erdogan may deploy military forces and air defense systems if the russians and syrians launch a bombing offensive against idlib and aleppo. syria is now divided into three: rebel-controlled syria, assad-controlled syriawhich is now about the same size if you exclude the coastal regionand sdf-controlled syria. two-thirds of the country's land area consists of barren terrain and desert landscapes. so, the options aren't exactly very grand.  i think its likely for erdogan to think that if its not possible to force refugees to return while the frontlines remain so entrenched, then why not restart the conflict and take large portions of the country to create space and infrastructure for returning refugees? the large-scale offensive had likely been in preparation for several years, with erdogan working hard to clean up among the "rebels"especially hts, which has been forced to study how the taliban won in afghanistan. what comes as a shock is not the extensive preparations, the well-thought-out battle plans, or the use of drones, but rather that the military communication system has fallen under turkish control.
Norway