i think pa is going to end up going trump, the aggregate lead is currently narrowly harris on 538 because of a couple of outlier polls with harris up by margins that even her most fervent supporters believe are unrealistic. going by voter registrations and early ballot activity trump will probably end up winning it by a point or two.  michigan and wisconsin will probably trend sharply towards trump in the final week as they always do, but until that happens i wouldn't count on them.
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