biden outperformed hillary in the pulling by like 2-4 points in average. didnt have anything to do with the basement strategy, it had to do with his likability bs hillarys. when hillary lost she was about 5 points over trump in the polls. kamala is way behind that, so yes it does matter. that is why a number of these pollsters are confident he can hit 312. there is a base assumption that the aggregate still has a left bias but even if it didnt, its still entirely possibly he grabs 312. and if not, a 290ish victory is almost guaranteed.
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