lichtman's model is too absolute, too easy to categorize in a binary sort of way... too easy, ultimately, to buy and sway the audience a certain way. it helps if you don't explain your rationale, case in point why he gave the economic keys to kamala after the last four years. nate's model is harder to buy and sway, if only because it's supposedly based on a giant cluster of polls. polls that, at the time of this dick-swinging argument, are starting to pivot back towards trump.
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