'''10%10%2%5%10%27–29 Nov Opinium1,94929%'''38%'''9%13%3%8%9%27–28 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,84232%'''44%'''11%8%2%4%12%26–27 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,91031%'''43%'''9%11%2%5%12%25–26 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,62434%'''43%'''9%8%1%5%9%22–26 Nov TNS BMRB 1,21231%'''41%'''8%10%3%7%10%22–23 Nov YouGov/The Sunday Times1,81233%'''44%'''9%8%2%4%11%21–22 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,80831%'''43%'''10%9%2%5%12%20–21 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,69133%'''41%'''9%10%3%4%8%19–20 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,62733%'''42%'''10%8%2%5%9%18–19 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,55232%'''42%'''9%9%2%6%10%16–18 Nov ICM/The Guardian1,00132%'''40%'''13%7%2%6%8%15–16 Nov YouGov/The Sunday Times1,89333%'''44%'''9%8%2%4%11%14–16 Nov TNS BMRB 1,15631%'''39%'''11%7%4%8%8%15 Nov'''2012 Corby by-election'''15 Nov'''2012 Cardiff South and Penarth by-election'''15 Nov'''2012 Manchester Central by-election'''15 Nov'''2012 England and Wales police and crime commissioner elections'''14–15 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,74633%'''43%'''8%9%2%4%10%13–14 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,86435%'''42%'''8%7%3%5%7%13 Nov Opinium1,95732%'''39%'''8%10%3%8%7%12–13 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,82834%'''44%'''9%7%2%4%10%10–13 Nov Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01432%'''46%'''9%3%4%6%14%11–12 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,58335%'''39%'''10%8%2%6%4%8–12 Nov TNS BMRB 1,16131%'''41%'''9%9%3%7%10%8–9 Nov YouGov/The Sunday Times1,64232%'''44%'''8%8%2%5%12%7–8 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,85933%'''44%'''9%7%2%5%11%6–7 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,87334%'''45%'''8%6%3%4%11%5–6 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,81635%'''42%'''9%7%2%5%7%4–5 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,60835%'''44%'''8%7%2%4%9%1–5 Nov TNS BMRB 1,19431%'''42%'''9%8%3%7%11%1–2 Nov YouGov/The Sunday Times1,85135%'''42%'''9%7%2%5%7%31 Oct–1 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,74333%'''44%'''9%7%3%4%11%31 Oct–1 Nov Opinium1,96630%'''41%'''9%10%3%7%11%30–31 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,82433%'''44%'''9%8%2%4%11%29–30 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,93632%'''44%'''9%8%2%5%12%28–29 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,68133%'''43%'''9%8%2%5%10%25–29 Oct TNS BMRB 1,16431%'''42%'''11%8%2%6%11%25–26 Oct YouGov/The Sunday Times1,85835%'''42%'''9%7%3%3%7%24–25 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,78533%'''44%'''10%6%2%4%11%23–24 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,81833%'''43%'''9%8%2%5%10%20–24 Oct Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00533%'''43%'''9%6%3%6%10%22–23 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,63734%'''42%'''9%8%2%5%8%21–22 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,66632%'''45%'''8%8%3%4%13%19–22 Oct ICM/The Guardian1,00032%'''43%'''11%5%2%7%11%18–22 Oct TNS BMRB 1,15430%'''44%'''8%7%3%8%14%18–19 Oct YouGov/The Sunday Times1,73432%'''43%'''9%9%2%5%11%17–18 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,83034%'''42%'''10%9%2%4%8%16–18 Oct Opinium195131%'''40%'''9%10%4%6%9%16–17 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,74933%'''42%'''9%7%3%6%9%15–16 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,76634%'''43%'''9%7%2%5%9%14–15 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,70434%'''43%'''9%7%3%5%9%11–12 Oct Angus Reid Public Opinion2,00931%'''43%'''8%8%3%7%12%11–15 Oct TNS BMRB1,19629%'''42%'''7%10%4%8%13%11–12 Oct YouGov/The Sunday Times1,90233%'''43%'''10%6%2%5%10%10–11 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,76135%'''42%'''8%7%2%6%7%9–10 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,91234%'''41%'''8%10%2%5%7%8–9 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,89933%'''45%'''9%6%3%5%12%7–8 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,69734%'''44%'''8%7%2%5%10%4–5 Oct YouGov/The Sunday Times1,78231%'''45%'''8%8%3%4%14%3–4 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,74532%'''43%'''10%8%2%5%11%2–4 Oct Opinium1,96530%'''41%'''9%11%4%5%11%2–3 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,64131%'''45%'''10%7%2%5%14%1–2 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,72634%'''42%'''9%8%2%5%8%30 Sep–1 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,71034%'''43%'''9%7%7%9%27–28 Sep YouGov/The Sunday Times1,67135%'''40%'''10%7%3%6%5%26–27 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,89131%'''43%'''11%8%4%4%12%25–26 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,76032%'''41%'''9%9%3%5%9%25 Sep Opinium1,96929%'''39%'''10%10%4%8%10%24–25 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,76431%'''44%'''9%9%3%4%13%23–24 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,73932%'''43%'''9%7%3%6%11%20–21 Sep YouGov/The Sunday Times1,60834%'''43%'''8%8%2%5%9%19–21 Sep TNS BMRB 1,14028%'''44%'''8%7%5%8%16%18–21 Sep Opinium1,96430%'''42%'''8%10%4%6%12%19–20 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,90635%'''41%'''9%7%3%5%6%18–19 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,71033%'''45%'''10%7%2%4%12%17–18 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,74434%'''43%'''8%8%3%4%9%16–17 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,73133%'''45%'''10%5%2%5%12%15–17 Sep Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00630%'''41%'''13%4%8%4%11%13–14 Sep YouGov/The Sunday Times1,67134%'''44%'''9%7%3%4%10%12–13 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,59434%'''43%'''8%7%3%5%9%11–12 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,70333%'''42%'''11%7%1%6%9%10–12 Sep Opinium1,96132%'''40%'''10%9%3%6%8%10–11 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,68231%'''44%'''9%8%3%5%13%9–10 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,87131%'''42%'''10%8%2%7%11%6–7 Sep YouGov/The Sunday