the african population and its ability to move is entirely dependent on the infrastructure dependent on european societies functioning properly despite what people might think, in a situation of mass starvation they won't be moving in mass through the sahara, that's a relatively well off fraction of their population which exploits a properly organized mechanism of population movement, they need to be fed all the way north, know where they are going, etc.... the 10 scenario hinges more i would say on local governments basically accelerating not so much on irregular migration but on regular migration of "trained professionals" as they say, europeans at this point are only helped by the fact that unlike boomer fantasies that could persist based on living through the highest living standards of history, young europeans are getting little of that and only the problems that followed from it, and these migrants aren't too dumb either, they aren't going to be all obedient tax paying rule following model citizens only to get a sub-fraction of the lifestyle of the boomers they are supposed to be paying the pensions of then, there's also the geopolitical situation, the usurers ruling in the west need to balance their petty revenge plans with, however, the need to maintain their global police state paradoxically, maybe, and i hope, pragmatically, that we will get to the point where are least one part of the elite realizes that they have better chances of maintaining their position by reigniting some sort of national pride in the local population and that purely in terms of personal advantage they have more to earn doing so
Italy