Use forecast weather data or actual weather data for prediction? I'm planning to use weather data to predict crime in Chicago.
I'm confused which to use as features: historical weather forecast data or historical actual weather data?
And what is the underlying logic here?
I'm assuming later only forecast data is available for prediction. Thank you for any input.
You could you both forecast and actual weather, then see which provide better features for forecasting? Obviously there will be a lot of correlation between the forecast and the actual weather, but you could use feature selection to choose the most important?