Does Bitcoin's SHA256 proof make a 51% attack more likely? Ethereum's description says that Bitcoin's mining algorithm requires only a simple SHA256 computation, which caused the creation of specialised ASICs, which centralizes mining in the hands of a few actors (ie. ASIC manufacturers), making 51% attacks much more likely.

Is that right?

SHA256 >>> ASIC >>> Centralized mining >>> 51% attack?
I think what most people making the 51% attack argument for memory hardness miss is that the base unit is meaningless when you're talking about percentages. Whether your mining algorithm is implemented with ASICs, consumer hardware or well-trained Rhesus monkeys it matters little - to launch a 51% attack you must amass enough ASICs, consumer hardware or Rhesus monkeys to represent 51% or more of the available power. This, in turn, becomes an economics problem and is far more affected by the scale of mining operations as a whole than by the specifics of how that mining is done. If three networks are mining using $1,000,000 worth of ASICs, CPUs and Rhesus monkeys, including those you control, your portion needs to exceed $500,000 worth of the underlying resource regardless of its nature.

The fear that this will occur automatically as one manufacturer comes to dominate the space is perhaps slightly more realistic, but it's a real fear in memory-hard altcoins as well since most of that consumer hardware is also made by a mere two companies: Intel and AMD. These companies may not care much about the coin you're mining today, but in the sort of world where ASIC manufacturers represent a threat to Bitcoin CPU manufacturers would represent an identical threat.

The article also dismisses the "botnet mining" argument by saying that the botnets would likely not be used to attack the coins and completely ignores the crux of the argument: That people are mining on botnets. If someone is stealing CPU cycles from my system I'm not particularly concerned with the ends, I'm more upset about the means. That Bitcoin's ASIC acceleration has made botnet mining all but impossible is, in this sysadmin's view, a positive thing.

Finally, the entire democratization argument hinges on the entirely false premise that if mining only uses general purpose hardware that people will only mine with the hardware they already have. It also neglects to account for the decreased lifespan of that already-existing hardware due to mining's extraordinarily heavy use of the resource. People can and do build additional computers for the sole purpose of mining and every computer used for mining lives a shorter lifespan than one used for casual browsing and office tasks. Mining power will still centralize because this is the nature of our economy, not of our technology - those with more money will always buy more hardware. Also, Bitcoin ASICs are only expensive because they are new. ASIC cost is almost entirely in the R&amp;D process, which leads to a price curve whereby products become dramatically cheaper with time. The image processing chip that runs the camera in every cell phone was once new, expensive and high-tech too. Give it time.

But in the end, it is the economics, not the technology, that makes a mining algorithm secure. The nature of the hashing algorithm chosen has some interesting effects, certainly, but assuming neither algorithm has an exploitable flaw (which is less likely with widely-implemented algorithms like SHA256) the question inherently boils down to "how much would it cost me to become 51% of this network" and the resulting answer is the same whether you're mining with ASICs, CPUs or GPUs... Or Rhesus monkeys: To represent more than half of the network you must more than match the existing power of all equipment (or primates) used to mine it. If the mining equipment currently on-network is worth a million dollars, you have to spend at least a million and one.