read spengler if you haven't. america is undeniably entering the caesaropapist era of it's politics. i get suspicious of that sort of modelling with wars since it's essentially marxist historiography and i dislike the idea of things fundementally proceeding from the economic - however, quite possibly. then again, nukes. i don't see how it could be anything other than a second cold war - i think most of the overt aggression towards russia and baiting of them is simply to stop them aligning with china, as well as forcing the eu to wean itself off russian energy (my god germany is fucking retarded). not to say that they won't align more with china economically, but that they will do it from necessity rather than founding a new bloc as they've been attempting with brics - and the chinese are notorious for not allowing mutual trade agreements or investment from foreign companies. however, i think china is more unstable than it seems with the aging population and economic downturn. maybe that will encourage war, maybe not - i think they've been spooked by the current movement away from trade agreements from the west started by trump drawing attention to them.
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