> ukraine is currently losing the war, and the trend is negative unless drastic measures are taken.  > but even if russia halts advances and goes on the defensive, we lack the resources to reclaim territories to the 2022 borders, let alone the 1991 borders. this is due to many factors: delayed mobilization, insufficient aid, weak sanctions enforcement, a lack of political will in the west, poor military decisions, delayed aid due to de-escalation concerns, and the sheer reality of fighting a country with four times our population, with superior numbers in almost all domains and one of the largest military industries, supported by regimes like north korea, which contribute more than some european countries with far larger gdps.  > manpower shortages are another issue, but that's a separate discussion. ukrainian leadership bears a good part of the responsibility for these problems. still, if the west cant supply the 14 brigades zelensky requested, why discuss drafting hundreds of thousands more? we need to completely re-arm way more existing brigades. whos going to pay for them? lets be honest - theres little enthusiasm in the u.s. or europe to fund this.  > if russia retains its occupied territories, it will undermine one of europes core security principles: that borders cannot be redrawn by invading force. in 2014, russia violated this order, leading to the 2022 invasion. this time, its not just ukraine that will have failed - its ukraine, the u.s., and western europes failure to defeat russia.  > some might cite finland's winter war, as an example of what ukraine should have done, but that war lasted three months and ended with finland ceding territory, paying reparations in the form of machinery, and renting a port to the soviets. ukraine's demographics today are also very different: the 18-25 age group is among the smallest, a reality across modern europe.    1846332987283030181?t=v4h_svmggkwz7 nm3fedteq&s=19
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