Times1,86033%'''43%'''10%7%2%5%10%5–6 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,31133%'''45%'''8%6%3%4%12%4–5 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,47433%'''45%'''8%7%2%6%12%3–4 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,69834%'''40%'''10%7%3%6%6%2–3 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,71633%'''44%'''8%7%2%6%11%30–31 Aug Opinium1,94731%'''42%'''8%9%3%7%11%30–31 Aug YouGov/The Sunday Times1,73935%'''41%'''9%7%2%5%6%29–30 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,65333%'''42%'''10%8%2%6%9%28–29 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,76332%'''44%'''9%6%3%7%12%27–28 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,69532%'''44%'''10%8%3%5%12%24–26 Aug ICM/The Guardian1,00634%'''39%'''15%4%2%7%5%22–23 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,68432%'''44%'''10%7%3%5%12%21–22 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,67433%'''42%'''10%6%2%6%9%20–21 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,74334%'''44%'''8%8%2%4%10%19–20 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,72534%'''44%'''8%7%3%4%10%16–17 Aug YouGov/The Sunday Times1,68732%'''43%'''10%7%2%6%11%15–16 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,72035%'''44%'''8%6%2%6%9%14–15 Aug Angus Reid Public Opinion2,01230%'''41%'''11%9%3%6%11%14–15 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,71134%'''43%'''10%6%2%5%9%13–14 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,75834%'''44%'''10%7%1%4%10%12–13 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,74234%'''42%'''9%6%3%5%8%11–13 Aug Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00732%'''42%'''11%4%4%7%10%9–10 Aug YouGov/The Sunday Times1,70434%'''42%'''8%8%2%5%8%8–9 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,75133%'''42%'''9%9%3%5%9%7–9 Aug Opinium1,96031%'''40%'''10%10%3%6%9%7–8 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,71533%'''42%'''11%6%2%6%9%6–7 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,73333%'''44%'''9%8%2%5%11%5–6 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,73834%'''44%'''10%6%2%4%10%2–3 Aug YouGov/The Sunday Times1,78732%'''44%'''10%8%2%4%12%1–2 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,65433%'''44%'''8%9%2%3%11%31 Jul-1 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,74432%'''43%'''10%8%2%5%11%30–31 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,70434%'''42%'''10%6%2%5%8%29–30 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,73633%'''44%'''9%7%2%5%11%26–27 Jul YouGov/The Sunday Times1,75133%'''42%'''9%8%3%5%9%25–26 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,70233%'''42%'''9%7%3%5%9%24–25 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,76633%'''44%'''9%7%2%6%11%23–24 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,74533%'''44%'''9%7%3%4%11%22–23 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,73033%'''43%'''9%8%1%6%10%19–20 Jul YouGov/The Sunday Times1,61734%'''43%'''11%7%3%3%9%18–19 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,65834%'''42%'''9%7%2%4%8%17–18 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,77433%'''43%'''8%7%2%7%10%16–17 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,69034%'''43%'''8%7%2%5%9%15–16 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,72433%'''44%'''9%8%2%5%11%14–16 Jul Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00631%'''44%'''12%5%3%5%13%13–16 Jul Opinium1,95132%'''41%'''9%8%4%6%9%12–13 Jul YouGov/The Sunday Times1,75234%'''43%'''9%7%3%5%9%11–12 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,75934%'''42%'''9%7%3%5%8%10–11 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,69635%'''42%'''9%8%2%5%7%9–10 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,69733%'''43%'''11%6%3%4%10%8–9 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,72135%'''44%'''7%6%3%5%9%5–6 Jul YouGov/The Sunday Times1,71232%'''43%'''8%8%3%5%11%4–5 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,76235%'''43%'''8%8%2%5%8%3–5 Jul Opinium1,95630%'''40%'''9%9%4%8%10%3–4 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,76133%'''44%'''8%7%3%5%11%2–3 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,73035%'''42%'''10%7%2%4%7%1–2 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,74834%'''44%'''8%8%2%5%10%28–29 Jun YouGov/The Sunday Times1,76034%'''43%'''9%6%2%5%9%27–28 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,76432%'''43%'''10%7%3%5%11%26–28 Jun Opinium1,95931%'''42%'''8%9%4%6%11%26–27 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,75131%'''45%'''9%7%2%5%14%25–26 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,61434%'''42%'''11%7%2%5%8%24–25 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,69732%'''43%'''11%7%1%5%11%22–24 Jun ICM/The Guardian1,00234%'''39%'''14%3%3%7%5%21–22 Jun YouGov/The Sunday Times1,73434%'''43%'''9%8%2%5%9%20–21 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,64233%'''43%'''8%8%2%5%10%19–20 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,75234%'''41%'''10%8%3%5%7%18–19 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,72734%'''44%'''7%6%2%6%10%17–18 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,71633%'''44%'''7%8%2%6%11%15–17 Jun Populus/The Times1,50333%'''41%'''9%5%5%7%8%14–15 Jun YouGov/The Sunday Times1,76132%'''44%'''9%8%3%5%12%13–15 Jun ComRes/Independent on Sunday; Sunday Mirror2,01432%'''42%'''9%8%3%6%10%13–14 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,71131%'''43%'''9%8%3%6%12%12–13 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,67531%'''43%'''9%9%2%6%12%11–12 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,69933%'''43%'''8%8%3%5%10%10–11 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,76331%'''45%'''9%9%3%6%14%9–11 Jun Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01631%'''40%'''10%6%5%8%9%8–11 Jun Opinium1,96231%'''42%'''9%8%4%6%11%7–8 Jun YouGov/The Sunday Times1,66734%'''42%'''7%9%3%5%8%6–7 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,82734%'''43%'''8%6%3%6%9%5–6 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,76634%'''43%'''8%7%3%5%9%31 