the only data point they have access to is polls. they can have all the stakes they want but its the same data everyone else has. they're just putting their money on the polls being right. that's all that separates them anyone posting here. there is no secret election data because there less moving pieces than a football team. with sports you have matchups between players, you have injuries, you have so many more moving parts. the only data that matters in an election is how people will vote. the only way you can really know that is polling (assuming the polls are relatively accurate). a gambler can't tell you if the polls are right because even the pollsters themselves can't tell you if they're right or they wouldn't need a margin of a error. you don't need a gambling site to tell you what the polls say and the gamblers have no other data to provide them data on their accuracy. even polling grades for the pollsters are available to anyone online who gives a shit. i think this is a case of applying one system that works "gambling insights into sports" and trying to apply it to a field with limited data points that are publicly available. if the polls were not publicly available and only a select few had access to them then they might be able to provide insight. but those sites won't tell you anything a decent polling aggregator can't. most of them have trump ahead (maybe not as high at 66% but he's ahead) and they're based mostly just on polling data and election history.
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