you're not wrong but selzer is a rarity in pollsters world where it is otherwise run by (((unsavory))) characters looking to peddle influence and distort data. hindsight is 20/20 but if you look at demographics, like it or not, white boomer women have controlled the narrative and elections in the last several election cycles. i asked because i've lived here my entire life. these women loved obama and his message when they were in their middle aged era sick of bush and his wars. they hated hillary clinton with a passion. they hated biden for a lot of the same issues with clinton. they are very slow to shift support to other candidates, but i've been predicting for awhile based off of what i hear from women in general that their support would heavily shift towards harris. and again, they seem to decide elections in this state. i think it's moronic given they're so easily swayed by the msm narratives but that is just the reality. i grumbled about it watching obama win in my late 20s. same shit different era. but they are the true "swing" vote in iowa between those solidly blue and solidly red. that's why iowa is a purple state and j ann selzer knows this. that's why she is a renowned pollster. i don't like it but it's the reality we are in. if trump passes 210 in the ec vote i'll eat my hat.
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