4/4 voters are the vast minority of the country. there's less of them. relying on a slight edge of the smallest group of most reliable voters vs a big lead among general election only voters - head ups, this *is* another national election - and an even bigger lead among new voters seems like the suicidal strategy to me. especially when national election only + new voter demographics vastly outnumber 4/4 high props. if you can reach them, a +1 among 4/4 high prop represents a far smaller actual potential vote count difference than a +1 among national election only's. add to that, high prop voters, especially in the dem party, are more likely to vote early than low prop. trump's improvements in the ev may be coming from banking a share of low props, or it may be coming from high props. but we can definitely say that dem early voting is actually cannibalizing their election day votes - with trump it's ambigious.
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