as a test i flipped all the states that got within 1% in 2020 to trump and he be able to win in 2024 with a 2 delegate margin. it requires both georgia and pennsylvania, which he got extremely close to getting in 2020. if you assume georgia is 'safe' due to the extremely small margin with which he lost it in 2020 (0.2%), it basically all comes down to pennsylvania. it's the state he has to win. pretty much everything else is already in the bag (again, except maybe georgia). this election will be decided by a few thousand people in pennsylvania and georgia.
Netherlands