escalation contingency. most countries have this concept of escalate to deescalate. they toe the armageddon line to keep their adversaries from retaliating right away and provoking a nuclear war. russia has to play the long game and strike back when things cool off bc they weren't the ones starting the agression. don't worry, when the war is over they will strike back. if i had to guess prob a combination of cyber warfare, cartel wars and arming their proxies against israel dragging the usa into another trillion dollar middle east adventure
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