i'm 41, sadly. the 2004 was the first election cycle i could vote in, so i was extremely dialed into it. i guess i gave a hot take or two in earlier comment regarding the state of national polling, why i think kamala is fundamentally unelectable, and why trump has a better than 50% of winning the popular vote. i believe democrats are getting increasingly antsy and panicky because it looks like trump's margin of victory may end up being too big to reasonably overcome with cheating, especially since far more eyes will be watching the poll places this time and in most key states, covid era fortifications have expired, were repealed, or were greatly weakened. ballot harvesting will still be a thing, obviously, but i also think that will be somewhat less impactful this time around, if only bc there are republicans in key stages that have all but flatly admitted, publicly, that they're going to basically be doing the same - or, in other words, there will be some efforts to fight fire with fire. as a person who lives in pa, i would also state that the environment here on the ground feels more similar to 2016 than 2020. in 2020, there were few signs of trump support, but this year, there are literally signs everywhere, including a road near me where it's basically almost a mile of trump signs and billboards. all of this is anecdotal and may not actually matter on election day, but i think the energy in much of the keystone state is currently with trump and in an election where the margins could be as small as 10k votes, that extra passion, energy, positivity and enthusiasm could be a difference maker.  i'll also note that in the downtown of my city, the kamala campaign actually opened a field office, with signage and bumper stickers all over the window and available for supporters to take, and yet i've literally not seen a single harris sign anywhere. it's been open since the week of harris' nomination but no one goes there.
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