it's a wombo combo of things 1) if boomers voted in 2024 as they did 8 years earlier, kamala would only have 72 million and trump 80 million 2) spending- gotv is a big one, trump was outspent by 700 million dollars. i assume this is from his obsession with doing it under budget but this one annoys me because him and sneedlon could have gone all out here to really bury them 3) spending again- democrats got crushed in florida and texas, but spend about 200 million between these two states, if they hadn't then they would have been crushed a lot harder (as in they would have been down 6 million instead of 3 million between both states, removing another 3 from kamala's total to 69) 4) california and new york- frustratingly, california went for kamala more than it 'should have' ignoring mail vote cheating because she was 'from there'. new yorkers do not afford the same native son privileges to trump, presumably because upstaters don't like nycfags and nycfags mostly aren't from nyc anyway so trump didn't get a fantastic bump- nj actually voted harder for trump than ny otherwise trump could have really pushed it to the limit.
United States