May–1 Jun YouGov/The Sunday Times1,54632%'''42%'''8%7%4%5%10%30–31 May YouGov/The Sun1,69431%'''45%'''9%8%3%5%14%29–30 May Angus Reid Public Opinion2,00529%'''45%'''9%8%3%6%16%29–30 May YouGov/The Sun1,67032%'''44%'''9%7%3%6%12%28–29 May YouGov/The Sun1,67032%'''45%'''8%8%2%5%13%27–28 May YouGov/The Sun1,74333%'''44%'''8%7%3%5%11%25–28 May ComRes/The Independent1,00134%'''42%'''11%4%3%9%8%24–25 May YouGov/The Sunday Times1,64031%'''43%'''8%8%3%6%12%23–24 May YouGov/The Sun1,68134%'''42%'''8%7%4%5%8%22–23 May YouGov/The Sun1,68232%'''42%'''9%9%3%5%10%21–22 May YouGov/The Sun1,72732%'''43%'''8%9%3%5%11%20–21 May YouGov/The Sun1,70532%'''44%'''7%8%3%5%12%18–20 May Populus/The Times1,50033%'''41%'''10%5%3%10%8%18–20 May ICM/The Guardian1,00236%'''41%'''11%4%3%6%5%17–18 May YouGov/The Sunday Times1,68332%'''43%'''8%9%2%6%11%16–17 May ComRes/Independent on Sunday; Sunday Mirror2,03832%'''41%'''11%7%3%6%9%16–17 May YouGov/The Sun1,75731%'''44%'''7%9%3%6%13%15–17 May Opinium1,95730%'''41%'''9%10%3%7%11%15–16 May YouGov/The Sun1,75131%'''45%'''9%8%2%5%14%14–15 May YouGov/The Sun1,69232%'''43%'''8%9%3%5%11%13–14 May YouGov/The Sun1,72031%'''45%'''7%8%3%5%14%12–14 May Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00633%'''43%'''9%6%3%7%10%10–11 May YouGov/The Sunday Times1,66331%'''43%'''10%8%2%7%12%9–10 May YouGov/The Sun1,82534%'''44%'''7%7%3%5%10%8–9 May YouGov/The Sun1,70831%'''44%'''9%8%3%6%13%7–8 May YouGov/The Sun1,65831%'''44%'''8%8%3%6%13%5–7 May TNS-BMRB 1,20730%'''43%'''10%4%13%13%3–4 May YouGov/The Sunday Times1,79831%'''43%'''9%8%3%6%12%3 May'''2012 United Kingdom local elections'''2–3 May YouGov/The Sun1,74532%'''41%'''9%9%4%5%9%1–2 May YouGov/The Sun1,74933%'''43%'''8%8%3%5%10%30 Apr–1 May YouGov/The Sun1,74432%'''41%'''9%8%4%6%9%29–30 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,76335%'''42%'''8%7%2%6%7%27–30 Apr Opinium1,76932%'''39%'''8%10%4%7%7%26–27 Apr YouGov/The Sunday Times1,71729%'''40%'''11%10%3%7%11%25–27 Apr ComRes/The Independent2,04834%'''39%'''10%9%2%6%5%25–26 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,71731%'''43%'''9%9%2%7%12%24–25 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,81732%'''43%'''9%8%3%5%11%23–24 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,78732%'''43%'''8%8%3%5%11%22–23 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,65132%'''45%'''8%7%3%5%13%21–23 Apr Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00235%'''38%'''12%4%4%7%3%20–23 Apr Opinium2,23331%'''38%'''11%8%4%8%7%20–22 Apr ICM/The Guardian1,00033%'''41%'''15%3%2%7%8%19–20 Apr YouGov/The Sunday Times1,71533%'''41%'''11%8%2%5%8%18–19 Apr ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror2,04834%'''40%'''11%6%3%5%6%18–19 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,72232%'''45%'''8%7%3%6%13%17–18 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,74532%'''41%'''10%8%2%6%9%16–17 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,79932%'''41%'''8%9%3%7%9%15–16 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,78332%'''43%'''8%9%2%6%11%13–16 Apr Opinium1,95732%'''37%'''9%10%4%8%5%13–15 Apr Populus/The Times1,00333%'''42%'''11%4%3%9%9%12–13 Apr Angus Reid Public Opinion2,01029%'''41%'''11%8%3%8%12%12–13 Apr YouGov/The Sunday Times1,65033%'''39%'''10%7%2%8%6%11–12 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,68635%'''41%'''9%7%3%6%6%11 Apr TNS-BMRB TBC32%'''42%'''10%9%7%10%10–11 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,72735%'''41%'''8%6%3%7%6%9–10 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,66136%'''40%'''9%6%2%7%4%4–5 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,74433%'''42%'''8%7%3%7%9%3–4 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,74232%'''42%'''9%8%3%6%10%2–3 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,74434%'''42%'''8%6%2%7%8%1–2 Apr YouGov/The Sun1,73233%'''43%'''8%6%3%7%10%30–31 Mar YouGov/The Sunday Times1,56733%'''42%'''8%7%3%7%9%29 Mar'''2012 Bradford West by-election'''28–29 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,70134%'''44%'''8%5%2%7%10%27–28 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,80734%'''44%'''10%6%2%5%10%26–27 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,68233%'''43%'''9%7%2%6%10%25–26 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,73435%'''42%'''9%6%3%5%7%23–26 Mar ComRes/The Independent1,01033%'''43%'''11%3%10%10%23–25 Mar Populus/The 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Sun2,66737%'''43%'''9%4%2%5%6%2–3 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times2,57937%'''42%'''9%4%2%6%5%1–2 Jun YouGov/The Sun2,93536%'''42%'''9%5%2%4%6%31 May–1 Jun YouGov/The Sun2,65739%'''41%'''9%5%2%5%2%30–31 May YouGov/The Sun2,84537%'''42%'''9%5%2%7%5%27–29 May ComRes/The Independent607'''37%''''''37%'''12%4%3%7%'''Tie'''26–27 May YouGov/Sunday Times2,72337%'''43%'''9%5%2%5%6%25–26 May YouGov/The Sun2,75637%'''43%'''8%5%2%5%6%24–25 May YouGov/The Sun2,79537%'''41%'''10%4%2%6%4%23–24 May YouGov/The Sun2,44238%'''42%'''9%4%2%5%4%20–24 May Ipsos MORI/Reuters1,00835%'''42%'''10%2%6%6%7%22–23 May YouGov/The Sun2,82338%'''42%'''10%4%2%4%4%19–20 May YouGov/Sunday Times2,69137%'''42%'''8%4%3%5%5%18–19 May YouGov/The Sun2,25638%'''40%'''10%5%2%5%2%17–18 May YouGov/The Sun2,06436%'''42%'''9%5%2%5%6%16–17 May YouGov/The Sun2,51539%'''41%'''9%4%2%5%2%15–16 May YouGov/The Sun2,60138%'''41%'''10%3%2%7%3%12–13 May YouGov/The Sunday Times2,28636%'''41%'''9%4%3%6%5%11–12 May ComRes/Independent on Sunday & Sunday Mirror1,46038%'''39%'''11%4%3%6%1%9–10 May YouGov/The Sun2,34138%'''40%'''9%6%2%4%2%8–9 May YouGov/The Sun2,53038%'''42%'''8%4%2%7%4%6–9 May Opinium1,96435%'''38%'''9%7%4%8%3%6–8 May Populus/The Times1,50437%'''39%'''11%2%3%9%2%5–6 May YouGov/Sunday Times2,05636%'''41%'''10%5%2%5%5%5 May'''2011 Leicester South by-election'''5 May'''2011 National Assembly for Wales election'''5 May'''2011 Scottish Parliament election'''5 May'''2011 United Kingdom local elections'''5 May'''2011 Alternative Vote referendum'''4–5 May YouGov/The Sun2,08737%'''39%'''10%4%2%6%2%3–4 May YouGov/The Sun5,72536%'''40%'''11%6%2%6%4%2–3 