overall you have good intentions in your post, but some modifications are in order > niggers really expect for anything to happen before trump's inaguration. this is most likely accurate, russia is waiting to see what happens when trump comes. > russia stalls and only slowly chips away on ukraine this is correct as well > because a nato/eu expeditionary force can roll in at minute's notice this is incorrect, nato to this day can't even agree to a peacekeeping force, let alone an offensive force that would oppose russia. russia stalling has more to do with russian leadership aiming to minimize losses in the conflict, less so to do anything with nato. > and if russia overstretches on the offensive they will get ambushed and routed with severe casualties. this is correct, russia took the slow-grind approach primarily to ensure that with every advance all flanks are secured, before the next advance is given the green light > its a chicken game - first to lose composure and start a huge offensive will lose. this is 50/50  this war for russia isn't solely military-material, but also political. it seems that kremlin seeks to telegraph "moderation" in its war effort, and this is its own weird pr stunt to all of its friends and enemies - that russia is always ready for good relations, and will always stall to the brink of breaking to keep friendship options open.
Lithuania