friend, you aren't wrong, but if iran's oil gets hit, the hormuz strait and persian gulf will be shut down and oil will go to $200 a barrel in seconds.  it's not just china who will get fucked, it's the whole world- and that's even before the nukes start dropping. we'd have a cascading liquidity crunch and sovereign debt crisis before the first snow falls and the derivatives markets would collapse. no ifs ands or buts. our whole economy is built on sticks and mud and this would be a hurricane.
United States