May YouGov/The Sun2,36537%'''42%'''10%5%2%5%5%28 Apr–1 May ComRes/Independent60634%'''37%'''15%3%5%6%3%27–28 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,07036%'''41%'''12%4%2%4%5%26–27 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,66636%'''42%'''10%5%2%5%6%25–26 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,61736%'''41%'''10%6%2%6%5%20–21 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,62936%'''42%'''10%6%2%4%6%19–20 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,34636%'''43%'''9%4%3%4%7%18–19 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,43136%'''43%'''9%4%2%6%7%17–18 Apr YouGov/The Sun3,63736%'''42%'''9%5%2%5%6%15–17 Apr Ipsos MORI/Reuters1,000'''40%''''''40%'''9%3%3%5%'''Tie'''14–15 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times2,73537%'''41%'''9%5%2%5%4%13–15 Apr ComRes/Independent on Sunday & Sunday Mirror1,53335%'''39%'''10%6%4%4%4%13–14 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,55536%'''42%'''10%5%2%5%6%12–13 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,81335%'''44%'''10%4%2%6%9%11–12 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,25837%'''42%'''9%5%2%4%5%10–11 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,64936%'''42%'''10%5%2%6%6%8–11 Apr Angus Reid Public Opinion2,02331%'''42%'''11%6%3%7%11%8–10 Apr Populus/The Times1,50936%'''40%'''11%4%3%8%4%7–8 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times2,20636%'''43%'''9%4%2%6%7%6–7 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,19935%'''44%'''10%4%2%5%9%5–6 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,03436%'''42%'''10%5%2%6%6%4–5 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,53037%'''42%'''9%5%2%5%5%3–4 Apr YouGov/The Sun2,48437%'''42%'''9%4%3%5%5%31 Mar–1 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times2,22636%'''42%'''11%5%2%5%6%30–31 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,17535%'''42%'''10%5%2%6%7%29–30 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,20235%'''45%'''9%5%2%5%10%28–29 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,19836%'''42%'''10%5%2%5%6%27–28 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,39136%'''44%'''9%4%1%6%8%25–27 Mar ComRes/The Independent1,00035%'''41%'''13%4%3%4%6%24–25 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times2,21438%'''41%'''11%4%2%4%3%23–24 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,45637%'''41%'''11%4%2%5%4%23–24 Mar ICM/The Guardian1,014'''37%'''36%16%2%2%7%1%22–23 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,48536%'''42%'''10%5%2%4%6%21–22 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,02635%'''42%'''9%5%2%6%7%18–21 Mar Angus Reid Public Opinion2,02332%'''41%'''10%8%10%9%17–18 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times2,68237%'''43%'''9%5%2%5%6%16–17 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,29535%'''43%'''10%5%2%4%8%15–16 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,66635%'''43%'''10%5%2%5%8%14–15 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,59535%'''45%'''9%5%1%4%10%13–14 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,63435%'''44%'''9%5%2%4%9%11–13 Mar Ipsos MORI/Reuters1,00037%'''41%'''10%3%3%6%4%10–11 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times2,06733%'''44%'''10%7%2%5%11%9–10 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,19534%'''45%'''9%6%2%5%11%8–9 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,43636%'''42%'''9%6%1%5%6%7–8 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,34636%'''44%'''10%5%2%5%8%6–7 Mar YouGov/The Sun1,61436%'''42%'''9%6%2%5%6%4–6 Mar Populus/The Times1,51135%'''41%'''11%5%4%7%6%3–4 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times2,41335%'''43%'''10%4%2%5%8%3–4 Mar Angus Reid Public Opinion2,00733%'''41%'''10%6%10%8%3 Mar'''2011 Barnsley Central by-election'''1–2 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,45836%'''41%'''11%5%2%5%5%28 Feb–1 Mar YouGov/The Sun2,12634%'''43%'''11%5%2%5%9%27–28 Feb YouGov/The Sun2,54936%'''43%'''10%3%2%6%7%25–27 Feb ComRes/The Independent1,00735%'''39%'''12%3%5%6%4%24–25 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times2,32536%'''44%'''10%3%2%5%8%23–24 Feb YouGov/The SunTBC38%'''42%'''10%10%4%22–23 Feb YouGov/The Sun2,48736%'''44%'''11%3%2%4%8%21–22 Feb YouGov/The Sun2,37237%'''43%'''9%4%2%5%6%20–21 Feb YouGov/The Sun2,63036%'''42%'''11%11%6%21–23 Feb ICM/The Guardian1,00035%'''38%'''18%2%1%6%3%18–20 Feb Ipsos MORI/Reuters1,00233%'''43%'''13%3%3%5%10%17–18 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times2,46437%'''41%'''10%3%2%6%4%16–17 Feb YouGov/The Sun2,64336%'''42%'''10%4%2%5%6%15–16 Feb YouGov/The SunTBC35%'''45%'''10%10%10%14–15 Feb YouGov/The Sun2,50237%'''44%'''10%4%2%4%7%13–14 Feb YouGov/The Sun2,73636%'''44%'''10%4%2%4%8%10–11 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times2,41935%'''45%'''9%4%2%5%10%9–10 Feb YouGov/The  Sun2,47435%'''44%'''10%4%2%6%9%9–10 Feb ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror2,00936%'''42%'''11%5%2%4%6%8–10 Feb Angus Reid Public Opinion2,01934%'''40%'''11%6%9%6%8–9 Feb YouGov/The Sun2,33936%'''43%'''10%4%1%6%7%7–8 Feb YouGov/The Sun2,48335%'''43%'''10%5%2%4%8%6–7 Feb YouGov/The Sun2,27837%'''43%'''9%4%3%3%6%4–6 Feb Populus/The Times1,51036%'''39%'''11%3%4%7%3%3–4 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times2,28336%'''42%'''10%5%3%3%6%2–3 Feb YouGov/The Sunday Times2,05137%'''44%'''9%3%2%5%7%1–2 Feb YouGov/The Sun2,40936%'''44%'''9%4%2%4%8%31 Jan–1 Feb YouGov/The Sun1,92239%'''44%'''8%4%1%5%5%30–31 Jan YouGov/The Sun2,03240%'''42%'''8%4%1%6%2%28–30 Jan ComRes/The Independent1,00234%'''43%'''10%2%4%7%9%27–28 Jan Angus Reid Public Opinion/Sunday Express2,32332%'''43%'''11%4%10%11%27–28 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times2,23439%'''43%'''8%4%1%5%4%26–27 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,83538%'''44%'''8%4%2%4%6%25–26 Jan YouGov/The Sun2,13939%'''41%'''10%5%2%4%2%25–26 Jan Angus Reid Public Opinion/PoliticalBetting.com2,01033%'''41%'''12%6%9%8%24–25 