(Canada) How likely/unlikely is it to get accepted to a direct entry PhD program?
Is there any reason you're not considering a Canadian Master's program? They're usually funded, and doing a Master's is pretty standard before doing a PhD in Canada.
What do you mean by "direct entry"? If you mean starting this September, then your odds are quite low. If you mean "straight from Bachelor's to PhD" then that's a different story.
What are your grades like? Do you have any undergraduate research experience? Skipping the Master's is generally reserved for "exceptional students" in Canada, so your odds depend on how your Bachelor's went.


I know some schools have a "PhD Track Master's" where you start in a Master's and transfer to PhD after a year. Maybe that's for you?

Graduate studies is a long haul. Don't be in a rush to start it if it doesn't work for your life.