i mostly agree with your assessment  > bar the collapse of one side. if ukraine can field men and weapons to q3 off 2025 i think the likelihood of a russian collapse is pig.  q2 of 2025 is when many analysts say the russian welfare fund will begin to run dry and it coincides with armored vehicles (or was it artillery barrels?) numbers depleting also. this however hinges on western support continuing despite the loss of territory (people dont seem to know what a fighting retreat it). time will tell.
Finland