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,81637%'''43%'''10%4%2%4%6%23–24 Jan YouGov/The Sun2,00337%'''42%'''11%4%2%5%5%21–24 Jan Ipsos MORI/Reuters1,16233%'''43%'''13%4%3%4%10%21–23 Jan ICM/The Guardian1,00035%'''39%'''15%2%3%5%4%20–21 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times1,69939%'''43%'''9%5%2%3%4%19–20 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,86036%'''43%'''10%5%2%4%7%18–19 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,99337%'''42%'''9%5%2%8%5%17–18 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,88439%'''44%'''8%3%2%4%5%16–17 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,97737%'''42%'''9%5%2%4%5%13–14 Jan YouGov/The Sunday Times1,86537%'''43%'''9%4%3%4%6%13 Jan'''2011 Oldham East and Saddleworth by-election'''12–13 Jan ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent on Sunday2,00636%'''40%'''10%5%3%6%4%12–13 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,884'''41%''''''41%'''8%4%2%5%'''Tie'''11–12 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,81236%'''43%'''9%5%2%4%7%10–11 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,85740%'''41%'''7%5%2%5%1%8–10 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times2,28340%'''43%'''8%4%2%3%3%7–9 Jan ComRes/The Independent1,00034%'''42%'''12%2%5%5%8%6–7 Jan Angus Reid Public Opinion2,01035%'''40%'''12%5%2%7%5%6–7 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times1,79738%'''41%'''10%4%2%4%3%5–6 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,86239%'''43%'''7%4%2%4%4%4–5 Jan YouGov/The SunTBC40%'''41%'''10%7%1%3–4 Jan YouGov/The Sun1,87640%'''42%'''8%4%2%4%2%===2010===''Note: some polls in 2010 did not give an individual figure for the UK Independence Party or the Greens. In these cases, the percentage intending to vote Green and/or UKIP is included with the 'others'. ''Date(s)conductedPolling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLib DemUKIPGreenOthersLead22–23 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,63539%'''41%'''9%5%2%5%2%21–22 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,69541%'''42%'''8%3%2%5%1%20–21 Dec YouGov/The Sun2,03240%'''42%'''9%4%2%3%2%19–20 Dec YouGov/The Sun2,03940%'''43%'''8%3%2%4%3%17–20 Dec Angus Reid Public Opinion2,00335%'''41%'''9%5%3%7%6%16–19 Dec ICM/The Guardian73637%'''39%'''13%2%2%7%2%17 DecOpinium -'''37%''''''37%'''12%14%'''Tie'''16–17 Dec YouGov/Sunday Times1,96639%'''42%'''9%4%2%4%3%15–16 Dec ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror2,01737%'''39%'''11%5%2%6%2%15–16 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,922'''41%''''''41%'''9%5%1%4%'''Tie'''14–15 Dec YouGov/The Sun2,022'''42%'''40%8%3%2%4%2%13–14 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,81039%'''42%'''9%4%1%4%3%12–13 Dec YouGov/The Sun2,09241%'''42%'''9%4%2%2%1%10–12 Dec Ipsos MORI/Reuters1,00438%'''39%'''11%4%4%6%1%10 DecOpinium -'''37%'''36%12%15%1%9–10 Dec YouGov/Sunday Times1,93740%'''42%'''9%3%1%6%2%8–9 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,982'''41%'''39%11%3%2%4%2%8 DecOpinium -'''38%'''37%11%14%1%7–8 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,966'''41%''''''41%'''8%3%2%4%'''Tie'''6–7 Dec YouGov/The Sun2,109'''42%'''39%9%4%2%4%3%5–6 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,991'''42%'''39%10%3%1%5%3%2–3 Dec YouGov/Sunday Times1,916'''41%'''39%10%5%2%3%2%2 DecOpinium -'''38%'''34%13%15%4%1–2 Dec YouGov/The Sun1,934'''40%''''''40%'''11%3%1%5%'''Tie'''30 Nov–1 Dec YouGov/The Sun2,080'''41%'''38%11%3%2%5%3%29–30 Nov Angus Reid Public Opinion2,00435%'''40%'''13%4%8%5%29–30 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,975'''40%''''''40%'''10%4%2%4%'''Tie'''28–29 Nov YouGov/The Sun2,114'''40%''''''40%'''10%4%2%4%'''Tie'''26–29 Nov ComRes/The Independent1,00636%'''40%'''12%2%4%6%4%26 NovOpinium -'''37%'''35%14%14%2%25–26 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times1,711'''40%''''''40%'''9%4%2%5%'''Tie'''24–25 Nov YouGov/The Sun2,024'''42%'''39%10%3%2%4%3%23–24 Nov YouGov/The Sun2,053'''40%''''''40%'''9%4%2%5%'''Tie'''22–23 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,968'''42%'''40%10%3%2%4%2%21–22 Nov YouGov/The Sun2,080'''41%'''38%11%4%2%4%3%19–21 Nov ICM/The Guardian1,00036%'''38%'''14%3%2%7%2%18–19 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times1,967'''40%'''38%11%4%2%5%2%17–19 Nov ComRes/Sunday Mirror/The Independent on Sunday2,01537%'''38%'''13%4%3%5%1%17–18 Nov YouGov/The Sun2,007'''40%''''''40%'''11%3%1%5%'''Tie'''17 NovOpinium -'''38%'''34%13%15%4%16–17 Nov YouGov/The Sun2,082'''40%''''''40%'''11%3%2%5%'''Tie'''15–16 Nov YouGov/The Sun2,05037%'''42%'''10%5%2%3%5%14–15 Nov YouGov/The Sun2,05040%'''42%'''10%3%1%4%2%12–14 Nov Ipsos MORI/Reuters1,00536%'''39%'''14%2%4%5%3%11–12 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times1,93039%'''41%'''10%3%1%5%2%10–11 Nov YouGov/The Sun2,013'''40%''''''40%'''10%4%2%4%'''Tie'''9–10 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,933'''42%'''37%11%4%1%5%5%9 NovOpinium -'''39%'''33%14%14%6%8–9 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,936'''40%'''39%13%3%1%4%1%7–8 Nov YouGov/The Sun2,109'''42%'''39%11%4%2%3%3%5 Nov'''Nigel Farage is elected leader of the UK Independence Party (UKIP)'''4–5 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times1,954'''40%'''39%12%3%2%5%1%3–4 Nov YouGov/The Sun1,980'''40%'''39%11%3%2%5%1%2–3 Nov YouGov/The Sun2,036'''40%''''''40%'''9%3%2%5%'''Tie'''1–2 Nov YouGov/The Sun2,006'''41%'''40%11%3%1%4%1%31 Oct–1 Nov YouGov/The Sun2,132'''41%'''39%11%4%1%4%2%29–30 Oct ComRes/The Independent1,00035%'''37%'''16%2%4%6%2%29 OctOpinium -'''38%'''35%13%14%3%28–29 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times2,058'''42%'''37%13%3%1%4%5%27–28 Oct Angus Reid Public Opinion2,01535%'''37%'''15%3%2%8%2%27–28 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,986'''41%'''39%11%3%2%4%2%26–27 Oct YouGov/The Sun2,108'''41%'''39%12%2%2%4%2%25–26 Oct YouGov/The Sun2,651'''40%'''38%12%2%2%5%2%24–25 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,967'''40%''''''40%'''11%3%1%5%'''Tie'''22–24 Oct ICM/The Guardian1,002'''39%'''36%16%1%1%7%3%22–24 