the situation is becoming clear. it is wwiii, and if china stays on the sidelines, the "west" meaning the us and all its european and asian vassals, will win. russia can and is prevailing in the ukraine, so the "west" has adopted the strategy of expanding the conflict to the global scale. the "west" has decided that, in a non-nuclear conflict, they will take the war to every hot spot in the world if necessary.  the russians, alone, simply do not have the strategic mass to take on a worldwide conflict against the "west." it is becoming clear that the "west's" strategy is to gradually roll back russian interests in syria, georgia, etc. the russians will prevail in ukraine for time being, but if they are pushed back everywhere else it won't matter. in that case, russia will be forced to accept some sort of minsk iii arrangement, and ukraine will have the opportunity to re-arm, likely nuclear, for the next round.  the obvious solution is for russia to develop larger strategic mass. they need the active participation of iran, brics and their other partners. if russia fails, the next to go will be iran. china might be thinking that they can sit on the sidelines, and temporarily reap the benefits of not joining the conflict , but if russia fails to stop the "west", the price china will ultimately pay to defend its sovereignty will be much higher.  all these conflicts in ukraine, syria, palestine, georgia, etc. are connected and are the usa's strategy of attempting to maintain global hegemony in the face of a rising russia, china, and global south
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