> agreement reached (astana, sochi, ankara) between putin and erdogan to freeze the conflict around the idlib zoo > syria devastated by more than 10 years of war and sanctions, always had a shit army helped massively by iran, hezbollah and russia > majority of saa veterans have been demobilized  > hezbollah focused on the war with israel in lebanon > russia focused on ukraine  > israel gets bogged down in southern lebanon > few days after turkish-backed rebels opened a surprise offensive west of aleppo aided by western intel and equipment  > erdogan betrayed putin once again and decided to side with israel and the us in hopes of controlling the larger part of syria i.e. consolidating his position in the region > kurds sold out in the process also? yet to be seen
Croatia