> do you believe there to be any incentive for russia to attack finland? if so what? if russia continues advancing in ukraine a the pace it is now, then ukraine will run out of meat probably already this year, which will be accompanied by the collapse of the front, and rapid russian maneuvers towards kyiv.  if that's where the war ends, then you're safe. if not, and nato doesn't accept the new power dynamic, they will try to use baltics and finland to expand the theatre of war, under the guise of "ukrainian saboteurs attacking st. petersburg and kaliningrad from nato territory" (technically its already happening, yesterday a "ukrainian drone" blew up near st. petersburg and estonian border, and they're telling us it flew 1000km from ukraine to reach its target) then russia will begin carrying out missile strikes against finnish and baltic military bases and airfields. it is doubtful russia will invade finland from the ground, as incapaciting your infrastructure via missile strikes will be sufficient to make a statement, it nonetheless is possible lithuania will get invaded if shit really hits the fan. (because of kaliningrad)
Lithuania