> i'm not sure they'd risk such a move so close to the election. it might not go to well for kamala if there's a repeat of the 2023 counteroffensive and pictures of american armoured personnel carriers being blown up on us screens. > but the 200 strykers is indicative of a large attack coming up. honestly i don't think so. you need a couple of maneuver brigades to pull it off, at the start of the kursk offensive there was some excess capacity, but as that op went south they doubled down on the sunk cost and essentially burned all mechanized reserve forces (including those active in defences around pokrovsk, ugledar and kupyansk). one maneuver brigade (and initially the small kursk offensive consisted of ~5) requires some 30 tanks and about 100 ifvs. 200 over engineered btrs aren't even covering the losses in kursk and it won't be enough for ukraine to even have a mobile defense. it wouldn't be the first time they are doing completely retarded things for pr though, but i can't see any realistic offensive target for them given the manpower and equipment situation.
Sweden