How competitive will my profile be for Grad School
I think your question should be reconsidered:
1. What specific area of history do you want to study?
2. What do you want to do with your grad degree?
Based on those two questions you could then consider what program is a best fit and be somewhat less concerned with whether it is a top 25 vs. top 50 vs. top 100 program.  

Hope this helps a bit.