Oct Populus/The Times1,00037%'''38%'''15%3%3%5%1%21–22 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times1,845'''41%'''40%10%2%2%5%1%21–22 Oct ICM/News of the World1,025'''40%'''36%16%2%1%5%4%20–21 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,874'''41%'''40%10%3%1%5%1%19–20 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,936'''41%'''39%11%2%2%5%2%18–19 Oct YouGov/The Sun2,099'''42%'''39%11%2%1%5%3%17–18 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,991'''41%'''39%12%2%1%4%2%17 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times -'''41%'''39%11%8%2%15–17 Oct Ipsos MORI/Reuters1,009'''39%'''36%14%3%3%5%3%14–15 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times1,898'''41%'''39%11%3%1%5%2%13–15 Oct ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror2,009'''40%'''34%14%12%6%13–14 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,838'''42%'''38%12%3%2%3%4%12–13 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,959'''41%'''40%11%3%1%4%1%11–12 Oct YouGov/The Sun2,047'''43%'''36%12%3%1%4%7%10–11 Oct YouGov/The Sun2,090'''42%'''38%12%2%1%5%4%7–8 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times1,890'''42%'''38%12%3%1%4%4%6–7 Oct ICM/Sunday Telegraph1002'''38%'''34%18%2%2%6%4%6–7 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,903'''42%'''38%12%3%1%4%4%5–6 Oct YouGov/The Sun1,955'''42%'''40%11%3%1%3%2%4–5 Oct YouGov/The Sun2,057'''43%'''39%11%2%1%4%4%3–4 Oct YouGov/The Sun2,108'''41%'''39%12%3%1%4%2%30 Sep–1 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times1,79639%'''41%'''11%2%2%4%2%30 Sep–1 Oct Angus Reid Public Opinion2,00435%'''38%'''16%4%7%3%29 Sep–1 Oct ComRes/The Independent2,035'''39%'''36%15%4%3%10%3%29–30 Sep YouGov/The Sun3,127'''41%'''39%12%3%1%4%2%28–29 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,916'''41%'''39%12%3%2%4%2%28–29 Sep ICM/The Guardian1,00535%'''37%'''18%3%1%6%3%27–28 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,896'''41%'''40%12%2%1%5%1%26–27 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,94839%'''40%'''12%3%1%5%1%25 Sep'''Ed Miliband is elected leader of the Labour Party'''23–24 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times1,905'''39%'''38%15%3%2%4%1%22–23 Sep YouGov/The Sun2,013'''41%'''37%13%2%2%4%4%21–22 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,649'''43%'''36%14%2%1%4%7%20–21 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,963'''39%''''''39%'''13%3%1%4%'''Tie'''19–20 Sep YouGov/The Sun2,156'''42%'''38%11%3%2%3%4%17 SepOpinium -'''37%'''35%13%15%2%16–17 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times1,984'''41%'''39%13%3%1%3%3%14–16 Sep ComRes/Sunday Mirror/The Independent on Sunday2,028'''37%'''35%15%13%2%15–16 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,996'''41%'''38%12%3%2%4%3%14–15 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,971'''42%'''39%12%2%2%3%3%13–14 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,913'''40%'''39%12%2%1%6%2%12–13 Sep YouGov/The Sun2,108'''41%'''38%12%2%2%5%3%10–12 Sep Populus/The Times1,508'''39%'''37%14%2%2%5%2%10–12 Sep Ipsos MORI/Reuters1,004'''37%''''''37%'''15%2%3%6%'''Tie'''9–10 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times1,858'''42%'''38%14%2%1%3%4%8–9 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,948'''42%'''37%14%2%1%5%5%7–8 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,967'''43%'''38%12%2%2%3%5%6–7 Sep YouGov/The Sun2,089'''42%'''38%13%2%1%5%4%5–6 Sep YouGov/The Sun2,089'''42%'''37%13%3%1%4%5%3–5 Sep ComRes/The Independent1,000'''38%'''34%18%10%4%2–3 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times1,849'''42%'''37%12%3%2%4%5%1–2 Sep YouGov/The Sun -'''42%'''37%12%9%5%31 Aug–1 Sep YouGov/The Sun1,923'''43%'''37%12%3%2%3%6%30–31 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,548'''43%'''38%11%2%1%5%5%26–27 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times1,872'''41%'''37%13%3%1%4%4%25–26 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,046'''42%'''37%12%3%1%5%5%24–25 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,030'''42%'''37%12%2%2%4%5%23–24 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,011'''41%'''38%13%3%1%4%3%22–23 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,088'''41%'''39%12%4%2%3%2%19–20 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times1,953'''41%'''38%12%3%1%4%3%18–19 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,970'''41%'''37%14%3%1%4%4%17–18 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,095'''44%'''36%12%2%1%4%8%16–17 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,059'''42%'''37%14%2%1%5%5%15–16 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,125'''41%'''37%15%2%1%5%4%13–15 Aug ICM/The Guardian1,001'''37%''''''37%'''18%2%2%4%'''Tie'''13–15 Aug ComRes/Daily Mirror/GMTV939'''39%'''33%15%2%3%8%6%13 AugOpinium -'''39%'''30%16%15%9%12–13 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times1,865'''42%'''37%13%2%1%4%5%11–12 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,000'''42%'''37%14%3%1%4%5%10–11 Aug YouGov/The Sun1,940'''41%'''37%15%2%2%4%4%9–10 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,008'''42%'''38%14%2%1%5%4%8–9 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,241'''40%'''36%15%3%1%5%4%6–8 Aug ComRes/The Independent1,004'''39%'''33%16%2%4%7%6%5–6 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times1,906'''42%'''36%13%3%1%4%6%4–5 Aug YouGov/The Sun -'''44%'''36%13%7%8%3–4 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,137'''42%'''36%13%3%2%4%6%2–3 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,101'''41%'''36%13%3%2%4%5%1–2 Aug YouGov/The Sun2,216'''42%'''38%12%2%1%5%4%29–30 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times1,885'''42%'''38%12%2%1%4%4%27–28 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,900'''42%'''36%14%3%2%3%6%26–27 Jul YouGov/The Sun2,028'''42%'''37%14%2%1%4%5%25–26 Jul YouGov/The Sun2,143'''42%'''35%15%3%2%3%7%23–25 Jul ICM/The Guardian1,009'''38%'''34%19%1%2%5%4%23–25 Jul Ipsos MORI/Reuters1,009'''40%'''38%14%8%2%22–23 