83% of pa republicans voted for trump in the 2024 primary and 16% voted for nikki hailey (~150k). however, polling consistently shows trump getting 92% of registered republicans, so hypothetically a maximum ceiling of half of hailey voters were democrats cross registered, which would be 75,000. if 100% of those voted early and already voted that would be less than half of the gop ballots requested, and those are big ifs. there's no evidence that any significant number of newly registered republicans in pa are hailey/harris voters
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