i ignore polls i just look at 2020 results and see which state was super close (~1% or less) and which states were solid dem/rep with a decent margin (3%+). based on that the only states that may flip one way or the other are georgia/pennsylvania/wisconsin. all other states will remain republican or democrat. forget about virginia, michigan etc. because the democrats won with 3%+ in 2020 there so they're not going to flip back. however pennsylvania, georgia and wisconsin were super close (especially georgia at 0.2%, insanely close) so that's where the true fight will take place. trump can win those, which would secure him 270+. all the other states are a done deal, just stop trying to make fantasies happen, nothing else will flip either rep or dem.
Netherlands