a lot of polls (something like 2/3 is what they said on a 538 podcast i listed to) are weighing by recall vote, where the respondent is asked who they voted for last time, then the responses are weighted to make those self-reported votes match the actual results from the last election. the reason it hasn't been used in the past is because people are retarded and either > forget who they vote for, or > straight up lie and say they voted for the winner which skews the results *against* the previous winner. but a lot of pollsters are apparently worried about underestimating trump for a 3rd time; having something like that biden +15 wi poll from 2020 doesn't look good for a company that wants to make money off their data.
DEUS VULT