> explain dem voters are more densely concentrated in areas in an inefficient manner, giving disproportionately more voting power to smaller states due to how electoral college votes are allocated. so by estimations from the past 8-12 years, dems need to have a national vote polling average of +3-4 in order for the election to be a pure 50/50 tossup, with additional + margins ramping up the win% quickly. so at kamala's current polling position in the national vote, she's fuckin toast (compare to where bide was polling in 2020 immediately prior to the election (~+5-7 nationally), compared to how close the vote ended up being, and you'll understand why her numbers just aren't good enough without massive polling error, which is more likely for state polls than national polls
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