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times1,891'''41%'''36%14%3%2%4%5%21–22 Jul YouGov/The Sun2,104'''43%'''35%15%2%1%4%8%20–21 Jul YouGov/The Sun2,101'''44%'''35%13%2%2%3%9%19–20 Jul YouGov/The Sun2,143'''43%'''35%14%2%1%4%8%18–19 Jul YouGov/The Sun2,007'''42%'''35%15%2%2%4%7%15–16 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times2,023'''40%'''37%15%2%1%4%3%14–15 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,620'''43%'''34%15%2%2%6%9%13–14 Jul YouGov/The Sun2,185'''43%'''34%15%3%1%5%9%12–13 Jul YouGov/The Sun2,173'''42%'''35%15%3%2%5%7%11–12 Jul YouGov/The Sun2,227'''42%'''35%15%2%2%6%7%9 JulOpinium -'''38%'''34%16%12%4%8–9 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times2,019'''42%'''34%17%2%1%5%8%7–8 Jul YouGov/The Sun2,165'''42%'''35%16%3%1%4%7%6–7 Jul YouGov/The Sun2,731'''40%'''36%17%2%1%5%4%5–6 Jul YouGov/The Spectator2,214'''41%'''35%16%2%2%5%6%5–6 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,972'''41%'''36%15%2%2%5%5%4–5 Jul YouGov/The Sun1,424'''40%'''36%16%2%1%5%4%2 JulOpinium -'''37%'''33%18%12%4%1–2 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times2,233'''41%'''36%16%2%1%4%5%30 Jun–1 Jul YouGov/The Sun -'''42%'''35%16%7%7%29–30 Jun YouGov/The Sun2,138'''42%'''36%15%2%2%2%6%28–29 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,881'''42%'''36%15%2%1%4%6%27–28 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,503'''42%'''35%16%1%2%4%7%25–27 Jun ComRes/The Independent1,003'''40%'''31%18%3%2%6%8%24–25 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times2,038'''43%'''36%16%2%1%3%7%23–24 Jun YouGov/The Sun -'''43%'''34%17%5%9%23–24 Jun ICM/Sunday Telegraph1,006'''41%'''35%16%2%1%4%6%22–23 Jun YouGov/The Sun1,641'''42%'''34%17%3%2%2%8%22–23 Jun Populus/The Times1,003'''39%'''33%18%3%2%4%6%21–22 Jun YouGov/The Sun2,295'''41%'''37%15%2%1%4%4%20–21 Jun YouGov/The Sun2,042'''41%'''33%18%3%1%3%8%18 JunOpinium -'''40%'''31%19%10%9%18–20 Jun Ipsos MORI/Reuters1,002'''39%'''31%19%2%4%6%8%18–20 Jun ICM/The Guardian1,000'''39%'''31%21%1%2%5%8%17–18 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times1,491'''39%'''34%19%3%1%4%5%16–17 Jun ComRes/The Independent on Sunday1,004'''36%'''30%23%3%2%5%6%10–11 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times1,482'''40%'''32%18%3%1%5%8%1–9 Jun Harris Interactive/Metro1,906'''36%'''30%25%9%6%4 JunOpinium -'''42%'''28%19%11%14%28–31 May ComRes/The Independent1,000'''37%'''33%21%4%3%2%4%21–23 May ICM/The Guardian1,001'''39%'''32%21%2%1%5%7%21 MayOpinium -'''38%'''29%21%12%9%20–21 May YouGov/Sunday Times1,477'''39%'''32%21%2%1%4%7%13–14 May YouGov/Sunday Times1,489'''37%'''34%21%8%3%12–13 May ICM/Sunday Telegraph1004'''38%'''33%21%1%2%6%5%12–13 May ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror1,010'''38%'''34%21%2%3%2%4%'''6 May'''2010 general election ''(GB only)''–'''36.9%'''29.7%23.6%3.1%1.0%5.7%'''7.2%'''
Sub-national polling Polling was conducted separately in the constituent countries of the United Kingdom. Of the 650 seats in the House of Commons, England had 533, Scotland had 59, Wales had 40 and Northern Ireland had 18.
Leadership approval polling
Methodology Each polling organisation uses slightly different methodology in their collection of data; a brief description of each company's methods is as follows:* '''Angus Reid Public Opinion''' collects its data through online internet surveys, and demographically weights its data to be representative of the whole population in terms of age, gender, social class, the region of the country lived in and newspaper readership. Past vote weighting is used, and is calculated separately for respondents from Scotland and respondents from England and Wales, whilst those saying they do not know how they will vote are asked which party they are leaning towards, and any responses to this are used as a full response, whilst those still unsure being discounted from the final calculation of levels of party support. * '''BMG Research''' is a Birmingham-based social research company which carried out its first political poll from 25 to 27 April 2015 for PoliticsHome, May2015 and the Electoral Reform Society, with the voting intention questions being commissioned by May2015.BMG carries out its fieldwork online and weights for past vote and likelihood to vote with people who did not vote at the previous General Election weighted down by 50%. BMG Research is not a member of the British Polling Council but is applying for membership and abides by BPC rules in carrying out opinion polls. It is recognised by the BPC as a market researcher. * '''ComRes''' uses both telephone interviews and online surveys to collect its data; all polls will be conducted using one method exclusively. It is not shown explicitly in the tables in this article whether a particular poll has been conducted by telephone or online but in general those polls with the smaller samples (~1,000) are telephone polls and those with the larger samples (~2,000) were conducted online. The data tables will confirm how the poll was conducted. Whatever the data collection method, all respondents are weighted according to gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status, number of cars owned and whether or not they have taken a foreign holiday in the previous three years. Both telephone and online polls are weighted according to past vote in the last general election, whilst telephone polls also use data from the last 12 ComRes telephone-conducted opinion polls. ComRes compensates for those respondents who says they do not know by asking them instead which party they most clearly identify with, whilst all respondents are weighted according to likelihood to vote on a scale of one to ten, with respondents saying their likelihood of voting is less than four being discounted entirely, and respondents saying their likelihood is more than five being progressively weighted, with a five-out-of-ten likelihood being weighted as half a response and a ten-out-of-ten likelihood being weighted as one whole response. * '''ICM''' also collects its data through telephone