how do you think the russians make sure the first stage of the oreshnik - which will drop far short of the target - doesn't fall anywhere it shouldn't? (let's assume oreshnik is a two-stage missile and that it's fired from kapustin yar, which is in the astrakhan oblast.) i suppose you've got to arrange things so that the lower stage will fall in an unpopulated area, perhaps on a military reservation; the best thing would be if it fell in the sea, but a great circle from kapustin yar to dnepropetrovsk is "feet dry" all the way.
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