selzer is famous for nailing her state margin the best of any pollster, with the exception of 2016 where she was 3% in favor of dems she's got within 1% of the margin in 2012 and 2020 (also done well in 2014 and 2022 midterms  she may very well have choked this year but her track record is the best of any of these pollsters when it comes to iowa
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