welp, the ewrc is going very smoothly, this does lead to worse results for florida though because a larger eyewall after an ewrc is going to be much more stable in the face of shear and dry air than a pinhole. basically it is going to weaken much less upon landfall if at all and you end up with a gfs situation where it intensifies until landfall. oh also as a plus it's stronger than ian but it's ian sized.
Confederate