interviews, and also demographically weights its respondents according to their gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status and the region of the country they live in. It weights respondents according to the levels of support a party received in the previous general election and the last 25 ICM opinion polls and, if a past vote is given, this is used to allocate a response to those who say they do not know how they will vote, although such a response is counted as only half of one whole response. ICM also weights its respondents as to how likely they say they are to vote, with respondents who say they are certain to vote given a higher weighting than those who are not as certain, while if a respondent did not vote at the previous general election, their turnout weighting is automatically reduced by half. * '''Ipsos MORI''' collects its data through telephone interviews, and weights its respondents to be demographically representative of gender, age, social class, work status, work sector, household tenure and the region of the country they live in. Data is not weighted according to the way respondents voted at the previous general election, any respondents who say they do not know how they will vote are discounted, and only the responses of people who says they are certain to vote are included in the final calculation of levels of support for each party. * '''Lord Ashcroft''' commissions and publishes polls as Lord Ashcroft Polls. On 12 May 2014 he published the first in a series of opinion polls to be published weekly up to the 2015 UK general election. These polls are carried out by telephone, and are past-vote weighted with an allowance for false recall. They are also weighted for likelihood to vote, with a proportion of Don't Knows reallocated to how respondents said they voted at the 2010 general election. The Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats and UKIP are prompted for. Lord Ashcroft does not disclose the organisations which carry out his fieldwork, but states that a number are used. Initially, the methodology of the weekly Ashcroft National Poll was said to be similar to that used by Populus before they moved to polling online. He is not a BPC member; he was initially invited to join but the BPC now states that he is not eligible as he does not work for multiple clients. * '''Opinium''' surveys are conducted online via web interviewing, drawing a sample of responses from the company's panel of around 30,000 people. This sample is representative of the adult population of Great Britain in the areas of age, gender, regional location, working status and social grade, as according to the latest Office for National Statistics data. Responses from different demographic groups are handled appropriately to compensate for differential response rates in these different groups. * '''Populus''' conducts its surveys over the telephone, and weights all respondents according to gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status, the number of cars they own, and whether they have taken a foreign holiday in the past three years, to be representative of the whole electorate. Respondents are weighted according to their past vote and the levels of support for each party recorded in the previous 20 Populus opinion polls. Respondents who say they do not know how they will vote are allocated according to how they voted at the last general election, at a reduced weighting of 0.5 for previous Conservative or Labour voters and 0.3 for previous Liberal Democrat voters. All respondents are also weighted according to how likely they are to vote, with those certain to vote given the highest weighting. * '''Survation''' opinion polling is achieved through online surveys, and all data is weighted to represent the wider population of Great Britain in terms of gender, age, socio-economic group, religion, how the respondent previously voted, and stated likelihood of voting in the next general election. Respondents who are either undecided or refuse to state how they would vote are excluded from the final results, unless they have provided details of how they have voted in the past, in which case, that information is used to adjust the results. * '''TNS-BMRB''' interviews a representative sample of adults aged 18+. All interviews are conducted in respondents' homes, although the voting intention data is collected using self-completion methods. The data is weighted twice: firstly to match population totals for age, sex, social grade, working status, presence of children, 2010 voting patterns and region; and secondly, for voting intention questions only, an additional 'likelihood-to-vote' weight is applied. * '''YouGov''' collects its data through an online survey, and weights its respondents to be representative of the population as a whole in terms of age, gender, social class, identification with a political party, region of the country and newspaper readership. Respondents are weighted according to how they voted in the previous general election in order to achieve a sample that is reflective of each party's level of support at that election, whilst those respondents who say they do not know who they will vote for are discounted from calculating levels of support for each party.
See also * Sub-national opinion polling for the 2015 United Kingdom general election* Opinion polling in United Kingdom constituencies (2010–15)* Opinion polling for the 2017 United Kingdom general election* 2014 European Parliament election in the United Kingdom* List of political parties in the United Kingdom* List of United Kingdom by-elections (2010–present)* Opinion polling for the 2010 United Kingdom general election
References and notes ;NotesP – The dates when the fieldwork for this poll was carried out are unknown; therefore, the date of publication has been given. ;References
External links *  May2015  election polls and predictions*  2015 UK parliamentary election forecast*  UK Polling Report blog**  UK Polling Report  2015 election guide*  Ipsos MORI archive of all pollsters' polls